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Plantation Course at Kapalua

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Posted: #1
 
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Glad to be back....let's get to it!!



Tournament Matchup LEANS:

Day (-125) over Bubba

Z. Johnson (-105) over Matsuyama

Moore (-115) over Kirk

Henley (-105) over Clark

Ogilvy (-105) over Moon Bae

Senden (-115) over Holmes

Streb (-115) over Hoffman

Hadley (+135) over Stadler

Streelman (-115) over Clark
 
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Posted: #3
Bol this weekend buddy 
 
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Quote Originally Posted by AJLightning:

Glad to be back....let's get to it!!



Tournament Matchup LEANS:

Day (-125) over Bubba

Z. Johnson (-105) over Matsuyama

Moore (-115) over Kirk

Henley (-105) over Clark

Ogilvy (-105) over Moon Bae

Senden (-115) over Holmes

Streb (-115) over Hoffman

Hadley (+135) over Stadler

Streelman (-115) over Clark
 
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Posted: #6
Bae over the two time champ and trending Ogilvy?

Do tell Jmits.....
 
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Posted: #7
GL this year.
 
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Posted: #8
Ogilvy hasn't played this tournament since 2010.
He did win it back to back years.
Hasn't finished in the top 25 in his last 3 starts.

Bae played okay last year on this course
Last two starts  1rst and 5th
Obviously everyone is coming off of a break so we will see how it all shakes out.


 
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Quote Originally Posted by jmitseff:

Ogilvy hasn't played this tournament since 2010.
He did win it back to back years.
Hasn't finished in the top 25 in his last 3 starts.

Bae played okay last year on this course
Last two starts  1rst and 5th
Obviously everyone is coming off of a break so we will see how it all shakes out.



Fair enough.

Course history is very high on my list when handicapping golf and trumps current form IMO. If the player is a past champ, then the grade is even higher. 

Aussie's play VERY well in the wind as well (hence the two victories for Ogilvy)
 
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Posted: #10
I don't think Bae's head is in this right now.   He is about to enter a legal battle with the gov't of South Korea, who wants him to return, so he can enlist in the military.
 
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Posted: #11
yeah no way id take sang moon with the military stuff going on
 
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The course will be his sanctuary. 
 
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I don't think so Jmits...you need a clear mind, no distractions. I don't believe playing will be enough. Too many negitives for Bae, couple of positives for Ogilvy sway me towards him.
 
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Posted: #14
line movement galore...plugging these in now
 
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Tournament Matchups

Day (-120) over Bubba - 2*

Matsuyama (-115) over Walker - 2*

Henley (-105) over Clark - 2*

Ogilvy (-110) over Moon Bae - 5*

Hadley (+125) over Stadler - 2*



 
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Matsuyama (-115) over Walker - 2*


Caught my eye yesterday but I couldn't pull the trigger.
 
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Posted: #18
Quote Originally Posted by jmitseff:

Matsuyama (-115) over Walker - 2*


Caught my eye yesterday but I couldn't pull the trigger.

Matsuyama seems a bit sharper to start the year off than Walker has....

Jimmy has had his time to shine....Matsuyama is still grinding for that limelight
 
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Posted: #19
I'm kind of down on walker a little this year. 
 
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Posted: #20
1st Round Matchups

Cabrera (+110) over Hoffman

Day (-115) over Kuchar



 
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Posted: #21
AJ - Happy New Year amigo!

I have been reading your posts for a couple years now, and was wondering if you kept your overall record last year, and if so what was it?

Best of luck this year. My picks:
To Win:
Ogilvy 35-1, Walker 14-1, Kirk 16-1, Henley 38-1, Stallings 52-1.

Jumping on your turney match ups on Henley (+105) vs Clark, Ogilvy (-105) vs Bae.
 
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Posted: #22
Aj check your messages 
 
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Quote Originally Posted by Retief63376:

AJ - Happy New Year amigo!

I have been reading your posts for a couple years now, and was wondering if you kept your overall record last year, and if so what was it?

Best of luck this year. My picks:
To Win:
Ogilvy 35-1, Walker 14-1, Kirk 16-1, Henley 38-1, Stallings 52-1.

Jumping on your turney match ups on Henley (+105) vs Clark, Ogilvy (-105) vs Bae.

I did keep a record, but I can't find the most up to date thread. I would guess around 55% and slightly down on the units for the year.  
If you've been keeping up with me, then you know what I'm about. My strong points are Tourny/3rd/final round matchups. Very good history in Majors as well. I'm sure a few guys here would vouch for that. Going to be A LOT more selective with my picks this year, concentrating more on Tourny matchups with less 1st/2nd round picks.

Thanks for reading my thread and Good luck Boss!!  
 
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Quote Originally Posted by stats1:

Aj check your messages 

 
 
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Posted: #25


I used your info a lot for majors.

3rd and 4th round match-ups seem a lot more successful for me as well than 1st and 2nd round.
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