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    All Forums | Pro Golf

    TPC Boston

    12 Next Last»
    AJLightning
    bob_sakimano
    Bluefin
    LeRinkRat
    Rocafella
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 2077
    Posts: 36
    12 Next Last»
     
    AJLightning
    AJLightning
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    Posted: Aug. 26, 2014 - 2:04 PM ET #1

    Welcome to the birdie fest also known as TPC Boston! The TOUR heads up to Massachusetts for the FedEx Cup Playoff event #2! Nice little Par 71 track measuring over 7,200 yards. Last year saw a tournament record scoring average of 69.20. Expect more of the same this week. The remaining players are all so good as far as hitting fairway & greens, so I believe the flat stick will be the deciding factor. 


    Defending Champ is Henrik Stenson
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    Welcome to the birdie fest also known as TPC Boston! The TOUR heads up to Massachusetts for the FedEx Cup Playoff event #2! Nice little Par 71 track measuring over 7,200 yards. Last year saw a tournament record scoring average of 69.20. Expect more of the same this week. The remaining players are all so good as far as hitting fairway & greens, so I believe the flat stick will be the deciding factor. 


    Defending Champ is Henrik Stenson
     
    bob_sakimano
    bob_sakimano
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    Posted: Aug. 26, 2014 - 9:28 PM ET #2

    Seems like a tough course to handicap since they will all burn this up. I guess recent form is single most important factor. I think Woodland at 50-1 is worth a shot
    Reply
    Seems like a tough course to handicap since they will all burn this up. I guess recent form is single most important factor. I think Woodland at 50-1 is worth a shot
     
    AJLightning
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    Posted: Aug. 26, 2014 - 10:35 PM ET #3

    Quote Originally Posted by bob_sakimano:

    Seems like a tough course to handicap since they will all burn this up. I guess recent form is single most important factor. I think Woodland at 50-1 is worth a shot

    I like Woodland as well...he's on the matchup radar. 
    Also like Zach at 55-1...does well in shoot out's. 
    Fowler 16-1...14 of his last 16 rounds have been in the 60's

    to name a few....

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by bob_sakimano:

    Seems like a tough course to handicap since they will all burn this up. I guess recent form is single most important factor. I think Woodland at 50-1 is worth a shot

    I like Woodland as well...he's on the matchup radar. 
    Also like Zach at 55-1...does well in shoot out's. 
    Fowler 16-1...14 of his last 16 rounds have been in the 60's

    to name a few....

     
    AJLightning
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    Posted: Aug. 26, 2014 - 11:01 PM ET #4

    Tournament Matchup LEANS

    Scott (+120) over McIlroy

    Day (+160) over McIlroy

    Kuchar (-125) over Stenson

    Fowler (-105) over Stenson

    Spieth (+130) over Furyk

    Keegan (-105) over Phil

    Reed (+105) over Snedeker

    Schwartzel (-105) over Haas

    Bubba (-120) over Walker

    Matsuyama (-110) over Delaet

    Z. Johnson (-125) over Leishman

    Kaymer (+110) over Donald

    Stadler (Ev) over Chappell

    Senden (-105) over Todd

    Hoffman (-120) over Tringale

    English (-120) over Poulter

    Palmer (-120) over Kirk

    Howell III (-115) over Cink
    Reply
    Tournament Matchup LEANS

    Scott (+120) over McIlroy

    Day (+160) over McIlroy

    Kuchar (-125) over Stenson

    Fowler (-105) over Stenson

    Spieth (+130) over Furyk

    Keegan (-105) over Phil

    Reed (+105) over Snedeker

    Schwartzel (-105) over Haas

    Bubba (-120) over Walker

    Matsuyama (-110) over Delaet

    Z. Johnson (-125) over Leishman

    Kaymer (+110) over Donald

    Stadler (Ev) over Chappell

    Senden (-105) over Todd

    Hoffman (-120) over Tringale

    English (-120) over Poulter

    Palmer (-120) over Kirk

    Howell III (-115) over Cink
     
    Bluefin
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    Posted: Aug. 27, 2014 - 9:14 AM ET #5

    Did you get the pm plays I sent  from last week.
    Reply
    Did you get the pm plays I sent  from last week.
     
