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    All Forums | Rugby

    Simple's RWC 2015

    12 Next Last»
    simple3
    Target2million
    peekay89
    VEGAS25
    Davenz
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    12 Next Last»
     
    simple3
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    Posted: Sep. 9, 2015 - 6:29 AM ET #1

    Hi guys so I post here sporadically. I am well known on twitter, if you want to find me, look at my picture 

    Anyway I will be posting all my RWC 2015 plays here.

    I have a ton of plays already locked in so Ill just attach a link to picture of them: https://simplerugbyblog.files.wordpress.com/2015/09/updated.png?w=769&h=842

    You can also find me in the NFL forum 
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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    Hi guys so I post here sporadically. I am well known on twitter, if you want to find me, look at my picture 

    Anyway I will be posting all my RWC 2015 plays here.

    I have a ton of plays already locked in so Ill just attach a link to picture of them: https://simplerugbyblog.files.wordpress.com/2015/09/updated.png?w=769&h=842

    You can also find me in the NFL forum 
     
    Target2million
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    Posted: Sep. 9, 2015 - 7:06 AM ET #2

    Can you make life simple buddy.  Can not find this. 
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    Can you make life simple buddy.  Can not find this. 
     
    simple3
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    Posted: Sep. 9, 2015 - 7:08 AM ET #3

    What can't you find? My plays? just highlight the link then copy and paste it in your browser 
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    What can't you find? My plays? just highlight the link then copy and paste it in your browser 
     
    simple3
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    Posted: Sep. 10, 2015 - 1:03 AM ET #4

    ITM Cup:

    Southland ML @ $5.39 (1x) - Pinnacle
    Southland +8 @ $2.50 (1x) - Bet365
    Southland +12.5 @ $1.87 (1x) - NZ TAB
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    ITM Cup:

    Southland ML @ $5.39 (1x) - Pinnacle
    Southland +8 @ $2.50 (1x) - Bet365
    Southland +12.5 @ $1.87 (1x) - NZ TAB
     
    peekay89
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    Posted: Sep. 10, 2015 - 1:14 AM ET #5

    BOL Simple.

    Like the ITM plays, will be on the +12.5

    Looking forward to RWC
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    BOL Simple.

    Like the ITM plays, will be on the +12.5

    Looking forward to RWC
     
    VEGAS25
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    Posted: Sep. 10, 2015 - 1:29 AM ET #6

    Southland's best player back and hungry to prove a point with the team who had their worst loss at home in over a decade UP against a Waikato team who have pounded in both their home games.

    Gimme those points and a smaller ML play.  Conditions are conducive to a low scoring front 10 battle. Looking at a U47.5 play also.  GL fellas 
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    Southland's best player back and hungry to prove a point with the team who had their worst loss at home in over a decade UP against a Waikato team who have pounded in both their home games.

    Gimme those points and a smaller ML play.  Conditions are conducive to a low scoring front 10 battle. Looking at a U47.5 play also.  GL fellas 
     
    VEGAS25
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    Posted: Sep. 10, 2015 - 1:35 AM ET #7

    *Waikato have been pounded at home
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    *Waikato have been pounded at home
     
    peekay89
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    Posted: Sep. 10, 2015 - 1:50 AM ET #8

    Vegas25
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    Vegas25
     
    VEGAS25
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    Posted: Sep. 10, 2015 - 1:56 AM ET #9

    Let's Get it PeeKay
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    Let's Get it PeeKay
     
    simple3
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    Posted: Sep. 10, 2015 - 2:59 AM ET #10

    Huge couple of months ahead boys, i'll have my NFL week 1 card up in the NFL forum soon 
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    Huge couple of months ahead boys, i'll have my NFL week 1 card up in the NFL forum soon 
     
    Davenz
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    Posted: Sep. 10, 2015 - 4:51 AM ET #11

    Disagree with most your World Cup plays and tonight. But thanks for posting.
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    Disagree with most your World Cup plays and tonight. But thanks for posting.
     
    simple3
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    Posted: Sep. 10, 2015 - 4:52 AM ET #12

    No worries bud, not here to seek approval 
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    No worries bud, not here to seek approval 
     
    simple3
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    Posted: Sep. 10, 2015 - 5:18 AM ET #13

    ITM Cup:

    2-1 +1.37 units
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    ITM Cup:

    2-1 +1.37 units
     
    VEGAS25
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    Posted: Sep. 10, 2015 - 5:31 AM ET #14

