2011 NCAAF Strategy

OK so the line is at 75. The sharps are again right on the mark, if the D's step up then its a for sure UNDER, but if offenses go off this could easily go OVER. There are just too many unknowns and I am not going to force something that's just not there.

Stick with -3

Will all of those be official plays irage or will you narrow down the plays as friday comes?

No, those are just plays I am looking at. I will weed those down. I've already eliminated a few of them.

I will give the final list tomorrow.

SEP 03 - Auburn -24 (H39) LOSS
SEP 03 - Stanford -30  (H49) WIN
SEP 03 - Ohio St -34 (H49) WIN
SEP 03 - Virginia Tech -26 (H53) WIN
SEP 03 - Mississippi St. -30 (V40) WIN
SEP 09 - Missouri +10 - WIN
SEP 09 - Stanford (V39) - WIN
SEP 09 - USC -8.5 - WIN
SEP 09 - N. Illinois -4 - LOSS
SEP 09 - Arkansas -35.5 (V41) - WIN
SEP 16 - Boise St.. -19 - WIN
SEP 17 - TCU -28.5 (H58) - LOSS
SEP 17 - Temple +7.5 - WIN
SEP 17 - Stanford -10 - WIN
SEP 23 - BYU -2.5 - WIN
SEP 24 - Missouri +22 - WIN
SEP 24 - Boise St OVER 61 - WIN
SEP 24 - Wisconsin -35 (H62) - WIN
SEP 24 - TCU -38 (H55) - WIN
SEP 30 - BYU -7.5 - LOSS
OCT 01 - Wisconsin -9 - WIN
OCT 01 - Stanford -20 (H35) - WIN
OCT 01 - TCU -11.5 - LOSS
OCT 01 - Arizona +12.5 - WIN
OCT 07 - Boise St -21 - WIN
OCT 08 - Ohio St. +12 - WIN
OCT 08 - Stanford -29.5 (H33) - WIN
OCT 08 - Alabama -29 (H35) - WIN
OCT 08 - Connecticut +19 - LOSS
OCT 08 - San Jose St. +12 - LOSS
OCT 14 - Hawaii -6 - LOSS
OCT 15 - Utah St. -3 - LOSS
OCT 15 - Stanford -21 (V33) - WIN
OCT 15 - Iowa -6.5 - WIN
OCT 15 - UTEP +1.5 - WIN
OCT 20 - Arizona -4.5 - WIN
OCT 22 - Nevada -10.5 - LOSS
OCT 22 - UTEP -7 - WIN
OCT 22 - Wisconsin -7 - LOSS
OCT 26 - Connecticut +10.5 - LOSS
OCT 27 - Virginia v Miami OVER 48 - WIN
OCT 29 - Stanford -7.5 - WIN
OCT 29 - Oklahoma St -14 - WIN
OCT 03 - Boston College OVER 44 - WIN
NOV 05 - SMU -25 (H27) - LOSS
NOV 05 - Ohio St. -27.5 (H30) - LOSS
NOV 09 - Miami Ohio OVER 44 - WIN
NOV 12 - Stanford -3.5 - LOSS
NOV 12 - Wisconsin -27 - WIN
NOV 19 - New Mexico UNDER 50.5 - WIN
NOV 19 - Arkansas OVER 53 - WIN
NOV 19 - BYU -22.5 - WIN
NOV 19 - Oklahoma -15.5 - LOSE
NOV 19 - Stanford -18 - LOSE
NOV 25 - N. Illinois -19.5 - PENDING
NOV 25 - Houston -3 - PENDING
NOV 25 - Iowa OVER 53.5 - PENDING


UNOFFICIAL PLAYS
SEP 15 - Mississippi St. +3 LOSS
SEP 17 - Utah +4.5 WIN
SEP 24 - Utah St. -10.5 LOSS
OCT 15 - Arizona St. +14.5 - WIN
OCT 27 - Rice v Houston OVER 70.5 WIN
NOV 03 - CFU OVER 48.5 - LOSE
NOV 23 - Texas OVER 54 - PENDING

Oh yeah, you'll notice that all of these plays are for Friday. I will have a few more for Saturday.

Irage, Do you want to sell me your system? Last four weeks, I have lost over 6k, I need help. Im willing to pay big bucks for your systems thanks. Please email me at nuxscoot@yahoo.com. Thanks

Why would you pay for something I post for free every week? Just follow the picks and you would be up 20K right now. Sounds like you need to exercise some discipline. My guess is you are randomly picking games from sports. Guessing or following people with unproven records can hurt you bad. Just remember its better to be up 1K for the week then to loose 6K.

Curious, did you bet on NFL?

Cougars

Houston

irage - i think we all want to know how you are doing it and what limitations/filters you are using.  Are you going to share? or just keep posting.  I think trendsetterSIA is saying is that he you are doing so well he is scared that you may stop posting or post late that he can't get the plays.   Thanks for all the postings!!

Irage,

I've mentioned this several times, the formula I used can not easily be translated into an easy to follow plan. I look for mis-matches at the player level, how a team is playing whether they are winning or losing, gut instinct, reading periodicals such as local papers that often have the inside scoop on injuries and many other intangibles. Honestly, I have been analyzing college games for many years and I am just locking in on a successful seasons. This has been a very good year.

So I called a co-worker of mine that is a Raider Alumn and we discussed this game. We both feel the value is on the Raiders. They are giving 13.5 and both think they push Baylor to maybe a TD if they don't win outright. The O/U in this game is tight, we both think that 61-65 should be expected, but there is a strong possibility of an OT game which could push the game over. Don't think the O/U is worth any risk, but I seriously thinking about making the +13.5 an official play.

