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Bump Set Spike - (The BSS Strategy..not quite BS)

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Prospect
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Posted: #101
UNI,
 
I believe these game meet some of the criteria as far as b2b and 3 games 5 days but still confused on which ones are good over bets and which ones to bet straight up ...
 
NYR (visiting, winning record, b2b and 3/5) vs OTT (home, losing record, 3/5)
MIN (visiting, winning record, 3/5) vs CLB (home, winning record, b2b and 3/5)
BUF (visiting, winning record, b2b, 3/5) vs DET (home, winning record, 3/5)
WAS (visiting, winning record, b2b, 3/5) vs MON (home, winning record, 3/5)
SJ (visiting, winning record, b2b, 3/5) vs VAN (home, winning record, 2b2, 3/5)
 
Again, Thanks for the effort !!!
 
anna31204
 
 
 
 
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Posted: #102
Interesting results, these trends are always brought up once in a while when capping games but it's impressive to see how strong of a trend this actually is. Hope you can cash in on it for the rest of the season .
 
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Posted: #103
unohuim,
 
reread the thread several times, so i have this straight ... any visiting team (irregardless of their record) playing b2b with 3/5 days is a wager on the over ... period ... so there should be five over bets tonight ... all of the ones i have listed above ... i think ... shouldn't have started drinking so damn early today  
 
BOL
anna31204
 
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Posted: #104
Looks like an interesting system. You play OVER if a team is playing 3rd game in 5 days, right?

Why not track 3 game in 4 days or 4 game in 6 days scenario?
 
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Posted: #105
no plays Saturday
no plays Sunday
 
Prospect
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Posted: #106
hahahhaa
 
i'm seriously retarded ... since there were no plays on saturday, i obviously don't understand what you guys are tracking ... still looks very interesting though ... BOL  
 
anna31204
 
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Posted: #107
Sorry Anna I'm personally only playing losing records on this system. Those all were plays being tracked and you could play the but the juice kills you.
 
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Posted: #108
Yeah, I think you should really play -1 or -.5 regulation lines on the games -150 or higher.

Stake,

What do you mean by playing losing records?
 
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Posted: #109
sorry for the partial absense.  a lot of house work this past weekend, and I just couldn't pull it off.
 
there were a few sweet plays this past weekend that I didn't cash in on.  Mainly NJ and NSH, yesterday.
 
anyway, no plays today.  i'll post more tomorrow.
 
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Posted: #110
Quote Originally Posted by Lippsman:

Yeah, I think you should really play -1 or -.5 regulation lines on the games -150 or higher.

Stake,

What do you mean by playing losing records?


I play mostly the games where the visiting team has a losing record.
 
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Posted: #111
Plays for 1/13:
Stl@Cal (Stl 3g5d and b2b with a losing record)
Tb@Sjs (Tb 3g5d and b2b with a losing record)
big time juice on these two teams maybe a 2 team parlay

Nyr@Nyi (Nyr 3g5d with winning record)
Edm@Was (Edm 3g5d with winning record)
Nas@Tor (Nas 3g5d with losing record)
Njd@Van (Njd 3g5d with winning record)
 
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Posted: #112

Hey Stake.  Keep in mind that I'm not counting Today as part of the past 5 days.  Simply because they haven't played today's game yet. 

Only NSH and TB are 3G5D for tonight.  TB is also B2B, w/ a losing record.  This makes them almost a guarantee to lose.  Since theyr'e playing the Sharks, Pinnacle only gives them 1.2 odds.  I'm playing the puckline, to get 1.877 odds.

Toronto on the moneyline pays 1.8, so I'm going there.

i'll post the overall record again today, as I update more days from Dec. 

 

 

 
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Posted: #113
huh? You tell me now that I've been doing this wrong? How can todays game not count as 3g5d? So you are saying if a team plays 3g5d then the following game is the play. Would if there is a 4 or 5 days break in between?

I've been playing the games where the 3rd game falls on the fourth or fifth day and its been doing very well. You will have to go back track then because my numbers are no good if what you are saying is right.
 
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Posted: #114
Quote Originally Posted by Stake24:

huh? You tell me now that I've been doing this wrong? How can todays game not count as 3g5d? So you are saying if a team plays 3g5d then the following game is the play. Would if there is a 4 or 5 days break in between?

