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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    2014 RPI SYSTEM

    «First Previous 789 ... 8910 Next Last»
    Danrules24
    Goodsy
    TRAKKER
    cytdemasi08
    hansivonmueller
    ...
    Participants:
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    «First Previous 789 ... 8910 Next Last»
     
    Danrules24
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Jun. 15, 2014 - 11:00 PM ET #151

    Sunday results: SF loses on the C game.

    Starting to have my doublts about this system. Last year was bad and this year is starting off even worse.

    Record: 15-3

    • A: 9-9
    • B: 6-3
    • C 0-3
    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Sunday results: SF loses on the C game.

    Starting to have my doublts about this system. Last year was bad and this year is starting off even worse.

    Record: 15-3

    • A: 9-9
    • B: 6-3
    • C 0-3
     
    Goodsy
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    Posted: Jun. 16, 2014 - 4:49 AM ET #152

    Yeah even going down to playing 2 games from the official B bet is not working too well. Even with a recovery process in place.

    I pulled the plug before this Rockies series started, pleased I did.

    There is too much parity so far this season. Teams under performing and others over performing is not a good recipe for this system.

    Thanks for running it otherwise danrules, bang up work as usual.

    Best of luck to those who continue. Hope the system turns around for you.
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    Yeah even going down to playing 2 games from the official B bet is not working too well. Even with a recovery process in place.

    I pulled the plug before this Rockies series started, pleased I did.

    There is too much parity so far this season. Teams under performing and others over performing is not a good recipe for this system.

    Thanks for running it otherwise danrules, bang up work as usual.

    Best of luck to those who continue. Hope the system turns around for you.
     
    TRAKKER
    TRAKKER
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    Posted: Jun. 16, 2014 - 7:04 AM ET #153

    Quote Originally Posted by Goodsy:

    Yeah even going down to playing 2 games from the official B bet is not working too well. Even with a recovery process in place.

    I pulled the plug before this Rockies series started, pleased I did.

    There is too much parity so far this season. Teams under performing and others over performing is not a good recipe for this system.

    Thanks for running it otherwise danrules, bang up work as usual.

    Best of luck to those who continue. Hope the system turns around for you.

    Goodsy - What type of money mngmt. do you use, and how does your recovery process work? 

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by Goodsy:

    Yeah even going down to playing 2 games from the official B bet is not working too well. Even with a recovery process in place.

    I pulled the plug before this Rockies series started, pleased I did.

    There is too much parity so far this season. Teams under performing and others over performing is not a good recipe for this system.

    Thanks for running it otherwise danrules, bang up work as usual.

    Best of luck to those who continue. Hope the system turns around for you.

    Goodsy - What type of money mngmt. do you use, and how does your recovery process work? 

     

     
    Goodsy
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    Posted: Jun. 16, 2014 - 7:39 AM ET #154

    Quote Originally Posted by TRAKKER:

    Goodsy - What type of money mngmt. do you use, and how does your recovery process work? 

     


    My base unit is only 0.5% of my bankroll. I like to protect the roll first, make the profit second.

    As I was only doing a 2 game chase I was doing martingale.. then with a system loss I was splitting the total loss up in 4 and revert to aggressive labby.

    There was a system loss during recovery.. which I wasn't expecting (who does when you play better teams over lesser teams) and didn't help. There would have been another loss if I played that Rockies series..

    All in all I pulled the plug only a third of a unit down so I walk away unscathed and intact.

    I am personally staying away from juice systems (if I can).. they can quickly get out of control if a bad run occurs. I'm sticking with Dogs and Faves on RL.. it's working well.
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    Quote Originally Posted by TRAKKER:

    Goodsy - What type of money mngmt. do you use, and how does your recovery process work? 

     


    My base unit is only 0.5% of my bankroll. I like to protect the roll first, make the profit second.

    As I was only doing a 2 game chase I was doing martingale.. then with a system loss I was splitting the total loss up in 4 and revert to aggressive labby.

    There was a system loss during recovery.. which I wasn't expecting (who does when you play better teams over lesser teams) and didn't help. There would have been another loss if I played that Rockies series..