    2 of 3 winners.  Nice job, man.
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    2 of 3 winners.  Nice job, man.
     
    peekay89
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    Posted: Sep. 10, 2015 - 5:35 AM ET #15

    $$$
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    $$$
     
    simple3
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    Posted: Sep. 10, 2015 - 5:43 AM ET #16

    Thanks fellas. Pity Southland didn't sync up until late, they kicked away far too much ball. Those Haloholo brothers are menaces. 
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    Thanks fellas. Pity Southland didn't sync up until late, they kicked away far too much ball. Those Haloholo brothers are menaces. 
     
    peekay89
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    Posted: Sep. 10, 2015 - 7:59 AM ET #17

    I nearly threw up watching Southland in the first half. 

    Could barely catch the ball and had non-existent defence

    Whole different story second half, against the wind as well...
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    I nearly threw up watching Southland in the first half. 

    Could barely catch the ball and had non-existent defence

    Whole different story second half, against the wind as well...
     
    simple3
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    Posted: Sep. 11, 2015 - 12:06 AM ET #18

    ITM Cup:

    Wellington vs Tasman Tribet: Any other result @ $2.62 (1x) – Bet365

    This means either team can win by 7 or less, a draw is a win also.
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    ITM Cup:

    Wellington vs Tasman Tribet: Any other result @ $2.62 (1x) – Bet365

    This means either team can win by 7 or less, a draw is a win also.
     
    simple3
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    Posted: Sep. 11, 2015 - 12:40 AM ET #19

    RWC 2015: Total Tournament Tries over 280.5 @ $1.80 (10x) – Bet365

    A rare 10 unit investment for me(10% of my bankroll)
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    RWC 2015: Total Tournament Tries over 280.5 @ $1.80 (10x) – Bet365

    A rare 10 unit investment for me(10% of my bankroll)
     
    peekay89
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    Posted: Sep. 11, 2015 - 12:48 AM ET #20

    How much is one unit if you don't mind? ($)
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    How much is one unit if you don't mind? ($)
     
    simple3
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    Posted: Sep. 11, 2015 - 12:54 AM ET #21

    Copied this from my NFL thread: 

    Money Management is the foundation of success in Sports Investing, note I say investing not gambling. My goal here is to to differentiate gambling from investing. Let me start by giving you the definition of the two words.

        Gamble: “To bet on an uncertain outcome, as of a contest. To take a risk in the hope of gaining an advantage or a benefit.”
        Invest: “To commit money or capital in order to gain a financial return.”

    Do you understand the subtle difference?

    Gambling is a recreational activity or even worse a destructive addiction which solely relies on luck and often superstition. Investing is a serious activity which requires knowledge, discipline and a gameplan. This is what I hope to teach you in this post.

    Now there are MANY different money management strategies that you can find on the internet, some are a good, some are bad, but ultimately there is no right or wrong strategy. It comes down to what fits your preferences and or circumstances, such is life.


    In this post I will be teaching you the way I choose to manage my money, I tend to opt for an aggressive strategy which may or may not work for you. I will post some tips and tricks for beginners along the way.

    Without further ado…

    I use a unit scale of (1-5x) which (1x) being 1% of total bankroll and (5x) being 5% of my total bankroll. Here’s the magic part, I use compound interest(https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Compound_interest)

    For simplicity lets say your starting bankroll is $1000 a (1x) play would be $10 and a (5x) play would be $50. If you go 2-0 on these plays @ odds of $1.90 you’ll have profited 5.4 units(5.4x) and your bankroll will now be $1054.

    Next time you place a (1x) bet 1% of your bankroll is now $10.54 and a (5x) play(5%) is now $52.7. Do you see where this is going? Your bet size will increase exponentially as your bankroll grows! The beauty of this is, it works the other way too. If you lose money your bet size will decrease exponentially limiting the damage done to your bankroll, and ultimately saving you from going bust.


    The magical number

    52.4%

    This number, 52.4% represents the percentage of bets you must hit @ odds of $1.90 to break even in sports investing. This means anything above 52.4% is PROFIT! In conjuction with the compound interest strategy this is where the fun begins! We’re hitting at a 58.3% clip over at @simplerugbybets with an all time record of 223-166. I’ll let you do the math!

    For Beginners

    If you’re new to this I recommend flat betting(fixed amount of money) every bet until you get your head around all of this, and grow your bankroll a bit. So lets say you’re new and you have a bankroll of $500 or less, I’d recommend betting $20 per play until you build that roll upto $1000 or a point where you feel comfortable enough to start using the compound interest strategy.

