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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Chaser's MLB OVER

    123 ... 789 Next Last»
    chaser15
    vinnyherbert
    rivermonsterz
    Danrules24
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    Search
    Views: 20288
    Posts: 208
    123 ... 789 Next Last»
     
    chaser15
    chaser15
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    Joined: Oct, 2014
    Posts: 1692
    Posted: May. 7, 2016 - 3:48 PM ET #1

    For those who prefer simplicity, here's a super-easy system I've played throughout the years that always grinds out a profit...some years better than others. So far this year its been a pretty good earner (+23 units on a 35 unit BR in only a month of play...not bad). Barring disaster, it should produce at least  80+ units.

    The system: Play ON the "OVER" in the game with the biggest favorite. That's it!  As a disclaimer, I'm not always rigid in this pick and will cap on occasion, but the pick is ALWAYS on a lob-sided contest. If I see another game that's a lob-sided contest and I feel better about it, I'll play it (especially if the fave in that contest is the visitor and is assured the 9 at-bats). I play this is as a 4-game chase on a straight marty.

    BR: I recommend no less than 35 units to start. This accounts for two losses though there have been none this season (In fact, it hasn't gone past a "B" game this season). Expect to get lightly juiced on the play. 

    For those who care, I will be posting the (one) daily play in this forum and will be using Boyd's prices. GL to any and all who follow

    Today's Play:                     Risk Amt

    (A) CWS over 7 -115            1.15u

     

    YTD: +23 units

    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    For those who prefer simplicity, here's a super-easy system I've played throughout the years that always grinds out a profit...some years better than others. So far this year its been a pretty good earner (+23 units on a 35 unit BR in only a month of play...not bad). Barring disaster, it should produce at least  80+ units.

    The system: Play ON the "OVER" in the game with the biggest favorite. That's it!  As a disclaimer, I'm not always rigid in this pick and will cap on occasion, but the pick is ALWAYS on a lob-sided contest. If I see another game that's a lob-sided contest and I feel better about it, I'll play it (especially if the fave in that contest is the visitor and is assured the 9 at-bats). I play this is as a 4-game chase on a straight marty.

    BR: I recommend no less than 35 units to start. This accounts for two losses though there have been none this season (In fact, it hasn't gone past a "B" game this season). Expect to get lightly juiced on the play. 

    For those who care, I will be posting the (one) daily play in this forum and will be using Boyd's prices. GL to any and all who follow

    Today's Play:                     Risk Amt

    (A) CWS over 7 -115            1.15u

     

    YTD: +23 units

     
    chaser15
    chaser15
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    Posts: 1692
    Posted: May. 7, 2016 - 11:25 PM ET #2

    5/7 Result:                     Risk Amt

    (A) CWS over 7 -115            1.15u winner +1unit

     

    YTD: +24 units

    Reply

    5/7 Result:                     Risk Amt

    (A) CWS over 7 -115            1.15u winner +1unit

     

    YTD: +24 units

     
    chaser15
    chaser15
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    Posted: May. 8, 2016 - 1:07 PM ET #3

    5/8 Sunday

    Today's Play:                       Risk Amt

    (A) Cubs over 7.5n -110            1.1u

     

    YTD: +24units

    Reply

    5/8 Sunday

    Today's Play:                       Risk Amt

    (A) Cubs over 7.5n -110            1.1u

     

    YTD: +24units

     
    chaser15
    chaser15
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    Posted: May. 9, 2016 - 12:09 AM ET #4

    5/8 Sunday Results: -1.1 unit

                     

    (A) Cubs over 7.5n -110            1.1u loss-1.1u

     

    YTD: +22.9units

    Reply

    5/8 Sunday Results: -1.1 unit

                     

    (A) Cubs over 7.5n -110            1.1u loss-1.1u

     

    YTD: +22.9units

     
    vinnyherbert
    vinnyherbert
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    Posted: May. 9, 2016 - 2:48 AM ET #5

    I've got it losing 4 times in a row from May 1st thru the 4th. Hardly consistent with never going past a B play, 
    Reply
    I've got it losing 4 times in a row from May 1st thru the 4th. Hardly consistent with never going past a B play, 
     
    vinnyherbert
    vinnyherbert
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    Posted: May. 9, 2016 - 2:55 AM ET #6