    All in all I pulled the plug only a third of a unit down so I walk away unscathed and intact.

    I am personally staying away from juice systems (if I can).. they can quickly get out of control if a bad run occurs. I'm sticking with Dogs and Faves on RL.. it's working well.
     
    cytdemasi08
    cytdemasi08
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    Posted: Jun. 16, 2014 - 9:21 AM ET #155

    I have played this system the past 4 years I am not so much concerned about the two losses but I am concern about the amount of plays. There are not a lot of plays qualifying this year I guess due to,parity. Usually we end up with just over 100 wins and a couple of losses but that will not happen with the amount of plays that's are qualifying.   I do not suggest changing the filters of the system unless espn changed the way the rpi is calculated. If the volume picks up we could get a profit out of this if not we might have to monitor the rest of the year and see if things change next year
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    I have played this system the past 4 years I am not so much concerned about the two losses but I am concern about the amount of plays. There are not a lot of plays qualifying this year I guess due to,parity. Usually we end up with just over 100 wins and a couple of losses but that will not happen with the amount of plays that's are qualifying.   I do not suggest changing the filters of the system unless espn changed the way the rpi is calculated. If the volume picks up we could get a profit out of this if not we might have to monitor the rest of the year and see if things change next year
     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Jun. 16, 2014 - 12:14 PM ET #156

    No plays for Monday.
    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    No plays for Monday.
     
    hansivonmueller
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    Posted: Jun. 16, 2014 - 3:27 PM ET #157

    The only thing that saved me was making an in-play bet, S.F. was up 2 nothing with bases loaded so I put a little on Col @ really good odds. Saved my bacon. My life isn't centred on this system alone, so I accept its protean nature. Here's hoping things improve in the coming months.
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    The only thing that saved me was making an in-play bet, S.F. was up 2 nothing with bases loaded so I put a little on Col @ really good odds. Saved my bacon. My life isn't centred on this system alone, so I accept its protean nature. Here's hoping things improve in the coming months.
     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Jun. 17, 2014 - 2:09 PM ET #158

    No plays for Tuesday.
    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    No plays for Tuesday.
     
    rivermonsterz
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    Posted: Jun. 18, 2014 - 6:41 AM ET #159

    i have been playing several systems, including this one so far this year. basically flat betting with a few chases here and there has turned profits. once i make a gain i re -start all chases. has been working well so far. just gotta creative and use some handicapping knowledge too.
    i have by no mean perfected anything, but have not made a loss. just throwing out some ideas for everyone as chasing straight can turn into disaster some day and all that time and effort and money could be all for nothing.
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    i have been playing several systems, including this one so far this year. basically flat betting with a few chases here and there has turned profits. once i make a gain i re -start all chases. has been working well so far. just gotta creative and use some handicapping knowledge too.
    i have by no mean perfected anything, but have not made a loss. just throwing out some ideas for everyone as chasing straight can turn into disaster some day and all that time and effort and money could be all for nothing.
     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Jun. 19, 2014 - 11:16 AM ET #160

    Thursday: Oakland A game.

    Record: 15-3

    • A: 9-9
    • B: 6-3
    • C 0-3
    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Thursday: Oakland A game.

    Record: 15-3

    • A: 9-9
    • B: 6-3
    • C 0-3
     
    hansivonmueller
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    Posted: Jun. 19, 2014 - 2:36 PM ET #161

    Oakland has been hitting the ball well as of late and Kazmir is pitching.  This should give Oakland a good chance for a win.

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    Oakland has been hitting the ball well as of late and Kazmir is pitching.  This should give Oakland a good chance for a win.

     
    Pendo
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    Posted: Jun. 19, 2014 - 8:26 PM ET #162

    Agreed.  Besides, Peavey's Amp's blown a June-Fuse!

    Boston’s Jake Peavy in June away team starts is

    1-7 his last 8, and

    5-12 in his last 17 ,

    including 5-14 in his last 19, and

    0-4 with a 7.63 ERA the last four.


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    Agreed.  Besides, Peavey's Amp's blown a June-Fuse!

