Posted:
#1
Going back to 2012, the year the NFL added regular Thursday Night games, a winning trend has been to play the Covers minority % side of this game, the Sunday Night game as well as the Monday Night game in a 3 game chase.
This year thru Week 5 stands at 5-0 with no chase beyond Sunday Night.
Research since 2012 shows 1 loss, which could mean -8.3 units if chasing in that manner.
This week's games appear to be Houston +3, NY Giants +2.5 and St. Louis +3.5. Hopefully this week ends with a Houston win right off the bat. Might be worth waiting as late as possible to get a better number as well.
Seattle (Week 1) and Baltimore (Week 2) have been the only favorites played so far. Both won and covered There have been 3 straight up dog winners in the first 5 weeks as well.
The goal is to win 1 net unit per week. Chances are that the house will be on our side as most of the sides played (and won) have definitely been in the minority. Hard to believe the house would lose 3 primetime games in a week.
If a game is around a 50/50 split, I still play the minority regardless of the difference.
Something to watch.
GL
This year thru Week 5 stands at 5-0 with no chase beyond Sunday Night.
Research since 2012 shows 1 loss, which could mean -8.3 units if chasing in that manner.
This week's games appear to be Houston +3, NY Giants +2.5 and St. Louis +3.5. Hopefully this week ends with a Houston win right off the bat. Might be worth waiting as late as possible to get a better number as well.
Seattle (Week 1) and Baltimore (Week 2) have been the only favorites played so far. Both won and covered There have been 3 straight up dog winners in the first 5 weeks as well.
The goal is to win 1 net unit per week. Chances are that the house will be on our side as most of the sides played (and won) have definitely been in the minority. Hard to believe the house would lose 3 primetime games in a week.
If a game is around a 50/50 split, I still play the minority regardless of the difference.
Something to watch.
GL
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