    Although using opening lines, Mets were a bigger fav than Jays on the 4th- so that would be just 3 losses in a row.  Not big on chase systems but with a good size bankroll it makes sense. I've got one where I just pick my dog of the day in bases and always try to make a unit. Good luck with your overs. 
    Reply
    Although using opening lines, Mets were a bigger fav than Jays on the 4th- so that would be just 3 losses in a row.  Not big on chase systems but with a good size bankroll it makes sense. I've got one where I just pick my dog of the day in bases and always try to make a unit. Good luck with your overs. 
     
    chaser15
    chaser15
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    Posted: May. 9, 2016 - 1:23 PM ET #7

    Quote Originally Posted by vinnyherbert:

    I've got it losing 4 times in a row from May 1st thru the 4th. Hardly consistent with never going past a B play, 

    Thanks for the input, but I'm not trying to snow anyone here buddy. As I stated in Post #1, I'm not rigid in my pick and do cap on occasion (though ALWAYS play a lob-sided affair). My May results are as follows:

    5/1 (A)Cubs OVER 7 push 

    5/2 (A)Mets OVER 7.5 won

    5/3 (A)Cubs OVER 7 won

    5/4 (A)Mets OVER 7 won

    5/5 (A)Mets OVER 7 won

    5/6 (A)Giants OVER 7 won

    5/7 (A)Cws OVER 7 won

    5/8 (A)Cubs OVER 7.5 loss

    I have no doubt that "C" and "D" plays will come (even the eventual loss), but my May results are VERY CONSISTENT with never going past a "B" play

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by vinnyherbert:

    I've got it losing 4 times in a row from May 1st thru the 4th. Hardly consistent with never going past a B play, 

    Thanks for the input, but I'm not trying to snow anyone here buddy. As I stated in Post #1, I'm not rigid in my pick and do cap on occasion (though ALWAYS play a lob-sided affair). My May results are as follows:

    5/1 (A)Cubs OVER 7 push 

    5/2 (A)Mets OVER 7.5 won

    5/3 (A)Cubs OVER 7 won

    5/4 (A)Mets OVER 7 won

    5/5 (A)Mets OVER 7 won

    5/6 (A)Giants OVER 7 won

    5/7 (A)Cws OVER 7 won

    5/8 (A)Cubs OVER 7.5 loss

    I have no doubt that "C" and "D" plays will come (even the eventual loss), but my May results are VERY CONSISTENT with never going past a "B" play

     
    chaser15
    chaser15
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    Posted: May. 9, 2016 - 1:31 PM ET #8

    ***correction***

    5/2 (A)Mets OVER 7.5 loss

    5/3 (B)Cubs OVER 7 won

    Reply

    ***correction***

    5/2 (A)Mets OVER 7.5 loss

    5/3 (B)Cubs OVER 7 won

     
    chaser15
    chaser15
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    Posted: May. 9, 2016 - 7:57 PM ET #9

    5/9 Monday

    Today's Play:                       Risk Amt

    (B) Cubs over 7.5n -115            2.4u (to win 2.1)

     

    YTD: +22.9units

    Reply

    5/9 Monday

    Today's Play:                       Risk Amt

    (B) Cubs over 7.5n -115            2.4u (to win 2.1)

     

    YTD: +22.9units

     
    chaser15
    chaser15
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    Posted: May. 9, 2016 - 11:48 PM ET #10

    5/9 Monday  

    Today's Play:                       Risk Amt

    (B) Cubs over 7.5n -115            2.4u (to win 2.1) cancelled

     

    YTD: +22.9units

    Reply

    5/9 Monday  

    Today's Play:                       Risk Amt

    (B) Cubs over 7.5n -115            2.4u (to win 2.1) cancelled

     

    YTD: +22.9units

     
    chaser15
    chaser15
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    Posted: May. 10, 2016 - 1:46 PM ET #11

    5/10 Tuesday

    Today's Play:                   Risk Amt

    (B) Cubs over 7.5n +105            2u (to win 2.1)

     

    YTD: +22.9units

    Reply

    5/10 Tuesday

    Today's Play:                   Risk Amt

    (B) Cubs over 7.5n +105            2u (to win 2.1)

     

    YTD: +22.9units

     
    chaser15
    chaser15
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    Posted: May. 10, 2016 - 9:55 PM ET #12

    5/10  Tuesday Results:   +2.1units

                     

    (B) Cubs over 7.5 +105            2u won +2.1u

     

    YTD: +25units

    Reply

    5/10  Tuesday Results:   +2.1units

                     

    (B) Cubs over 7.5 +105            2u won +2.1u

     

