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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Baseball Heavy F

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    SUPEREAGLE43
    Danrules24
    dimegoat
    sports_Network
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    SUPEREAGLE43
    SUPEREAGLE43
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    Posted: Apr. 25, 2019 - 12:39 PM ET #1

    I will attempt to take up Dans Labby System here where the rule is to play -1.5 on any ML -180 or greater. I will use a $2K starting Bankroll with a base Labby bet of $20. I will have a Labby line for MLB with Dans backtested system. I will have a 2nd line for minor league baseball and a 3rd line for International baseball. Minor League and International are NOT backtested and are for tracking purposes only. The lines I will use will come from my betting sight at whatever time I have the chance to look at them.
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    I will attempt to take up Dans Labby System here where the rule is to play -1.5 on any ML -180 or greater. I will use a $2K starting Bankroll with a base Labby bet of $20. I will have a Labby line for MLB with Dans backtested system. I will have a 2nd line for minor league baseball and a 3rd line for International baseball. Minor League and International are NOT backtested and are for tracking purposes only. The lines I will use will come from my betting sight at whatever time I have the chance to look at them.
     
    SUPEREAGLE43
    SUPEREAGLE43
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    Posted: Apr. 25, 2019 - 1:24 PM ET #2

    SYSTEM #1 MLB(Backtested)

    Starting Bankroll $2000

    10-10-10-10

    MLB Plays Today:

    Risking $20 to win $20 on the Phillies RL

    Risking $22 to win $20 on the Red Sox RL


    SYSTEM #2 AAA Baseball

    Starting Bankroll $2000

    10-10-10-10

    No plays today





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    SYSTEM #1 MLB(Backtested)

    Starting Bankroll $2000

    10-10-10-10

    MLB Plays Today:

    Risking $20 to win $20 on the Phillies RL

    Risking $22 to win $20 on the Red Sox RL


    SYSTEM #2 AAA Baseball

    Starting Bankroll $2000

    10-10-10-10

    No plays today





     
    Danrules24
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Apr. 25, 2019 - 2:15 PM ET #3

    Good luck and thanks for taking this over. 
    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Good luck and thanks for taking this over. 
     
    dimegoat
    dimegoat
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    Posted: Apr. 25, 2019 - 2:28 PM ET #4

    If my maths are right the ROI should be better with-1  runline (8,7% considering average odds of -160

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    If my maths are right the ROI should be better with-1  runline (8,7% considering average odds of -160

     
    dimegoat
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    Posted: Apr. 25, 2019 - 3:01 PM ET #5

    And 6.3% with - 170 odds which seems to be more accurate, considering ML and RL average odds (same ROI as - 1,5 RL) 
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    And 6.3% with - 170 odds which seems to be more accurate, considering ML and RL average odds (same ROI as - 1,5 RL) 
     
    SUPEREAGLE43
    SUPEREAGLE43
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    Posted: Apr. 25, 2019 - 3:41 PM ET #6

    Quote Originally Posted by dimegoat:

    And 6.3% with - 170 odds which seems to be more accurate, considering ML and RL average odds (same ROI as - 1,5 RL) 

    Thanks for the info. The scary thing about -170 is the fact that a bad streak gets out of hand sooo fast.
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    Quote Originally Posted by dimegoat:

    And 6.3% with - 170 odds which seems to be more accurate, considering ML and RL average odds (same ROI as - 1,5 RL) 

    Thanks for the info. The scary thing about -170 is the fact that a bad streak gets out of hand sooo fast.
     
    SUPEREAGLE43
    SUPEREAGLE43
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    Posted: Apr. 25, 2019 - 6:10 PM ET #7

    System 3 International 
    Starting Bankroll $2000

    10-10-10-10

    Mexican:
    Risking $24.20 to win $20 on Monclova RL
    Risking $20.00 to win $21.20 on Monterrey RL
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    System 3 International 
    Starting Bankroll $2000

    10-10-10-10

    Mexican:
    Risking $24.20 to win $20 on Monclova RL
    Risking $20.00 to win $21.20 on Monterrey RL
     
    SUPEREAGLE43
    SUPEREAGLE43
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    Posted: Apr. 26, 2019 - 8:52 AM ET #8

    SYSTEM 1 MLB:
    Current Bankroll $2000
    10-10-20

    MLB Plays Today:
    Risking $30 to win $32.40 on Nats RL
    Risking $30 to win $36 on Mets RL
    Risking $30 to win $30 on Twins RL

    Dan, if this method of Labby is too aggressive for this please correct me.
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    SYSTEM 1 MLB:
    Current Bankroll $2000
    10-10-20

    MLB Plays Today:
    Risking $30 to win $32.40 on Nats RL
    Risking $30 to win $36 on Mets RL
    Risking $30 to win $30 on Twins RL

    Dan, if this method of Labby is too aggressive for this please correct me.
     
