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    All Forums | Soccer

    WORLD CUP TODAY PLAYS (6/12)

    LAGameofInches
    vaas187
    Redxff77
    iWillFollowYou
    lik122
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 2290
    Posts: 12
     
    LAGameofInches
    LAGameofInches
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    Posts: 7280
    Posted: Jun. 12, 2026 - 2:40 PM ET #1

    Tournament:  2-0 (BIG PLAY: 1-0) 

    For context, and so there aren’t a lot of inquiries, all the big plays are two units (win or lose.) and that is why the record is 2-0 vs 1-0  Big playa are then also separated so you can subtract them to get overall wins/losses.  Now to the game..

    On paper, it seems as though this would be a triumphant win for Canada, a team that has never won a game in the World Cup. But in actuality, I’m not sure if that’s as much a certainty as their record playing in Toronto might show (they have only lost once ever when playing in Toronto).

    As for the Bosnians, you might think they’ve had an incredible run to qualify when just looking at their result, eliminating Italy from qualification and doing so themselves. And there is actually some truth to that as they did pretty well in  the qualifying stages only having sputtered due to having been placed into a rather tough group. The Bosnian’s can score and do so almost every game. With the Canadiens not having Alphonso Davies playing- and anchoring their defense-I don’t see a way the Bosnians do not get on the score sheet today.

    At the same time, I feel as though the Canadiens have enough in offense and with a home backing to also get on the score sheet. I’m very tempted to play the over again, but I can also see a game that might end in a tie. While I don’t always embrace trying to predict whether both teams will score, I think today’s game produces another great value given the analysis above.

    BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE (BOSNIA/CANADA):  YES  (+100)

    I will be back later for sure for another play on USA game. For now, tail or fade good luck to all…

    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    Tournament:  2-0 (BIG PLAY: 1-0) 

    For context, and so there aren’t a lot of inquiries, all the big plays are two units (win or lose.) and that is why the record is 2-0 vs 1-0  Big playa are then also separated so you can subtract them to get overall wins/losses.  Now to the game..

    On paper, it seems as though this would be a triumphant win for Canada, a team that has never won a game in the World Cup. But in actuality, I’m not sure if that’s as much a certainty as their record playing in Toronto might show (they have only lost once ever when playing in Toronto).

    As for the Bosnians, you might think they’ve had an incredible run to qualify when just looking at their result, eliminating Italy from qualification and doing so themselves. And there is actually some truth to that as they did pretty well in  the qualifying stages only having sputtered due to having been placed into a rather tough group. The Bosnian’s can score and do so almost every game. With the Canadiens not having Alphonso Davies playing- and anchoring their defense-I don’t see a way the Bosnians do not get on the score sheet today.

    At the same time, I feel as though the Canadiens have enough in offense and with a home backing to also get on the score sheet. I’m very tempted to play the over again, but I can also see a game that might end in a tie. While I don’t always embrace trying to predict whether both teams will score, I think today’s game produces another great value given the analysis above.

    BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE (BOSNIA/CANADA):  YES  (+100)

    I will be back later for sure for another play on USA game. For now, tail or fade good luck to all…

     
    LAGameofInches
    LAGameofInches
    Captain
    Participation Meter
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    Posts: 7280
    Posted: Jun. 12, 2026 - 3:36 PM ET #2

    Tough crowd.  Pulling for one measly goal for Canada.  Would be a nice start to the tournament and into tonight an_baby

    Reply

    Tough crowd.  Pulling for one measly goal for Canada.  Would be a nice start to the tournament and into tonight an_baby

     
    vaas187
    vaas187
    All-Star
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    Posts: 12607
    Posted: Jun. 12, 2026 - 3:53 PM ET #3

    Why anybody would trust anything involving Canada before they prove it is wild but good luck 

    Reply

    Why anybody would trust anything involving Canada before they prove it is wild but good luck 

     
    Redxff77
    Redxff77
    Prospect
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    Joined: Dec, 2020
    Posts: 278
    Posted: Jun. 12, 2026 - 3:56 PM ET #4

    I have the tie, so I hope Canada can score one goal…. Had corners just for Canada as well -5.5 

    Reply

    I have the tie, so I hope Canada can score one goal…. Had corners just for Canada as well -5.5 

     
    iWillFollowYou
    iWillFollowYou
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    Posts: 1799
    Posted: Jun. 12, 2026 - 4:40 PM ET #5

