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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Baseball Heavy F

    «First Previous 12345 Next Last»
    SUPEREAGLE43
    esposito10304
    Lippsman
    sports_Network
    DancesWithHand
    Participants:
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    Views: 6181
    Posts: 108
    «First Previous 12345 Next Last»
     
    SUPEREAGLE43
    SUPEREAGLE43
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2005
    Posts: 1926
    Posted: May. 15, 2019 - 11:46 AM ET #51

    Indians Winner 
    Astros Winner 
    Red Sox Loser 

    Overall Record 30-20

    Playing $20/play:
    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $2168.40

    Labby:
    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $2347.81

    10-10-10-10

    Wednesday Plays:
    Risking $43.40 to win $20 on Astros RL
    Risking $21.40 to win $20 on Rays RL
    Risking $26.80 to win $20 on Yanks RL Game 1
    Risking $24.80 to win $20 on Yanks RL Game 2

    These plays are the same for both the Labby and the straight plays. 



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    Indians Winner 
    Astros Winner 
    Red Sox Loser 

    Overall Record 30-20

    Playing $20/play:
    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $2168.40

    Labby:
    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $2347.81

    10-10-10-10

    Wednesday Plays:
    Risking $43.40 to win $20 on Astros RL
    Risking $21.40 to win $20 on Rays RL
    Risking $26.80 to win $20 on Yanks RL Game 1
    Risking $24.80 to win $20 on Yanks RL Game 2

    These plays are the same for both the Labby and the straight plays. 



     
    SUPEREAGLE43
    SUPEREAGLE43
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    Joined: Nov, 2005
    Posts: 1926
    Posted: May. 16, 2019 - 12:56 AM ET #52

    Astros Winner
    Yanks x2 Winners
    Rays Loser

    Overall Record 33-21 61% 
    A correction towards 55% will be coming so everyone please be smart with the bankrolls.

    Playing $20/play:
    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $2207

    Labby:
    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $2386.41
    10-10-10-10
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    Astros Winner
    Yanks x2 Winners
    Rays Loser

    Overall Record 33-21 61% 
    A correction towards 55% will be coming so everyone please be smart with the bankrolls.

    Playing $20/play:
    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $2207

    Labby:
    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $2386.41
    10-10-10-10
     
    SUPEREAGLE43
    SUPEREAGLE43
    Veteran
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    Joined: Nov, 2005
    Posts: 1926
    Posted: May. 17, 2019 - 2:59 PM ET #53

    Sorry I missed the Indians play yesterday. 

    Friday’s Plays:
    Risking $23 to win $20 on Mets RL
    Risking $20.60 to win $20 on Indians RL
    Risking $23.40 to win $20 on Athletics RL

    Play these for both the straight and the Labby plays.
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    Sorry I missed the Indians play yesterday. 

    Friday’s Plays:
    Risking $23 to win $20 on Mets RL
    Risking $20.60 to win $20 on Indians RL
    Risking $23.40 to win $20 on Athletics RL

    Play these for both the straight and the Labby plays.
     
    SUPEREAGLE43
    SUPEREAGLE43
    Veteran
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    Joined: Nov, 2005
    Posts: 1926
    Posted: May. 18, 2019 - 9:29 AM ET #54

    Athletics Winner
    Mets Loser
    Indians Loser

    Overall Record 34-23

    Playing $20/play:
    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $2183.40

    Labby:
    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $2362.81

    10-10-10-10-24

    No Saturday plays


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    Athletics Winner
    Mets Loser
    Indians Loser

    Overall Record 34-23

    Playing $20/play:
    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $2183.40

    Labby:
    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $2362.81

    10-10-10-10-24

    No Saturday plays


     
    SUPEREAGLE43
    SUPEREAGLE43
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2005
    Posts: 1926
    Posted: May. 19, 2019 - 10:27 AM ET #55

    Sunday’s Plays:

    Playing $20/play:
    Risking $23 to win $20 on Mets RL
    Risking $26.20 to win $20 on Indians RL
    Risking $24.20 to win $20 on Athletics RL

    Labby:
    Risking $39.10 to win $34 on Mets RL
    Risking $44.54 to win $34 on Indians RL
    Risking $41.48 to win $34 on Athletics RL
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    Sunday’s Plays:

    Playing $20/play:
    Risking $23 to win $20 on Mets RL
    Risking $26.20 to win $20 on Indians RL
    Risking $24.20 to win $20 on Athletics RL

