Posted:
#251
cjm 
Loyola-Chicago +5 WIN ML
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College hoops system......give it a look
Posted:
#263
Quote Originally Posted by oilcountry99:
Minnesota ATS/SU/1H all winners a clean sweep!
I've been playing 1st Halfs with outstanding results Minnesota ATS/SU/1H all winners a clean sweep!
money bags around the horn, nice stuff kenkean89!
the stats in this thread speak for theirselves, nice to see you didn't "miss out on the plays" this time around.
1st Halfs
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Posted:
#266
After seven weeks; here is where we stand:
Week 1: 11-7 61%
Week 2: 12-5 71%
Week 3: 7-6 54%
Week 4: 9-3 75%
Week 5: 7-4 64%
Week 6: 10-10 50%
Week 7: 5-1 83%
Overall, system now 61-36, or 63% after seven weeks
Large double-digit hounds were 2-0 on the week, now 18-10 for the season
Small pups (4 points or less) were 2-1 on the week, now 24-11 for the season
ML players gained approx 14 units on the week
If one had played $100 on the ML in every game to this point, they would be up an astounding $4,400 to this point!!!
Sports_Network, if you or anyone else has stats on first-half plays, please post them
In closing, here is the big head scratcher. I noticed a few weeks in that we seemed to do much better during the week than on weekends. Through yesterday, here are the #'s:
Weekends 24-24 50%
Weekdays 37-12 76%
If anyone out there has any theories, chime in. Dawgtennis posted some good observations a few weeks back; but it is without question a crazy disparity. Weeks back I personally started playing less on weekend games and more on weekday games
Week 8 starts tomorrow, thanks guys for participating and lets hope our good fortune continues!
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Posted:
#267
Quote Originally Posted by dawgtennis07: kenkean, I use this spreadsheet..it needs to be updated by dawgtennis, so if he's reading this, please give the thread an update asap, whe're looking at first halfs
S_N, I have been working on separating the bets based on spread ranges. +.5 to +3, +3.5 to +5 and so on because I'd like to develop a better MM strategy than flat betting them all. I'm going to flat bet them through february, but it may be something to try next year as well. Here is the link to the google drive sheet: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1P7zGI5Qz83cIZxtrEE9vp-0EYwoJ6MIX-glhHdu7yZQ/edit#gid=0
Note that I am tracking all games without regard to where the public money is, so there are games in my stats that ken has left out of the system. Also, I use the lines when they close, so some of us have lost a game or 2 by a half point or a point, but the closing line was a winner, so I've used the closing line as a control. With this system one thing is clear, the later you wait to place the bet, generally the better line you get.
As far as pure stats from January 1,2016 to present is:
ATS:
Game: (50-33-1) 32 ML wins for dogs
1st Half: (52-31-1) 30 ML wins for dogs
2nd Half: (45-37-2) 32 ML wins for dogs
Over-Under:
Game: (41-43)
1st Half: (42-42)
2nd Half: (44-38-2)
Spread is .5>3
ATS:
Game: (12-7-1) 12 ML wins for dogs
1st Half: (11-9) 10 ML wins for dogs
2nd Half: (10-9-1) 10 ML wins for dogs
Over-Under:
Game: (8-12)
1st Half: (9-11)
2nd Half: (11-9)
Spread is 3.5>5
ATS: (using where the lines closed for previous games)
Game: (8-6-4) 7 ML wins for dogs
1st Half: (11-7) 10 ML wins for dogs
2nd Half: (8-10) 8 ML wins for dogs
Over-Under:
Game: (11-7)
1st Half: (11-7)
2nd Half: (13-5)
Spread is 5.5>10
ATS:
Game: (20-12) 10 ML wins for dogs
1st Half: (19-13) 7 ML wins and 3 push for dogs
2nd Half: (19-12-1) 11 ML and 1 push wins for dogs
Over-Under:
Game: (17-15)
1st Half: (18-14)
2nd Half: (13-17-2)
Spread is 10.5>15
ATS: (using where the lines closed for previous games)
Game: (7-3) 3 ML wins for dogs
1st Half: (8-1-1) 3 ML wins for dogs
2nd Half: (7-3) 3 ML wins and 1 pushfor dogs
Over-Under:
Game: (3-7)
1st Half: (2-8)
2nd Half: (5-5)
Spread is 15+
ATS: (using where the lines closed for previous games)
Game: (3-1) 0 ML wins for dogs
1st Half: (3-1) 0 ML wins for dogs
2nd Half: (1-3) 0 ML wins for dogs
Over-Under:
Game: (2-2)
1st Half: (2-2)
2nd Half: (2-2)
thank you
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Posted:
#268
Quote Originally Posted by kenkean89:
After seven weeks; here is where we stand:
kenkean, thanks for the stats-sheet, a lot of handicapping value attached to dog play..excellent work After seven weeks; here is where we stand:
Week 1: 11-7 61%
Week 2: 12-5 71%
Week 3: 7-6 54%
Week 4: 9-3 75%
Week 5: 7-4 64%
Week 6: 10-10 50%
Week 7: 5-1 83%
Overall, system now 61-36, or 63% after seven weeks
Large double-digit hounds were 2-0 on the week, now 18-10 for the season
Small pups (4 points or less) were 2-1 on the week, now 24-11 for the season
ML players gained approx 14 units on the week
If one had played $100 on the ML in every game to this point, they would be up an astounding $4,400 to this point!!!
Sports_Network, if you or anyone else has stats on first-half plays, please post them
In closing, here is the big head scratcher. I noticed a few weeks in that we seemed to do much better during the week than on weekends. Through yesterday, here are the #'s:
Weekends 24-24 50%
Weekdays 37-12 76%
If anyone out there has any theories, chime in. Dawgtennis posted some good observations a few weeks back; but it is without question a crazy disparity. Weeks back I personally started playing less on weekend games and more on weekday games
Week 8 starts tomorrow, thanks guys for participating and lets hope our good fortune continues!
and effort, appreciate
0
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