I've found that with a lot of these books offering horrible prices, it's much better to get in during live betting about 5 min (or more) into the game. lines drop significantly but you also risk the chance of an early goal being scored but with the way things have gone in this tourney....
Good advice.
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Quote Originally Posted by ZonaCats:
I've found that with a lot of these books offering horrible prices, it's much better to get in during live betting about 5 min (or more) into the game. lines drop significantly but you also risk the chance of an early goal being scored but with the way things have gone in this tourney....
Van - keep up the good work. Keep your head up!!!!
Question: In the last 15 months, are you literally 14-1 in terms of winning vs losing months? What is your avg # of bets per month - and what has been your units won in the last 15 months?
Seems like everyone has good things to say about you (only been reading soccer stuff for this tourney) - but definitely plan to follow when season starts up again too.
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Van - keep up the good work. Keep your head up!!!!
Question: In the last 15 months, are you literally 14-1 in terms of winning vs losing months? What is your avg # of bets per month - and what has been your units won in the last 15 months?
Seems like everyone has good things to say about you (only been reading soccer stuff for this tourney) - but definitely plan to follow when season starts up again too.
Van - keep up the good work. Keep your head up!!!!
Question: In the last 15 months, are you literally 14-1 in terms of winning vs losing months? What is your avg # of bets per month - and what has been your units won in the last 15 months?
Seems like everyone has good things to say about you (only been reading soccer stuff for this tourney) - but definitely plan to follow when season starts up again too.
Yes, I literally have not had a losing month in the last 15 since this month. And Im down 4 units right now (including the womens WC), which isnt all that bad.....
I dont answer those other questions specifically, they only cause arguments - but I have been on a great run - admittedly a lot of luck and way above anything that should be expected - just the positive side of variance.
GL
Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
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Quote Originally Posted by kvs23:
Van - keep up the good work. Keep your head up!!!!
Question: In the last 15 months, are you literally 14-1 in terms of winning vs losing months? What is your avg # of bets per month - and what has been your units won in the last 15 months?
Seems like everyone has good things to say about you (only been reading soccer stuff for this tourney) - but definitely plan to follow when season starts up again too.
Yes, I literally have not had a losing month in the last 15 since this month. And Im down 4 units right now (including the womens WC), which isnt all that bad.....
I dont answer those other questions specifically, they only cause arguments - but I have been on a great run - admittedly a lot of luck and way above anything that should be expected - just the positive side of variance.
Van - fair enough. Great work, I will be following closely (and tailing too) - so let's BOTH hope the next 15 months is better than the last 15 months.
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Van - fair enough. Great work, I will be following closely (and tailing too) - so let's BOTH hope the next 15 months is better than the last 15 months.
Van - fair enough. Great work, I will be following closely (and tailing too) - so let's BOTH hope the next 15 months is better than the last 15 months.
So wait....you're hoping for 15 winning months in the next 15, rather than 14? I think you may need a reality check if that's what you're hoping for....holy smokes, tough crowd.
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Quote Originally Posted by kvs23:
Van - fair enough. Great work, I will be following closely (and tailing too) - so let's BOTH hope the next 15 months is better than the last 15 months.
So wait....you're hoping for 15 winning months in the next 15, rather than 14? I think you may need a reality check if that's what you're hoping for....holy smokes, tough crowd.
Just to finish that thought, even if Van had a 90% chance of having a winning month in any given month (which is insane), he would only have a 21% chance of his next 15 months all being profitable.
Good luck with that. Just appreciate a good run and understand it's not going to last forever.
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Just to finish that thought, even if Van had a 90% chance of having a winning month in any given month (which is insane), he would only have a 21% chance of his next 15 months all being profitable.
Good luck with that. Just appreciate a good run and understand it's not going to last forever.
hey vanzack, keep up the good work! looking to tail you in the upcoming months on other sports. Do you just post a season long thread in each of the sports you bet or what? Thanks
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hey vanzack, keep up the good work! looking to tail you in the upcoming months on other sports. Do you just post a season long thread in each of the sports you bet or what? Thanks
hey vanzack, keep up the good work! looking to tail you in the upcoming months on other sports. Do you just post a season long thread in each of the sports you bet or what? Thanks
Im not the right guy to "tail".
I post sporadically, and only bet Football and Soccer. I used to bet MLB but didnt this year and wont unless things change offshore. I also am not a guy who goes 60%+ in football - I am a grinder - and I do it in a lot of different ways other than bet win cash cycle. im not a gifted "capper" like some in the football forum claim to be.
But I appreciate the compliment.
Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
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Quote Originally Posted by jwbjwbjwb12:
hey vanzack, keep up the good work! looking to tail you in the upcoming months on other sports. Do you just post a season long thread in each of the sports you bet or what? Thanks
Im not the right guy to "tail".
I post sporadically, and only bet Football and Soccer. I used to bet MLB but didnt this year and wont unless things change offshore. I also am not a guy who goes 60%+ in football - I am a grinder - and I do it in a lot of different ways other than bet win cash cycle. im not a gifted "capper" like some in the football forum claim to be.
The over for tonight has ticked up a little bit in the last couple of hours. I actually toyed with adding on, but decided against it - I do like it though.
Anyway - Im glad this tournament is coming to a close!
Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
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Thanks everyone else for the comments.
The over for tonight has ticked up a little bit in the last couple of hours. I actually toyed with adding on, but decided against it - I do like it though.
