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    All Forums | Rugby

    ITM Cup Week 4

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    phatmaori
    Target2million
    Canesbaby
    VEGAS25
    simple3
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    phatmaori
    phatmaori
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    Posted: Aug. 30, 2015 - 7:39 PM ET #1

    YTD: 15-7

    Some early leans based on the TAB odds

    Counties +4.5 over Naki since Naki will be missing Barrett I assume

    Tasman -7.5 over Otago, taking that as soon as it comes on Bet365

    Wellington -14.5 over Southland

    Auckland -3.5 over Waikato

    Hawkes Bay -16.5 over Harbour

    Just some early lines that look alright based off no team lists 
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    YTD: 15-7

    Some early leans based on the TAB odds

    Counties +4.5 over Naki since Naki will be missing Barrett I assume

    Tasman -7.5 over Otago, taking that as soon as it comes on Bet365

    Wellington -14.5 over Southland

    Auckland -3.5 over Waikato

    Hawkes Bay -16.5 over Harbour

    Just some early lines that look alright based off no team lists 
     
    Target2million
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    Posted: Aug. 31, 2015 - 3:35 AM ET #2

    Well i like all phat.  It may be not same odds bet365.  
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    Well i like all phat.  It may be not same odds bet365.  
     
    Target2million
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    Posted: Aug. 31, 2015 - 3:44 AM ET #3

    Japan +13.5.  Live
    Korean.  -59.5 live
    Raider -2.5

    Parlay @5.5
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    Japan +13.5.  Live
    Korean.  -59.5 live
    Raider -2.5

    Parlay @5.5
     
    Target2million
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    Posted: Aug. 31, 2015 - 3:45 AM ET #4

    Sorry phat its wrong place. 
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    Sorry phat its wrong place. 
     
    phatmaori
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    Posted: Aug. 31, 2015 - 5:41 AM ET #5

    All good T2, yea some lines like Tasman I'm willing to take for more points
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    All good T2, yea some lines like Tasman I'm willing to take for more points
     
    Canesbaby
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    Posted: Aug. 31, 2015 - 7:13 AM ET #6

    Like Makos -7.5 as well Wellington lions -14.5 easy my welly boys turn up this year!!! Auckland -3.5 seems pretty good too. I would leave the counties out not sure which Naki team going to turn up as well as counties
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    Like Makos -7.5 as well Wellington lions -14.5 easy my welly boys turn up this year!!! Auckland -3.5 seems pretty good too. I would leave the counties out not sure which Naki team going to turn up as well as counties
     
    Canesbaby
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    Posted: Aug. 31, 2015 - 7:15 AM ET #7

    TAB NZ Auckland line dropped to -1.5
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    TAB NZ Auckland line dropped to -1.5
     
    VEGAS25
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    Posted: Aug. 31, 2015 - 11:16 AM ET #8

    The TAB has the worst odds on the planet, you'd have to be high to bet with those greedy dbags.
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    The TAB has the worst odds on the planet, you'd have to be high to bet with those greedy dbags.
     
    phatmaori
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2015 - 2:52 AM ET #9

    Taking for Wednesday game

    Taranaki -4.5 @1.85

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    Taking for Wednesday game

    Taranaki -4.5 @1.85

     
    simple3
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2015 - 9:53 PM ET #10

    Quote Originally Posted by VEGAS25:

    The TAB has the worst odds on the planet, you'd have to be high to bet with those greedy dbags.

    They also have a ton of sloppy lines that can be exploited, and high limits so for a switched on punter the TAB are an essential utility. 
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    Quote Originally Posted by VEGAS25:

    The TAB has the worst odds on the planet, you'd have to be high to bet with those greedy dbags.

    They also have a ton of sloppy lines that can be exploited, and high limits so for a switched on punter the TAB are an essential utility. 
     
    GDayMate
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    Posted: Sep. 2, 2015 - 2:02 AM ET #11

    Quote Originally Posted by simple3:


    They also have a ton of sloppy lines that can be exploited, and high limits so for a switched on punter the TAB are an essential utility. 

    Limits not so high with some of the lesser rugby games - Shute Shield, NRC, ITM.

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    Quote Originally Posted by simple3:


    They also have a ton of sloppy lines that can be exploited, and high limits so for a switched on punter the TAB are an essential utility. 

    Limits not so high with some of the lesser rugby games - Shute Shield, NRC, ITM.

     
    phatmaori
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    Posted: Sep. 2, 2015 - 5:21 AM ET #12

    Taranaki -4.5 @1.85 

    Didn't get to see the game sadly but another good start 
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    Taranaki -4.5 @1.85 

    Didn't get to see the game sadly but another good start 
     
    phatmaori
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    Posted: Sep. 2, 2015 - 5:28 AM ET #13

    Leaning Cantab -13.5, team just looks too good but weather shows some rain around then so may just wait til tomorrow
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    Leaning Cantab -13.5, team just looks too good but weather shows some rain around then so may just wait til tomorrow
     
    Shazzadude
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    Posted: Sep. 2, 2015 - 11:41 AM ET #14

    Quote Originally Posted by GDayMate:

    Limits not so high with some of the lesser rugby games - Shute Shield, NRC, ITM.