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    Copied this from my NFL thread: 

    Money Management is the foundation of success in Sports Investing, note I say investing not gambling. My goal here is to to differentiate gambling from investing. Let me start by giving you the definition of the two words.

        Gamble: “To bet on an uncertain outcome, as of a contest. To take a risk in the hope of gaining an advantage or a benefit.”
        Invest: “To commit money or capital in order to gain a financial return.”

    Do you understand the subtle difference?

    Gambling is a recreational activity or even worse a destructive addiction which solely relies on luck and often superstition. Investing is a serious activity which requires knowledge, discipline and a gameplan. This is what I hope to teach you in this post.

    Now there are MANY different money management strategies that you can find on the internet, some are a good, some are bad, but ultimately there is no right or wrong strategy. It comes down to what fits your preferences and or circumstances, such is life.


    In this post I will be teaching you the way I choose to manage my money, I tend to opt for an aggressive strategy which may or may not work for you. I will post some tips and tricks for beginners along the way.

    Without further ado…

    I use a unit scale of (1-5x) which (1x) being 1% of total bankroll and (5x) being 5% of my total bankroll. Here’s the magic part, I use compound interest(https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Compound_interest)

    For simplicity lets say your starting bankroll is $1000 a (1x) play would be $10 and a (5x) play would be $50. If you go 2-0 on these plays @ odds of $1.90 you’ll have profited 5.4 units(5.4x) and your bankroll will now be $1054.

    Next time you place a (1x) bet 1% of your bankroll is now $10.54 and a (5x) play(5%) is now $52.7. Do you see where this is going? Your bet size will increase exponentially as your bankroll grows! The beauty of this is, it works the other way too. If you lose money your bet size will decrease exponentially limiting the damage done to your bankroll, and ultimately saving you from going bust.


    The magical number

    52.4%

    This number, 52.4% represents the percentage of bets you must hit @ odds of $1.90 to break even in sports investing. This means anything above 52.4% is PROFIT! In conjuction with the compound interest strategy this is where the fun begins! We’re hitting at a 58.3% clip over at @simplerugbybets with an all time record of 223-166. I’ll let you do the math!

    For Beginners

    If you’re new to this I recommend flat betting(fixed amount of money) every bet until you get your head around all of this, and grow your bankroll a bit. So lets say you’re new and you have a bankroll of $500 or less, I’d recommend betting $20 per play until you build that roll upto $1000 or a point where you feel comfortable enough to start using the compound interest strategy.

     
    VEGAS25
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    Posted: Sep. 11, 2015 - 1:46 AM ET #22

    Quote Originally Posted by simple3:

    ITM Cup:

    Wellington vs Tasman Tribet: Any other result @ $2.62 (1x) – Bet365

    This means either team can win by 7 or less, a draw is a win also.


    Isn't it LESS THAN 7?  Since the other options are "WGN by 7 or more" or "TAS by 7 or more.  Essentially making it a +/- 6.5.
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    Quote Originally Posted by simple3:

    ITM Cup:

    Wellington vs Tasman Tribet: Any other result @ $2.62 (1x) – Bet365

    This means either team can win by 7 or less, a draw is a win also.


    Isn't it LESS THAN 7?  Since the other options are "WGN by 7 or more" or "TAS by 7 or more.  Essentially making it a +/- 6.5.
     
    simple3
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    Posted: Sep. 11, 2015 - 1:51 AM ET #23

    Yes you are correct, very devious of 365. It's either by <7 on Williamhill.com.au but only $2.35. In this instance I'm not worried about changing, I'll stick with the play 

    Thanks for the heads up.
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    Yes you are correct, very devious of 365. It's either by <7 on Williamhill.com.au but only $2.35. In this instance I'm not worried about changing, I'll stick with the play 

    Thanks for the heads up.
     
    VEGAS25
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    Posted: Sep. 11, 2015 - 2:36 AM ET #24

    Yeah, they are scam artists.  Got me on what  I thought was a 2nd half team total under when in reality it was the game total.  Surprised to see it was a loser after the event.  Their whole "3 way betting" is set up to entrap.
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    Yeah, they are scam artists.  Got me on what  I thought was a 2nd half team total under when in reality it was the game total.  Surprised to see it was a loser after the event.  Their whole "3 way betting" is set up to entrap.
     
     
    simple3
    simple3
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    Posts: 888
    Posted: Sep. 11, 2015 - 5:19 AM ET #25

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    Well played Tasman 
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    Well played Tasman 
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