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Super XV Finals & NRL Round 16

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blackcrow

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Posts: 1195

Posted: Jun. 24, 2011 - 2:14 AM ET #1

Waratahs +7.5 @ 2.00 Centrebet
Waratahs -2.5 @ 4.40 Centrebet
With wet and slippery conditions expected, then field position wil be important, so expect both sides to alot of kicking with not much ball in hand. Defence will be the main factor here and believe the Waratahs edge the Blues in this regard. Can see Waugh being his usual nuisance self at the breakdown and win some ball or penalties for them. Not expecting mnay points to be scored, and though NSW are without a few players, the way they played last week against the Brumbies suggests that they are not too worried about these absences. Furthermore, while the Blues won well last week, their recent form has been ordinary and not sure that they reason to be such large favourites. Like the Waratahs to cause an upset here

ecoute

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Posted: Jun. 24, 2011 - 2:19 AM ET #2

GL mate. Hope and want the Tah's to win.

Not sure if I agree with your comments though based on what the total is set at, the fact that rain is expected and the total is still high, the Blues performance in the wet, the number of articles over the last couple of days talking about how the Tahs will attack and Foley's inclusion into the line up.

snake2710

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Posted: Jun. 24, 2011 - 2:32 AM ET #3

Quote Originally Posted by blackcrow:

blackcrow

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Posted: Jun. 24, 2011 - 2:34 AM ET #4

Quote Originally Posted by ecoute:

GL mate. Hope and want the Tah's to win.

Not sure if I agree with your comments though based on what the total is set at, the fact that rain is expected and the total is still high, the Blues performance in the wet, the number of articles over the last couple of days talking about how the Tahs will attack and Foley's inclusion into the line up.

Yeah i read those articles and have in the past allowed them to sway my judgement. Now i tend to ignore them, since you assume that the opposition also reads them and they want to give them a big dummy pass to fool them into thinking that is how they will play it.

ecoute and snake: GL guys

blackcrow

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Posts: 1195

Posted: Jun. 24, 2011 - 2:39 AM ET #5

Tigers @ 2.33 Centrebet
Tigers -6.5 @ 4.00 Centrebet
The Tigers were somewhat unlucky against the Storm as only some exceptional defending denied them the win. While the loss of Marshall is a blow, they still have some quality with Farah and a good pack of forwards who can make some yards for them. The Bulldogs get Ennis, Idris and Hodgkinson, but not sure that these three can make a big difference to a side that is not playing with much effort or passion. They were rubbish against the Sharks last week and now go to Campbelltown where the Tigers have won their last 5 straight games there. Another trend is that these two teams have alternated wins in their last 8 games, and now it is the Tigers turn to win. Either way, if the Tigers play with the same effort as last week, can see them beating the Bulldogs who look out of it.

Rabbitohs @ 2.52 Centrebet
Rabbitohs -6.5 @ 4.25 Centrebet
Rabbitohs looked good in beating an average side like the Titans and maybe they are starting to get some form to back up their potential. They have some quality in their side, and like Taylor to be a beats up front as he looks to make his way into the starting side for the final Origin game, as he is up against Hannant and Thaiday who are there too. Broncos had everything go their way last week to beat the Dragons, and on the back of the Origin game, and the travel to Perth, not sure how fresh they will be for this game. The Rabbitohs will be looking to make a statement here, and with one win over the Storm last year in the west, hard not to see them fired up to claim another scalp.

snake2710

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Posted: Jun. 24, 2011 - 2:49 AM ET #6

Dont like the tigers play at all bud but one of us will be right and unsure on the Bunnies atm. Think they have a good chance over there and they did beat the Storm over there last year.

davopnz

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Posted: Jun. 24, 2011 - 2:51 AM ET #7

Boydy5

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Posted: Jun. 24, 2011 - 2:59 AM ET #8

Quote Originally Posted by blackcrow:

But have never beaten the doggies there (doggies have won all 4 meetings)

snake2710

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Posted: Jun. 24, 2011 - 3:04 AM ET #9

Quote Originally Posted by Boydy5:

But have never beaten the doggies there (doggies have won all 4 meetings)

blackcrow

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Posted: Jun. 25, 2011 - 1:03 AM ET #10

Waratahs +7.5 @ 2.00

Waratahs -2.5 @ 4.40

Tigers @ 2.33

Tigers -6.5 @ 4.00

Rabbitohs @ 2.52

Rabbitohs -6.5 @ 4.25

Ordinary night.

davopnz

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Posted: Jun. 25, 2011 - 1:31 AM ET #11

bounce back tonight :)

blackcrow

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Posted: Jun. 25, 2011 - 2:26 AM ET #12

Crusaders -16.5 @ 2.15 Centrebet
With Carter running in the show in the midfield, and Williams back to partner Fruean in the centres, the Sharks are going to have a hard time stopping the Crusaders going forward. As well their pack is quite mobile but also capable of making yards with the pick and drive, and though the Sharks have a decent pack themselves, the Crusaders are playing with extra incentive for their ruined city. The Crusaders beat them by 16 points in London earlier in the season, and with the long travel once again, the Sharks do not handle it. Too much for the Sharks to handle here

Sharks -3.5 @ 2.35 Centrebet
Titans have been ordinary this year, and now they are without Bailey and Campbell, so they are starting to lack options with who is going to lead them out of the slump. The Sharks on the other hand have Gallan and the rest of the side feeds off his efforts and passion. Like them to follow on from their win over the Bulldogs last week with a win over the struggling Titans.