    NZ TAB he means.
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    Quote Originally Posted by GDayMate:

    Limits not so high with some of the lesser rugby games - Shute Shield, NRC, ITM.


    NZ TAB he means.
     
    GDayMate
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    Posted: Sep. 2, 2015 - 4:45 PM ET #15

    Quote Originally Posted by Shazzadude:


    NZ TAB he means.

    Fair enough - my experience is with NSW TAB. For example recent Shute Shield playoffs I had a bet of I think it was $800 halved until the price was adjusted down 10 cents.  

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    Quote Originally Posted by Shazzadude:


    NZ TAB he means.

    Fair enough - my experience is with NSW TAB. For example recent Shute Shield playoffs I had a bet of I think it was $800 halved until the price was adjusted down 10 cents.  

     
    phatmaori
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    Posted: Sep. 2, 2015 - 9:38 PM ET #16

    Taking early

    Tasman -8.5 @1.85
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    Taking early

    Tasman -8.5 @1.85
     
    VEGAS25
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    Posted: Sep. 3, 2015 - 4:14 AM ET #17

    You were right about Canterbury, they're crushing Manawatu.  Thought it might be too many points on the road but that Canterbury team are ridiculous, didn't they win the National Championship for like a decade straight?
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    You were right about Canterbury, they're crushing Manawatu.  Thought it might be too many points on the road but that Canterbury team are ridiculous, didn't they win the National Championship for like a decade straight?
     
    VEGAS25
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    Posted: Sep. 3, 2015 - 4:15 AM ET #18

    *every year for a decade straight
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    *every year for a decade straight
     
    Target2million
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    Posted: Sep. 3, 2015 - 4:36 AM ET #19

    its good for gamblers buddy.  one way or other.   the day anything can happen.    thats why its called gambling.  
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    its good for gamblers buddy.  one way or other.   the day anything can happen.    thats why its called gambling.  
     
    phatmaori
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    Posted: Sep. 3, 2015 - 4:53 AM ET #20

    Yea didn't play Cantab though just because of the garbage weather. Waiting for Bet365 to release the rest of the lines! 
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    Yea didn't play Cantab though just because of the garbage weather. Waiting for Bet365 to release the rest of the lines! 
     
    VEGAS25
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    Posted: Sep. 4, 2015 - 1:26 AM ET #21

    Tasman -12 (1.952) on Pinnacle, total 57.

    I laid 8.5 earlier.  It's gonna be pretty cold in Dunedin tonight, some rain before kick off, that total seems a little high.
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    Tasman -12 (1.952) on Pinnacle, total 57.

    I laid 8.5 earlier.  It's gonna be pretty cold in Dunedin tonight, some rain before kick off, that total seems a little high.
     
    phatmaori
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    Posted: Sep. 4, 2015 - 2:22 AM ET #22

    Indoor stadium Vegas, if it was really wet would probably lay points on otago
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    Indoor stadium Vegas, if it was really wet would probably lay points on otago
     
    peekay89
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    Posted: Sep. 4, 2015 - 2:34 AM ET #23

    There's been a lot of mention about the weather but in fairness the games I've seen in bad conditions have been nothing but high scoring
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    There's been a lot of mention about the weather but in fairness the games I've seen in bad conditions have been nothing but high scoring
     
    VEGAS25
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    Posted: Sep. 4, 2015 - 2:39 AM ET #24

    That's right Phat, forgot Otago has NZ's only dome stadium.

    I agree PeeKay, sometimes the cold weather can suit these NZ teams, seems like they want to run more to keep warm lol.


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    That's right Phat, forgot Otago has NZ's only dome stadium.

    I agree PeeKay, sometimes the cold weather can suit these NZ teams, seems like they want to run more to keep warm lol.


     
     
    VEGAS25
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    Posted: Sep. 4, 2015 - 2:44 AM ET #25

    From what I've seen, the ITM cup is way more entertaining rugby than Super Rugby.  NZ rugby was better off when it just had it's national competition, Super rugby has only helped SA and especially Australia develop their game but has destroyed the provincial competition in NZ, these games would play to full houses back in the day, now not so much.
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    From what I've seen, the ITM cup is way more entertaining rugby than Super Rugby.  NZ rugby was better off when it just had it's national competition, Super rugby has only helped SA and especially Australia develop their game but has destroyed the provincial competition in NZ, these games would play to full houses back in the day, now not so much.
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