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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    2011 NCAAF Strategy

    «First Previous 101112 ... 141516 Next Last»
    irage
    BookieCrusher88
    CreepingDoom
    glefkb01
    tokelio
    ...
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    «First Previous 101112 ... 141516 Next Last»
     
    irage
    irage
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    Posted: Oct. 22, 2011 - 4:10 PM ET #226

    Well, I guess not, they are slowing their advance, but NM just can't move the ball and now you know why I dropped the play.
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    Well, I guess not, they are slowing their advance, but NM just can't move the ball and now you know why I dropped the play.
     
    BookieCrusher88
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    Posted: Oct. 22, 2011 - 6:56 PM ET #227

    Quote Originally Posted by irage:



    Holy crap, I didn't even see the friend request option until I started looking for it. I had over 200 pending.


    Wow! So many requests lol.
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    Quote Originally Posted by irage:



    Holy crap, I didn't even see the friend request option until I started looking for it. I had over 200 pending.


    Wow! So many requests lol.
     
    BookieCrusher88
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    Posted: Oct. 22, 2011 - 6:58 PM ET #228

    I got Nevada-11.5, UTEP-10 and Wis-7. If UTEP had been .5 higher I would've dropped them as you've told me before. Nevada's game is pretty close.
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    I got Nevada-11.5, UTEP-10 and Wis-7. If UTEP had been .5 higher I would've dropped them as you've told me before. Nevada's game is pretty close.
     
    BookieCrusher88
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    Posted: Oct. 22, 2011 - 7:21 PM ET #229

    An easy TD lets Fresno State cover
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    An easy TD lets Fresno State cover
     
    BookieCrusher88
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    Posted: Oct. 23, 2011 - 10:27 AM ET #230

    We'll get them next week irage!
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    We'll get them next week irage!
     
    irage
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    Posted: Oct. 23, 2011 - 12:35 PM ET #231

    Crap, I got my ass handed to me this week. I knew this week was coming. I played Wisky and Nevada yesterday and dropped 2k on each.
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    Crap, I got my ass handed to me this week. I knew this week was coming. I played Wisky and Nevada yesterday and dropped 2k on each.
     
    BookieCrusher88
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    Posted: Oct. 24, 2011 - 2:54 AM ET #232

    Quote Originally Posted by irage:

    Crap, I got my ass handed to me this week. I knew this week was coming. I played Wisky and Nevada yesterday and dropped 2k on each.


    Hope we can get back on track next week. I also got my ass kicked on NFL week 7. Went home late last night and wasn't able to cap games properly and was actually planning on just passing up. I ended up tailing someone and was actually bumping my head for doing so. 1-7-1 after tonight I practically lost all my winnings last week.
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    Quote Originally Posted by irage:

    Crap, I got my ass handed to me this week. I knew this week was coming. I played Wisky and Nevada yesterday and dropped 2k on each.


    Hope we can get back on track next week. I also got my ass kicked on NFL week 7. Went home late last night and wasn't able to cap games properly and was actually planning on just passing up. I ended up tailing someone and was actually bumping my head for doing so. 1-7-1 after tonight I practically lost all my winnings last week.
     
    BookieCrusher88
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    Posted: Oct. 25, 2011 - 6:33 AM ET #233

    Any plays for Tuesday irage?
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    Any plays for Tuesday irage?
     
    CreepingDoom
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    Posted: Oct. 25, 2011 - 12:33 PM ET #234

    Yeah, bad week for everyone.  Looking forward to bounce back in the next couple of weeks.
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    Yeah, bad week for everyone.  Looking forward to bounce back in the next couple of weeks.
     
    glefkb01
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    Posted: Oct. 25, 2011 - 5:56 PM ET #235

    hey IRAGE>...

     

    What we doing for THURSDAY NIGHTS trend....

    Favs and the unders or Dawgs and the overs?

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    hey IRAGE>...

     

    What we doing for THURSDAY NIGHTS trend....

    Favs and the unders or Dawgs and the overs?

     
    irage
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    Posted: Oct. 25, 2011 - 10:28 PM ET #236

    Quote Originally Posted by glefkb01:

    hey IRAGE>...

     

    What we doing for THURSDAY NIGHTS trend....