    AJLightning
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    Posted: Aug. 27, 2014 - 9:29 AM ET #6

    Quote Originally Posted by Bluefin:

    Did you get the pm plays I sent  from last week.

    Yes I did...good hit on Mahan!  

    What you think about McIlroy this week? I feel as though he's tapering off, losing interest maybe? Hard to stay motivated when you've won about 5.5 milllion since June 1. I just feel like there's more hunger and motivation from some of the other players. 
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Bluefin:

    Did you get the pm plays I sent  from last week.

    Yes I did...good hit on Mahan!  

    What you think about McIlroy this week? I feel as though he's tapering off, losing interest maybe? Hard to stay motivated when you've won about 5.5 milllion since June 1. I just feel like there's more hunger and motivation from some of the other players. 
     
    LeRinkRat
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    Posted: Aug. 27, 2014 - 2:45 PM ET #7

    selected Cantor Gaming odds, Las Vegas

    Rory McIlroy 4-1
    Adam Scott 9-1
    Jason Day 12-1
    Henrik Stenson 15-1
    Matt Kuchar 15-1
    Rickie Fowler 18-1
    Jim Furyk  20-1
    Phil Mickelson 20-1
    Jordan Spieth 22-1
    Hunter Mahan 22-1
    Brandt Snedeker 33-1
    Charl Schwartzel 35-1
    Patrick Reed 38-1
    Keegan Bradley 35-1
    Bill Haas 40-1
    Bubba Watson 45-1
    Ernie Els 45-1
    Graham DeLaet 55-1
    Hideki Matsuyama 55-1
    Marc Leishman 65-1
    Martin Kaymer 85-1    
    Stuart Appleby 140-1
    Camilo Villegas 110-1
    Field 8-1

    matchups
    McIlroy -170 vs Furyk +150
    Stenson -130 vs Mahan +110
    Scott -155 vs Kuchar +135
    Haas -115 vs Mickelson -105
    Day -120 vs Fowler even
    Schwartzel -115 vs Spieth -105
    K Bradley -115 vs B Watson -105
    J Walker -125 vs Delaet +105

    may throw some on "The Hawk" (Furyk) "Ricky Ticky" (Fowler) "The Mick" (Mickelson) and Ernie Els.

    like Furyk, Kuchar, Mickelson and Fowler as "dog" matchup bets


    Reply
    selected Cantor Gaming odds, Las Vegas

    Rory McIlroy 4-1
    Adam Scott 9-1
    Jason Day 12-1
    Henrik Stenson 15-1
    Matt Kuchar 15-1
    Rickie Fowler 18-1
    Jim Furyk  20-1
    Phil Mickelson 20-1
    Jordan Spieth 22-1
    Hunter Mahan 22-1
    Brandt Snedeker 33-1
    Charl Schwartzel 35-1
    Patrick Reed 38-1
    Keegan Bradley 35-1
    Bill Haas 40-1
    Bubba Watson 45-1
    Ernie Els 45-1
    Graham DeLaet 55-1
    Hideki Matsuyama 55-1
    Marc Leishman 65-1
    Martin Kaymer 85-1    
    Stuart Appleby 140-1
    Camilo Villegas 110-1
    Field 8-1

    matchups
    McIlroy -170 vs Furyk +150
    Stenson -130 vs Mahan +110
    Scott -155 vs Kuchar +135
    Haas -115 vs Mickelson -105
    Day -120 vs Fowler even
    Schwartzel -115 vs Spieth -105
    K Bradley -115 vs B Watson -105
    J Walker -125 vs Delaet +105

    may throw some on "The Hawk" (Furyk) "Ricky Ticky" (Fowler) "The Mick" (Mickelson) and Ernie Els.

