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    All Forums | Rugby

    Rugby World Cup Week 4

    12 Next Last»
    snake2710
    phatmaori
    P4P
    UnderandOver
    Seymour24
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    12 Next Last»
     
    snake2710
    snake2710
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    Posted: Sep. 25, 2011 - 11:33 PM ET #1

    Rugby WC YTD 10-14 -35.50 units

    Well we have just the one game tonight and should be interesting to see what the Walesh team do toinght.

    Early lean at the moment would have to be the + points. What do you all think?

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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    Rugby WC YTD 10-14 -35.50 units

    Well we have just the one game tonight and should be interesting to see what the Walesh team do toinght.

    Early lean at the moment would have to be the + points. What do you all think?

     
    phatmaori
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    Posted: Sep. 25, 2011 - 11:48 PM ET #2

    Got the -points, quite high but Namibia backing up quickly from their last game

    May also take Namibia total points under 7.5 later on tonight too

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    Got the -points, quite high but Namibia backing up quickly from their last game

    May also take Namibia total points under 7.5 later on tonight too

     
    P4P
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    Posted: Sep. 25, 2011 - 11:57 PM ET #3

    I could be wrong, but isn't the Wales game against Fiji a lot "bigger" for them? I mean this is still important, but they need to win their last 2 games, and Namibia is clearly the weaker opponent. Have a tough time seeing them win by 59+ given this, but Namibia is pretty terrible afterall.
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    I could be wrong, but isn't the Wales game against Fiji a lot "bigger" for them? I mean this is still important, but they need to win their last 2 games, and Namibia is clearly the weaker opponent. Have a tough time seeing them win by 59+ given this, but Namibia is pretty terrible afterall.
     
    UnderandOver
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2011 - 12:32 AM ET #4

    Nam were dreadful last time out, but surely they can manage one try and that will be enough to cover you'd think.... But then again, these bad teams trying to cover lately has been tough.
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    Nam were dreadful last time out, but surely they can manage one try and that will be enough to cover you'd think.... But then again, these bad teams trying to cover lately has been tough.
     
    snake2710
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2011 - 12:44 AM ET #5

    Pick:

    Namibia +58.5 5 units @ $1.90

    Well for my mind i feel that the Walesh boys wont come out and blow them off the park. Just dont rate them to be at the same attacking level of a SA and think they will have 1 or 2 tries in them as did Russia last night.

    BOL All

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    Pick:

    Namibia +58.5 5 units @ $1.90

    Well for my mind i feel that the Walesh boys wont come out and blow them off the park. Just dont rate them to be at the same attacking level of a SA and think they will have 1 or 2 tries in them as did Russia last night.

    BOL All

     
    P4P
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2011 - 12:58 AM ET #6

    Quote Originally Posted by snake2710:

    Pick:

    Namibia +58.5 5 units @ $1.90

    Well for my mind i feel that the Walesh boys wont come out and blow them off the park. Just dont rate them to be at the same attacking level of a SA and think they will have 1 or 2 tries in them as did Russia last night.

    BOL All



    I'm with you. Not going crazy on this play or anything, but it's definitely worth a standard wager
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    Quote Originally Posted by snake2710:

    Pick:

    Namibia +58.5 5 units @ $1.90

    Well for my mind i feel that the Walesh boys wont come out and blow them off the park. Just dont rate them to be at the same attacking level of a SA and think they will have 1 or 2 tries in them as did Russia last night.

    BOL All



    I'm with you. Not going crazy on this play or anything, but it's definitely worth a standard wager
     
    snake2710
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2011 - 1:00 AM ET #7

    P4P

    Agree not a go crazy play but imo even if they dont cover it is thr right play.

