NRL Week 23

NRL YTD 179-153-5 +29.80 units

Have been looking over my early leans and here are my plays for the evening people.

Picks:

Chooks -1.5 2 units @ $1.90

Chooks looked good last week and i know the Eels have been much improved of late but tonight they do full under the stat that MNF dog that loses the next week is 2-9 Su and 3-8-0 ATS. So really that gives the Chooks a large leg up and they should really turn up to play tonight. The Chooks are 7-12-1 Su and 11-9-0 ATS for the season and have been good as you can see at covering the number. The Eels are 5-15 Su and 9-11-0 ATS for the season so the Chooks have the advantage there and the MNF trend to boot, the Chooks are the right play here.

Chooks Time of First Try before 14 mins 30 secs 2 units @ $1.90

Warriors +8.5 2 unit @ $1.90

I expect a bounce back week here for the Warriors and the cowgurls to be weaker on D this week after the game last week. They were really good on D and i think they let in a few easy points and the warriors have a good chance at the Su win here. The Warriros are 8-12 Su and ATS for the season while the Cowgurls are 11-9 Su and 10-10-0 ATS so both have been in the middle all year in covering the number so will take the points in this match up.

Cowgurls/Warriors over 45.5 3 unit @ $1.90

THIS GAME WILL BE A TRACK MEET. Both these teams have been over teams all season and after the way the cowgurls D played last week i cant see them turning up like that 2 weeks in a row. The Warriors are 15-5 on totals for the season and have been money all season for me and other over bettors. The Cowgurls are 12-8 on totals so also have a good record to the over and should be a few points in this game tonight.

Warriors Time of First Try Before 19 mins 30 secs 2 units @ $1.90

Saints +4.0 1 unit @ $1.90

This is another play based on a MNF trend. When the Fav wins on MNF the next week they are 4-6 Su and 3-7-0 ATS. So with that in mind the Saints have to be the play with the points and the Tigers have been very hit and miss all year. They only won last week due to a poor para D. This Saints D may not be what it has been in the past but much better than that of Para. So will take my Chances with the points in this match up. Saints are 9-11 Su and 7-13-0 ATS so have been weak ATS but i still believe they are the right play. The Tigers are 10-10 Su and 7-13-0 ATS for the season so equally as bad and in this one with the trend favouring Saints will have to make them my play.

Try Scorers for the games tonight:

Tautau Moga 1 unit @ $1.90

Jake Mullaney 2 units @ $1.80

Bill Tupou 1 unit @ $1.90

BOL

Phatty

Yea that Tigers TT under could be worth a shot. Would back the saints D to hold them out

adding this large play,

Pick:

Warriors/Cowgurls over 45.5 6 units @ $1.90

BOL

NRL YTD 179-153-5 +22.20 units

Well the only way to describe last night was horrible and not even sure want to take a stab at the games for today. Just omg.

Time for a bounce back today, enough said really,

Picks:

Raiders -1.5 2 units @ $1.90

They have burned me more than others of late but im going to stick with them today. They have been pretty good away from home and should have no trouble getting up for this game knowing they need the win to stay in the race for finals footy. The raiders are 9-11 Su and ATS for the season and the Panthers are 6-14 Su and 8-12-0 ATS for the season. The Panthers just coming off a pasting at the hands of the storm and cant see them bouncing back from that.

Raiders/Panthers over 46.0 4 units @ $1.90

These are 2 of the worest teams on D all season and think this game should be full of points. The Raiders are 12-8 on totals for the season and the Panthers are 11-8-1 on totals for the season. So with both clubs over the .500 mark for totals this game should be a pointathon and a shitfeast that you want to watch just to see how many points can be scored.

Broncos +10.0 2 units @ $1.90

This almost seems to good to be true. The Broncos getting DD's in a game they really must win. True they have been very poor in recent time since the Origin games but they should have enough to keep the game close this arvo and with couple guys out for the Doggies that generate so much go foward and room for their outside backs to play i think that will be a huge loss today. The Broncos are 11-9 Su and 10-10-0 ATS for the season while the table topping DOggies are 15-5 Su and 16-3-1 ATS and on a 10 game winning streak. They have been money most the season for me but like the Broncos to cover the number today.

BOL

ROD

LunchBox

Just wind mate nothing else

Kas and Graham are both out. Kas hasnt been there for a few weeks but Graham has been taking a lot of the middle hard work and with him out they may lack that go foward.

Richmond

Blackcrow

 Watch James Gavet

Going to add 2 more plays for the day after looking over the games today,

Picks:

Broncos/Doggies under 42.5 2 units @ $1.90

This game has under written all over it. The Doggies are 9-11 on totals for the season and the Broncos are 8-12 on totals for the season. I usually hate to play unders but believe this game will be low scoring. The Doggies may struggle to get meters in the middle of the park and the Broncos have not had much in recent times in attack. Under is the right play and the number is pretty handy as well.

Raiders Time of First Try before 14 mins 30 secs 2 units @ $1.90

Raiders Su 3 units @ $1.80

BOL

NRL YTD 184-164-5 +24.10 units

Raiders

Over

Time of Try

Broncos

Under

Davo

Well here goes for tonight people, looking over the game all day and have a good feeling about the game tonight.

Monday Night Football Stats:

Dogs Su: 10-10-1

Dogs ATS: 12-9-0 ATS

Totals: 15-4

Picks:

Sharks Su 2 units @ $1.90

Well the Sharks have it all to play for tonight as do the Knights but just think this sharks team have the right game to defend the knights and win the game and get in touch for a top 4 spot. They got a good tune up game last week to get back on the right page and think they keep that form running tonight. The Sharks are 11-8-1 Su and 12-8-0 ATS for the season and have been very good value all season as a dog, with 9 of their 11 wins coming as dogs. The Knights are 9-11 Su and ATS for the season and have only won 4 times of thier 9 as the fav. Also just to note on MNF in this points range the Dogs are 4-4-0 ATS so worth a shot as Su.

Sharks 1-12 margin 1 unit @ $3.20

Sharks/Knights under 39.5 3 units @ $1.90

Although as you can see above MNF has been an overs night of footy all season both these teams are unders teams all the way and that is the way i have to go. As i said yesterday i hate to play unders but this another perfect spot for the under play. The Sharks are 6-14 on totals for the season while the Knights are 7-13 on totals for the season. I think that both these teams come to play hard on D and we have a low scoring battling game.

BOL