1 - 2 this week so far. N. Illinois should have easily covered today and they were on their way and then backed off. Iowa I just flat out got wrong. Sometimes the D's step it up.

These are the games I am focusing on for tomorrow. Texas Tech is official, but the rest I will decide on in the morning. Stanford has lost confidence since that USC game and ND could easily upset them, plus I have a rule about take 2 ranked teams. So I will probably drop that game. Nevada is a strong pick. UTST has got 2 wins and playing great ball. There record is deceiving, but the Pack can move the ball and score points. This is another situation where all the pressure is on one team UTST to not mistakes. if they do Nevada will capitalize and I think that's what will happen and with only 1 pt to give, I'm willing to risk it.

Texas Tech +13.5
Nevada +1.5
Mississippi +17
Stanford -7

I made money 1unit N.Illinois,1 Iowa-over,1col, 5 units houston,                                     

Col

https://www.marshu.com/articles/calculate-percent-with-simple-number-percentage-calculator.php

38 - 19 - 0

Sept 03 - Auburn -24 (H39) LOSS
Sept 03 - Stanford -30  (H49) WIN
Sept 03 - Ohio St -34 (H49) WIN
Sept 03 - Virginia Tech -26 (H53) WIN
Sept 03 - Mississippi St. -30 (V40) WIN
Sept 09 - Missouri +10 - WIN
Sept 09 - Stanford (V39) - WIN
Sept 09 - USC -8.5 - WIN
Sept 09 - N. Illinois -4 - LOSS
Sept 09 - Arkansas -35.5 (V41) - WIN
Sept 16 - Boise St.. -19 - WIN
Sept 17 - TCU -28.5 (H58) - LOSS
Sept 17 - Temple +7.5 - WIN
Sept 17 - Stanford -10 - WIN
Sept 23 - BYU -2.5 - WIN
Sept 24 - Missouri +22 - WIN
Sept 24 - Boise St OVER 61 - WIN
Sept 24 - Wisconsin -35 (H62) - WIN
Sept 24 - TCU -38 (H55) - WIN
Sept 30 - BYU -7.5 - LOSS
Oct 01 - Wisconsin -9 - WIN
Oct 01 - Stanford -20 (H35) - WIN
Oct 01 - TCU -11.5 - LOSS
Oct 01 - Arizona +12.5 - WIN
Oct 07 - Boise St -21 - WIN
Oct 08 - Ohio St. +12 - WIN
Oct 08 - Stanford -29.5 (H33) - WIN
Oct 08 - Alabama -29 (H35) - WIN
Oct 08 - Connecticut +19 - LOSS
Oct 08 - San Jose St. +12 - LOSS
Oct 14 - Hawaii -6 - LOSS
Oct 15 - Utah St. -3 - LOSS
Oct 15 - Stanford -21 (V33) - WIN
Oct 15 - Iowa -6.5 - WIN
Oct 15 - UTEP +1.5 - WIN
Oct 20 - Arizona -4.5 - WIN
Oct 22 - Nevada -10.5 - LOSS
Oct 22 - UTEP -7 - WIN
Oct 22 - Wisconsin -7 - LOSS
Oct 26 - Connecticut +10.5 - LOSS
Oct 27 - Virginia v Miami OVER 48 - WIN
Oct 29 - Stanford -7.5 - WIN
Oct 29 - Oklahoma St -14 - WIN
Nov 3 - Boston College OVER 44 - WIN
Nov 5 - SMU -25 (H27) - LOSS
Nov 5 - Ohio St. -27.5 (H30) - LOSS
Nov 9 - Miami Ohio OVER 44 - WIN
Nov 12 - Stanford -3.5 - LOSS
Nov 12 - Wisconsin -27 - WIN
Nov 19 - New Mexico UNDER 50.5 - WIN
Nov 19 - Arkansas OVER 53 - WIN
Nov 19 - BYU -22.5 - WIN
Nov 19 - Oklahoma -15.5 - LOSE
Nov 19 - Stanford -18 - LOSE
Nov 25 - N. Illinois -19.5 - LOSE
Nov 25 - Houston -3 - WIN
Nov 25 - Iowa OVER 53.5 - LOSE
Nov 26 - Texas Tech +13.5 - PENDING
Nov 26 - Nevada +1.5 - PENDING
Nov 26 - Mississippi +17 - PENDING

3 - 4 - 0

UNOFFICIAL PLAYS
Sept 15 - Mississippi St. +3 LOSS
Sept 17 - Utah +4.5 WIN
Sept 24 - Utah St. -10.5 LOSS
Oct 15 - Arizona St. +14.5 - WIN
Oct 27 - Rice v Houston OVER 70.5 WIN
Nov 3 - CFU OVER 48.5 - LOSE
Nov 23 - Texas OVER 54 - LOSE

JKP, shit, I was pissed that I didn't leave Colorado on the official, but here's why. Utah is my Alumn. This is there first year in the PAC and this game was going to decide whether they go bowling or not. Too much was hinging on this win. I knew that Colorado was going to test them which is why the lean was on them. I backed off because of my emotional attachment to the Utes. I did drop 5 dimes on Houston. They are HOT and have all the elements of a championship team. They are second best team right now next to LSU and I am anxious to see who they get in the bowl.

We gave some back today

We gave too much back yesterday. 0 - 3 and 1 - 5 for the week. By far the worst week this year. The shitty part is that next week is the end of the season. I'm not sure how I went so wrong.

Texas Tech was right there for most of the game and then just couldn't move the ball.

This is what makes football so hard to cap. There are so many factors in this game. What other sport can one player change the momentum of a game.

What's done is done and I have to move on.

The important thing is were still up this season and that winning percentage of yours is really great!

...Irage....

I lost alot on nfl and college football.