Posted:
#1
Howdy everyone, glad to be back, sad I missed the first few games but alas here we go! 
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NRL from Texas 2018
Posted:
#3
Round 3 Picks for Friday:
Canterbury Bulldogs +4 v Penrith Panthers
Canterbury Bulldogs +130 over Penrith Panthers
*Interesting Stat of the Game: Starting in 2008, home underdogs [AKA Canterbury] who are +4 or more in the first four rounds of the season are 41-13 ATS
Wests Tigers/Brisbane Broncos u36½
*Interesting Stat of the Game: 7x these teams have met at Campbelltown and the Broncos have 6 wins and 1 draw.
*Interesting Stat of the Game: 8/11 meetings have tallied less than 38 points.
*Interesting State of the Game: The under is 14 of 18 when the Tigers are underdogs at home.
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Posted:
#6
Round 3 Picks for Saturday:
Canberra Raiders/New Zealand Warriors o46½
*Interesting Stat of the Game: Six of the last nine have gone 48 or more points.
*Interesting Stat of the Game: The over is 12-4 when Canberra comes home as a favorite, following a loss.
*Interesting Stat of the Game: New Zealand is 2-16 in their last 18 in Australia
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Posted:
#8
Round 3 Picks for Sunday:
Gold Coast Titans +185 over St. George Illawarra Dragons
Gold Coast Titans +7½ versus St. Goerge Illawarra Dragons
Gold Coast Titans/St. George Illawarra Dragons o44
*Interesting Stat of the Game: 4/6 of the last six matches have gone over 40 points
*Interesting Stat of the Game: Gold Coast have covered 7 of their last 17 as a favorite of 4½ or more.
*St. George has covered just 3 of their last 10 day games.
Sydney Roosters -8½ over Newcastle Knights
Sydney Roosters/Newcastle Knights o43
*Interesting Stat of the Game: Sydney have won four straight and eight of their last nine against the Knights with all of those wins coming by margins of 16+
*Interesting Stat of the Game: Sydney has scored 28-plus in six of their last eight against the Knights.
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Posted:
#9
Round 3:
Canterbury Bulldogs +4 v Penrith Panthers
Canterbury Bulldogs +130 over Penrith Panthers
Wests Tigers/Brisbane Broncos u36½
Canberra Raiders/New Zealand Warriors o46½
Gold Coast Titans +185 over St. George Illawarra Dragons
Gold Coast Titans +7½ versus St. Goerge Illawarra Dragons
Gold Coast Titans/St. George Illawarra Dragons o44
Sydney Roosters -8½ over Newcastle Knights
Sydney Roosters/Newcastle Knights o43
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Posted:
#10
Round 1 - DNP
Round 2 - DNP
Round 3 - 6/3/0
Round 4:
North Queensland Cowboys -10½ -120 over Penrith Panthers
*Interesting Stat[s] of the Game: Penrith have trailed 14-0 early in all three matches this year
NQC has won 7/9 against Penrith since 2011, with five straight coming in Townsville.
NQC has covered 13/18 off a loss at home.
NQC has covered 12/18 off back-to-back losses.
The Panthers are 6-11 ATS interstate since 2015 with an 11-6 under records.
I lean the under here as well with the stat that the last four matches between these two clubs have gone have finished at 41 points or fewer.
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Posted:
#12
Round 4: 0/1/0
South Sydney Rabbitohs -2 over Canterbury Bulldogs
South Sydney Rabbitohs/Canterbury Bulldogs u43½
*Interesting Stat[s] of the Game: Rabbitohs have won the last 7/11 v Canterbury, all played at ANZ and 7/9 contests have failed to go over 42 points
Melbourne Storm -4 over Cronulla Sharks
Melbourne Storm/Cronulla Sharks u37½
*Interesting Stat[s] of the Game: The Storm has won 4/6 at Shark Park.
The last six Sharks-Storm meetings have all failed to break 32 combined points, averaging 25.7 points per game.
Melbourne have covered 8/9 interstates after conceding 14 or fewer points.
The Storm has covered 11/14 interstate games while they are 9-4 ATS as interstate favourites under a converted try.
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Posted:
#15
Round 4: 3/2/0
New Zealand Warriors +11 versus Sydney Roosters
New Zealand Warriors/Sydney Roosters u42
*Interesting Stat[s] of the Game: 3/4 matches have finished at 27 points or fewer
Canberra Raiders +4½ versus Manly Sea Eagles
Canberra Raiders/Manly Sea Eagles o44½
*Interesting Stat[s] of the Game:
The last eight matches have all topped 38 with six surpassing 45.
Both matches last year were decided by margins of 1 and 2 points.
Manly has covered 6/9 at Brookvale, while they are 5-2 ATS off a loss of 13+.
Manly has covered just 4/11 as a favorite at Brookvale.
Canberra is 25-13 ATS with a 24-14 over record away from Canberra Stadium since 2015, including a 14-4 ATS record at night.
As a road underdog, the Raiders are 16-6 ATS.
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Posted:
#17
Round 4: 6/3/0
St. George Illawarra Dragons -10½ over Newcastle Knights
St. George Illawarra Dragons/Newcastle Knights o45
*Interesting Stat[s] of the Game: St George Illawarra have won 18 of the last 24 meetings against Newcastle dating back to 2004.
4/5 matches between the two have totaled over 48 points.
The Knights have covered just 2 of their last 7 road games after scoring 10 or fewer.
Brisbane Broncos -11 over Gold Coast Titans
Brisbane Broncos/Gold Coast Titans u44½
*Interesting Stat[s] of the Game: Brisbane has won seven straight with five coming by double digits.
Brisbane have not lost to the Gold Coast at Suncorp since the first-ever meeting between the teams in 2007 with only one margin smaller than 14 points since 2009.
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