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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Chaser's MLB OVER

    «First Previous 123 ... 789 Next Last»
    chaser15
    leo81
    Pendo
    rjoine
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    «First Previous 123 ... 789 Next Last»
     
    chaser15
    chaser15
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    Posted: Sep. 20, 2016 - 7:42 AM ET #176

    9/19 Monday's Result: OVER on game with strongest road fave

    (B) Red Sox  OV 9 -110                                   risk 2.3U LOSS -2.3u

     

    YTD: +42.6units (+19.6)

     

    9/20 Tuesday's Play: OVER on game with strongest road fave

    (C) Astros  OV 8 -115                                   risk 5.1U (to win 4.4U)

    ***Jays are "strongest road fave" today, but I just cant' see that game going over 12 runs***

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    9/19 Monday's Result: OVER on game with strongest road fave

    (B) Red Sox  OV 9 -110                                   risk 2.3U LOSS -2.3u

     

    YTD: +42.6units (+19.6)

     

    9/20 Tuesday's Play: OVER on game with strongest road fave

    (C) Astros  OV 8 -115                                   risk 5.1U (to win 4.4U)

    ***Jays are "strongest road fave" today, but I just cant' see that game going over 12 runs***

     
    chaser15
    chaser15
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2016 - 9:23 AM ET #177

    9/20 Tuesday's Play: OVER on game with strongest road fave

    (C) Astros  OV 8 -115                                   risk 5.1U (to win 4.4U)

    ***Jays are "strongest road fave" today, but I just cant' see that game going over 12 runs***

    Not sure what exactly I was looking at when I posted the above (Cards/Rocks?), but the result serves as friendly reminder as to why I rely on systems and not my capping abilities. Going to re-start the chase.


    9/21 Wednesday's Play: OVER on game with strongest road fave

    (A) Nats  OV 7.5 +105                                   risk 1U


    YTD: +37.5units (+14.5)

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    9/20 Tuesday's Play: OVER on game with strongest road fave

    (C) Astros  OV 8 -115                                   risk 5.1U (to win 4.4U)

    ***Jays are "strongest road fave" today, but I just cant' see that game going over 12 runs***

    Not sure what exactly I was looking at when I posted the above (Cards/Rocks?), but the result serves as friendly reminder as to why I rely on systems and not my capping abilities. Going to re-start the chase.


    9/21 Wednesday's Play: OVER on game with strongest road fave

    (A) Nats  OV 7.5 +105                                   risk 1U


    YTD: +37.5units (+14.5)

     
    chaser15
    chaser15
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    Posted: Sep. 22, 2016 - 8:37 AM ET #178

    9/21 Wednesday's Result: OVER on game with strongest road fave

    (A) Nats  OV 7.5 +105                                   risk 1U WON +1u


    YTD: +38.5units (+15.5)


    9/22 Thursday's Play: OVER on game with strongest road fave

    (A) Giants  OV 8 +100                                   risk 1U




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    9/21 Wednesday's Result: OVER on game with strongest road fave

    (A) Nats  OV 7.5 +105                                   risk 1U WON +1u


    YTD: +38.5units (+15.5)


    9/22 Thursday's Play: OVER on game with strongest road fave

    (A) Giants  OV 8 +100                                   risk 1U




     
    chaser15
    chaser15
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    Posted: Sep. 23, 2016 - 8:23 AM ET #179

    9/22 Thursday's Result: OVER on game with strongest road fave

    (A) Giants  OV 8 +100                                   risk 1U LOSS -1u


    YTD: +37.5units (+14.5)


    9/23 Friday's Play: OVER on game with strongest road fave

    (B) Rangers  OV 8 -110                                   risk 2.1U



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    9/22 Thursday's Result: OVER on game with strongest road fave

    (A) Giants  OV 8 +100                                   risk 1U LOSS -1u


    YTD: +37.5units (+14.5)


    9/23 Friday's Play: OVER on game with strongest road fave

    (B) Rangers  OV 8 -110                                   risk 2.1U



     
    chaser15
    chaser15
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    Posted: Sep. 24, 2016 - 11:35 AM ET #180

    9/23 Friday's Result: OVER on game with strongest road fave

    (B) Rangers  OV 8 -110                                   risk 2.1U LOSS -2.1u


    YTD: +35.4units (+12.4)


    9/24 Saturday's Play: OVER on game with strongest road fave

    (C) Giants  OV 7 -115                                   risk 4.7U (to win 4.1)




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    9/23 Friday's Result: OVER on game with strongest road fave

