Copa America tournament thread....

Like the Tuesday plays   Best of luck Vanz

Everyone has a breaking point.....

I would take it at +130, which is basically +2.5 goals.

But I dont see it getting there.

so where's the smartass who said Argentina will definitely win this tournament, and Brazil is a lock to win both women's championship currently underway, and FIFA WC 2014?

If you saw now value on the TINA under yesterday, don't you have to see value on it today after nearly 30 cents of line movement?  I'm going to wait a bit and hope for a tad more movement before I jump onto it.  I like your other two plays although I wouldn't be surprised to see Chile win...

Up to +115 on Pinny now. I'm gonna have a seriously hard time laying off this.

smart move to pass here , Vanzack 

at the moment Costa Rica line is for +2 +117 and -½ +2299 !!

If you think Costa Rica can win 5 times out of 100 games, this is your bet

I had them already at -106 +2 and -½ around 1900... i might have to add more units on this, line is just crazy, and yeah, i have over 3 +147 too and because under 3 is now +100 i take that too ! Not going to sweat with this any more than necessary...

 

You guys are all right - I should be betting in to this line move.

But for my own sanity, I have decided to sit it out - unless something really moves crazy before kickoff.

I cant listen to "Leo Leo Leo sige sige sige sige FALTA" all game and not pull my hair out.

BTW - The USA to win the WWC at +120 is absurd.  You can bet the NO at pinny at -132.

We lost to Sweden a week ago, and it really wasnt very close. 

-132 is very cheap.

Im not betting it, because I want to be unincumbered to root on the USA, but that price struck me as being way out of whack.

Interesting, I may throw a unit on that. Thanks Van.

CR +2 is +118

Couldnt blame you.  But if it EITHER of these teams are winning at about the 75 minute mark, you are going to be biting your nails on that under for sure.

But I would certainly lean both of the ways you do.

i'm going to play draw +775 for .25u too.

CR +2 is at +129 now.....anyone have a guess as to when I should grab this? Can it really keep climbing?

...depending on who's driving that price you may not want to Livan

If you believe in fixes and such then you shouldn't really be gambling IMO. Just because some millionaire is betting more than me doesn't mean he knows more than.  Or at least that's how I look at it. 

damn, argentina and the over are being hit pretty hard.  maybe they win 3-0, or more, but i don't see making those plays.  i'm going to watch Argentina TT under 2.5, now at +103. 

good luck. 

No Ark, not what I meant at all.  Book to Faces is a term you may have heard, lines are more apt to move on the basis of WHO places the bets, not necessarily the dollar amounts.  Anyway you probably know this already.

P.S. who said anything about fixes? 

these lines have 3-0, 4-0 written all over them....i'll be mad if i don't play these though.

Are you talking about the results fixed or the way the books move the line as fixed? Because they can totally be fixed on how they are moving. Just because the Argentina line is going up doesn't mean more money is coming in on them. Line makers play bettor perception, over even money on both sides, and use it to get the larger chunk of money on the side they want. Books gamble. but when they are 50% right they win big, because over a course of the year they have 60-65% of the money on one side or the other. That's way better profit than getting 50-50 money. They play with bettor minds ALL THE TIME. We're puppets more than we know.

 

I believe in fixes.