Season Wins Predictions

Had some extra time and had done this a few backs back on paper. Just thought I would share my ideas. Feel free to contribute and comment. 2005 MLB Regular Season Wins Sun 4/3 Total Regular Season Wins by: Boston Red Sox 05:00 PM 109 Over 95 wins -101 110 Under 95 wins -109 Sun 4/3 Total Regular Season Wins by: New York Yankees 05:00 PM 137 Over 100.5 wins -109 138 Under 100.5 wins -101 Mon 4/4 Total Regular Season Wins by: Anaheim Angels 09:00 AM 101 Over 92 wins -105 102 Under 92 wins -105 Mon 4/4 Total Regular Season Wins by: Arizona D-Backs 12:00 PM 103 Over 74 wins +100 104 Under 74 wins -110 Mon 4/4 Total Regular Season Wins by: Atlanta Braves 12:00 PM 105 Over 88.5 wins -106 106 Under 88.5 wins -104 Mon 4/4 Total Regular Season Wins by: Baltimore Orioles 12:00 PM 107 Over 80 wins -108 108 Under 80 wins -102 Mon 4/4 Total Regular Season Wins by: Chicago Cubs 12:00 PM 111 Over 86 wins -112 112 Under 86 wins +102 Mon 4/4 Total Regular Season Wins by: Chicago White Sox 12:00 PM 113 Over 82 wins -109 114 Under 82 wins -101 Mon 4/4 Total Regular Season Wins by: Cincinnati Reds 12:00 PM 115 Over 77.5 wins -108 116 Under 77.5 wins -102 Mon 4/4 Total Regular Season Wins by: Colorado Rockies 12:00 PM 117 Over 68 wins -114 118 Under 68 wins +104 Mon 4/4 Total Regular Season Wins by: Cleveland Indians 12:00 PM 119 Over 83 wins -111 120 Under 83 wins +101 Mon 4/4 Total Regular Season Wins by: Detroit Tigers 12:00 PM 121 Over 79 wins +102 122 Under 79 wins -112 Mon 4/4 Total Regular Season Wins by: Florida Marlins 12:00 PM 123 Over 87 wins -105 124 Under 87 wins -105 Mon 4/4 Total Regular Season Wins by: Houston Astros 12:00 PM 125 Over 82 wins -103 126 Under 82 wins -107 Mon 4/4 Total Regular Season Wins by: Kansas City Royals 12:00 PM 127 Over 65 wins -114 128 Under 65 wins +104 Mon 4/4 Total Regular Season Wins by: Los Angeles Dodgers 12:00 PM 129 Over 84.5 wins -104 130 Under 84.5 wins -106 Mon 4/4 Total Regular Season Wins by: Milwaukee Brewers 12:00 PM 131 Over 70 wins -110 132 Under 70 wins +100 Mon 4/4 Total Regular Season Wins by: Minnesota Twins 12:00 PM 133 Over 88.5 wins -105 134 Under 88.5 wins -105 Mon 4/4 Total Regular Season Wins by: New York Mets 12:00 PM 135 Over 84.5 wins -111 136 Under 84.5 wins +101 Mon 4/4 Total Regular Season Wins by: Oakland Athletics 12:00 PM 139 Over 81 wins -117 140 Under 81 wins +107 Mon 4/4 Total Regular Season Wins by:Philadelphia Phillies 12:00 PM 141 Over 84.5 wins -113 142 Under 84.5 wins +103 Mon 4/4 Total Regular Season Wins by: Pittsburgh Pirates 12:00 PM 143 Over 73.5 wins -109 144 Under 73.5 wins -101 Mon 4/4 Total Regular Season Wins by: San Diego Padres 12:00 PM 145 Over 87 wins -108 146 Under 87 wins -102 Mon 4/4 Total Regular Season Wins by: Seattle Mariners 12:00 PM 149 Over 79.5 wins -109 150 Under 79.5 wins -101 Mon 4/4 Total Regular Season Wins by: St. Louis Cardinals 12:00 PM 151 Over 93 wins -120 152 Under 93 wins +110 Mon 4/4 Total Regular Season Wins by: Tampa Bay D-Rays 12:00 PM 153 Over 70.5 wins +115 154 Under 70.5 wins -125 Mon 4/4 Total Regular Season Wins by: Texas Rangers 12:00 PM 155 Over 81.5 wins +109 156 Under 81.5 wins -119 Mon 4/4 Total Regular Season Wins by: Toronto Blue Jays 12:00 PM 157 Over 70.5 wins +102 158 Under 70.5 wins -112 Mon 4/4 Total Regular Season Wins by: Washington Nationals 12:00 PM 159 Over 71 wins +101 160 Under 71 wins -111

Most books have removed the San Francisco Giants with the status of Bonds. I was in Reno this past weekend, CalNeva had them 84 wins -115. They should be able to surpass that amount even w/o Bonds.

