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    All Forums | Rugby

    NRL Grand Final Plays (2014)...

    123 Next Last»
    emkee
    melossinglet
    micalf
    Rostos
    BetCrimes1984
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    emkee
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    Posted: Oct. 5, 2014 - 3:32 AM ET #1

    Finals: 

    7-1 (+14.17)

    Overall:

    58-47 (+19.5)

    Had a decent run in the Finals after an indifferent season.
     
    Canterbury Bulldogs v South Sydney Rabbitohs

    The play...

    Rabbitohs -6.5 (2.7 to win 2)

    Not risking anything outrageous, keeping it a relatively standard play. Trimmed the spread down via the 'Tri-Bet' which is available at most books, not a fan of laying more than 8 against a solid goal kicker even though I like the Bunnies to roll the Dogs by plenty. Dogs will miss the niggle of Ennis, he got in Adam Reynold's head the last time out. Opening line told no lies, imo.

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    Finals: 

    7-1 (+14.17)

    Overall:

    58-47 (+19.5)

    Had a decent run in the Finals after an indifferent season.
     
    Canterbury Bulldogs v South Sydney Rabbitohs

    The play...

    Rabbitohs -6.5 (2.7 to win 2)

    Not risking anything outrageous, keeping it a relatively standard play. Trimmed the spread down via the 'Tri-Bet' which is available at most books, not a fan of laying more than 8 against a solid goal kicker even though I like the Bunnies to roll the Dogs by plenty. Dogs will miss the niggle of Ennis, he got in Adam Reynold's head the last time out. Opening line told no lies, imo.

     
    melossinglet
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    Posted: Oct. 5, 2014 - 3:47 AM ET #2

    awesome!!!!...was waiting to see wat side you were on...im thinking it could be super tight but maybe rabbits pull away a bit at the tail end,got them ML in a few parlays...lets go souths!!!!!
    are you american or an ex-pat aussie/kiwi??if you dont mind me asking??
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    awesome!!!!...was waiting to see wat side you were on...im thinking it could be super tight but maybe rabbits pull away a bit at the tail end,got them ML in a few parlays...lets go souths!!!!!
    are you american or an ex-pat aussie/kiwi??if you dont mind me asking??
     
    emkee
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    Posted: Oct. 5, 2014 - 3:48 AM ET #3

    In the Bunnies' 17 wins this season only 1 has been by less than 7 points and they have won 15 of the 17 by 13+.

    Moral of the story is the Bunnies win and cover or lose straight-up, no middle ground.
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    In the Bunnies' 17 wins this season only 1 has been by less than 7 points and they have won 15 of the 17 by 13+.

    Moral of the story is the Bunnies win and cover or lose straight-up, no middle ground.
     
    micalf
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    Posted: Oct. 5, 2014 - 3:51 AM ET #4

     Up the Bunnies
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     Up the Bunnies
     
    emkee
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    Posted: Oct. 5, 2014 - 3:52 AM ET #5

    Quote Originally Posted by melossinglet:

    awesome!!!!...was waiting to see wat side you were on...im thinking it could be super tight but maybe rabbits pull away a bit at the tail end,got them ML in a few parlays...lets go souths!!!!!
    are you american or an ex-pat aussie/kiwi??if you dont mind me asking??

    Ex-pat Kiwi, been mostly state-side last 20 years.
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    Quote Originally Posted by melossinglet:

    awesome!!!!...was waiting to see wat side you were on...im thinking it could be super tight but maybe rabbits pull away a bit at the tail end,got them ML in a few parlays...lets go souths!!!!!
    are you american or an ex-pat aussie/kiwi??if you dont mind me asking??

    Ex-pat Kiwi, been mostly state-side last 20 years.
     
    melossinglet
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    Posted: Oct. 5, 2014 - 3:56 AM ET #6

    oh,no shi.t??im in auckland,wat part of the country you originate from??assume you caught the all blacks game this mornin??
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    oh,no shi.t??im in auckland,wat part of the country you originate from??assume you caught the all blacks game this mornin??
     
    Rostos
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    Posted: Oct. 5, 2014 - 4:01 AM ET #7

    On Dogs +8.5

    Souths played there GF last week.

    Only 2 players have played in a GF for Souths, 1 is a winger.

    14 players have played and lost a GF for the dogs 2 years ago.

    Luke is a massive loss, he is the one that jumps from dummy half after quick play the balls from the big Souths pack. However, his loss will be felt defensively. He is very very strong.

    Souths halves have never played in a big game like this.

    While origin burdened our halves when they came back, it is exactly now they will benefit from that experience.