    Boston’s Jake Peavy in June away team starts is

    1-7 his last 8, and

    5-12 in his last 17 ,

    including 5-14 in his last 19, and

    0-4 with a 7.63 ERA the last four.


     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Jun. 20, 2014 - 12:51 AM ET #163

    Thursday results: Oakland wins on the A game. Since this is a 4 game series they are back to an A game Friday.Doesn't look like any other Friday plays. If that changes, I will post again.

    Record: 16-3

    • A: 10-9
    • B: 6-3
    • C 0-3
    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Thursday results: Oakland wins on the A game. Since this is a 4 game series they are back to an A game Friday.Doesn't look like any other Friday plays. If that changes, I will post again.

    Record: 16-3

    • A: 10-9
    • B: 6-3
    • C 0-3
     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Jun. 20, 2014 - 12:06 PM ET #164

    I think ESPN is messing with the RPI numbers. Can anyone explain how Oakland qualifies against Boston on Thursday, wins the game and then doesn't qualify again on Friday? Doesn't make any sense.

    Oakland is still an A game play today.

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    I think ESPN is messing with the RPI numbers. Can anyone explain how Oakland qualifies against Boston on Thursday, wins the game and then doesn't qualify again on Friday? Doesn't make any sense.

    Oakland is still an A game play today.

     
    CanisMajor
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    Posted: Jun. 20, 2014 - 12:38 PM ET #165

    TEAM   RPI W L PCT SOS PWR RS RA EXPW-L EXPWP DATE

    Boston Red Sox  0.492 34 38 0.472 0.499 21 278 292 34-38 0.475 6/19/2014
    Boston Red Sox  0.493 34 39 0.466 0.503 21 280 296 34-39 0.472 6/20/2014

    Oakland Athletics 0.534 44 28 0.611 0.509 2 373 241 51-21 0.705 6/19/2014
    Oakland Athletics 0.534 45 28 0.616 0.507 2 377 243 52-21 0.706 6/20/2014

    Boston's RPI number went up a tick while Oakland's stayed the same.   Hmmpf.  (Data from MLB History tab in the spreadsheet)

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    TEAM   RPI W L PCT SOS PWR RS RA EXPW-L EXPWP DATE

    Boston Red Sox  0.492 34 38 0.472 0.499 21 278 292 34-38 0.475 6/19/2014
    Boston Red Sox  0.493 34 39 0.466 0.503 21 280 296 34-39 0.472 6/20/2014

    Oakland Athletics 0.534 44 28 0.611 0.509 2 373 241 51-21 0.705 6/19/2014
    Oakland Athletics 0.534 45 28 0.616 0.507 2 377 243 52-21 0.706 6/20/2014

    Boston's RPI number went up a tick while Oakland's stayed the same.   Hmmpf.  (Data from MLB History tab in the spreadsheet)

     
    Syracuse44
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    Posted: Jun. 20, 2014 - 1:23 PM ET #166

    While Boston's RPI increasing after a loss is a bit counter-intuitive it appears the RPI viewed this as a "good loss" and on the road as well.  Boston's SOS jumped as a result of this game which enhances their RPI rating.  And the increase was only one one-thousandth.  An increase that small is just a statistical quirk.  Let's get the A's again tonight!
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    While Boston's RPI increasing after a loss is a bit counter-intuitive it appears the RPI viewed this as a "good loss" and on the road as well.  Boston's SOS jumped as a result of this game which enhances their RPI rating.  And the increase was only one one-thousandth.  An increase that small is just a statistical quirk.  Let's get the A's again tonight!
     
    hansivonmueller
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    Posted: Jun. 20, 2014 - 2:45 PM ET #167

    Interesting pitching match-up for this game. I think I'll play the over instead of an Oakland win. 
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    Interesting pitching match-up for this game. I think I'll play the over instead of an Oakland win. 
     
    drknow
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    Posted: Jun. 20, 2014 - 5:49 PM ET #168

    Quote Originally Posted by Syracuse44:

    While Boston's RPI increasing after a loss is a bit counter-intuitive it appears the RPI viewed this as a "good loss" and on the road as well.  Boston's SOS jumped as a result of this game which enhances their RPI rating.  And the increase was only one one-thousandth.  An increase that small is just a statistical quirk.  Let's get the A's again tonight!