    Favs and the unders or Dawgs and the overs?



    I have been thinking about this since last week. I saw the lines came out yesterday.

    Rice vs Houston 70.5

    70.5 is a monster number, but the way Houston's offense explodes, they could score 50 themselves. So 70 is doable 80 is more likely.

    Virgina vs Miami 48

    I can see this one going over too. Miami should score 30 and  I would not be surprised to see overtime in this game.

    In my personal opinion they both go over and I am willing to gamble some coin on it.
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    Quote Originally Posted by glefkb01:

    hey IRAGE>...

     

    What we doing for THURSDAY NIGHTS trend....

    Favs and the unders or Dawgs and the overs?



    I have been thinking about this since last week. I saw the lines came out yesterday.

    Rice vs Houston 70.5

    70.5 is a monster number, but the way Houston's offense explodes, they could score 50 themselves. So 70 is doable 80 is more likely.

    Virgina vs Miami 48

    I can see this one going over too. Miami should score 30 and  I would not be surprised to see overtime in this game.

    In my personal opinion they both go over and I am willing to gamble some coin on it.
     
    irage
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    Posted: Oct. 25, 2011 - 10:40 PM ET #237

    28 - 11 - 0

    Sept 03 - AUBURN -24 (H39) LOSS
    Sept 03 - STANFORD -30  (H49) WIN
    Sept 03 - OHIO ST -34 (H49) WIN
    Sept 03 - VIRGINIA TECH -26 (H53) WIN
    Sept 03 - MISSISSIPPI ST -30 (V40) WIN
    Sept 09 - MISSOURI +10 (V03) WIN
    Sept 09 - STANFORD (V39) WIN
    Sept 09 - USC -8.5 (H00) WIN
    Sept 09 - N. ILLINOIS -4 (V16) LOSS
    Sept 09 - ARKANSAS -35.5 (V41) WIN
    Sept 16 - BOISE ST. -19 V29 WIN
    Sept 17 - TCU -28.5 (H58) LOSS
    Sept 17 - TEMPLE +7.5 (H-06) WIN
    Sept 17 - STANFORD -10 (V24) WIN
    Sept 23 - BYU -2.5 - WIN
    Sept 24 - Missouri +22 - WIN
    Sept 24 - Boise St OVER 61 - WIN
    Sept 24 - Wisconsin -35 (H62) - WIN
    Sept 24 - TCU -38 (H55) - WIN
    Sept 30 - BYU -7.5 - LOSS
    Oct 01 - Wisconsin -9 - WIN
    Oct 01 - Stanford -20 (H35) - WIN
    Oct 01 - TCU -11.5 - LOSS
    Oct 01 - Arizona +12.5 - WIN
    Oct 07 - Boise St -21 - WIN
    Oct 08 - Ohio St. +12 - WIN
    Oct 08 - Stanford -29.5 (H33) - WIN
    Oct 08 - Alabama -29 (H35) - WIN
    Oct 08 - Connecticut +19 - LOSS
    Oct 08 - San Jose St. +12 - LOSS
    Oct 14 - Hawaii -6 - LOSS
    Oct 15 - Utah St. -3 - LOSS
    Oct 15 - Stanford -21 (V33) - WIN
    Oct 15 - Iowa -6.5 - WIN
    Oct 15 - UTEP +1.5 - WIN
    Oct 20 - Arizonia -4.5 - WIN
    Oct 22 - Nevada -10.5 - LOSS
    Oct 22 - UTEP -7 - WIN
    Oct 22 - Wisconsin -7 - LOSS
    Oct 26 - Connecticut +10.5 - PENDING
    Oct 26 - Stanford -16 - PENDING
    Oct 26 - Colorado +?? - WAITING FOR LINE
    Oct 26 - Oklahoma St -14 - PENDING

    2 - 2 - 0

    UNOFFICIAL PLAYS
    Sept 15 - Mississippi St. +3 LOSS
    Sept 17 - Utah +4.5 WIN
    Sept 24 - Utah St. -10.5 LOSS
    Oct 15 - Arizona St. +14.5 - WIN
    Oct 27 - Rice v Houston OVER 70.5
    Oct 27 - Virginia v Miami OVER 48
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    28 - 11 - 0