    SUPEREAGLE43
    SUPEREAGLE43
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    Posted: Apr. 26, 2019 - 2:22 PM ET #9

    SYSTEM 2 AAA

    No plays today


    SYSTEM 3 International 

    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $2040

    10-10-10-10

    Mexican Plays:

    Risking $23.40 to win $20 on Tijuana

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    SYSTEM 2 AAA

    No plays today


    SYSTEM 3 International 

    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $2040

    10-10-10-10

    Mexican Plays:

    Risking $23.40 to win $20 on Tijuana

     
    SUPEREAGLE43
    SUPEREAGLE43
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    Posted: Apr. 27, 2019 - 12:09 AM ET #10

    SYSTEM 1 MLB:
    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $1970

    10-30-30

    Saturday’s Plays:

    Risking $56 to win $40 on Twins RL
    Risking $40 to win $46 on Dodgers RL


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    SYSTEM 1 MLB:
    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $1970

    10-30-30

    Saturday’s Plays:

    Risking $56 to win $40 on Twins RL
    Risking $40 to win $46 on Dodgers RL


     
    sports_Network
    sports_Network
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    Posted: Apr. 27, 2019 - 4:28 AM ET #11

    Twins +105 RL  WIN

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    Twins +105 RL  WIN

     
    SUPEREAGLE43
    SUPEREAGLE43
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    Posts: 1926
    Posted: Apr. 27, 2019 - 1:32 PM ET #12

    SYSTEM 3 International
    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $2060

    10-10-10-10

    Today’s plays:
    Mexican
    Monterrey risking 23 to win $20 ML
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    SYSTEM 3 International
    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $2060

    10-10-10-10

    Today’s plays:
    Mexican
    Monterrey risking 23 to win $20 ML
     
    SUPEREAGLE43
    SUPEREAGLE43
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    Posts: 1926
    Posted: Apr. 27, 2019 - 9:13 PM ET #13

    2 additional International plays from Korea:

    $24.40 to win $20 on the LG Twins RL
    $28 to win $20 on SK Wyverns RL



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    2 additional International plays from Korea:

    $24.40 to win $20 on the LG Twins RL
    $28 to win $20 on SK Wyverns RL



     
    SUPEREAGLE43
    SUPEREAGLE43
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    Posts: 1926
    Posted: Apr. 28, 2019 - 5:04 AM ET #14

    [Quote: Originally Posted by SUPEREAGLE43] SYSTEM 1 MLB:
    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $1970

    10-30-30

    Saturday’s Plays:

    Risking $56 to win $40 on Twins RL.    Winner
    Risking $40 to win $46 on Dodgers RL Winner

    Current Bankroll $2056


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    [Quote: Originally Posted by SUPEREAGLE43] SYSTEM 1 MLB:
    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $1970

    10-30-30

    Saturday’s Plays:

    Risking $56 to win $40 on Twins RL.    Winner
    Risking $40 to win $46 on Dodgers RL Winner

    Current Bankroll $2056


     
    SUPEREAGLE43
    SUPEREAGLE43
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    Posts: 1926
    Posted: Apr. 28, 2019 - 5:06 AM ET #15

    Maybe I should create a separate thread for international as well as AAA. This is very cumbersome. Also, my book puts the international and AAA up much later than MLB.
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    Maybe I should create a separate thread for international as well as AAA. This is very cumbersome. Also, my book puts the international and AAA up much later than MLB.
     
    SUPEREAGLE43
    SUPEREAGLE43
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    Posted: Apr. 28, 2019 - 12:02 PM ET #16

    Sunday
    MLB Current Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $2056

    10-10-10-10

    Twins RL $21.60 to win $20
    Dodgers RL $20 to win $21.40
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    Sunday
    MLB Current Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $2056

    10-10-10-10

    Twins RL $21.60 to win $20
    Dodgers RL $20 to win $21.40
     
    SUPEREAGLE43
    SUPEREAGLE43
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    Posts: 1926
    Posted: Apr. 29, 2019 - 11:53 AM ET #17

    Twins winner
    Dodgers loser

    Monday:
    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $2056

    10-10-20

    No plays today


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    Twins winner
    Dodgers loser