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    P4P

    Agree not a go crazy play but imo even if they dont cover it is thr right play.

     
    phatmaori
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2011 - 2:31 AM ET #8

    Going to take Faletau to score a try @2 instead of Namibia under 7.5 points
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    Going to take Faletau to score a try @2 instead of Namibia under 7.5 points
     
    Seymour24
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2011 - 2:51 AM ET #9

    Nice, he got his try

    My book doesn't offer that bet

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    Nice, he got his try

    My book doesn't offer that bet

     
    phatmaori
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2011 - 3:11 AM ET #10

    My books shit too Seymour lol changing to bet365 soon! Can't believe Wales can give away this many penalties against a tired Namibia side wtf

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    My books shit too Seymour lol changing to bet365 soon! Can't believe Wales can give away this many penalties against a tired Namibia side wtf

     
    phatmaori
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2011 - 3:14 AM ET #11

    Off topic but thoughts on tomorrows games??

    Canada Japan - line at -6.5 for Canada

    Italy USA - line at -20.5 Italy

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    Off topic but thoughts on tomorrows games??

    Canada Japan - line at -6.5 for Canada

    Italy USA - line at -20.5 Italy

     
    snake2710
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2011 - 4:22 AM ET #12

    Rugby WC YTD 10-15 -40.50 units

    Namibia

    Looked good after the first half but went down hill quick in the last 20 mins.

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    Rugby WC YTD 10-15 -40.50 units

    Namibia

    Looked good after the first half but went down hill quick in the last 20 mins.

     
    SAyR
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2011 - 8:08 AM ET #13

    I'm thinking +10.5 USA 1st half line, the 2nd tier countries tend to lose heavily in the 2nd half and the bookies haven't really accounted for that much.

    Canada -6.5 only because I think they are expecting a converted try win by canada and dont want to fall 0.5 points short. That one's more of a guess from me. 

    BOL 
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    I'm thinking +10.5 USA 1st half line, the 2nd tier countries tend to lose heavily in the 2nd half and the bookies haven't really accounted for that much.

    Canada -6.5 only because I think they are expecting a converted try win by canada and dont want to fall 0.5 points short. That one's more of a guess from me. 

    BOL 
     
    Goatieman
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2011 - 8:23 AM ET #14

    Canada -6.5
    TAB is being a little contradictive. It's paying less for Canada 13+ than 12 and under which suggests that people are backing 13+ so the 7 point margin should be covered by that logic.

    Italy -20.5
    Italy will want a bonus point win because Ireland have a better for/against. Italy will most likely not get 4 tries against Ireland which means that they'll have to get the bonus point now if they want a realistic chance of moving through. Also USA played 4 days ago (even if players were rested).
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    Canada -6.5
    TAB is being a little contradictive. It's paying less for Canada 13+ than 12 and under which suggests that people are backing 13+ so the 7 point margin should be covered by that logic.

    Italy -20.5
    Italy will want a bonus point win because Ireland have a better for/against. Italy will most likely not get 4 tries against Ireland which means that they'll have to get the bonus point now if they want a realistic chance of moving through. Also USA played 4 days ago (even if players were rested).
     
    snake2710
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2011 - 5:28 PM ET #15

    I like Italy a lot as said by Goatieman.

    They will for sure want the bounus point and will come out wanting tries against a tired USA team.

    At the moment im leaning the way of Japan. Think they will challange the Canadains this arvo in which should be a good match up. But havnt looked at the game much.

    Both are just early leans.

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    I like Italy a lot as said by Goatieman.

    They will for sure want the bounus point and will come out wanting tries against a tired USA team.

    At the moment im leaning the way of Japan. Think they will challange the Canadains this arvo in which should be a good match up. But havnt looked at the game much.

    Both are just early leans.

     
    snake2710
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2011 - 5:31 PM ET #16

    Phatmaori

    Sayr

    Goatieman

    Seymour

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    Phatmaori

    Sayr

    Goatieman

    Seymour

     
    snake2710
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2011 - 5:32 PM ET #17

    Oh and will have my NFL play up bit later on in that forum.

    leaning the way on Redskins atm.