    (B) Rangers  OV 8 -110                                   risk 2.1U LOSS -2.1u


    YTD: +35.4units (+12.4)


    9/24 Saturday's Play: OVER on game with strongest road fave

    (C) Giants  OV 7 -115                                   risk 4.7U (to win 4.1)




     
    chaser15
    chaser15
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    Posted: Sep. 25, 2016 - 7:35 AM ET #181

    9/24 Saturday's Result: OVER on game with strongest road fave

    (C) Giants  OV 7 -115                                   risk 4.7U WON +4.1u


    YTD: +39.5units (+16.5)


    9/25 Sunday's Play: OVER on game with strongest road fave

    (A) BoSox  OV 8 -110                                   risk 1U




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    9/24 Saturday's Result: OVER on game with strongest road fave

    (C) Giants  OV 7 -115                                   risk 4.7U WON +4.1u


    YTD: +39.5units (+16.5)


    9/25 Sunday's Play: OVER on game with strongest road fave

    (A) BoSox  OV 8 -110                                   risk 1U




     
    chaser15
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    Posted: Sep. 25, 2016 - 10:41 AM ET #182

    This is one of the saddest days I can remember...descanse en paz mi hermano, Jose Fernandez
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    This is one of the saddest days I can remember...descanse en paz mi hermano, Jose Fernandez
     
    chaser15
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    Posted: Sep. 27, 2016 - 9:46 AM ET #183

    9/25 Sunday's Result: OVER on game with strongest road fave

    (A) BoSox  OV 8 -110                                   risk 1.1U LOSS -1.1u

    9/26 Monday's Result: OVER on game with strongest road fave

    (B) Cubs  OV 7.5 -105                                   risk 2.2U WON +2.1u


    YTD: +40.5units (+17.5)


    9/27 Tuesday's Play: OVER on game with strongest road fave

    (A) BoSox  OV 8.5 -110                                   risk 1.1U







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    9/25 Sunday's Result: OVER on game with strongest road fave

    (A) BoSox  OV 8 -110                                   risk 1.1U LOSS -1.1u

    9/26 Monday's Result: OVER on game with strongest road fave

    (B) Cubs  OV 7.5 -105                                   risk 2.2U WON +2.1u


    YTD: +40.5units (+17.5)


    9/27 Tuesday's Play: OVER on game with strongest road fave

    (A) BoSox  OV 8.5 -110                                   risk 1.1U







     
    chaser15
    chaser15
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2016 - 11:52 AM ET #184

    9/27 Tuesday's Result: OVER on game with strongest road fave

    (A) BoSox  OV 8.5 -110                                   risk 1.1U WON +1u


    YTD: +41.5units (+18.5)



    ***FINAL CHASE OF THE SEASON***

    9/28 Wednrsday's Play: OVER on game with strongest road fave

    (A) Dodgers  OV 8 -105                                   risk 1.1U






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    9/27 Tuesday's Result: OVER on game with strongest road fave

    (A) BoSox  OV 8.5 -110                                   risk 1.1U WON +1u


    YTD: +41.5units (+18.5)



    ***FINAL CHASE OF THE SEASON***

    9/28 Wednrsday's Play: OVER on game with strongest road fave

    (A) Dodgers  OV 8 -105                                   risk 1.1U






     
    leo81
    leo81
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2016 - 1:02 PM ET #185

    Chaser,thanks for this system. I learned some things like having a small enough unit size to accommodate a game 5 if needed.Have you thought about playing both HFandAF? Im going to backtest playing both in a Tony Stoffo 8 game parlay.Any insights? And thanks again
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    Chaser,thanks for this system. I learned some things like having a small enough unit size to accommodate a game 5 if needed.Have you thought about playing both HFandAF? Im going to backtest playing both in a Tony Stoffo 8 game parlay.Any insights? And thanks again
     
    chaser15
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    Posted: Sep. 29, 2016 - 12:01 AM ET #186

    Quote Originally Posted by leo81:

    Chaser,thanks for this system. I learned some things like having a small enough unit size to accommodate a game 5 if needed.Have you thought about playing both HFandAF? Im going to backtest playing both in a Tony Stoffo 8 game parlay.Any insights? And thanks again

    You're welcome, Leo...Hope this simple "over" chase added some units to your roll. As to your question, I've not considered parlaying HF and AF, but would be interested (and appreciative) to know what you discover in the backtest.