    like Furyk, Kuchar, Mickelson and Fowler as "dog" matchup bets


     
    LeRinkRat
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    Posted: Aug. 27, 2014 - 5:37 PM ET #8

    big "dump" on Fowler since Cantor posted odds early Wednesday. opened 18-1 nor 13-1. The Mick from 20-1 up to 22-1. the other big "dump" Jimmy Walker opened 55-1 now 40-1. Rory has moved up to 4 1/2-1 from the 4-1 open

    ended up doing these "lightly" >>>

    to win bets >>>

    Rickie Fowler 18-1 ($10 =$190)
    Jim Furyk  20-1 ($10=$210)
    Phil Mickelson 20-1 ($10=$210)
    Hunter Mahan 24-1 ($10=$250)
    Patrick Reed 38-1 ($5=$195)
    Ernie Els 45-1 ($5=$230)
    Camilo Villegas 110-1 ($5=$555)
    Stuart Appleby 140-1 ($5=$705)

    tourney matchups

    Round Robin  4-3's @ $5 each = $20
    NO Fowler = $57.35
    NO Michelson = $58.75
    NO Kuchar = $48.81
    NO Furyk = $45.88

    4 Team Parlay @ $5 = $114.70
    Furyk +150 vs McIlroy
    Kuchar +135 vs Scott
    Michelson -105 vs Haas
    Fowler even vs Day




    Reply
    big "dump" on Fowler since Cantor posted odds early Wednesday. opened 18-1 nor 13-1. The Mick from 20-1 up to 22-1. the other big "dump" Jimmy Walker opened 55-1 now 40-1. Rory has moved up to 4 1/2-1 from the 4-1 open

    ended up doing these "lightly" >>>

    to win bets >>>

    Rickie Fowler 18-1 ($10 =$190)
    Jim Furyk  20-1 ($10=$210)
    Phil Mickelson 20-1 ($10=$210)
    Hunter Mahan 24-1 ($10=$250)
    Patrick Reed 38-1 ($5=$195)
    Ernie Els 45-1 ($5=$230)
    Camilo Villegas 110-1 ($5=$555)
    Stuart Appleby 140-1 ($5=$705)

    tourney matchups

    Round Robin  4-3's @ $5 each = $20
    NO Fowler = $57.35
    NO Michelson = $58.75
    NO Kuchar = $48.81
    NO Furyk = $45.88

    4 Team Parlay @ $5 = $114.70
    Furyk +150 vs McIlroy
    Kuchar +135 vs Scott
    Michelson -105 vs Haas
    Fowler even vs Day




     
    bob_sakimano
    bob_sakimano
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    Posted: Aug. 27, 2014 - 11:29 PM ET #9

    Took Fowler at 15-1 and Woodland at 45-1 with my local
    Reply
    Took Fowler at 15-1 and Woodland at 45-1 with my local
     
    AJLightning
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    Posted: Aug. 28, 2014 - 9:17 AM ET #10

    having laptop issues at home...I will post 1st round and tourny matchups today before I leave work. Hopefully I can get it going bythe weekend. Got a few fantasy football drafts too so I need the internet!! Just a pain doing all this on my phone. 

    Reply
    having laptop issues at home...I will post 1st round and tourny matchups today before I leave work. Hopefully I can get it going bythe weekend. Got a few fantasy football drafts too so I need the internet!! Just a pain doing all this on my phone. 

     
    Rocafella
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    Posted: Aug. 28, 2014 - 10:11 AM ET #11

    Why haven't they teed off yet? Weather looks fine?
    Reply
    Why haven't they teed off yet? Weather looks fine?
     
    Rocafella
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    Posted: Aug. 28, 2014 - 10:13 AM ET #12

    I forgot it's Labor Day and Fri-Monday.   Don't mind me...
    Reply
    I forgot it's Labor Day and Fri-Monday.   Don't mind me...
     
    AJLightning
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    Posted: Aug. 28, 2014 - 11:23 AM ET #13

    Rocafella  
    Reply
    Rocafella  
     
    AJLightning
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    Posted: Aug. 28, 2014 - 11:25 AM ET #14

    Yes, got the laptop issues worked out! One of my kids (or both) locked it out by entering the wrong password too many times. I had to change it recently because they were abusing their internet privileges. 

    Good to go for golf and fantasy football this weekend!

    Reply
    Yes, got the laptop issues worked out! One of my kids (or both) locked it out by entering the wrong password too many times. I had to change it recently because they were abusing their internet privileges. 