    Sept 03 - AUBURN -24 (H39) LOSS
    Sept 03 - STANFORD -30  (H49) WIN
    Sept 03 - OHIO ST -34 (H49) WIN
    Sept 03 - VIRGINIA TECH -26 (H53) WIN
    Sept 03 - MISSISSIPPI ST -30 (V40) WIN
    Sept 09 - MISSOURI +10 (V03) WIN
    Sept 09 - STANFORD (V39) WIN
    Sept 09 - USC -8.5 (H00) WIN
    Sept 09 - N. ILLINOIS -4 (V16) LOSS
    Sept 09 - ARKANSAS -35.5 (V41) WIN
    Sept 16 - BOISE ST. -19 V29 WIN
    Sept 17 - TCU -28.5 (H58) LOSS
    Sept 17 - TEMPLE +7.5 (H-06) WIN
    Sept 17 - STANFORD -10 (V24) WIN
    Sept 23 - BYU -2.5 - WIN
    Sept 24 - Missouri +22 - WIN
    Sept 24 - Boise St OVER 61 - WIN
    Sept 24 - Wisconsin -35 (H62) - WIN
    Sept 24 - TCU -38 (H55) - WIN
    Sept 30 - BYU -7.5 - LOSS
    Oct 01 - Wisconsin -9 - WIN
    Oct 01 - Stanford -20 (H35) - WIN
    Oct 01 - TCU -11.5 - LOSS
    Oct 01 - Arizona +12.5 - WIN
    Oct 07 - Boise St -21 - WIN
    Oct 08 - Ohio St. +12 - WIN
    Oct 08 - Stanford -29.5 (H33) - WIN
    Oct 08 - Alabama -29 (H35) - WIN
    Oct 08 - Connecticut +19 - LOSS
    Oct 08 - San Jose St. +12 - LOSS
    Oct 14 - Hawaii -6 - LOSS
    Oct 15 - Utah St. -3 - LOSS
    Oct 15 - Stanford -21 (V33) - WIN
    Oct 15 - Iowa -6.5 - WIN
    Oct 15 - UTEP +1.5 - WIN
    Oct 20 - Arizonia -4.5 - WIN
    Oct 22 - Nevada -10.5 - LOSS
    Oct 22 - UTEP -7 - WIN
    Oct 22 - Wisconsin -7 - LOSS
    Oct 26 - Connecticut +10.5 - PENDING
    Oct 26 - Stanford -16 - PENDING
    Oct 26 - Colorado +?? - WAITING FOR LINE
    Oct 26 - Oklahoma St -14 - PENDING

    2 - 2 - 0

    UNOFFICIAL PLAYS
    Sept 15 - Mississippi St. +3 LOSS
    Sept 17 - Utah +4.5 WIN
    Sept 24 - Utah St. -10.5 LOSS
    Oct 15 - Arizona St. +14.5 - WIN
    Oct 27 - Rice v Houston OVER 70.5
    Oct 27 - Virginia v Miami OVER 48
     
    BookieCrusher88
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    Posted: Oct. 26, 2011 - 5:49 AM ET #238

    irage, Stanford is only -7.5 vs USC and those are 10/29 games right? Stanford, Colorado and Oklahoma State. So for 10/26 there is only Connecticut am I right?
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    irage, Stanford is only -7.5 vs USC and those are 10/29 games right? Stanford, Colorado and Oklahoma State. So for 10/26 there is only Connecticut am I right?
     
    tokelio
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    Posted: Oct. 26, 2011 - 9:52 AM ET #239

    you are right Bookie...he must had too many drinks
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    you are right Bookie...he must had too many drinks
     
    Thebonzman
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    Posted: Oct. 26, 2011 - 1:09 PM ET #240

    there's no such thing as "too many drinks", is there???
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    there's no such thing as "too many drinks", is there???
     
    BookieCrusher88
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    Posted: Oct. 26, 2011 - 7:42 PM ET #241

    Quote Originally Posted by tokelio:

    you are right Bookie...he must had too many drinks



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    Quote Originally Posted by tokelio:

    you are right Bookie...he must had too many drinks



     
    irage
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    Posted: Oct. 26, 2011 - 9:44 PM ET #242

    I wish I could blame these mistakes on drinking, but I simply dropped my joint on my foot and burrned my big toe. When I bent over to pick it up I bumped my head.