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    Quote Originally Posted by leo81:

    Chaser,thanks for this system. I learned some things like having a small enough unit size to accommodate a game 5 if needed.Have you thought about playing both HFandAF? Im going to backtest playing both in a Tony Stoffo 8 game parlay.Any insights? And thanks again

    You're welcome, Leo...Hope this simple "over" chase added some units to your roll. As to your question, I've not considered parlaying HF and AF, but would be interested (and appreciative) to know what you discover in the backtest.

     
    chaser15
    chaser15
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    Posted: Sep. 30, 2016 - 12:04 PM ET #187

    ***FINAL CHASE OF THE SEASON***

    9/28 Wednesday's Result: OVER on game with strongest road fave

    (A) Dodgers  OV 8 -105                                   risk 1.1U WON +1u


    ***THIS CONCLUDES THE "OVER" CHASE SYSTEM FOR 2016***

    STARTING BR:     35 UNITS

    FINAL TALLY: +42.5 UNITS

    ROI:                     121%


    final thoughts and "take-aways"...first off, while I fell short of my 50unit goal, I'm quite satisfied with the gain in general (especially given all my goofs of learning along the way). Secondly, The added filter of chasing on "the heavy road fave" only, and stretching the chase to 5 games instead of 4, kept this system in the positive and would have insured the realization of the goal if applied from the start. Finally, "stick to the system, Chaser!"...twice (once after capping) I bailed-out after a "C" bet loss only to win the very next play...this cost no-less than 16units...couple that with the earlier "D" game loss before extending the chase to 5 games and its conceivable that this system would have produced around 80units for the 2016 season.

    ...to the ice we go...

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    ***FINAL CHASE OF THE SEASON***

    9/28 Wednesday's Result: OVER on game with strongest road fave

    (A) Dodgers  OV 8 -105                                   risk 1.1U WON +1u


    ***THIS CONCLUDES THE "OVER" CHASE SYSTEM FOR 2016***

    STARTING BR:     35 UNITS

    FINAL TALLY: +42.5 UNITS

    ROI:                     121%


    final thoughts and "take-aways"...first off, while I fell short of my 50unit goal, I'm quite satisfied with the gain in general (especially given all my goofs of learning along the way). Secondly, The added filter of chasing on "the heavy road fave" only, and stretching the chase to 5 games instead of 4, kept this system in the positive and would have insured the realization of the goal if applied from the start. Finally, "stick to the system, Chaser!"...twice (once after capping) I bailed-out after a "C" bet loss only to win the very next play...this cost no-less than 16units...couple that with the earlier "D" game loss before extending the chase to 5 games and its conceivable that this system would have produced around 80units for the 2016 season.

    ...to the ice we go...

     
    Pendo
    Pendo
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2016 - 6:32 PM ET #188

    Quote Originally Posted by chaser15:

    ***FINAL CHASE OF THE SEASON***

    9/28 Wednesday's Result: OVER on game with strongest road fave

    (A) Dodgers  OV 8 -105                                   risk 1.1U WON +1u


    ***THIS CONCLUDES THE "OVER" CHASE SYSTEM FOR 2016***

    STARTING BR:     35 UNITS

    FINAL TALLY: +42.5 UNITS

    ROI:                     121%


    final thoughts and "take-aways"...first off, while I fell short of my 50unit goal, I'm quite satisfied with the gain in general (especially given all my goofs of learning along the way).

    Secondly, The added filter of chasing on "the heavy road fav" only, and stretching the chase to 5 games instead of 4, kept this system in the positive and would have insured the realization of the goal if applied from the start.

    Finally, "stick to the system, Chaser!"...twice (once after capping) I bailed-out after a "C" bet loss only to win the very next play...this cost no-less than 16units...couple that with the earlier "D" game loss before extending the chase to 5 games and its conceivable that this system would have produced around 80units for the 2016 season.

    ...to the ice we go...









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    Quote Originally Posted by chaser15:

    ***FINAL CHASE OF THE SEASON***

    9/28 Wednesday's Result: OVER on game with strongest road fave

    (A) Dodgers  OV 8 -105                                   risk 1.1U WON +1u


    ***THIS CONCLUDES THE "OVER" CHASE SYSTEM FOR 2016***

    STARTING BR:     35 UNITS

    FINAL TALLY: +42.5 UNITS

    ROI:                     121%


    final thoughts and "take-aways"...first off, while I fell short of my 50unit goal, I'm quite satisfied with the gain in general (especially given all my goofs of learning along the way).

    Secondly, The added filter of chasing on "the heavy road fav" only, and stretching the chase to 5 games instead of 4, kept this system in the positive and would have insured the realization of the goal if applied from the start.