    Ennis is a big loss, massive loss, especially defensively. However, offensively, he is not very good. He is very slow, doesn't get a jump. Having Mbye there will be an advantage offensively.

    Looking forward for Trex trampling at Keary......

    The Cows a few weeks ago put the blue print on how to beat these Bunnies...

    Anyways, who knows, the side that completes it sets and gets a stroke of luck will get up.

     

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    On Dogs +8.5

    Souths played there GF last week.

    Only 2 players have played in a GF for Souths, 1 is a winger.

    14 players have played and lost a GF for the dogs 2 years ago.

    Luke is a massive loss, he is the one that jumps from dummy half after quick play the balls from the big Souths pack. However, his loss will be felt defensively. He is very very strong.

    Souths halves have never played in a big game like this.

    While origin burdened our halves when they came back, it is exactly now they will benefit from that experience.

    Ennis is a big loss, massive loss, especially defensively. However, offensively, he is not very good. He is very slow, doesn't get a jump. Having Mbye there will be an advantage offensively.

    Looking forward for Trex trampling at Keary......

    The Cows a few weeks ago put the blue print on how to beat these Bunnies...

    Anyways, who knows, the side that completes it sets and gets a stroke of luck will get up.

     

     
    emkee
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    Posted: Oct. 5, 2014 - 4:03 AM ET #8

    Much has also been made about the NRL judiciary’s decision to suspend South Sydney hooker Issac Luke for a dangerous throw of an opponent last week. Several experts have discussed how important he is to his side and how their chances of winning are diminished in his absence.

    Recent data really does not support this viewpoint at all. Between 2007 and 2011, the side won only once from the nine games he missed (11% win rate) compared to 48 wins from the 101 games he played (47% win rate).

    Since 2012, his presence or absence hasn’t seemed nearly as critical – this season they won 7 of the 11 games he missed (64% win rate). Like much often-quoted sports wisdom, this statement has seemingly lingered for longer than the data can supports its claims to be true.

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    Much has also been made about the NRL judiciary’s decision to suspend South Sydney hooker Issac Luke for a dangerous throw of an opponent last week. Several experts have discussed how important he is to his side and how their chances of winning are diminished in his absence.

    Recent data really does not support this viewpoint at all. Between 2007 and 2011, the side won only once from the nine games he missed (11% win rate) compared to 48 wins from the 101 games he played (47% win rate).

    Since 2012, his presence or absence hasn’t seemed nearly as critical – this season they won 7 of the 11 games he missed (64% win rate). Like much often-quoted sports wisdom, this statement has seemingly lingered for longer than the data can supports its claims to be true.

     
    emkee
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    Posted: Oct. 5, 2014 - 4:08 AM ET #9

    Quote Originally Posted by melossinglet:

    oh,no shi.t??im in auckland,wat part of the country you originate from??assume you caught the all blacks game this mornin??

    Auckland here too. Always catch the AB's games over here in San Diego, got a few Kiwi-themed bars around and a pretty big ex-pat contingent. 
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    Quote Originally Posted by melossinglet:

    oh,no shi.t??im in auckland,wat part of the country you originate from??assume you caught the all blacks game this mornin??

    Auckland here too. Always catch the AB's games over here in San Diego, got a few Kiwi-themed bars around and a pretty big ex-pat contingent. 
     
    micalf
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    Posted: Oct. 5, 2014 - 4:12 AM ET #10

    Koroisau is a gun, Mbye isn't a #9
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    Koroisau is a gun, Mbye isn't a #9
     
    melossinglet
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    Posted: Oct. 5, 2014 - 4:16 AM ET #11

    nice....i bet the feckin weather sure beats this 5 seasons in one day shi.t we put up with round here,hehehe....such is life wen you stuck on a small island in the middle of the ocean

    rostos,wat rationale do you use to come to the conclusion that souths played their GF already??has anything been said or done that hinted at satisfaction or complacency??
    yep,luke is a big loss theres no way of arguing against it,but then again hes also the most likely to have a ridiculous brain explosion as well and stitch his own team up....now its left up to idiots like ben te'o and josh reynolds to take that mantle

    you been a dogs supporter your whole life,dude??rostos
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    nice....i bet the feckin weather sure beats this 5 seasons in one day shi.t we put up with round here,hehehe....such is life wen you stuck on a small island in the middle of the ocean

    rostos,wat rationale do you use to come to the conclusion that souths played their GF already??has anything been said or done that hinted at satisfaction or complacency??
    yep,luke is a big loss theres no way of arguing against it,but then again hes also the most likely to have a ridiculous brain explosion as well and stitch his own team up....now its left up to idiots like ben te'o and josh reynolds to take that mantle

    you been a dogs supporter your whole life,dude??rostos
     
    BetCrimes1984
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    Posted: Oct. 5, 2014 - 4:31 AM ET #12

    BOL emkee.