    Good to go for golf and fantasy football this weekend!

     
    JOHNNY_ODAE
    JOHNNY_ODAE
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    Posted: Aug. 28, 2014 - 12:57 PM ET #15

    Hey AJ, know you like to take a shot so my program sent out a upside alert of Kotrak, Jason and Senden, John!!!! Use at your own discretion!!!! So far this year it was right on with Little Timmy @51-1 and a Jimmie Walker win back in the spring @ 22-1
    Reply
    Hey AJ, know you like to take a shot so my program sent out a upside alert of Kotrak, Jason and Senden, John!!!! Use at your own discretion!!!! So far this year it was right on with Little Timmy @51-1 and a Jimmie Walker win back in the spring @ 22-1
     
    AJLightning
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    Posted: Aug. 28, 2014 - 2:23 PM ET #16

    Quote Originally Posted by JOHNNY_ODAE:

    Hey AJ, know you like to take a shot so my program sent out a upside alert of Kotrak, Jason and Senden, John!!!! Use at your own discretion!!!! So far this year it was right on with Little Timmy @51-1 and a Jimmie Walker win back in the spring @ 22-1

    I'm not to high on the "Coat Rack" this week. But I do see Senden making a run. Any above average putters should do well if their on

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by JOHNNY_ODAE:

    Hey AJ, know you like to take a shot so my program sent out a upside alert of Kotrak, Jason and Senden, John!!!! Use at your own discretion!!!! So far this year it was right on with Little Timmy @51-1 and a Jimmie Walker win back in the spring @ 22-1

    I'm not to high on the "Coat Rack" this week. But I do see Senden making a run. Any above average putters should do well if their on

     
    AJLightning
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    Posted: Aug. 28, 2014 - 11:28 PM ET #17

    1st Round Matchups

    McGirt (+115) over Leishman

    Simpson (-110) over Matsuyama

    Els (+105) over Delaet

    Z. Johnson (+110) over Fowler


    Tournament Matchups

    Day (+140) over McIlroy - 2*

    Fowler (+105) over Stenson - 2*

    Keegan (-110) over Phil - 2*

    Matsuyama (-110) over Delaet - 5*

    Z. Johnson (-125) over Leishman - 2*

    Senden (-110) over Todd - 2*



    Reply
    1st Round Matchups

    McGirt (+115) over Leishman

    Simpson (-110) over Matsuyama

    Els (+105) over Delaet

    Z. Johnson (+110) over Fowler


    Tournament Matchups

    Day (+140) over McIlroy - 2*

    Fowler (+105) over Stenson - 2*

    Keegan (-110) over Phil - 2*

    Matsuyama (-110) over Delaet - 5*

    Z. Johnson (-125) over Leishman - 2*

    Senden (-110) over Todd - 2*



     
    Bluefin
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    Posted: Aug. 29, 2014 - 8:15 AM ET #18

    sent you PM this am
    Reply
    sent you PM this am
     
    AJLightning
    AJLightning
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    Posted: Aug. 29, 2014 - 11:34 AM ET #19

    Quote Originally Posted by Bluefin:

    sent you PM this am

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Bluefin:

    sent you PM this am

     
    dannyestrada
    dannyestrada
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    Posted: Aug. 29, 2014 - 12:03 PM ET #20

    Quote Originally Posted by AJLightning:

    1st Round Matchups

    McGirt (+115) over Leishman

    Simpson (-110) over Matsuyama

    Els (+105) over Delaet

    Z. Johnson (+110) over Fowler


    Tournament Matchups

    Day (+140) over McIlroy - 2*

    Fowler (+105) over Stenson - 2*

    Keegan (-110) over Phil - 2*

    Matsuyama (-110) over Delaet - 5*

    Z. Johnson (-125) over Leishman - 2*

    Senden (-110) over Todd - 2*



    I like Folwer today to beat Zach I looked at der numbers.

    last 3 matches Folwer played he his 1st day scores were 68,69 and 67. Zach last 3 matches 1st day were 68,70,70.