    YTD: +25units

     
    rivermonsterz
    rivermonsterz
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    Posted: May. 11, 2016 - 12:09 AM ET #13

    Thanks for posting, I always appreciate others having some input to these forums.
    However I do have one concern with the way you go about your business, and that is the fact that in post 1 you have started your unit count at +23units, and are now counting based on that.
    As far as Im concerned if you havent been documenting your plays, you start at ZERO.
    Please adjust your figures moving forward to give a true representation of your plays.
    Reply
    Thanks for posting, I always appreciate others having some input to these forums.
    However I do have one concern with the way you go about your business, and that is the fact that in post 1 you have started your unit count at +23units, and are now counting based on that.
    As far as Im concerned if you havent been documenting your plays, you start at ZERO.
    Please adjust your figures moving forward to give a true representation of your plays.
     
    chaser15
    chaser15
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    Posted: May. 11, 2016 - 12:24 PM ET #14

    5/11 Wednesday

    Today's Play:                   Risk Amt

    (A) Cubs(GM 1) over8 -115            1.15u

     

    YTD: +22.9units

    Reply

    5/11 Wednesday

    Today's Play:                   Risk Amt

    (A) Cubs(GM 1) over8 -115            1.15u

     

    YTD: +22.9units

     
    chaser15
    chaser15
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    Posted: May. 11, 2016 - 4:02 PM ET #15

    5/11 Wednesday Results:   +1units

     

    Play:                                  Risk Amt

    (A) Cubs(GM 1) over8 -115          1.15u won+1u

     

    YTD: +23.9units

    Reply
    5/11 Wednesday Results:   +1units

     

    Play:                                  Risk Amt

    (A) Cubs(GM 1) over8 -115          1.15u won+1u

     

    YTD: +23.9units

     
    Danrules24
    Danrules24
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    Posts: 5921
    Posted: May. 11, 2016 - 4:18 PM ET #16

    Quote Originally Posted by rivermonsterz:

    Thanks for posting, I always appreciate others having some input to these forums.
    However I do have one concern with the way you go about your business, and that is the fact that in post 1 you have started your unit count at +23units, and are now counting based on that.
    As far as Im concerned if you havent been documenting your plays, you start at ZERO.
    Please adjust your figures moving forward to give a true representation of your plays.

    I'd agree with this especially if you look at the lines, there very well could have been a 4 game loss May 1-4 as mentioned earlier. The only way that is avoided is if Chaser switched a play to an away team favorite as he mentioned. Since the plays weren't posted it's kind of hard to determine the true units profited.

    Maybe add +/- since posting?

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by rivermonsterz:

    Thanks for posting, I always appreciate others having some input to these forums.
    However I do have one concern with the way you go about your business, and that is the fact that in post 1 you have started your unit count at +23units, and are now counting based on that.
    As far as Im concerned if you havent been documenting your plays, you start at ZERO.
    Please adjust your figures moving forward to give a true representation of your plays.

    I'd agree with this especially if you look at the lines, there very well could have been a 4 game loss May 1-4 as mentioned earlier. The only way that is avoided is if Chaser switched a play to an away team favorite as he mentioned. Since the plays weren't posted it's kind of hard to determine the true units profited.

    Maybe add +/- since posting?

     
    chaser15
    chaser15
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    Posted: May. 11, 2016 - 5:29 PM ET #17

    ***making a SECOND play for Wednesday***

    5/11 Wednesday

    Today's Play:                   Risk Amt

    (A) RedSox over9 -125                  1.25u

     

    YTD: +26units (+3)

     

    ***correction: "my" YTD coming into Wednesday was +25u***

     

    ***As a courtesy to others, I will also log the unit count "since posting" in parentheses***

    Reply

    ***making a SECOND play for Wednesday***

    5/11 Wednesday

    Today's Play:                   Risk Amt

    (A) RedSox over9 -125                  1.25u

     

    YTD: +26units (+3)

     

    ***correction: "my" YTD coming into Wednesday was +25u***

     

    ***As a courtesy to others, I will also log the unit count "since posting" in parentheses***

     
    chaser15
    chaser15
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    Posted: May. 11, 2016 - 9:09 PM ET #18

    5/11 Wednesday (2nd play) result: +1 unit

    Today's Play:                   Risk Amt

    (A) RedSox over9 -125                  1.25u won +1u

     

    YTD: +27units (+4)

    Reply

    5/11 Wednesday (2nd play) result: +1 unit

    Today's Play:                   Risk Amt

    (A) RedSox over9 -125                  1.25u won +1u

     