    Labby:
    Risking $39.10 to win $34 on Mets RL
    Risking $44.54 to win $34 on Indians RL
    Risking $41.48 to win $34 on Athletics RL
     
    SUPEREAGLE43
    SUPEREAGLE43
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2005
    Posts: 1926
    Posted: May. 20, 2019 - 12:36 PM ET #56

    Indians Winner
    Mets Loser

    Overall Record 35-24

    Playing $20/play:
    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $2180.40

    Monday Plays:
    Risking $28.40 to win $20 on Red Sox RL
    Risking $20 to win $22.60 Indians RL
    Risking $26.20 to win $20 on Yanks RL
    Risking $25.60 to win $20 on Astros RL

    Labby:
    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $2357.71

    10-10-10-10-29

    Monday’s Plays:
    Risking $54.21 to win $39 on Red Sox RL
    Risking $39 to win $44.07 on Indians RL
    Risking $51.08 to win $39 on Yanks RL
    Risking $49.92 to win $39 on Astros RL
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    Indians Winner
    Mets Loser

    Overall Record 35-24

    Playing $20/play:
    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $2180.40

    Monday Plays:
    Risking $28.40 to win $20 on Red Sox RL
    Risking $20 to win $22.60 Indians RL
    Risking $26.20 to win $20 on Yanks RL
    Risking $25.60 to win $20 on Astros RL

    Labby:
    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $2357.71

    10-10-10-10-29

    Monday’s Plays:
    Risking $54.21 to win $39 on Red Sox RL
    Risking $39 to win $44.07 on Indians RL
    Risking $51.08 to win $39 on Yanks RL
    Risking $49.92 to win $39 on Astros RL
     
    SUPEREAGLE43
    SUPEREAGLE43
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    Posts: 1926
    Posted: May. 20, 2019 - 11:27 PM ET #57

    Red Sox Winner
    Astros Winner
    Yanks Winner
    Indians Loser

    Overall Record 38-25

    Playing $20/play:
    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $2220.40

    Labby:
    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $2435.71

    10-10-10-10
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    Red Sox Winner
    Astros Winner
    Yanks Winner
    Indians Loser

    Overall Record 38-25

    Playing $20/play:
    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $2220.40

    Labby:
    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $2435.71

    10-10-10-10
     
    esposito10304
    esposito10304
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2019
    Posts: 321
    Posted: May. 21, 2019 - 6:58 AM ET #58

    I was digging numbers for my own strategy based on away favorites on various runlines (-1/-1.5/-2), depending on the odds. I saw that big favorites (<-180 ML / <-125 RL) won 20% of the >1 run winning games by a margin of 2.

    In a word, if you play -2 RL on these games, your win% is 55% (instead of 60%). Of course, weeding out these expensive RL, it will lower down a bit the overall win% of the -1.5 bets but it may be useful to avoid big wagers, especially using labby. For exemple, tonight I see Astros -167 RL...quite juicy for a RL.

     

    GL clover

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    I was digging numbers for my own strategy based on away favorites on various runlines (-1/-1.5/-2), depending on the odds. I saw that big favorites (<-180 ML / <-125 RL) won 20% of the >1 run winning games by a margin of 2.

    In a word, if you play -2 RL on these games, your win% is 55% (instead of 60%). Of course, weeding out these expensive RL, it will lower down a bit the overall win% of the -1.5 bets but it may be useful to avoid big wagers, especially using labby. For exemple, tonight I see Astros -167 RL...quite juicy for a RL.

     

    GL clover

     
    SUPEREAGLE43
    SUPEREAGLE43
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    Posts: 1926
    Posted: May. 21, 2019 - 8:06 AM ET #59

    It would be interesting to see how it would work with the labby since there would be quiet a few + money plays. 
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    It would be interesting to see how it would work with the labby since there would be quiet a few + money plays. 
     
    esposito10304
    esposito10304
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    Posts: 321
    Posted: May. 21, 2019 - 10:29 AM ET #60

    I will not open my own thread but you can check my spreadsheet. Only started 2 days ago though. I play away favorites, RL -1/-1.5/-2, only above -125. 1 bet per team even if I put 2 wagers on Yankees yesterday due to line movement (lucky mistake, may I say).

    My labby management is quite different from yours, more conservative, and will surely be customized.

     

    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1io4fET7OFj37JIvpWVUSfqC3GWMXwU_6OK9OuUo_hZw/edit?usp=sharing

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    I will not open my own thread but you can check my spreadsheet. Only started 2 days ago though. I play away favorites, RL -1/-1.5/-2, only above -125. 1 bet per team even if I put 2 wagers on Yankees yesterday due to line movement (lucky mistake, may I say).

