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NRL Finals Plays (Week One)...

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Posted: #1
52-42 (+12.56)

Finals time.

Went 8-1 in last year's Finals, hopefully it's more of the same.

Melbourne Storm at Sydney Roosters

The play...

Roosters -6.5 $1.80 (2.5 to win 2)

At first glance leaned Storm but after dissecting the numbers am going the other way. 

Square but it is what it is.

Storm's weakness is playing teams with big bodies that can bend their defensive line, exactly what the Chooks are made off. 

 
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Posted: #2
Storm are my team and I usually don't bet against them in principle but you're on the right side here.

There are certain teams and lineups Storm just aren't suited against, Chooks are one of them.
 
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Posted: #3
I think storm +15.5.  @1.50 not bad bet too.    

Itm cup.  Wellington weather is looking good.    Totals 53.5 over not bad bet too.


Rooster under20 win @1.45

Im leaning all these play today..



Hows the weather for afl game pk.    May   bet westcoast +20.5.  


Bythe way emkee  


 
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Posted: #4

Quote Originally Posted by peekay89:

Storm are my team and I usually don't bet against them in principle but you're on the right side here.

There are certain teams and lineups Storm just aren't suited against, Chooks are one of them.

Its 1-1 this year and the game they lost the Storm were depleted.

 
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Posted: #5
Quote Originally Posted by Rostos:

Its 1-1 this year and the game they lost the Storm were depleted.


Only Billy missed that game and it was in Melbourne and the refs blew every penalty on the Chooks.


 
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Posted: #6
It may be 1-1 this year but storm are bash and crash, very well drilled and structured.

Roosters have too much athleticism and pure talent
 
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Posted: #7
Target - I don't live in Perth but checking the weather reports and what I have heard it will definately rain during the game...

And it was pouring down rain all day yesterday but seems to have been quite dry today.

These stadiums are very well built and drain water quite quickly, but it can still be very slippery under foot.
 
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Posted: #8
For the AFL, expecting rain in the second half, first half highest scoring could be a good bet: $1.94
 
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Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by emkee:


Only Billy missed that game and it was in Melbourne and the refs blew every penalty on the Chooks.


I am talking about the game at the sfs

 
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Posted: #10
Quote Originally Posted by Rostos:

I am talking about the game at the sfs


Same again, only Billy was missing and the refs blew 11 penalties to 6 on the Chooks yet they won 24-2.
 
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Posted: #11
Expecting a heap of late money to be on the Storm spread.
 
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Posted: #12
You were right, the line's dropped.  7.5 on Pinnacle, with a -6 option for 1.84
 
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Posted: #13
And it's still raining Storm money


Jumped on Roosters -5.5 @1.847 on Pinnacle.

 
 
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Posted: #14
Quote Originally Posted by VEGAS25:

You were right, the line's dropped.  7.5 on Pinnacle, with a -6 option for 1.84

Can be a good or bad thing although outside of Round 1, the late surge generally loses. Fact that the majority of the cash is on the Chooks ML is concerning.

Spread is now 6.5, Cam Smith looks like sh!t. Expecting the Storm to fatigue but Jennings is up to his old tricks.

Cordner seems injured which is also big.
 
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Posted: #15
Cronk has looked terrible so far. Storm lucky to be behind by 2 only considering they had to made 40 more tackles just in that half.
 
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Posted: #16
Like the OV30.5 but it's at 1.83 on 365, that juice is highway robbery.
 
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Posted: #17
Remembering last year the Roosters were up by 2 at the half and lost the game 19-18 to the Panthers. Surely Trent Robinson reminds them and they assert their advantages in the forwards.
 
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Posted: #18
Took Roosters OV18.5 TT @ 1.909
 
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Posted: #19
Sloppy, just sloppy
 
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Posted: #20
i had rooster +5.5 and cashed out with small profit.  rooster may chock this game.  
 
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Posted: #21
F'n roosters playing like pigeons 2nd half.
 
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Posted: #22
WHAT A TRY!
 
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Posted: #23
Lazy play by the Chooks cost them. 

They played their Grand Final last week vs Souths.
 
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Posted: #24
Poor misread last night. Ignored the Chooks 1-6 ATS stretch in their last 7 Finals games. Sydney also a funny team when they're carrying all the betting money, been like that all year.

adding...

North Queensland Cowboys at Brisbane Broncos

The play...

Cowboys +3.5 (3.3 to win 3)

Fave play of the 1st week. 

 
 
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Posted: #25
Fair bit of money for the Dragons plus the points it appears.

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