    Finally, "stick to the system, Chaser!"...twice (once after capping) I bailed-out after a "C" bet loss only to win the very next play...this cost no-less than 16units...couple that with the earlier "D" game loss before extending the chase to 5 games and its conceivable that this system would have produced around 80units for the 2016 season.

    ...to the ice we go...









     
    rjoine
    rjoine
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    Posted: Oct. 12, 2016 - 11:12 AM ET #189

    Quote Originally Posted by Pendo:

    Quote Originally Posted by chaser15:

    ***FINAL CHASE OF THE
    SEASON***9/28 Wednesday's Result: OVER on game with strongest road fave(A) Dodgers  OV 8 -105                                   risk 1.1U WON +1u***THIS CONCLUDES THE "OVER" CHASE SYSTEM FOR 2016***STARTING BR:     35 UNITSFINAL TALLY: +42.5 UNITSROI:                     121%final thoughts and "take-aways"...first off, while I fell short of my 50unit goal, I'm quite satisfied with the gain in general (especially given all my goofs of learning along the way). Secondly, The added filter of chasing on "the heavy road fav" only, and stretching the chase to 5 games instead of 4, kept this system in the positive and would have insured the realization of the goal if applied from the start. Finally, "stick to the system, Chaser!"...twice (once after capping) I bailed-out after a "C" bet loss only to win the very next play...this cost no-less than 16units...couple that with the earlier "D" game loss before extending the chase to 5 games and its conceivable that this system would have produced around 80units for the 2016 season....to the ice we go...


    Does the NHL chase start today?
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    Quote Originally Posted by Pendo:

    Quote Originally Posted by chaser15:

    ***FINAL CHASE OF THE
    SEASON***9/28 Wednesday's Result: OVER on game with strongest road fave(A) Dodgers  OV 8 -105                                   risk 1.1U WON +1u***THIS CONCLUDES THE "OVER" CHASE SYSTEM FOR 2016***STARTING BR:     35 UNITSFINAL TALLY: +42.5 UNITSROI:                     121%final thoughts and "take-aways"...first off, while I fell short of my 50unit goal, I'm quite satisfied with the gain in general (especially given all my goofs of learning along the way). Secondly, The added filter of chasing on "the heavy road fav" only, and stretching the chase to 5 games instead of 4, kept this system in the positive and would have insured the realization of the goal if applied from the start. Finally, "stick to the system, Chaser!"...twice (once after capping) I bailed-out after a "C" bet loss only to win the very next play...this cost no-less than 16units...couple that with the earlier "D" game loss before extending the chase to 5 games and its conceivable that this system would have produced around 80units for the 2016 season....to the ice we go...


    Does the NHL chase start today?
     
    chaser15
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    Posted: Oct. 12, 2016 - 7:09 PM ET #190

    Quote Originally Posted by rjoine:



    Does the NHL chase start today?

    yes, will be posting plays under "Chaser's NHL under" thread...GL

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    Quote Originally Posted by rjoine:



    Does the NHL chase start today?

    yes, will be posting plays under "Chaser's NHL under" thread...GL

     
    chaser15
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    Posted: Apr. 3, 2017 - 10:33 PM ET #191

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    chaser15
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    Posted: Apr. 4, 2017 - 1:06 PM ET #192

    Bankroll 35U
    5gc to hit the Over
    Road fave -150 or stronger
    Here we go...

    Tuesday 4/4 Play:

    (A) Giants OV 9 -110
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    Bankroll 35U
    5gc to hit the Over
    Road fave -150 or stronger
    Here we go...

    Tuesday 4/4 Play:

    (A) Giants OV 9 -110
     
    chaser15
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    Posted: Apr. 5, 2017 - 12:16 AM ET #193

    Giants Over 9
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    Giants Over 9
     
    chaser15
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    Posted: Apr. 5, 2017 - 8:32 AM ET #194

    Tuesday 4/4 Result:


    (A) Giants OV 9 -110       WINNER +1U


    YTD: +1U



    Wednesday 4/5: no qualifying play today
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    Tuesday 4/4 Result:


    (A) Giants OV 9 -110       WINNER +1U


    YTD: +1U



    Wednesday 4/5: no qualifying play today
     
    chaser15
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    Posted: Apr. 7, 2017 - 8:33 AM ET #195

    Friday 4/7 Play:


    (A) Cubs OV 9 -110 

         
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    Friday 4/7 Play:


    (A) Cubs OV 9 -110 

         
     
    chaser15
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    Posted: Apr. 8, 2017 - 11:56 AM ET #196