    My labby management is quite different from yours, more conservative, and will surely be customized.

     

    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1io4fET7OFj37JIvpWVUSfqC3GWMXwU_6OK9OuUo_hZw/edit?usp=sharing

     
    Lippsman
    Lippsman
    Covers Linesmen
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Feb, 2001
    Posts: 87445
    Posted: May. 21, 2019 - 11:44 AM ET #61

    Quote Originally Posted by esposito10304:

    I will not open my own thread but you can check my spreadsheet. Only started 2 days ago though. I play away favorites, RL -1/-1.5/-2, only above -125. 1 bet per team even if I put 2 wagers on Yankees yesterday due to line movement (lucky mistake, may I say).

    My labby management is quite different from yours, more conservative, and will surely be customized.

     

    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1io4fET7OFj37JIvpWVUSfqC3GWMXwU_6OK9OuUo_hZw/edit?usp=sharing


    So how do you decide on which RL to play.  The lowest one that will get the line to -125 or lower ?


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    Quote Originally Posted by esposito10304:

    I will not open my own thread but you can check my spreadsheet. Only started 2 days ago though. I play away favorites, RL -1/-1.5/-2, only above -125. 1 bet per team even if I put 2 wagers on Yankees yesterday due to line movement (lucky mistake, may I say).

    My labby management is quite different from yours, more conservative, and will surely be customized.

     

    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1io4fET7OFj37JIvpWVUSfqC3GWMXwU_6OK9OuUo_hZw/edit?usp=sharing


    So how do you decide on which RL to play.  The lowest one that will get the line to -125 or lower ?


     
    SUPEREAGLE43
    SUPEREAGLE43
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    Posts: 1926
    Posted: May. 21, 2019 - 6:09 PM ET #62

    Tuesday’s Plays:
    Risking $32.40 to win $20 on the Yanks RL
    Risking $36.40 to win $20 on the Astros RL

    The plays are the same for both the Labby and was he $20 plays.
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    Tuesday’s Plays:
    Risking $32.40 to win $20 on the Yanks RL
    Risking $36.40 to win $20 on the Astros RL

    The plays are the same for both the Labby and was he $20 plays.
     
    esposito10304
    esposito10304
    Prospect
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    Posts: 321
    Posted: May. 22, 2019 - 2:46 AM ET #63

    I take <-125 favorites on the lowest runline above - 125
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    I take <-125 favorites on the lowest runline above - 125
     
    SUPEREAGLE43
    SUPEREAGLE43
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    Posts: 1926
    Posted: May. 22, 2019 - 7:00 PM ET #64

    Wednesday Plays:
    Astros, Yanks, and Cardinals RLs to win $20
    on both Labby and regular 
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    Wednesday Plays:
    Astros, Yanks, and Cardinals RLs to win $20
    on both Labby and regular 
     
    SUPEREAGLE43
    SUPEREAGLE43
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    Posts: 1926
    Posted: May. 23, 2019 - 9:57 AM ET #65

    Overall Record 41-27

    Playing $20/play:
    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $2225.60

    Thursday Plays:
    Risking $26.80 to win $20 on Yanks RL
    Risking $20 to win $21.20 on Astros RL

    Labby:
    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $2440.91

    10-10-10-10-36

    Thursday Plays:
    Risking $61.64 to win $46 on Yanks
    Risking $46 to win $48.76 on Astro’s 

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    Overall Record 41-27

    Playing $20/play:
    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $2225.60

    Thursday Plays:
    Risking $26.80 to win $20 on Yanks RL
    Risking $20 to win $21.20 on Astros RL

    Labby:
    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $2440.91

    10-10-10-10-36

    Thursday Plays:
    Risking $61.64 to win $46 on Yanks
    Risking $46 to win $48.76 on Astro’s 

     
    SUPEREAGLE43
    SUPEREAGLE43
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    Posts: 1926
    Posted: May. 24, 2019 - 3:58 PM ET #66

    Astros Loser
    Yanks Loser

    Overall Record 41-29

    Playing $20/play:
    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $2178.80

    Risking $24.80 to win $20 on Dodgers RL
    Risking $21.40 to win $20 on Twins RL
    Risking $27 to win $20 on Mets RL

    Labby:
    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $2333.27

    10-10-10-10-36-54-54

    Risking $80 to win $64 on Dodgers RL
    Risking $69.12 to win $64 on Twins RL
    Risking $86.40 to win $64 on Mets RL
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    Astros Loser
    Yanks Loser