    BOOM 78' moneybag 1-1

    Reply

    BOOM 78' moneybag 1-1

     
    LAGameofInches
    LAGameofInches
    Captain
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    Joined: Jun, 2012
    Posts: 7280
    Posted: Jun. 12, 2026 - 4:50 PM ET #6

    Quote Originally Posted by vaas187:

    Why anybody would trust anything involving Canada before they prove it is wild but good luck

    Well, and this will sound pompous so I'm sorry, but I crush soccer.  Have posted for years winning in the individual leagues but it's tough for me living on PST to wake up and assess early European games lineups so I'm not as consistent.

    As for trusting any of these teams, I think you really just need to look at the matchup and QUALITY of players.  Bosnia NEVER has a clean sheet and always seems to score.  Canada are getting the home bump I was hoping for.  So it was a good spot to take a shot on a very short line again.

    I will for sure SMASH Czech vs. South Africa next game as the African side is going to be missing two starters from an already crappy starting 11 in a must win game vs. the Czechs.

    Hoping everyone has had a great cup start so far.  I'll be back later for a play on the USA game.

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by vaas187:

    Why anybody would trust anything involving Canada before they prove it is wild but good luck

    Well, and this will sound pompous so I'm sorry, but I crush soccer.  Have posted for years winning in the individual leagues but it's tough for me living on PST to wake up and assess early European games lineups so I'm not as consistent.

    As for trusting any of these teams, I think you really just need to look at the matchup and QUALITY of players.  Bosnia NEVER has a clean sheet and always seems to score.  Canada are getting the home bump I was hoping for.  So it was a good spot to take a shot on a very short line again.

    I will for sure SMASH Czech vs. South Africa next game as the African side is going to be missing two starters from an already crappy starting 11 in a must win game vs. the Czechs.

    Hoping everyone has had a great cup start so far.  I'll be back later for a play on the USA game.

     
    lik122
    lik122
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    Posts: 2426
    Posted: Jun. 12, 2026 - 4:53 PM ET #7

    an_clap

    Reply

    an_clap

     
    benhogan76
    benhogan76
    Legend
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    Joined: Apr, 2008
    Posts: 63879
    Posted: Jun. 12, 2026 - 5:13 PM ET #8

    You will stop posting before end of first round.peace_5

    We should stop eating bananas.
    Reply

    You will stop posting before end of first round.peace_5

     
    jdukes0004
    jdukes0004
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    Posts: 8370
    Posted: Jun. 12, 2026 - 6:03 PM ET #9

    @LAGameofInches

     Another excellent call BTTS!!!an_worshipan_clap

    Great write-up again!!! I can tell you're locked in and focused on the World Cup!!!an_clapthumbs_upsoccerball

    Money Management and discipline is the key to success in sports investing
    Reply

    @LAGameofInches

     Another excellent call BTTS!!!an_worshipan_clap

    Great write-up again!!! I can tell you're locked in and focused on the World Cup!!!an_clapthumbs_upsoccerball

     
    LAGameofInches
    LAGameofInches
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    Posts: 7280
    Posted: Jun. 12, 2026 - 7:33 PM ET #10

    @jdukes0004 Thank you.

    For this upcoming game between Paraguay and the USA I have a deadlock winner but it's just so hard to post with the odds.  But I'd also like to book some additional profits heading into the weekend.

    I'll begin by saying, gun to head, I think this game will draw.  But alas I am an American with some French roots and for that reason it's just so hard for me not to bet with my heart the opening game of the World Cup in my own country.  I also think that the game will stay UNDER, as most have already, but if there are goals scored it will NOT be for Paraguay.

    In fact, Paraguay was netting an average of 0.78 goals per game during the qualifiers, the joint-lowest of any side to reach these finals.  And the U.S. defense, while not shutdown, is stalwart enough with Chris Richards, Tim Ream, Serginho Dest, and Antonee Robinson.  You also get Tyler Adams coming back to help.  So I am not seeing the Paraguayans scoring more than 1, if that.  

    At the same time, Im not sure I see the USA scoring at will against a Paraguayan defense that was very very good during their qualifiers.  While the USA did in fact beat Paraguay in late 2025- they have since gone back to some of their losing ways- the Paraguayan team will line up slightly differently this time around and they have also been playing really well of late heading into this tournament.

