BTW - Colombia is currently +1018 to win the tournament on Pinnacle.
I got them at+3200.
Thats not too bad.
Because if they play Tina in the semis - they most certainly will be a bigger than should be dog. To bet Tina - or to hedge in your words - I would have to pay extra to do it - and Im not willing. Like I said, I think it will be hard for me to not add on because Colombia would probably be like +300 to advance in that game.
Because if they play Tina in the semis - they most certainly will be a bigger than should be dog. To bet Tina - or to hedge in your words - I would have to pay extra to do it - and Im not willing. Like I said, I think it will be hard for me to not add on because Colombia would probably be like +300 to advance in that game.
Me... +3250 at 5dimes $2 to win $65
That's right, I am a high roller!
Me... +3250 at 5dimes $2 to win $65
That's right, I am a high roller!
Glad to see you on it too.
I started and was involved in an epic hedging thread, where I explained the hidden cost of hedging. The reason I wont sell it back - unless I think the current price on an independent basis is a good one (one that I would bet independent of my current bet) - is because you are getting LESS than you should.
Now - there is also a concept of utility - which might come in to play because of the long odds here - but for now - personally - Im not willing to "pay" extra (according to my line valuatoins) to get out of this bet by hedging. That may change, and I will keep this thread informed if circumstances change to the point where I see value - but I am always consistent on this - Im not willing to get paid less than my current position is worth just to hedge.
But to each his own.
Glad to see you on it too.
I started and was involved in an epic hedging thread, where I explained the hidden cost of hedging. The reason I wont sell it back - unless I think the current price on an independent basis is a good one (one that I would bet independent of my current bet) - is because you are getting LESS than you should.
Now - there is also a concept of utility - which might come in to play because of the long odds here - but for now - personally - Im not willing to "pay" extra (according to my line valuatoins) to get out of this bet by hedging. That may change, and I will keep this thread informed if circumstances change to the point where I see value - but I am always consistent on this - Im not willing to get paid less than my current position is worth just to hedge.
But to each his own.
Parlay | 100.00 | 190.82 | Soccer - 13597 Paraguay -180 for Game Soccer - 14101 USA (w) -½ -115 for Game |
Parlay | 100.00 | 190.82 | Soccer - 13597 Paraguay -180 for Game Soccer - 14101 USA (w) -½ -115 for Game |
Me... +3250 at 5dimes $2 to win $65
That's right, I am a high roller!
Good enough - glad to see you on it too.
Me... +3250 at 5dimes $2 to win $65
That's right, I am a high roller!
Good enough - glad to see you on it too.
Parlay | 100.00 | 190.82 | Soccer - 13597 Paraguay -180 for Game Soccer - 14101 USA (w) -½ -115 for Game |
Parlay | 100.00 | 190.82 | Soccer - 13597 Paraguay -180 for Game Soccer - 14101 USA (w) -½ -115 for Game |
Glad to see you on it too.
I started and was involved in an epic hedging thread, where I explained the hidden cost of hedging. The reason I wont sell it back - unless I think the current price on an independent basis is a good one (one that I would bet independent of my current bet) - is because you are getting LESS than you should.
Now - there is also a concept of utility - which might come in to play because of the long odds here - but for now - personally - Im not willing to "pay" extra (according to my line valuatoins) to get out of this bet by hedging. That may change, and I will keep this thread informed if circumstances change to the point where I see value - but I am always consistent on this - Im not willing to get paid less than my current position is worth just to hedge.
But to each his own.
Glad to see you on it too.
I started and was involved in an epic hedging thread, where I explained the hidden cost of hedging. The reason I wont sell it back - unless I think the current price on an independent basis is a good one (one that I would bet independent of my current bet) - is because you are getting LESS than you should.
Now - there is also a concept of utility - which might come in to play because of the long odds here - but for now - personally - Im not willing to "pay" extra (according to my line valuatoins) to get out of this bet by hedging. That may change, and I will keep this thread informed if circumstances change to the point where I see value - but I am always consistent on this - Im not willing to get paid less than my current position is worth just to hedge.
But to each his own.
PLEASE DONT FORGET TO POST HERE IF ANYONE SEES A 3rd PLACE GAME TOTAL
World Cup Women Soccer - Sun 7/17 |
||||||||||||||
Handicap | 1X2 | Total Goals | More | |||||||||||
Sun 7/17 | 7601 | Japan (w) | 0 and +0.5 2.130 | 3.880 | OVER 2 and 2.5 1.990 | 06:00 AM | 7602 | USA (W) | 0 and -0.5 1.800 | 2.080 | UNDER 2 and 2.5 1.901 | |||
7603 | Draw | 3.420 |
PLEASE DONT FORGET TO POST HERE IF ANYONE SEES A 3rd PLACE GAME TOTAL
World Cup Women Soccer - Sun 7/17 |
||||||||||||||
Handicap | 1X2 | Total Goals | More | |||||||||||
Sun 7/17 | 7601 | Japan (w) | 0 and +0.5 2.130 | 3.880 | OVER 2 and 2.5 1.990 | 06:00 AM | 7602 | USA (W) | 0 and -0.5 1.800 | 2.080 | UNDER 2 and 2.5 1.901 | |||
7603 | Draw | 3.420 |
Swoop - you better check if you can get the +1 anymore. I think you would have to pay about -150 for that.
Back when the line was +1 and the total was 2 and 2.5, I debated the same thing you did, and just came up with the total as a better bet because my most likely final score is Paraguay 1-0. When I assigned probabilities to final scores, and summed them up, the under was a better play for me.
But if you can get +1 at a good price, it would be a better bet than the under 2 at a high price.
Needless to say, the 3-3 draw didnt enter my probability matrix.
Just awful.
Swoop - you better check if you can get the +1 anymore. I think you would have to pay about -150 for that.
Back when the line was +1 and the total was 2 and 2.5, I debated the same thing you did, and just came up with the total as a better bet because my most likely final score is Paraguay 1-0. When I assigned probabilities to final scores, and summed them up, the under was a better play for me.
But if you can get +1 at a good price, it would be a better bet than the under 2 at a high price.
Needless to say, the 3-3 draw didnt enter my probability matrix.
Just awful.
Any update on this line? Moving?
I only hope this makes it to a real book soon.
Any update on this line? Moving?
I only hope this makes it to a real book soon.
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