    YTD: +27units (+4)

     
    chaser15
    chaser15
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    Posts: 1692
    Posted: May. 12, 2016 - 6:49 PM ET #19

    5/12 Thursday

    Today's Play:                   Risk Amt

    (A) Mets over6 -110                      1.10u

     

    YTD: +27units (+4)

    Reply

    5/12 Thursday

    Today's Play:                   Risk Amt

    (A) Mets over6 -110                      1.10u

     

    YTD: +27units (+4)

     
    chaser15
    chaser15
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2014
    Posts: 1692
    Posted: May. 13, 2016 - 2:00 PM ET #20

    5/12 Thursday Results: -1.1 unit

     

    (A) Mets over6 -110                      1.10u loss -1.1u

     

    YTD: +25.9nits (+2.9)

    Reply

    5/12 Thursday Results: -1.1 unit

     

    (A) Mets over6 -110                      1.10u loss -1.1u

     

    YTD: +25.9nits (+2.9)

     
    chaser15
    chaser15
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2014
    Posts: 1692
    Posted: May. 13, 2016 - 2:37 PM ET #21

    5/13 Friday Play:

    (B) Nationals OV 8 -125     RIsking 2.6units

    YTD: +25.9 (+2.9)

    Reply

    5/13 Friday Play:

    (B) Nationals OV 8 -125     RIsking 2.6units

    YTD: +25.9 (+2.9)

     
    chaser15
    chaser15
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2014
    Posts: 1692
    Posted: May. 13, 2016 - 11:18 PM ET #22

    5/13 Friday Results: 0 units

    (B) Nationals OV 8 -125     RIsking 2.6units push

    YTD: +25.9units (+2.9)

     

    Reply

    5/13 Friday Results: 0 units

    (B) Nationals OV 8 -125     RIsking 2.6units push

    YTD: +25.9units (+2.9)

     

     
    chaser15
    chaser15
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2014
    Posts: 1692
    Posted: May. 14, 2016 - 5:43 PM ET #23

    5/14 Saturday

    Today's Play:                   Risk Amt

    (B) Cubs over 8.5 +100                      2.1u

    YTD: +25.9units (+2.9)

    ***excuse the late posting time, just too many distractions today!This was the play I put in, and hopefully those who are following did too***, (I know, I know, "chaser, you cant post this after the game has played"....or "Chaser, these numbers aren't reliable"...blah, blah blah. Treat it like "Ripley's", and believe it or not. Its here for my tracking purposes

     

     

    YTD: +27units (+4)

    Reply

    5/14 Saturday

    Today's Play:                   Risk Amt

    (B) Cubs over 8.5 +100                      2.1u

    YTD: +25.9units (+2.9)

    ***excuse the late posting time, just too many distractions today!This was the play I put in, and hopefully those who are following did too***, (I know, I know, "chaser, you cant post this after the game has played"....or "Chaser, these numbers aren't reliable"...blah, blah blah. Treat it like "Ripley's", and believe it or not. Its here for my tracking purposes

     

     

    YTD: +27units (+4)

     
    chaser15
    chaser15
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2014
    Posts: 1692
    Posted: May. 14, 2016 - 5:53 PM ET #24

    5/13 Saturday Results: +2.1 units

    (B) Cubs over 8.5 +100                      2.1u won +2.1u

    YTD: +28units (+5)

     

    5/13 Saturday Play #2:                Risk Amt

    (A) Braves OV 8 -1.05                           1.05u

     

    YTD: +28units (+5)

    Reply

    5/13 Saturday Results: +2.1 units

    (B) Cubs over 8.5 +100                      2.1u won +2.1u

    YTD: +28units (+5)

     

    5/13 Saturday Play #2:                Risk Amt

    (A) Braves OV 8 -1.05                           1.05u

     

    YTD: +28units (+5)

     
     
    chaser15
    chaser15
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2014
    Posts: 1692
    Posted: May. 15, 2016 - 4:41 AM ET #25

    RESULT: -1.05units

    5/13 Saturday Play #2:                Risk Amt

    (A) Braves OV 8 -1.05                           1.05u loss-1.05u

     

    YTD: +26.95units (+3.95)

    Reply

    RESULT: -1.05units

    5/13 Saturday Play #2:                Risk Amt

    (A) Braves OV 8 -1.05                           1.05u loss-1.05u

     

    YTD: +26.95units (+3.95)

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