I've been playing the games where the 3rd game falls on the fourth or fifth day and its been doing very well. You will have to go back track then because my numbers are no good if what you are saying is right.

I hear ya bud.  But check my post on the 9th of December, above.
It clarifies this.  it was actually a response to you.

Don't worry, I'm back tracking this, and should be complete before 10 days.  Perhaps even 5.
 
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Posted: #115
almost didn't see this.
NJ is also 3G5D.  Bet VAN ML, no over though.
 
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Posted: #116
i like the tor -1.5 +$235

 
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Posted: #117
Quote Originally Posted by Stake24:

Plays for 1/13:
Stl@Cal (Stl 3g5d and b2b with a losing record)


How is St.Louis a B2B.  They didn't play last night
 
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Posted: #118
rough outting last night.
 
2-2, down units.  was there any reasons why nsh/tor, and nj/van should not have been played?  i'll look into this.
 
when visiting teams are 3g5d,
home teams are 34-8 (23-4 w/ losing record)
over is 28-14 (19-8 w/ losing record)
 
when visiting teams are b2b,
home teams are 38-22 (25-10 w/ losing record)
over is 37-23 (22-13 w/ losing record)
 
tonight WSH is 3G5D and B2B, but PIT is also B2B, so I'm sitting this one out - but will take the Over.  Based on granular analysis, this Over is risky due to lack of data on this exact scenario, but whatever.
 
OTT is B2B, and should lose this one tonight, and take the Over.
 
 
BOL
 
 
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Posted: #119
tough route again, last night.  0-2.
 
when visiting teams are 3g5d,
home teams are 34-9 (23-4 w/ losing rec)
over is 29-14 (19-8 w/ losing rec)
 
when visiting teams are b2b,
home teams are 38-24 (25-11 w/ losing rec)
over is 38-24 (22-14 w/ losing rec) - not a typo, the exact same rec as home teams.
 
when combined,
home teams are 21-6 (13-3 w/ losing rec)
over is 20-7 (13-3 w/ losing rec)
 
 
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Posted: #120

tonight,

MTL ML in REG(lines are too low for ML)

DAL ML

LA ML (this is going to be interesting to watch, because typically, I would bet against DET.

I took the Over on all of these.

 

 
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Posted: #121
Quote Originally Posted by unohuim:

tonight,

MTL ML in REG(lines are too low for ML)

DAL ML

LA ML (this is going to be interesting to watch, because typically, I would bet against DET.

I took the Over on all of these.

 

typically would NOT bet against DET  :)

 
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Posted: #122
Dallas and the Kings are pretty scary considering they have a losing record.  Mainly the Kings.  

When you list losing records are you talking about the home team with a losing record in the game or the visiting team has a losing record


GL tonight


 
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Posted: #123
Quote Originally Posted by Lippsman:

Dallas and the Kings are pretty scary considering they have a losing record.  Mainly the Kings.  

When you list losing records are you talking about the home team with a losing record in the game or the visiting team has a losing record


GL tonight


 

 

I think initially the system was Losing teams on the road playing their 4th gm in 6nights (3g in 5n as he would say) and b2b to take the over on that game. Now it seems to be expanding and changing and betting the home team and this and that so Im not really sure.

The OVER numbers are golden in all the cases so far. Id LOVE to backtrack that alone but I just dont have the hours and hours to research this shit.

Isnt there any kind of program or software or databae or something that could run this type of stuff for us?? I have a MLB system that I KNOW is golden but it would probaly take me 100 hours just to research one season, its just so time consuming.

 

Ever heard of any software like this Lippsman???

 
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Posted: #124
Quote Originally Posted by Lippsman:

Dallas and the Kings are pretty scary considering they have a losing record.  Mainly the Kings.  

When you list losing records are you talking about the home team with a losing record in the game or the visiting team has a losing record


GL tonight



the posted records are independent of home teams. 
for instance, home teams are 34-9, when visiting teams are 3g5d.  However, when the visiting also has a losing record, then they're 23-4.  These records include home teams w/ winning and losing records.  Home teams are 17-4, in this exact scenario, when home teams have a losing records.

 
 
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Posted: #125
Thanks for the info.

I'm a bit leery on the overs tonight.  But I do like the Habs and will probably pull the trigger on the Wings regulation line

BOL
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