Anyway - Im glad this tournament is coming to a close!
Future: A. Colombia +32-1 (risk .25 unit to win 8 units) - LOSS
Results 1. Bolivia +2.5 -113 (1 unit), .5 unit to Bolivia +2.5 and 3 -103 - WIN 2. Arg / Bol Under 3 and 3.5 +107 (1.5 units), .5 unit to the under 3.5 and 4 +108 - WIN 3. CR / Colombia Under 2.5 -114 (1.5 units) - WIN 4. Venezuela / Brazil Over 3 -116 (1.5 units) - LOSS 5. Paraguay -.5 -125 (2.5 units) - LOSS 6. Uruguay -1 -122 (1.5 units) - adding .5 unit at -108 to make it 2 units total - LOSS 7. Chile -160 (1 unit) - adding .5 unit at -133 to make it 1.5 units total - WIN 8. Argentina -1 and -1.5 -105 (4 units) - LOSS 9. CR +.5 -120 (1 unit) - WIN 10. Uruguay / Chile over 2 and 2.5 -102 (2.5 units) - HALF LOSS 11. Peru / Mexico draw +227 (1 unit) - LOSS 12. Paraguay +1 -118 (3 units) - WIN 13. Equador / Venezuela over 2 -115 (2 units) - LOSS 14. Peru / Chile Under 2 and 2.5 - 110 (2 units) - WIN 15. Uruguay -1 -119 (3 units) - PUSH 16. Paraguay / Vene Under 2 and 2.5 -120 (2.5 units) - LOSS 17. Brazil / Equador OVER 2.5 -105 (1 unit) - WIN 18. Columbia -.5 -130 (3 units) - LOSS 19. Uruguay +.5 +143 (1.5 units) - WIN 20. Paraguay +.5 +140 (3 units) - WIN 21. Chile -.5 -130 (2 units) - LOSS 22. Uruguay -.5 -115 (2 units) - WIN 23. Paraguay / Venezuela over 2 -110 (2 units) - LOSS
Saturday July 23 Vene / Peru over 2 and 2.5 -115 (2 units)
Sunday July 24 Paraguay +.5 -110 (3 units) Paraguay to win tournament +200 (1 unit)
I cant NOT bet a 3rd place game over. At least until it fails me. I guess this is probably the tournament that could do it to me, but Im not about to second guess a 3rd place game that is 2 and 2.5.
Uruguay is overpriced. Period. Especially for the 90 minute price, it could easily be scoreless after 90, and in OT and penalties I will take my chances at +200.
Whatever happens, this has not been a great tourney, not only for me, but for the fans and the game too. What a disaster Argentina and Brazil are - Brazil better get it together in the next couple of years or they might be a fade at home in 2014.
GL guys - regular season in about a 4 weeks!
Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
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Record: 11-11 Down: 6.71 Units
Future: A. Colombia +32-1 (risk .25 unit to win 8 units) - LOSS
Results 1. Bolivia +2.5 -113 (1 unit), .5 unit to Bolivia +2.5 and 3 -103 - WIN 2. Arg / Bol Under 3 and 3.5 +107 (1.5 units), .5 unit to the under 3.5 and 4 +108 - WIN 3. CR / Colombia Under 2.5 -114 (1.5 units) - WIN 4. Venezuela / Brazil Over 3 -116 (1.5 units) - LOSS 5. Paraguay -.5 -125 (2.5 units) - LOSS 6. Uruguay -1 -122 (1.5 units) - adding .5 unit at -108 to make it 2 units total - LOSS 7. Chile -160 (1 unit) - adding .5 unit at -133 to make it 1.5 units total - WIN 8. Argentina -1 and -1.5 -105 (4 units) - LOSS 9. CR +.5 -120 (1 unit) - WIN 10. Uruguay / Chile over 2 and 2.5 -102 (2.5 units) - HALF LOSS 11. Peru / Mexico draw +227 (1 unit) - LOSS 12. Paraguay +1 -118 (3 units) - WIN 13. Equador / Venezuela over 2 -115 (2 units) - LOSS 14. Peru / Chile Under 2 and 2.5 - 110 (2 units) - WIN 15. Uruguay -1 -119 (3 units) - PUSH 16. Paraguay / Vene Under 2 and 2.5 -120 (2.5 units) - LOSS 17. Brazil / Equador OVER 2.5 -105 (1 unit) - WIN 18. Columbia -.5 -130 (3 units) - LOSS 19. Uruguay +.5 +143 (1.5 units) - WIN 20. Paraguay +.5 +140 (3 units) - WIN 21. Chile -.5 -130 (2 units) - LOSS 22. Uruguay -.5 -115 (2 units) - WIN 23. Paraguay / Venezuela over 2 -110 (2 units) - LOSS
Saturday July 23 Vene / Peru over 2 and 2.5 -115 (2 units)
Sunday July 24 Paraguay +.5 -110 (3 units) Paraguay to win tournament +200 (1 unit)
I cant NOT bet a 3rd place game over. At least until it fails me. I guess this is probably the tournament that could do it to me, but Im not about to second guess a 3rd place game that is 2 and 2.5.
Uruguay is overpriced. Period. Especially for the 90 minute price, it could easily be scoreless after 90, and in OT and penalties I will take my chances at +200.
Whatever happens, this has not been a great tourney, not only for me, but for the fans and the game too. What a disaster Argentina and Brazil are - Brazil better get it together in the next couple of years or they might be a fade at home in 2014.
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