    Had to make some changes to the picks this week.

    28 - 11 - 0

    Sept 03 - AUBURN -24 (H39) LOSS
    Sept 03 - STANFORD -30  (H49) WIN
    Sept 03 - OHIO ST -34 (H49) WIN
    Sept 03 - VIRGINIA TECH -26 (H53) WIN
    Sept 03 - MISSISSIPPI ST -30 (V40) WIN
    Sept 09 - MISSOURI +10 (V03) WIN
    Sept 09 - STANFORD (V39) WIN
    Sept 09 - USC -8.5 (H00) WIN
    Sept 09 - N. ILLINOIS -4 (V16) LOSS
    Sept 09 - ARKANSAS -35.5 (V41) WIN
    Sept 16 - BOISE ST. -19 V29 WIN
    Sept 17 - TCU -28.5 (H58) LOSS
    Sept 17 - TEMPLE +7.5 (H-06) WIN
    Sept 17 - STANFORD -10 (V24) WIN
    Sept 23 - BYU -2.5 - WIN
    Sept 24 - Missouri +22 - WIN
    Sept 24 - Boise St OVER 61 - WIN
    Sept 24 - Wisconsin -35 (H62) - WIN
    Sept 24 - TCU -38 (H55) - WIN
    Sept 30 - BYU -7.5 - LOSS
    Oct 01 - Wisconsin -9 - WIN
    Oct 01 - Stanford -20 (H35) - WIN
    Oct 01 - TCU -11.5 - LOSS
    Oct 01 - Arizona +12.5 - WIN
    Oct 07 - Boise St -21 - WIN
    Oct 08 - Ohio St. +12 - WIN
    Oct 08 - Stanford -29.5 (H33) - WIN
    Oct 08 - Alabama -29 (H35) - WIN
    Oct 08 - Connecticut +19 - LOSS
    Oct 08 - San Jose St. +12 - LOSS
    Oct 14 - Hawaii -6 - LOSS
    Oct 15 - Utah St. -3 - LOSS
    Oct 15 - Stanford -21 (V33) - WIN
    Oct 15 - Iowa -6.5 - WIN
    Oct 15 - UTEP +1.5 - WIN
    Oct 20 - Arizonia -4.5 - WIN
    Oct 22 - Nevada -10.5 - LOSS
    Oct 22 - UTEP -7 - WIN
    Oct 22 - Wisconsin -7 - LOSS
    Oct 26 - Connecticut +10.5 - PENDING
    Oct 27 - Virginia v Miami OVER 48
    Oct 29 - Stanford -7.5 - PENDING
    Oct 29 - Oklahoma St -14 - PENDING

    2 - 2 - 0

    UNOFFICIAL PLAYS
    Sept 15 - Mississippi St. +3 LOSS
    Sept 17 - Utah +4.5 WIN
    Sept 24 - Utah St. -10.5 LOSS
    Oct 15 - Arizona St. +14.5 - WIN
    Oct 27 - Rice v Houston OVER 70.5
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    I wish I could blame these mistakes on drinking, but I simply dropped my joint on my foot and burrned my big toe. When I bent over to pick it up I bumped my head.

    Had to make some changes to the picks this week.