Eels -3.5 @ 2.90 Centrebet
Eels unlucky to lose the Sea Eagles on Monday night and like them to back here with a similar effort. With no Dugan and Campese for the Raiders they lack attacking options, while Hayne for the Eels is more than capable of tearing them apart if he continues on from the form he showed in the Sea Eagles game. Both sets of forwards are pretty much even, while the Eels have the backline to win this one

Rostos

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Posted: Jun. 25, 2011 - 2:41 AM ET #13

Quote Originally Posted by blackcrow:

Sharks -3.5 @ 2.35 Centrebet
Titans have been ordinary this year, and now they are without Bailey and Campbell, so they are starting to lack options with who is going to lead them out of the slump. The Sharks on the other hand have Gallan and the rest of the side feeds off his efforts and passion. Like them to follow on from their win over the Bulldogs last week with a win over the struggling Titans.

Eels -3.5 @ 2.90 Centrebet
Eels unlucky to lose the Sea Eagles on Monday night and like them to back here with a similar effort. With no Dugan and Campese for the Raiders they lack attacking options, while Hayne for the Eels is more than capable of tearing them apart if he continues on from the form he showed in the Sea Eagles game. Both sets of forwards are pretty much even, while the Eels have the backline to win this one

but is he in the mood?

blackcrow

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Posted: Jun. 25, 2011 - 2:56 AM ET #14

He was on Monday night

blackcrow

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Posts: 1195

Posted: Jun. 25, 2011 - 8:45 AM ET #15

Crusaders -16.5 @ 2.15

Sharks -3.5 @ 2.35

Eels -3.5 @ 2.90

blackcrow

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Posts: 1195

Posted: Jun. 25, 2011 - 6:24 PM ET #16

Storm -3.5 @ 2.17 Centrebet
Storm's defence has been brilliant the last 4 weeks where they have allowed just 22 points and it is no wonder that they have managed to win each of them. With strike players like Smith, Slater and Cronk, they have the players to open up this Warriors defence, and like them to continue the NZers misery where they have lost 3 straight and allowed 30 points last week in losing to the Cowboys. Though they have done well against the Storm of late, hard to ignore the difference in form between the two sides, and like the Storm to be too strong for the Warriors

Panthers -5.5 @ 2.16 Centrebet
New coach comes in for the Panthers who he, and the players, will be looking to continue to impress to keep their spots for next year. They get back Lewis who adds much to their attack, and are in some decent form, with 3 wins in their last 5 games. The Cowboys are in better form with 4 wins in their last 5 games, and though they are probably a better side, this is a situational bet, since they do tend to struggle a bit on producing the same form on the road as they do at home. The Panthers know they cannot keep slipping up, as they have no byes left, so like them to be much more committed for their new coach.

Roosters -1.5 @ 2.35 Centrebet
Two average sides looking for some form and consistency. Nothing about either side's form gives you confidence that they will win this but the Roosters are coming off a bye, have several players returning like Minichiello, Pearce and Myles from Origin duty, as well as Perrett, Kenny-Dowall and Masoe from injury, and they look a much better side with these players in it. Furthermore, with wins in their last 6 games in Newcastle, like them to do enough here to win the game

rod_steel

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Posts: 102561

Posted: Jun. 25, 2011 - 6:52 PM ET #17

Loves an alternate line does the blackrow

Roosters and Panthers, BOL

davopnz

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Posts: 6686

Posted: Jun. 25, 2011 - 7:00 PM ET #18

you are a legend

davoz

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Posts: 171

Posted: Jun. 25, 2011 - 7:16 PM ET #19

Like the roosters man bol

snake2710

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Posted: Jun. 25, 2011 - 9:30 PM ET #20

Im on all 3 with ya mate. Hope we both have a good arvo and go 3-0. That would be very nice

Boydy5

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Posted: Jun. 25, 2011 - 9:38 PM ET #21

GL mate

Thinking maybe the knights though...

Boydy5

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Posted: Jun. 25, 2011 - 10:09 PM ET #22

Quote Originally Posted by Boydy5:

GL mate

Thinking maybe the knights though...

Scrap that... Forgot that gidley was out... Playing Roosters 1-12

blackcrow

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Posts: 1195

Posted: Jun. 26, 2011 - 3:31 AM ET #23

Storm -3.5 @ 2.17

Panthers -5.5 @ 2.16

Roosters -1.5 @ 2.35

blackcrow

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Posts: 1195

Posted: Jun. 27, 2011 - 4:00 AM ET #24

Dragons win by 1-12 margin @ 3.00 Centrebet
Not much between these two very good teams but like the Dragons to edge this as they do get back their main players. Both sides focus on defence, and will be hard to break down, but feel the Dragons have the edge in the halves with Soward and Hornby. Also they are hard to beat down in Wollongong, and the Sea Eagles do not have the best reocrd down there. Not by much, but like the Dragons to have enough to win this one.

snake2710

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Posted: Jun. 27, 2011 - 4:03 AM ET #25

Sounds like a good write up. But the birds are the form team at the moment. This should be an under play for me first really. Should be a good game of big hard D

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