    Overall Record 41-29

    Playing $20/play:
    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $2178.80

    Risking $24.80 to win $20 on Dodgers RL
    Risking $21.40 to win $20 on Twins RL
    Risking $27 to win $20 on Mets RL

    Labby:
    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $2333.27

    10-10-10-10-36-54-54

    Risking $80 to win $64 on Dodgers RL
    Risking $69.12 to win $64 on Twins RL
    Risking $86.40 to win $64 on Mets RL
     
    SUPEREAGLE43
    SUPEREAGLE43
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2005
    Posts: 1926
    Posted: May. 25, 2019 - 11:26 AM ET #67

    Dodgers Winner
    Twins Winner
    Mets Loser

    Overall Record 43-30

    Playing $20/play:
    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $2731.80

    Saturday Plays:
    Risking $20 to win $20.20 on Nationals RL
    Risking $24 to win $20 on Dodgers RL
    Risking $27.20 to win $20 on Twins RL

    Labby:
    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $2374.87
    10-10-34-34-36

    Risking $46 to win $46.46 on Nats RL
    Risking $57.96 to win $46 on Dodgers RL
    Risking $62.66 to win $46 on Twins RL





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    Dodgers Winner
    Twins Winner
    Mets Loser

    Overall Record 43-30

    Playing $20/play:
    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $2731.80

    Saturday Plays:
    Risking $20 to win $20.20 on Nationals RL
    Risking $24 to win $20 on Dodgers RL
    Risking $27.20 to win $20 on Twins RL

    Labby:
    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $2374.87
    10-10-34-34-36

    Risking $46 to win $46.46 on Nats RL
    Risking $57.96 to win $46 on Dodgers RL
    Risking $62.66 to win $46 on Twins RL





     
    SUPEREAGLE43
    SUPEREAGLE43
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2005
    Posts: 1926
    Posted: May. 26, 2019 - 12:21 AM ET #68

    Nats Winner
    Twins Winner 
    Dodgers Winner 

    Overall Record 46-30

    Playing $20/play:
    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $2251.80

    Labby:
    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $2513.33

    10-10-10-10

    Reply
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    Nats Winner
    Twins Winner 
    Dodgers Winner 

    Overall Record 46-30

    Playing $20/play:
    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $2251.80

    Labby:
    Starting Bankroll $2000
    Current Bankroll $2513.33

    10-10-10-10

     
    SUPEREAGLE43
    SUPEREAGLE43
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2005
    Posts: 1926
    Posted: May. 26, 2019 - 1:30 PM ET #69

    Sunday Plays:
    Risking $29.60 to win $20 on Astros RL
    Risking $34 to win $20 on Rickies ML

    These plays are the same for both the Labby and the $20 plays.
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    Sunday Plays:
    Risking $29.60 to win $20 on Astros RL
    Risking $34 to win $20 on Rickies ML

    These plays are the same for both the Labby and the $20 plays.
     
    SUPEREAGLE43
    SUPEREAGLE43
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2005
    Posts: 1926
    Posted: May. 26, 2019 - 9:38 PM ET #70

    I made a mistake today. The play was not on the Astros. I meant to say Twins. The math was right, but the team was wrong. I’m sorry if this messed anyone up. The day went 1-1 and not 0-2.
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    I made a mistake today. The play was not on the Astros. I meant to say Twins. The math was right, but the team was wrong. I’m sorry if this messed anyone up. The day went 1-1 and not 0-2.
     
    sports_Network
    sports_Network
    Banned
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Feb, 2009
    Posts: 8426
    Posted: May. 27, 2019 - 6:21 AM ET #71

    ^^^^
    "I meant to say the Twins"

    and it took you 8 fuckin' HOURS to respond to your own so called 'mistake' 
    This is as tacky as it get's...NO, your day did not go 1-1 (says who? you? eight hours later? by redirecting a 'new' play from out of nowhere? YOU WENT 0-2....live with it...where I come from it's called Bull$hit, something that is simply not tolerated in the S&S forum...

    To each his own; do as you please.....and sacrifice your credibility on the way.....

    Reply
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    ^^^^
    "I meant to say the Twins"

    and it took you 8 fuckin' HOURS to respond to your own so called 'mistake' 
    This is as tacky as it get's...NO, your day did not go 1-1 (says who? you? eight hours later? by redirecting a 'new' play from out of nowhere? YOU WENT 0-2....live with it...where I come from it's called Bull$hit, something that is simply not tolerated in the S&S forum...

