Super 15 Week 18

Super 15 YTD 59-40 +80.33 units

Well was not a good w.e last w.e with some tuff losses but going to get back on track for the last round of regular play tonight.

Picks:

Force -6.5 5 units @ $1.90

Well the force have been playing good rugby of late and the Rebels have been so poor. I feel the force finaly get the win and should really do it by DD. THey have really been hitting there straps with of late. The force are 1-5 SU and 3-4-0 ATS so have been ok in their confrence. The Rebels are 2-5-0 ATS and SU. Last time these two teams met the Rebels got it done by a point so would imagine they will have revenge on the mind and will want to prove they are alot better team than what there record suggests.

Highlanders +11.5 5 units @ $1.80

Well imo this is great line value. Yes the Highlanders have been poor of late but so have the Blues and now they are give DD. hmmm. The highlanders have been great this year when getting DD starts. Just feel they will have revenge on the mind after there close game down there in the deep south where Blues got the win. Most of these NZ confrence games have been tight games. The Highlanders are 4-3-0 ATS and SU in the confrence and the Blues are 5-2-0 ATS and SU. However they have lost there last 2 confrence games SU and are 1-1-0 ATS. So they have been in a slump and have lost there last 4 games SU. With there last win against the canes in a close game. Also of note weather does not look flash here in UAckland so maybe buy now coz if the rain comes will drive line down a bit would gues.

Lean: Blues/Highlanders under 42.5 5 units @ $1.83

This is more than likly going to be a play for me. There looks to be bad weather around and both these teams have great under records in the NZ confrence. The Blues are 1-6 on totals and the Highlanders are 2-5 and last time these two met the total was 11-17. So see some value but just holding off atm. Bit low if the weather doesnt pack in.

BOL to you all and hope can finish the regular season in good style.

Rod Steel

RE: Force

Sure... they've been playing better lately, but that's with Nathan Sharpe and James O'Connor in the team. While I am a huge admirer of David Pocock, JOC and Sharpie are key components of this team. I don't see how recent form should really count for anything with their omission tonight.

Rebels farewell three players, plus it's Macqueen's final game as coach. Big crowd expected, I actually give Melbourne a huge chance of a SU win but have also taken the points.

GL regardless.

Alistair

Thanks for that. Had a quick look and did not notice those guys not playing. haha regreting that play now but not gna buy out of it. Will just let it ride coz im very confident on my Highlanders play and now going to lock the under

Pick:

Blues/Highlanders under 42.5 5 units @ $1.83

Have already given the write up just want to lock it in. Hasnt started to rain yet but it is very cold and rain looks like it aint far away. Either way going to be a very cold night. Wind seems to be getting stronger as weel. May play a role in the game. Expect this game to be played in the fowards up the middle and alot of tactical kicking.

Also adding 5 units to my highlander play so now:

Highlanders +11.5 10 units @ $1.80

So this play is now total 10 units. LIke this game to be close and all the stats favour the play. For me great value.

Having a good time today on Golf and MLB and enjoying the extra innings in the Giants/Dbacks game. Good stuff.

BOL all  

 

good luck man

Davoz

Same to u 2

OU is 42.5 at Bet365
OU is 37.5 at SportsTab

OU dropped 5 points to 37.5 at Sportstab in the last 5 minutes.

Rain heavily at Eden Park

ecoute

Yea man Bet365 still has 42.5 they havnt moved the line yet. Yea im 20 mins south of Eden park and raining at mine

Snake2710. Pound it mate.

I'm listening to the coverage on the net through Radio Sport NZ

Luxbet is now 41.5 down from 42.5.

Guys you can also double up on the Line/OU at Sportstab.

Blues (-10.5)/Under 42.5 $3.00
Highlander (+10.5)/Under 42.5 $2.75

Luxbet O/U has been taken off now.

WOw. It's down to 38.5 at my book. Might play Blues 1-12pts @ 2.75.

Well that was great value

Bet365 is now at 38.5

There you go little advantage to the punters. Join the coverage on Newstalk ZB or ask snake and cash in on Bet365 being late to adjust

Snake will tell you that there is strong wind as well which will make penalty kicks harder

...... I will shut up now

Narrow Blues win and we both collect

Shit look at that rain https://www.fromsportcom.com/v-2/8/138/v-293824.html

Got in that under 37.5.

I f###ing tried to bet on the website, then it came back and said the bet size is to big....... Then i had to call up and they said the most i could bet on this was $714......, then i only got it at $1.70......

And people place $10k bets? They wouldnt allow more than $714 from me?