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    All Forums | Rugby

    ITM Cup Week 6

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    phatmaori
    jabbathehutt
    rod_steel
    Target2million
    VEGAS25
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    phatmaori
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    Posted: Sep. 15, 2015 - 3:50 PM ET #1

    YTD 27-14

    Tasman Over 5.5 Tries @2.00

    Waiting for tomorrows game, Wellington has an awesome squad so backing them especially at 13.5

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    YTD 27-14

    Tasman Over 5.5 Tries @2.00

    Waiting for tomorrows game, Wellington has an awesome squad so backing them especially at 13.5

     
    jabbathehutt
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    Posted: Sep. 15, 2015 - 4:21 PM ET #2

    % of cap wins
    home away combined
    tasman 100% 100% 100%
    canterbury 50% 100% 80%
    wellington 50% 100% 80%
    harbour 50% 66.67% 60%
    hawkes 50% 66.67% 60%
    auckland 50% 50% 50%
    taranaki 33.33% 66.67% 50%
    bop 50% 50% 50%
    southland 33.33% 66.67% 50%
    otago 0% 100% 40%
    waikato 0% 100% 40%
    manawatu 33.33% 33.33% 33.33%
    counties 0% 33.33% 16.67%
    northland 0% 0% 0%
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    % of cap wins
    home away combined
    tasman 100% 100% 100%
    canterbury 50% 100% 80%
    wellington 50% 100% 80%
    harbour 50% 66.67% 60%
    hawkes 50% 66.67% 60%
    auckland 50% 50% 50%
    taranaki 33.33% 66.67% 50%
    bop 50% 50% 50%
    southland 33.33% 66.67% 50%
    otago 0% 100% 40%
    waikato 0% 100% 40%
    manawatu 33.33% 33.33% 33.33%
    counties 0% 33.33% 16.67%
    northland 0% 0% 0%
     
    rod_steel
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    Posted: Sep. 15, 2015 - 4:49 PM ET #3

    Should be a high scoring affair
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    Should be a high scoring affair
     
    jabbathehutt
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    Posted: Sep. 15, 2015 - 5:37 PM ET #4

    harbour +22.5 looks great 
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    harbour +22.5 looks great 
     
    jabbathehutt
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    Posted: Sep. 15, 2015 - 6:11 PM ET #5

    tasman v harbour harbour + 23.5 : main bet @ 1.70 bet365 ? tasman by 11-15 pts : small tickle @ 7.50 stanjames bet365 ht ft small tickle 25%/75% split draw / tasman : 0.25 unit @ 34.0 stan james skybet ?harbour / tasman 0.75 unit : @ 11.0 stan james a tickle is 10% of main stake at most
    ?i would usually consider this a tasman revenge match, but with both teams having a 3 game week, tasman have rotated some key players in readiness for the more important match v auckland on sunday. harbour have clearly opted to maintain momentum from the win over counties and have sent the best team, with harbours history v tasman i think harbour will avoid an embarrassment here. with cowan and renata the starting half backs for tasman and with harbour obviously on a high, the ht ft tickle has nice appeal at those prices... tissue says Tasman 34 harbour 22
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    tasman v harbour harbour + 23.5 : main bet @ 1.70 bet365 ? tasman by 11-15 pts : small tickle @ 7.50 stanjames bet365 ht ft small tickle 25%/75% split draw / tasman : 0.25 unit @ 34.0 stan james skybet ?harbour / tasman 0.75 unit : @ 11.0 stan james a tickle is 10% of main stake at most
    ?i would usually consider this a tasman revenge match, but with both teams having a 3 game week, tasman have rotated some key players in readiness for the more important match v auckland on sunday. harbour have clearly opted to maintain momentum from the win over counties and have sent the best team, with harbours history v tasman i think harbour will avoid an embarrassment here. with cowan and renata the starting half backs for tasman and with harbour obviously on a high, the ht ft tickle has nice appeal at those prices... tissue says Tasman 34 harbour 22
     
    Target2million
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    Posted: Sep. 15, 2015 - 6:24 PM ET #6

    I feel nh. +23.5 good bet too.   This year north harbour is not that bad team.   

    I lean +23.5 and totals over too.  Hows the weather today guys. 
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    I feel nh. +23.5 good bet too.   This year north harbour is not that bad team.   

    I lean +23.5 and totals over too.  Hows the weather today guys. 
     
    jabbathehutt
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    Posted: Sep. 15, 2015 - 6:45 PM ET #7

    its clear weather
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    its clear weather
     
    jabbathehutt
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    Posted: Sep. 15, 2015 - 6:46 PM ET #8

    this year and last harbour are a good performing team with their caps
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    this year and last harbour are a good performing team with their caps
     
    rod_steel
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    Posted: Sep. 15, 2015 - 11:15 PM ET #9

    Agree on Harbour + as well. 

    They have a superb record in the past 10 years against the Makos and as Jabber pointed out Makos got bigger fish to fry in a few days time. Only concern is the 3 day turnaround for Harbour especially since Jackson hasn't really rotated his squad for this game

    Sprinkle on Harbour moneyline as well.
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    Agree on Harbour + as well. 

    They have a superb record in the past 10 years against the Makos and as Jabber pointed out Makos got bigger fish to fry in a few days time. Only concern is the 3 day turnaround for Harbour especially since Jackson hasn't really rotated his squad for this game

    Sprinkle on Harbour moneyline as well.
     
    rod_steel
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    Posted: Sep. 15, 2015 - 11:17 PM ET #10

    10 years bit misleading as they have only played each other 6 times during that span with Harbour winning 5 of those games


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    10 years bit misleading as they have only played each other 6 times during that span with Harbour winning 5 of those games


     
    Target2million
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    Posted: Sep. 16, 2015 - 1:22 AM ET #11

    59.5 total for this game. Hmmm.   What u think rod.  
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    59.5 total for this game. Hmmm.   What u think rod.  
     