    To each his own; do as you please.....and sacrifice your credibility on the way.....

     
    esposito10304
    esposito10304
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2019
    Posts: 321
    Posted: May. 27, 2019 - 7:05 AM ET #72

    It's a pure odd-based strategy, without any kind of capping or choice. Twins was a play and Astros not. No reason to be mad at. 
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    It's a pure odd-based strategy, without any kind of capping or choice. Twins was a play and Astros not. No reason to be mad at. 
     
    DancesWithHand
    DancesWithHand
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2018
    Posts: 5
    Posted: May. 27, 2019 - 7:16 AM ET #73

    Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:

    YOU WENT 0-2....live with it...where I come from it's called Bull$hit, something that is simply not tolerated in the S&S forum...To each his own; do as you please.....and sacrifice your credibility on the way.....

     

    He's just following the system and made a typo, I played the Twins and not the Astros yesterday because I saw what the odds were. Generally I have to make my pics before Eagle posts because of work and just come here later to double check. Once in a while I will have a play Eagle didnt post because of a line change as I have to place the bets early. The system went 1-1 yesterday. 

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    Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:

    YOU WENT 0-2....live with it...where I come from it's called Bull$hit, something that is simply not tolerated in the S&S forum...To each his own; do as you please.....and sacrifice your credibility on the way.....

     

    He's just following the system and made a typo, I played the Twins and not the Astros yesterday because I saw what the odds were. Generally I have to make my pics before Eagle posts because of work and just come here later to double check. Once in a while I will have a play Eagle didnt post because of a line change as I have to place the bets early. The system went 1-1 yesterday. 

     
    sports_Network
    sports_Network
    Banned
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Feb, 2009
    Posts: 8426
    Posted: May. 27, 2019 - 8:17 AM ET #74

    Quote Originally Posted by esposito10304:

    It's a pure odd-based strategy, without any kind of capping or choice. Twins was a play and Astros not. No reason to be mad at. 
    Mad? mad aT
    what? the truth? that you, as a clear-cut-sheep, cannot accept what has been written before your very eyes?? or even remotely clarify why it took 8 hours to self impose 0-2 into 1-1 and come back into your own thread and say "it was a mistake"

    BTW have you ever made a wager on a MLB game in
    your lifetime, just asking 
    j

    Reply
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    Quote Originally Posted by esposito10304:

    It's a pure odd-based strategy, without any kind of capping or choice. Twins was a play and Astros not. No reason to be mad at. 
    Mad? mad aT
    what? the truth? that you, as a clear-cut-sheep, cannot accept what has been written before your very eyes?? or even remotely clarify why it took 8 hours to self impose 0-2 into 1-1 and come back into your own thread and say "it was a mistake"

    BTW have you ever made a wager on a MLB game in
    your lifetime, just asking 
    j

     
     
    sports_Network
    sports_Network
    Banned
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Feb, 2009
    Posts: 8426
    Posted: May. 27, 2019 - 8:32 AM ET #75

    Quote Originally Posted by DancesWithHand:

     

    He's just following the system and made a typo, I played the Twins and not the Astros yesterday because I saw what the odds were. Generally I have to make my pics before Eagle posts because of work and just come here later to double check. Once in a while I will have a play Eagle didnt post because of a line change as I have to place the bets early. The system went 1-1 yesterday. 

    what you say, and what you relate to is totally irrelevant to what was posted by the OP. you playing the Twins also means nothing, however, what about those players who seen the Astos play published and no recourse for Eight hours? (the farthest description from being a typographical error) 
    In all due respect, take your bah bah sheep routine to the other side of the fence where whims are separated from reality; their you'll find the rest of the flock who'll welcome you aboard.
    To each his own..have fun
    Reply
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    Quote Originally Posted by DancesWithHand:

     

    He's just following the system and made a typo, I played the Twins and not the Astros yesterday because I saw what the odds were. Generally I have to make my pics before Eagle posts because of work and just come here later to double check. Once in a while I will have a play Eagle didnt post because of a line change as I have to place the bets early. The system went 1-1 yesterday. 

    what you say, and what you relate to is totally irrelevant to what was posted by the OP. you playing the Twins also means nothing, however, what about those players who seen the Astos play published and no recourse for Eight hours? (the farthest description from being a typographical error) 
    In all due respect, take your bah bah sheep routine to the other side of the fence where whims are separated from reality; their you'll find the rest of the flock who'll welcome you aboard.
    To each his own..have fun
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