     

     The line for tonight's 1st half total is 18.5 pts, but these 2 teams have conceded only 18 total pts in their combined 4 1st halves so far in these playoffs (both pitching at least 1 shutout). Finals usually have a pattern of being tight in the 1st half/higher scoring in the 2nd half anyway unless one team just steamrolls the other from the get-go, so I've got a small bet on the Under.

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    BOL emkee.

     

     The line for tonight's 1st half total is 18.5 pts, but these 2 teams have conceded only 18 total pts in their combined 4 1st halves so far in these playoffs (both pitching at least 1 shutout). Finals usually have a pattern of being tight in the 1st half/higher scoring in the 2nd half anyway unless one team just steamrolls the other from the get-go, so I've got a small bet on the Under.

     
    icemantbi
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    Posted: Oct. 5, 2014 - 4:35 AM ET #13

    I'm up late, haven't bet rugby in years but tailing and took a shot at bunnies -8 for some middle of the night action
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    I'm up late, haven't bet rugby in years but tailing and took a shot at bunnies -8 for some middle of the night action
     
    icemantbi
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    Posted: Oct. 5, 2014 - 4:37 AM ET #14

    Wow guy broke his cheekbone
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    Wow guy broke his cheekbone
     
    Rostos
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    Posted: Oct. 5, 2014 - 4:37 AM ET #15

    Here we go, 2 drop balls in a row,.
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    Here we go, 2 drop balls in a row,.
     
    icemantbi
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    Posted: Oct. 5, 2014 - 4:40 AM ET #16

    Punch it in bunnies!
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    Punch it in bunnies!
     
    icemantbi
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    Posted: Oct. 5, 2014 - 4:42 AM ET #17

    Try Bunnies!!

    Great start!
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    Try Bunnies!!

    Great start!
     
    Rostos
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    Posted: Oct. 5, 2014 - 4:42 AM ET #18

    Dodged a bullet there

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    Dodged a bullet there

     
    icemantbi
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    Posted: Oct. 5, 2014 - 4:44 AM ET #19

    No try, not sure why. Don't follow rugby much
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    No try, not sure why. Don't follow rugby much
     
    Rostos
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    Posted: Oct. 5, 2014 - 4:52 AM ET #20

    Quote Originally Posted by icemantbi:

    No try, not sure why. Don't follow rugby much

    You cant hit someone in the head

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    Quote Originally Posted by icemantbi:

    No try, not sure why. Don't follow rugby much

    You cant hit someone in the head

     
    icemantbi
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    Posted: Oct. 5, 2014 - 4:56 AM ET #21

    Quote Originally Posted by Rostos:

    Quote Originally Posted by icemantbi:

    No try, not sure why. Don't follow rugby much

    You cant hit someone in the head


    Ahh OK that's what I thought
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    Quote Originally Posted by Rostos:

    Quote Originally Posted by icemantbi:

    No try, not sure why. Don't follow rugby much

    You cant hit someone in the head


    Ahh OK that's what I thought
     
    icemantbi
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    Posted: Oct. 5, 2014 - 4:57 AM ET #22

    Bunnies try!
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    Bunnies try!
     
    Rostos
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    Posted: Oct. 5, 2014 - 4:57 AM ET #23

    I seriously cant believe how bad we look...

    Dropped ball after dropped ball after drop ball.

    As I said, you cant complete, you don't win.

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    I seriously cant believe how bad we look...

    Dropped ball after dropped ball after drop ball.

    As I said, you cant complete, you don't win.

     
    melossinglet
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    Posted: Oct. 5, 2014 - 4:58 AM ET #24

    Quote Originally Posted by icemantbi:

    No try, not sure why. Don't follow rugby much
    there was a high tackle by the scoring team leading up to the try,mate...so a penalty was given against them....cant hit above the neck
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    Quote Originally Posted by icemantbi:

    No try, not sure why. Don't follow rugby much
    there was a high tackle by the scoring team leading up to the try,mate...so a penalty was given against them....cant hit above the neck
     
     
    melossinglet
    melossinglet
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    Posted: Oct. 5, 2014 - 5:06 AM ET #25

    rostos,i told you about this rabbits defense...forget about their completions....how are the DOGS gonna complete well if theyre being pressured and marched backwards in tackles 4 times out of 6??
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    rostos,i told you about this rabbits defense...forget about their completions....how are the DOGS gonna complete well if theyre being pressured and marched backwards in tackles 4 times out of 6??
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