    On top of all of this, the USA has done surprisingly well in their opening World Cup games (have not lost their opening stage game since 2010 1W 2D) while Paraguay have struggled mightily (1W 4D and 3D).  All of this data I think is useful despite the years in between those teams and the current squads.  

    The USA will have the confidence of having beaten Paraguay late last year as well as the "extra man" with a crowd of 80000 in LA.  BUT, the USA has NOT done very well playing IN Los Angeles of late (something I would have thought the USSF would have considered) and seem to let us down on the largest of stages, especially when talking about soccer.  I am paying the price and dropping this bet with great confidence.  A 2 unit loss to the record if it loses as well.

    DRAW OR NO BET USA (-220):  The odds on taking the USA dropped and the take back on the draw remained the same.  I'm not sure what that says but I'll pay to hope the USA wins and if they draw, at least have some action to live until tomorrow where I have a couple of BIG PLAYS.  Would be nice to have some more profit so....USA!  USA!  USA!

    Wish I had more confidence but I don't want to see them content with a point and me distraught and telling myself "I told you so".  As always, tail or fade, good luck to all...

    Reply

    @jdukes0004 Thank you.

    For this upcoming game between Paraguay and the USA I have a deadlock winner but it's just so hard to post with the odds.  But I'd also like to book some additional profits heading into the weekend.

    I'll begin by saying, gun to head, I think this game will draw.  But alas I am an American with some French roots and for that reason it's just so hard for me not to bet with my heart the opening game of the World Cup in my own country.  I also think that the game will stay UNDER, as most have already, but if there are goals scored it will NOT be for Paraguay.

    In fact, Paraguay was netting an average of 0.78 goals per game during the qualifiers, the joint-lowest of any side to reach these finals.  And the U.S. defense, while not shutdown, is stalwart enough with Chris Richards, Tim Ream, Serginho Dest, and Antonee Robinson.  You also get Tyler Adams coming back to help.  So I am not seeing the Paraguayans scoring more than 1, if that.  

    At the same time, Im not sure I see the USA scoring at will against a Paraguayan defense that was very very good during their qualifiers.  While the USA did in fact beat Paraguay in late 2025- they have since gone back to some of their losing ways- the Paraguayan team will line up slightly differently this time around and they have also been playing really well of late heading into this tournament.

    On top of all of this, the USA has done surprisingly well in their opening World Cup games (have not lost their opening stage game since 2010 1W 2D) while Paraguay have struggled mightily (1W 4D and 3D).  All of this data I think is useful despite the years in between those teams and the current squads.  

    The USA will have the confidence of having beaten Paraguay late last year as well as the "extra man" with a crowd of 80000 in LA.  BUT, the USA has NOT done very well playing IN Los Angeles of late (something I would have thought the USSF would have considered) and seem to let us down on the largest of stages, especially when talking about soccer.  I am paying the price and dropping this bet with great confidence.  A 2 unit loss to the record if it loses as well.

    DRAW OR NO BET USA (-220):  The odds on taking the USA dropped and the take back on the draw remained the same.  I'm not sure what that says but I'll pay to hope the USA wins and if they draw, at least have some action to live until tomorrow where I have a couple of BIG PLAYS.  Would be nice to have some more profit so....USA!  USA!  USA!

    Wish I had more confidence but I don't want to see them content with a point and me distraught and telling myself "I told you so".  As always, tail or fade, good luck to all...

     
    ari
    ari
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    Posts: 757
    Posted: Jun. 12, 2026 - 10:25 PM ET #11

    Great write ups !  Thank you 

    an_cheers

    Reply

    Great write ups !  Thank you 

    an_cheers

     
     
    jdukes0004
    jdukes0004
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    Posts: 8370
    Posted: Jun. 12, 2026 - 11:10 PM ET #12

    @LAGameofInches

     Your on fire right now!!! I really appreciate your write-ups. Thanks for the hard work.an_cheersan_clapan_clapsoccerball

    Go USA 4-1!!! WOW!!!

    Money Management and discipline is the key to success in sports investing
    Reply

    @LAGameofInches

     Your on fire right now!!! I really appreciate your write-ups. Thanks for the hard work.an_cheersan_clapan_clapsoccerball

    Go USA 4-1!!! WOW!!!

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