Posted:
#1
This is certainly not the most trafficked forum, but the few that venture this way are welcomed and encouraged to give opinions on my plays and leans, and to offer suggestions themselves.....
Leans, in no particular order.....
Arizona State Under 7.5 wins -132
I've been looking over the lines for quite some time, but this one only caught my interest this morning.
Downside is the juice, but it looks promising. Out of conference, ASU plays @ LSU and has Northwestern and Temple at home. The LSU game is a loss. Northwestern has a chance for an upset, but 2-1 OOC seems a safe bet. So the question is, will they finish 6-2 in conference? I sincerely doubt it, since one of their games is vs USC and there are no guarenteed W's on the whole conference schedule. Are they going to go 6-1 @OSU, vs Oregon, @Stanford, vs Washington, @WSU, @UCLA, and vs Arizona? I doubt it.
Stanford Over 4 -105
I talked about this one elsewhere. They start the season @Navy and vs UCDavis, so that figures to be halfway by mid-September. Can they get two wins vs the conference + ND? I think so, even if the forecasters are right and they turn out to be a bottom dweller in the Pac10. But I think there's also potential upside in that this team could be a lot better than people think. The Pac10 is very hard to forcast this year so I think it makes sense to go against the grain.
Virginia Under 8 -143
Again, the high vig is a problem, but they have to go 9-2 to beat you. With FSU and Miami on the schedule, that seems the best they could possibly do. Can they go undefeated against the rest of the very tough ACC schedule? I seriously doubt it, with Duke the only gimme.