    Sounds logical.
    BTW would be proud.

    And your a handsome dog.
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    Quote Originally Posted by Syracuse44:

    While Boston's RPI increasing after a loss is a bit counter-intuitive it appears the RPI viewed this as a "good loss" and on the road as well.  Boston's SOS jumped as a result of this game which enhances their RPI rating.  And the increase was only one one-thousandth.  An increase that small is just a statistical quirk.  Let's get the A's again tonight!

    Sounds logical.
    BTW would be proud.

    And your a handsome dog.
     
    Pendo
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    Posted: Jun. 20, 2014 - 10:07 PM ET #169

    Strange #'s on Bos/Oak - may stay away, just the under

    Also, LAD qualified, no...
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    Strange #'s on Bos/Oak - may stay away, just the under

    Also, LAD qualified, no...
     
    Danrules24
    Danrules24
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    Posts: 5921
    Posted: Jun. 21, 2014 - 1:20 AM ET #170

    Quote Originally Posted by Pendo:

    Strange #'s on Bos/Oak - may stay away, just the under

    Also, LAD qualified, no...

    LAD not close to qualifying. Difference of only 24.

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Quote Originally Posted by Pendo:

    Strange #'s on Bos/Oak - may stay away, just the under

    Also, LAD qualified, no...

    LAD not close to qualifying. Difference of only 24.

     
    Danrules24
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Jun. 21, 2014 - 1:32 AM ET #171

    Friday: Oakland takes car eof business and wins the A game. Back on Monday.

    Record: 17-3

    • A: 11-9
    • B: 6-3
    • C 0-3

     

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Friday: Oakland takes car eof business and wins the A game. Back on Monday.

    Record: 17-3

    • A: 11-9
    • B: 6-3
    • C 0-3

     

     
    CanisMajor
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    Posted: Jun. 23, 2014 - 12:30 PM ET #172

    Monday - No RPI Plays.

    I am considering picking up the SF chase from the series they lost to COL.  They are home against SD and have started to win again.  Somebody talk me out of it.

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    Monday - No RPI Plays.

    I am considering picking up the SF chase from the series they lost to COL.  They are home against SD and have started to win again.  Somebody talk me out of it.

     
    Danrules24
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Jun. 23, 2014 - 12:52 PM ET #173

    Quote Originally Posted by CanisMajor:

    Monday - No RPI Plays.

    I am considering picking up the SF chase from the series they lost to COL.  They are home against SD and have started to win again.  Somebody talk me out of it.

    I was thinking of doing the same thing, but hesitating.

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Quote Originally Posted by CanisMajor:

    Monday - No RPI Plays.

    I am considering picking up the SF chase from the series they lost to COL.  They are home against SD and have started to win again.  Somebody talk me out of it.

    I was thinking of doing the same thing, but hesitating.

     
    CanisMajor
    CanisMajor
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    Posted: Jun. 23, 2014 - 12:57 PM ET #174

    I just bought the ticket.  70% on the ML and 30% on the RL.  If they both cash, the COL series loss is a wash.

    I can't see them getting swept at home back to back, or by SD. I will say however, there have been a lot of things happening that I didn't see coming this year.

    BOL

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    I just bought the ticket.  70% on the ML and 30% on the RL.  If they both cash, the COL series loss is a wash.

    I can't see them getting swept at home back to back, or by SD. I will say however, there have been a lot of things happening that I didn't see coming this year.

    BOL

     
     
    Syracuse44
    Syracuse44
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    Posted: Jun. 23, 2014 - 6:40 PM ET #175

    Quote Originally Posted by drknow:


    Sounds logical.
    BTW would be proud.

    And your a handsome dog.


    Ha ha! - Thanks for the compliment, doc.
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    Quote Originally Posted by drknow:


    Sounds logical.
    BTW would be proud.

    And your a handsome dog.


    Ha ha! - Thanks for the compliment, doc.
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