    Friday 4/7 Result:


    (A) Cubs OV 9 -110  LOSS -1.1u


    YTD: -0.1U


    Saturday 4/8 Play:


    (B) Giants OV 7.5 +105  risking 2U to win 2.1U 
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    Friday 4/7 Result:


    (A) Cubs OV 9 -110  LOSS -1.1u


    YTD: -0.1U


    Saturday 4/8 Play:


    (B) Giants OV 7.5 +105  risking 2U to win 2.1U 
     
    chaser15
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    Posted: Apr. 9, 2017 - 2:58 PM ET #197

    QUOTE#196
    Posted: 4/8/2017 11:56:32 AM


    Saturday 4/8 Result:

    (B)Giants OV 7.5 +105           loss -2U 


    YTD: -2.1



    Sunday 4/9 Play:

    (C) Tribe OV 9.5 even  risk 4.1
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    QUOTE#196
    Posted: 4/8/2017 11:56:32 AM


    Saturday 4/8 Result:

    (B)Giants OV 7.5 +105           loss -2U 


    YTD: -2.1



    Sunday 4/9 Play:

    (C) Tribe OV 9.5 even  risk 4.1
     
    chaser15
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    Posted: Apr. 10, 2017 - 10:20 AM ET #198

    Sunday 4/9 Result:

    (C) Tribe OV 9.5 EV.       Loss -4.1U



    Monday 4/10 Play:

    (D)Mets OV 7.5 Even risking 8.2U....yikes 
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    Sunday 4/9 Result:

    (C) Tribe OV 9.5 EV.       Loss -4.1U



    Monday 4/10 Play:

    (D)Mets OV 7.5 Even risking 8.2U....yikes 
     
    Scrivero
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    Posted: Apr. 10, 2017 - 1:41 PM ET #199

    Ok, I went through the whole thread and you hardly ever even go past B plays, as in you win so often that there is no need. Now its the D play already with -6,1 units. Its time for me to start tailing this. I dont wanna jinx it but I dont see you losing with this system.

    I will tail just flat bet in the beginning but might also go with the B, C, D etc. bets later.

    Good luck!
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    Ok, I went through the whole thread and you hardly ever even go past B plays, as in you win so often that there is no need. Now its the D play already with -6,1 units. Its time for me to start tailing this. I dont wanna jinx it but I dont see you losing with this system.

    I will tail just flat bet in the beginning but might also go with the B, C, D etc. bets later.

    Good luck!
     
     
    chaser15
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    Posted: Apr. 11, 2017 - 7:11 PM ET #200

    Quote Originally Posted by Scrivero:

    Ok, I went through the whole thread and you hardly ever even go past B plays, as in you win so often that there is no need. Now its the D play already with -6,1 units. Its time for me to start tailing this. I dont wanna jinx it but I dont see you losing with this system.

    I will tail just flat bet in the beginning but might also go with the B, C, D etc. bets later.

    Good luck!
    What a dreadful start to this system. The 14.4units lost already has emasculated me to the point of re-starting the chase (a decision which came back to haunt me a couple times last season) so hopefully this bankroll lives to see at least a few more plays before vaporizing.

    Scrivero, I don't think flat betting will turn a profit for you unfortunately. A simple back test of last season's wins vs losses probably reveals a losing record, which spells "slow death" for the flat bet. I'm not sure of this...it's just a guess. Run the numbers and let me know if you would please.

    Next play on this system will be an "A" wager to win 2units, and will only be chased 3 times (thru the "C" wager).

    Mercilessly , there is no qualifying play today.
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    Quote Originally Posted by Scrivero:

    Ok, I went through the whole thread and you hardly ever even go past B plays, as in you win so often that there is no need. Now its the D play already with -6,1 units. Its time for me to start tailing this. I dont wanna jinx it but I dont see you losing with this system.

    I will tail just flat bet in the beginning but might also go with the B, C, D etc. bets later.

    Good luck!
    What a dreadful start to this system. The 14.4units lost already has emasculated me to the point of re-starting the chase (a decision which came back to haunt me a couple times last season) so hopefully this bankroll lives to see at least a few more plays before vaporizing.

    Scrivero, I don't think flat betting will turn a profit for you unfortunately. A simple back test of last season's wins vs losses probably reveals a losing record, which spells "slow death" for the flat bet. I'm not sure of this...it's just a guess. Run the numbers and let me know if you would please.

    Next play on this system will be an "A" wager to win 2units, and will only be chased 3 times (thru the "C" wager).

    Mercilessly , there is no qualifying play today.
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