    28 - 11 - 0

    Sept 03 - AUBURN -24 (H39) LOSS
    Sept 03 - STANFORD -30  (H49) WIN
    Sept 03 - OHIO ST -34 (H49) WIN
    Sept 03 - VIRGINIA TECH -26 (H53) WIN
    Sept 03 - MISSISSIPPI ST -30 (V40) WIN
    Sept 09 - MISSOURI +10 (V03) WIN
    Sept 09 - STANFORD (V39) WIN
    Sept 09 - USC -8.5 (H00) WIN
    Sept 09 - N. ILLINOIS -4 (V16) LOSS
    Sept 09 - ARKANSAS -35.5 (V41) WIN
    Sept 16 - BOISE ST. -19 V29 WIN
    Sept 17 - TCU -28.5 (H58) LOSS
    Sept 17 - TEMPLE +7.5 (H-06) WIN
    Sept 17 - STANFORD -10 (V24) WIN
    Sept 23 - BYU -2.5 - WIN
    Sept 24 - Missouri +22 - WIN
    Sept 24 - Boise St OVER 61 - WIN
    Sept 24 - Wisconsin -35 (H62) - WIN
    Sept 24 - TCU -38 (H55) - WIN
    Sept 30 - BYU -7.5 - LOSS
    Oct 01 - Wisconsin -9 - WIN
    Oct 01 - Stanford -20 (H35) - WIN
    Oct 01 - TCU -11.5 - LOSS
    Oct 01 - Arizona +12.5 - WIN
    Oct 07 - Boise St -21 - WIN
    Oct 08 - Ohio St. +12 - WIN
    Oct 08 - Stanford -29.5 (H33) - WIN
    Oct 08 - Alabama -29 (H35) - WIN
    Oct 08 - Connecticut +19 - LOSS
    Oct 08 - San Jose St. +12 - LOSS
    Oct 14 - Hawaii -6 - LOSS
    Oct 15 - Utah St. -3 - LOSS
    Oct 15 - Stanford -21 (V33) - WIN
    Oct 15 - Iowa -6.5 - WIN
    Oct 15 - UTEP +1.5 - WIN
    Oct 20 - Arizonia -4.5 - WIN
    Oct 22 - Nevada -10.5 - LOSS
    Oct 22 - UTEP -7 - WIN
    Oct 22 - Wisconsin -7 - LOSS
    Oct 26 - Connecticut +10.5 - PENDING
    Oct 27 - Virginia v Miami OVER 48
    Oct 29 - Stanford -7.5 - PENDING
    Oct 29 - Oklahoma St -14 - PENDING

    2 - 2 - 0

    UNOFFICIAL PLAYS
    Sept 15 - Mississippi St. +3 LOSS
    Sept 17 - Utah +4.5 WIN
    Sept 24 - Utah St. -10.5 LOSS
    Oct 15 - Arizona St. +14.5 - WIN
    Oct 27 - Rice v Houston OVER 70.5
     
    irage
    irage
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    Posted: Oct. 26, 2011 - 11:35 PM ET #243

    That's twice now I've been burned by Conn 's in ability to score.
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    That's twice now I've been burned by Conn 's in ability to score.
     
    04ppt
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    Posted: Oct. 27, 2011 - 2:45 AM ET #244

    Irage awesome work...I'm curious as to how you are picking these games?
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    Irage awesome work...I'm curious as to how you are picking these games?
     
    bulldoginohio
    bulldoginohio
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    Posted: Oct. 27, 2011 - 1:17 PM ET #245

    irage
    love what your doing, but do you think that you should put line movement as one of your filters.Last night for instance Connecticut was the Consensous pick on a lot of sites, but the line moved from 9.5 to 10 points.Check out some of your losses that may have been the case.Just a suggestion.We are all here to get the bookies money.Good Luck Bro
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    irage
    love what your doing, but do you think that you should put line movement as one of your filters.Last night for instance Connecticut was the Consensous pick on a lot of sites, but the line moved from 9.5 to 10 points.Check out some of your losses that may have been the case.Just a suggestion.We are all here to get the bookies money.Good Luck Bro
     
    irage
    irage
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    Posted: Oct. 27, 2011 - 10:52 PM ET #246

    Quote Originally Posted by bulldoginohio:

    irage
    love what your doing, but do you think that you should put line movement as one of your filters.Last night for instance Connecticut was the Consensous pick on a lot of sites, but the line moved from 9.5 to 10 points.Check out some of your losses that may have been the case.Just a suggestion.We are all here to get the bookies money.Good Luck Bro


    Thanks Bro,

    I've thought about adjusting for the line movement, but you have to remember that movement is something the books do to cover what they outstanding bets. Look at all the games played an you'll see that many are 1-3 points from the posted line. If a the action increases on a said game, the books adjust to cover with in that range.