    Monday:
    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $2056

    10-10-20

    No plays today


     
    SUPEREAGLE43
    SUPEREAGLE43
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    Posts: 1926
    Posted: Apr. 30, 2019 - 6:22 PM ET #18

    Tuesday plays:

    Risking $30.60 to win $30 on Phillies RL
    Risking $36 to win $30 on Indians RL



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    Tuesday plays:

    Risking $30.60 to win $30 on Phillies RL
    Risking $36 to win $30 on Indians RL



     
    SUPEREAGLE43
    SUPEREAGLE43
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    Posted: May. 1, 2019 - 12:13 PM ET #19

    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $2055.40

    10-30

    Wednesday Plays:
    Risking $40 to win $50.80 Mets RL
    Risking $40 to win $42.80 on White Sox RL Game 1
    Risking $52.40 to win $40 on Rays RL Game 2
    Risking $41.60 to win $40 on Phillies RL



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    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $2055.40

    10-30

    Wednesday Plays:
    Risking $40 to win $50.80 Mets RL
    Risking $40 to win $42.80 on White Sox RL Game 1
    Risking $52.40 to win $40 on Rays RL Game 2
    Risking $41.60 to win $40 on Phillies RL



     
    SUPEREAGLE43
    SUPEREAGLE43
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    Posts: 1926
    Posted: May. 2, 2019 - 11:38 AM ET #20

    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $1963

    40-40-52

    Risking $92 to win $92 on Mets RL
    Risking $124.20 to win $92 on Red Sox ML


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    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $1963

    40-40-52

    Risking $92 to win $92 on Mets RL
    Risking $124.20 to win $92 on Red Sox ML


     
    SUPEREAGLE43
    SUPEREAGLE43
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    Posts: 1926
    Posted: May. 3, 2019 - 4:46 PM ET #21

    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $1747

    40-40-52-92-124

    Risking $165 to win $173 on Phillies RL
    Risking $239.25 to win $165 on Rays RL
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    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $1747

    40-40-52-92-124

    Risking $165 to win $173 on Phillies RL
    Risking $239.25 to win $165 on Rays RL
     
    SUPEREAGLE43
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    Posted: May. 3, 2019 - 10:10 PM ET #22

    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $2085
    Labby Line:
    40

    Whew! Needed that! This is the most aggressive and risky Labby approach. Dan, give some advice here. Based on your experience should I scale the aggression back some? 


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    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $2085
    Labby Line:
    40

    Whew! Needed that! This is the most aggressive and risky Labby approach. Dan, give some advice here. Based on your experience should I scale the aggression back some? 


     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: May. 4, 2019 - 3:54 AM ET #23

    Quote Originally Posted by SUPEREAGLE43:

    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $2085
    Labby Line:
    40

    Whew! Needed that! This is the most aggressive and risky Labby approach. Dan, give some advice here. Based on your experience should I scale the aggression back some? 



    Given the historical win%, I think either just straight bets or a traditional labby will work. I'm a bit more risk adverse and tend to avoid aggressive labby lines because a short losing streak makes it a little crazy.


    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Quote Originally Posted by SUPEREAGLE43:

    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $2085
    Labby Line:
    40

    Whew! Needed that! This is the most aggressive and risky Labby approach. Dan, give some advice here. Based on your experience should I scale the aggression back some? 



    Given the historical win%, I think either just straight bets or a traditional labby will work. I'm a bit more risk adverse and tend to avoid aggressive labby lines because a short losing streak makes it a little crazy.


     
    SUPEREAGLE43
    SUPEREAGLE43
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    Joined: Nov, 2005
    Posts: 1926
    Posted: May. 4, 2019 - 10:16 AM ET #24

    Rays Winner 
    Phillies Winner

    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $2085

    Early play risking $40 to win $42 on Indians RL
    There will be a 2nd play on the Rays but I will wait on the amount. Hopefully Cleveland clears the line.
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    Rays Winner 
    Phillies Winner

    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $2085

    Early play risking $40 to win $42 on Indians RL
    There will be a 2nd play on the Rays but I will wait on the amount. Hopefully Cleveland clears the line.
     
     
    SUPEREAGLE43
    SUPEREAGLE43
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2005
    Posts: 1926
    Posted: May. 4, 2019 - 5:22 PM ET #25

    If the Indians don’t pull through we will go to a more conservative approach and just try to win $40 on the Rays. If the Indians do pull through we will be trying to win $20 on the Rays.
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    If the Indians don’t pull through we will go to a more conservative approach and just try to win $40 on the Rays. If the Indians do pull through we will be trying to win $20 on the Rays.
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