1) Boston Really dont see how the Sox improved but since they won 98 games last year I think they will be right around there again. The keys are Schilling, Wells and Miller's health combined with Clement switch to the AL and Arroyo continued growth. Pen and Lineup are solid. (Sox 95+) 2) NYY Think the Yanks improved there pitching greatly with there new additions and the return to health of certain players like Giambi and Bernie combined with bounce back years from Jeter and Arod make them the team to beat on paper(naturally the Sox are the defending Champs). Key is Pavano and Wrights continued growth in the AL and overall health to the entire team. Last year they won 101 with a 12-11 start to the year , a less talented rotation , and tons of injuries and supbar years...I expect 105+ this season. (NY 100.5+) 3) Angels Lots of new faces in Los Angeles these days. Salmon out for the year, Guillen banished, Glaus in Zona , Eckstein in STL, Percival in Det ! They brought in Finley who is a solid player but really cant see how he could be an offensive upgrade over Guillens 2004 season. The chemistry aspect along with his defense should be the plus. Hopefully Anderson can stay healthy in 2005. They have penciled in McPherson to play third and DaaVannon is the early replacement for Salmon. The lineup is again very strong along with improved defense. Its all bout the pen and rotation. Over teh past few yeasr the Angels pen has lost some key contributors and now elevated K-Rod from setup man to closer effectively weakening there pen IMO. The rotation has to depend on inconsistent starters liek Colon and Washburn while hoping Escobar is as good as 2004. ALckey and Byrd fill out the rotation. With Seattles tough lineup but questionable staff and the other West question marks (Angels 92+) 4) DBacks With all the new additions and the watered down West I see Arizona topping the 74 win mark. Three new starters in Vazquez, Ortiz and Estes who are huge upgrades over some of teh gusy they had last year like Edhar Gonzalez and Casey Daigle naturally the Unit is gone. The pen could be outstanding if certain guys get healthy. Aquino,Valverde, Villareal and so on. The lineup has some nice new additions and play in a great hitters park.(Dbacks 74+) 5)Braves I think with the improved rotation and the emergence of Andruw Jones they will again top 90 wins! The key is there bullpen and who emerges as a reliable set of relievers in teh 7th and 8th innings. Mondesi and jordan if healthy will contribute while I expect big years from Chipper, Andruw and Giles.(Braves 88.5+) 6)Orioles With the addition of Sosa and some growth from the starting pitchers this team is not far off from serious contention. The lineup is on par with teh Sox and Yanks but the pitching is where the difference lies. However for a team that won 78 games last year but went just 5-13 in Interleague Play I see no reason why they dont improve in 2005.(Orioles 80+) 7)Cubs Injuries , Injuries, Injuries are the key to this thin team. Cause of there SP i think they will get to teh 86 win mark but not much higher! Dont like the bullpen and hate the cloud hanging over Woods and Prior. The corner OFs are a big question mark but if all goes well this is a 90win team. (cubs 86+) 8) WSox Really like teh new look Sox and there key to success is Contreras and El Duque. Really like there lineup even without the BigHurt cause EVerett has looked great in the Spring. The pen is solid but again its all about the SP!(WSox 82+) 9) Reds Again if healthy and some SP this could be a suprise team in the weak Central. Health is the key up and down the roster. They fell apart after losing Griff and Kearns last year so if they stay healthy I expect a 500club!(reds 77.5+) 10) Rockies This team outside of some of its hitters i s pretty awful and even worse thin!Expect a 100 loss season even in the West.(Rockies under 68) 11) Indians Tough call for me I think the lineup is solid but may be hard pressed to repeat some of there 04 seasons. The SPis a big qiestion mark with Sabathia injured and Westbrook still unproven IMO. Then you have Millwood and Elarton coming over from the NL where they were largely unsuccessful. Sure Elarton pithced decent in a few starts late but thats asking alot to depend on him IMO. They do have some solid arms in the Minors who could step in and the pen looks okay on paper. I think this division is going to be tight (Indians under 83 wins) 12) Tigers To me this team is just as good maybe better then Cleveland so I say over! There lineup is excellent with Maggs ,Inge and Monroe taking over for somewhat unproductive players. Th ekey is the continued emergence of Bonderman, Maroth , Robertsona and Ledezma who I really like. If they keep Urbina it give sthem a good open if they deal him hopefully its far a ML ready starter who can replace jason Johnson...not likely though(Tigers 79+) 13) Marlins The East is tough cause I expect all the teams to battle for 1st place with 85-92 wins! Florida has an excellent lineup and great upside with its rotation problem is they cant afford an injury to there SP and the pen is a question mark. (Florida 87+)Really think they win 86-88 games 14) Astros Again another tight number! Really think Houston struggles this year wiythout Beltran to carry them. Clemens will not be super human again so I will say Under!(Stros under 82) 15)KC KC is extremely young and will have growing pains especially when it deals Sweeney. (KC under 65.5) 16) Dodgers I dont think LA is that bad but injuries to the rotation have to be a concern when your using Rupe and Erickson early to fill in. The lineup is okay and when fully healthy I like the pitching but expect a slight drop in wins.(LA under 84.5) 17) Brewers Only cause of the slight upgrade in offense will I say they get to70! Hopefully losing Kolb doesnt give away any wins late! SP and pitching in general is a major concern but I think the Central will be down this year! 18)Twins Solid, fundamental team but think they fall shy! Santana really cant improve and they have some young players on the left side of the IF along with questions around Mauer. After Santana and Radke I dont trsut there rotation!(Twins under 88.5) 19) Mets Think excitement is back and if they all stay healthy they should top the 85 win mark! Really whats to say that hasnt been the key is lineup health, Ishii and Zambrano in the rotation along with who emergences in the pen.(NYM over 84.5) again have them 84-86 wins! 20) A's The young staff will have its growing pains and just miss winning 80 games. Already Dan Meyyer doesnt look ML ready. There pen loooks awesome but could lose effectiveness late cause of overuse. The lineup is basiclly the same as last year. (A's under 81) 21)Philles Well if I think NY slides over then I have to think Philly does. Same ole story ....SP!! They have Wagner and a great lineupso can they put it together expect Wolf to suprise! (Philly 84.5+) 22) Pirates Think they are again a 75 win team but anywhere from 70-75 will not suprise! There rotation si stronger then most 70win clubs so I will go over. (pitt 73.5+) 23)Padres Lots of talk here again bottomline is health cause they have no pitching depth IMO. (SD 87+) 24) Seattle Awesome lineup but again pitching is the key and I am not sure I like Seattles staff. Though 500 is likely!(Sea 79+)