    The trick here is I need to get my picks finalized sooner, so that we get the lines before they adjust.
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    Quote Originally Posted by bulldoginohio:

    irage
    love what your doing, but do you think that you should put line movement as one of your filters.Last night for instance Connecticut was the Consensous pick on a lot of sites, but the line moved from 9.5 to 10 points.Check out some of your losses that may have been the case.Just a suggestion.We are all here to get the bookies money.Good Luck Bro


    Thanks Bro,

    I've thought about adjusting for the line movement, but you have to remember that movement is something the books do to cover what they outstanding bets. Look at all the games played an you'll see that many are 1-3 points from the posted line. If a the action increases on a said game, the books adjust to cover with in that range.

    The trick here is I need to get my picks finalized sooner, so that we get the lines before they adjust.
     
    irage
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    Posted: Oct. 27, 2011 - 10:55 PM ET #247

    Alright guys, I was so confident in these games tonight I drove to Vegas today. I dropped 1k on Miami OVER 48, 1k on Houston Over 71 and 500 on Houston Team Total Over 49. Winners all around.

    glefkb01 - Nice bro, slammed them again. Thanks for pointing that out.


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    Alright guys, I was so confident in these games tonight I drove to Vegas today. I dropped 1k on Miami OVER 48, 1k on Houston Over 71 and 500 on Houston Team Total Over 49. Winners all around.

    glefkb01 - Nice bro, slammed them again. Thanks for pointing that out.


     
    irage
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    Posted: Oct. 27, 2011 - 11:18 PM ET #248

    Oh yeah, I have 4k on Stanford. I had to lay these bets over 4 casinos, if that tells you how strongly I feel about Stanford.

    Oh yeah, I was talking with a guy I met in the sports lounge about some bets. I told him that I was pretty good with College FB and laid out my picks for this week. He agreed with the Stanford and Oklahoma St game. He told me he was much better with NFL and showed me his parlay tickets from the last 5 weeks.

    Week 7 = 7 Games Parlay hit 6 of 7
    Week 6 = 5 Game Parlay hit 4 of 5
    Week 5 = 6 Game Parlay hit 6 of 6 (for 13,000)
    Week 4 = 5 Game Parlay hit 5 of 5 (for 6300)

    Now this is all bullshit, but I have to say I was pretty impressed and I personally saw the tickets. I asked him why not just pick one or two games and win smaller amounts every week. He said that he had been doing this for years and made decent coin over the season. He did tell me he stopped in week 12 as the dynamic of play changes around that time.

    On that he note I asked who he liked this week and he was very clear. I don't how I feel about the Ravens scoring 12, but they are better the Cards.

    San Diego -3.5
    Baltimore -12.5



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    Oh yeah, I have 4k on Stanford. I had to lay these bets over 4 casinos, if that tells you how strongly I feel about Stanford.

    Oh yeah, I was talking with a guy I met in the sports lounge about some bets. I told him that I was pretty good with College FB and laid out my picks for this week. He agreed with the Stanford and Oklahoma St game. He told me he was much better with NFL and showed me his parlay tickets from the last 5 weeks.

    Week 7 = 7 Games Parlay hit 6 of 7
    Week 6 = 5 Game Parlay hit 4 of 5
    Week 5 = 6 Game Parlay hit 6 of 6 (for 13,000)
    Week 4 = 5 Game Parlay hit 5 of 5 (for 6300)

    Now this is all bullshit, but I have to say I was pretty impressed and I personally saw the tickets. I asked him why not just pick one or two games and win smaller amounts every week. He said that he had been doing this for years and made decent coin over the season. He did tell me he stopped in week 12 as the dynamic of play changes around that time.

    On that he note I asked who he liked this week and he was very clear. I don't how I feel about the Ravens scoring 12, but they are better the Cards.

    San Diego -3.5
    Baltimore -12.5



     
    PTbookiecrusher
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    Posted: Oct. 27, 2011 - 11:28 PM ET #249

    Great call on the Miami over tonite Irage, I sent you a friend request
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    Great call on the Miami over tonite Irage, I sent you a friend request
     
     
    PTbookiecrusher
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    Posted: Oct. 27, 2011 - 11:28 PM ET #250

    Great call on the Miami over tonite Irage, I sent you a friend request
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    Great call on the Miami over tonite Irage, I sent you a friend request
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