    VEGAS25
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    Posted: Sep. 16, 2015 - 1:39 AM ET #12

    8 of 10 games these teams have completed, have gone under 57.5
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    8 of 10 games these teams have completed, have gone under 57.5
     
    NotASingleDoubt
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    Posted: Sep. 16, 2015 - 3:50 AM ET #13

    lol..11 min into the game...7 min has been played in Harbour 22. But to their credit they have defended well. Still 0-0
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    lol..11 min into the game...7 min has been played in Harbour 22. But to their credit they have defended well. Still 0-0
     
    NotASingleDoubt
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    Posted: Sep. 16, 2015 - 3:57 AM ET #14

    Almost 17 min already and harbour have hardly touched the ball
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    Almost 17 min already and harbour have hardly touched the ball
     
    peekay89
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    Posted: Sep. 16, 2015 - 5:19 AM ET #15

    Phew, had Harbour +19.5


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    Phew, had Harbour +19.5


     
    I-love-to-win
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    Posted: Sep. 16, 2015 - 5:22 AM ET #16

    Quote Originally Posted by peekay89:

    Phew, had Harbour +19.5


    me too. was praying they take the shot at goal and not going for the 5 meter line out and screwing me.
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    Quote Originally Posted by peekay89:

    Phew, had Harbour +19.5


    me too. was praying they take the shot at goal and not going for the 5 meter line out and screwing me.
     
    VEGAS25
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    Posted: Sep. 16, 2015 - 5:23 AM ET #17

    Looked like no chance to go over 5.5 but Phatmaori does it again.  Dude is a freak.
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    Looked like no chance to go over 5.5 but Phatmaori does it again.  Dude is a freak.
     
    jabbathehutt
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    Posted: Sep. 16, 2015 - 5:24 AM ET #18

    nice work harbour, close on the ht ft bets there, 11-15 was still in with a shout until the last pen.....nice start to the week, initial tissue had this 37-18 byt adjusted for weaker tasman half backs to 34-22, banks came on earlier and he stretched it back to what was the initial tissue

    nice start to the week, main bet wins is the meat afterall
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    nice work harbour, close on the ht ft bets there, 11-15 was still in with a shout until the last pen.....nice start to the week, initial tissue had this 37-18 byt adjusted for weaker tasman half backs to 34-22, banks came on earlier and he stretched it back to what was the initial tissue

    nice start to the week, main bet wins is the meat afterall
     
    rod_steel
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    Posted: Sep. 16, 2015 - 5:30 AM ET #19

    Good work lads. Nice to see when everyone backs the same team and wins.
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    Good work lads. Nice to see when everyone backs the same team and wins.
     
    jabbathehutt
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    Posted: Sep. 16, 2015 - 5:37 AM ET #20

    % of cap wins
    home away combined
    tasman 67% 100% 83%
    canterbury 50% 100% 80%
    wellington 50% 100% 80%
    harbour 50% 75.00% 67%
    hawkes 50% 66.67% 60%
    auckland 50% 50% 50%
    taranaki 33.33% 66.67% 50%
    bop 50% 50% 50%
    southland 33.33% 66.67% 50%
    otago 0% 100% 40%
    waikato 0% 100% 40%
    manawatu 33.33% 33.33% 33.33%
    counties 0% 33.33% 16.67%
    northland 0% 0% 0%

    harbour improve their cap win %, good old harbour
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    % of cap wins
    home away combined
    tasman 67% 100% 83%
    canterbury 50% 100% 80%
    wellington 50% 100% 80%
    harbour 50% 75.00% 67%
    hawkes 50% 66.67% 60%
    auckland 50% 50% 50%
    taranaki 33.33% 66.67% 50%
    bop 50% 50% 50%
    southland 33.33% 66.67% 50%
    otago 0% 100% 40%
    waikato 0% 100% 40%
    manawatu 33.33% 33.33% 33.33%
    counties 0% 33.33% 16.67%
    northland 0% 0% 0%

    harbour improve their cap win %, good old harbour
     
    jabbathehutt
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    Posted: Sep. 16, 2015 - 5:57 AM ET #21

    away team caps outperforming home team caps so far
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    away team caps outperforming home team caps so far
     
    jabbathehutt
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    Posted: Sep. 16, 2015 - 5:59 AM ET #22

    my ante posts are tasman and wellington
    with taranaki, waikato and harbour as bigger priced back ups
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    my ante posts are tasman and wellington
    with taranaki, waikato and harbour as bigger priced back ups
     
    simple3
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    Posted: Sep. 16, 2015 - 6:31 AM ET #23

    Jabba how do you formulate your tissue? You know your stuff 
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    Jabba how do you formulate your tissue? You know your stuff 
     
    jabbathehutt
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    Posted: Sep. 16, 2015 - 6:33 AM ET #24

    wellington by 13+ pts 

    main bet @ 1.60
     

     
     i have  this 36-19, but with welly redemption and otago fatigue from 4 day turnaround away at auckland in a tough derby match, this could go past 20 pts win 

    i will look at the welly and otago trylines when they open
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    wellington by 13+ pts 

    main bet @ 1.60
     

     
     i have  this 36-19, but with welly redemption and otago fatigue from 4 day turnaround away at auckland in a tough derby match, this could go past 20 pts win 

    i will look at the welly and otago trylines when they open
     
     
    jabbathehutt
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    Posted: Sep. 16, 2015 - 6:34 AM ET #25

    simple, if i told you that i would have to kill you , and i have only just called off the contract on you lol
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    simple, if i told you that i would have to kill you , and i have only just called off the contract on you lol
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