    Also like in the MLB the tribe and the Balt Os. 2 very nice dogs with good pitchers on the mound.

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    Oh and will have my NFL play up bit later on in that forum.

    leaning the way on Redskins atm.

    Also like in the MLB the tribe and the Balt Os. 2 very nice dogs with good pitchers on the mound.

     
    phatmaori
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2011 - 8:00 PM ET #18

    Whatup Goatieman!! Haha decided to sign up did you?

    Gonna take Italy -20.5

    Canada -12.5 pays more than 13+

    $2.40 to $2.55 lol

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    Whatup Goatieman!! Haha decided to sign up did you?

    Gonna take Italy -20.5

    Canada -12.5 pays more than 13+

    $2.40 to $2.55 lol

     
    phatmaori
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2011 - 8:58 PM ET #19

    Here's what I ended up taking..

    Canada -6.5 @1.87

    Pritchard to score @2.00

    Italy -20.5 @1.87

    Need to win some!

     

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    Here's what I ended up taking..

    Canada -6.5 @1.87

    Pritchard to score @2.00

    Italy -20.5 @1.87

    Need to win some!

     

     
    Goatieman
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2011 - 9:10 PM ET #20

    Sup Phatmaori, apparently i did ages ago but I never knew I had an account haha.

    That's funny man, told you the TAB was being contradictive. Time to win some money.
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    Sup Phatmaori, apparently i did ages ago but I never knew I had an account haha.

    That's funny man, told you the TAB was being contradictive. Time to win some money.
     
    phatmaori
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2011 - 9:14 PM ET #21

    Also adding a multi of..

    Canada -3.5 / Italy -15.5 / Georgia -6.5

    Sorry for hijacking your thread snake haha

     

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    Also adding a multi of..

    Canada -3.5 / Italy -15.5 / Georgia -6.5

    Sorry for hijacking your thread snake haha

     

     
    CrazyMilkMan
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2011 - 10:54 PM ET #22

    Goodluck phat. Im against you on nucks and italy. Both dogs seem to play well enough to cover.
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    Goodluck phat. Im against you on nucks and italy. Both dogs seem to play well enough to cover.
     
    snake2710
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    Posted: Sep. 27, 2011 - 1:05 AM ET #23

    Well sorry guys been out all arvo.

    Picks:

    Italy -20.5 5 units @ $1.80

    Well for my opinion the Italians will come out and score tries in an effort to get the bonus point. USA will be tired and think they give up a few points in the last 20 as have many of the weaker teams over psat week.

    BOL All

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    Well sorry guys been out all arvo.

    Picks:

    Italy -20.5 5 units @ $1.80

    Well for my opinion the Italians will come out and score tries in an effort to get the bonus point. USA will be tired and think they give up a few points in the last 20 as have many of the weaker teams over psat week.

    BOL All

     
    phatmaori
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    Posted: Sep. 27, 2011 - 1:43 AM ET #24

    Soooooo fucked, bankroll taken a massive hit  

    Need Italy to save me some

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    Soooooo fucked, bankroll taken a massive hit  

    Need Italy to save me some

     
     
    P4P
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    Posted: Sep. 27, 2011 - 1:53 AM ET #25

    Quote Originally Posted by phatmaori:

    Soooooo fucked, bankroll taken a massive hit  

    Need Italy to save me some



    Pritchard getting injured absolutely killed Canada. Yes, Japan outplayed them badly in the first half, but that replacement kicker also missed 4 kicks, including one absolute gimme that he nailed off the post. That was the difference right there
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    Quote Originally Posted by phatmaori:

    Soooooo fucked, bankroll taken a massive hit  

    Need Italy to save me some



    Pritchard getting injured absolutely killed Canada. Yes, Japan outplayed them badly in the first half, but that replacement kicker also missed 4 kicks, including one absolute gimme that he nailed off the post. That was the difference right there
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