     

    I like how Folwer his playing rite now

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by AJLightning:

    1st Round Matchups

    McGirt (+115) over Leishman

    Simpson (-110) over Matsuyama

    Els (+105) over Delaet

    Z. Johnson (+110) over Fowler


    Tournament Matchups

    Day (+140) over McIlroy - 2*

    Fowler (+105) over Stenson - 2*

    Keegan (-110) over Phil - 2*

    Matsuyama (-110) over Delaet - 5*

    Z. Johnson (-125) over Leishman - 2*

    Senden (-110) over Todd - 2*



    I like Folwer today to beat Zach I looked at der numbers.

    last 3 matches Folwer played he his 1st day scores were 68,69 and 67. Zach last 3 matches 1st day were 68,70,70.

     

    I like how Folwer his playing rite now

     
    AJLightning
    AJLightning
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    Posted: Aug. 29, 2014 - 2:17 PM ET #21

    Quote Originally Posted by dannyestrada:

    I like Folwer today to beat Zach I looked at der numbers.

    last 3 matches Folwer played he his 1st day scores were 68,69 and 67. Zach last 3 matches 1st day were 68,70,70.

     

    I like how Folwer his playing rite now


    That stat is all good and well but you should also consider the types of course's they played on. Could set up better for one and not the other. Also, that play was value based. Zach that much of a dog, on a track that sets up well for him, was a go for me. 

    Good Luck Boss   
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by dannyestrada:

    I like Folwer today to beat Zach I looked at der numbers.

    last 3 matches Folwer played he his 1st day scores were 68,69 and 67. Zach last 3 matches 1st day were 68,70,70.

     

    I like how Folwer his playing rite now


    That stat is all good and well but you should also consider the types of course's they played on. Could set up better for one and not the other. Also, that play was value based. Zach that much of a dog, on a track that sets up well for him, was a go for me. 

    Good Luck Boss   
     
    AJLightning
    AJLightning
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    Posted: Aug. 29, 2014 - 2:23 PM ET #22

    Danny - another good stat is "first round scoring average."

    https://www.pgatour.com/stats/stat.148.html

    This takes the average of every first round, on every different course throughout the year. I think it's a better barometer...

    Zach is ranked T3 (69.27)

    Fowler is ranked T147 (71.64)

    That big of a gap, along with Zach as the dog was enough for me
    Reply
    Danny - another good stat is "first round scoring average."

    https://www.pgatour.com/stats/stat.148.html

    This takes the average of every first round, on every different course throughout the year. I think it's a better barometer...

    Zach is ranked T3 (69.27)

    Fowler is ranked T147 (71.64)

    That big of a gap, along with Zach as the dog was enough for me
     
    AJLightning
    AJLightning
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    Posted: Aug. 30, 2014 - 11:19 AM ET #23

    2nd Round Matchups

    Na (+155) over Scott

    McGirt (Ev) over Leishman



    Reply
    2nd Round Matchups

    Na (+155) over Scott

    McGirt (Ev) over Leishman



     
    AJLightning
    AJLightning
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    Posted: Aug. 31, 2014 - 12:35 PM ET #24

    Moving Day Matchups

    Stroud (+160) over Furyk

    Crane (+150) over Kaymer

    Reed (Ev) over Keegan



    Reply
    Moving Day Matchups

    Stroud (+160) over Furyk

    Crane (+150) over Kaymer

    Reed (Ev) over Keegan



     
     
    AJLightning
    AJLightning
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2014 - 11:30 AM ET #25

    Final Round Matchups

    VJ (Ev) over Pettersson

    Kuchar (+120) over Scott

    Haas (Ev) over Spieth

    Keegan (+110) over Fowler

    Streelman (-110) over Yul Noh - 2*

    Simpson (+125) over Day



    Sunday Six-Pack...Good Luck to ALL !!!    
    Reply
    Final Round Matchups

    VJ (Ev) over Pettersson

    Kuchar (+120) over Scott

    Haas (Ev) over Spieth

    Keegan (+110) over Fowler

    Streelman (-110) over Yul Noh - 2*

    Simpson (+125) over Day



    Sunday Six-Pack...Good Luck to ALL !!!    
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