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    All Forums | Pro Golf

    Accventures Genesis picks thread

    «First Previous 123 Next Last»
    accventures
    djmurphr
    NEGolfJosh3
    PeAceMaKer7690
    Raidernator76
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 1262
    Posts: 66
    «First Previous 123 Next Last»
     
    accventures
    accventures
    Legend
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2005
    Posts: 33235
    Posted: Feb. 16, 2024 - 7:19 AM ET #26

    Adding:

     

    Hughes to win (200-1 for $8)

    Harman to win (150-1 for $10)

    Todd to win (130-1 for $11)

    Hodges to win (300-1 for $21)

    Hadwin to win (150-1 for $20)

    Reply

    Adding:

     

    Hughes to win (200-1 for $8)

    Harman to win (150-1 for $10)

    Todd to win (130-1 for $11)

    Hodges to win (300-1 for $21)

    Hadwin to win (150-1 for $20)

     
    djmurphr
    djmurphr
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    Posts: 618
    Posted: Feb. 16, 2024 - 7:37 AM ET #27

    clover

    Reply

    clover

     
    NEGolfJosh3
    NEGolfJosh3
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    Posts: 366
    Posted: Feb. 16, 2024 - 9:57 AM ET #28

    @accventures

     I like Taylor over McCarthy R2. 250-1 seems fair to me with Taylor @ -1, 6 shots off the lead. Not to mention trying for back to back wins.

    @PeAceMaKer7690

     Are the 20/10/5 parlays all separate plays? Or one big one?

    Reply

    @accventures

     I like Taylor over McCarthy R2. 250-1 seems fair to me with Taylor @ -1, 6 shots off the lead. Not to mention trying for back to back wins.

    @PeAceMaKer7690

     Are the 20/10/5 parlays all separate plays? Or one big one?

     
    PeAceMaKer7690
    PeAceMaKer7690
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    Posted: Feb. 16, 2024 - 10:50 AM ET #29

    @NEGolfJosh3

     I did like 20 separate plays, I shoot for the +200 - +300 range for each pick, and pick ones I think are >50% likely to accomplish the finish. 

    I did a 1/10,000 chance hail mary play which pays $1million: Cole t20, Scott t10, Hossler t5, Poston t5. Just to have a little hope. That's a once per 3 months bet right there.

    Reply

    @NEGolfJosh3

     I did like 20 separate plays, I shoot for the +200 - +300 range for each pick, and pick ones I think are >50% likely to accomplish the finish. 

    I did a 1/10,000 chance hail mary play which pays $1million: Cole t20, Scott t10, Hossler t5, Poston t5. Just to have a little hope. That's a once per 3 months bet right there.

     
    PeAceMaKer7690
    PeAceMaKer7690
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    Posted: Feb. 16, 2024 - 10:51 AM ET #30

    but of course, I calculate the True odds closer to 1/16 :)

    Reply

    but of course, I calculate the True odds closer to 1/16 :)

     
    PeAceMaKer7690
    PeAceMaKer7690
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    Posted: Feb. 16, 2024 - 10:54 AM ET #31

    I also did a McIlroy t20, Hojgaard t10, Poston t5 pays 8k.

     

    And a Cole t20, hossler t10, hun an t5, pays 10k.

    And a Hossler t20, Scott t20, Schauffele t10, Scheffler t5 pays 5k. 

    Those are my biggest plays. I usually don't bet this much on these parlays because the odds are so bad, but for this tournament, the past leaderboards are all great players like my picks, and the cream rises to the top at this tournament. I, am just trying to be a little 'early' on who we are gonna look back in 3 years and say are top 20 great players.

    Reply

    I also did a McIlroy t20, Hojgaard t10, Poston t5 pays 8k.

     

    And a Cole t20, hossler t10, hun an t5, pays 10k.

    And a Hossler t20, Scott t20, Schauffele t10, Scheffler t5 pays 5k. 

    Those are my biggest plays. I usually don't bet this much on these parlays because the odds are so bad, but for this tournament, the past leaderboards are all great players like my picks, and the cream rises to the top at this tournament. I, am just trying to be a little 'early' on who we are gonna look back in 3 years and say are top 20 great players.

     
    djmurphr
    djmurphr
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    Posts: 618
    Posted: Feb. 16, 2024 - 11:21 AM ET #32

    @PeAceMaKer7690

     Hope you hit the milly payout, that'd be awesome lol an_cheers clover

    Reply

    @PeAceMaKer7690

     Hope you hit the milly payout, that'd be awesome lol an_cheers clover

     
    NEGolfJosh3
    NEGolfJosh3
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    Posts: 366
    Posted: Feb. 16, 2024 - 11:25 AM ET #33

    Very nice! BOL!

    clover

    Reply

    Very nice! BOL!

    clover

     
    djmurphr
    djmurphr
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    Posts: 618
    Posted: Feb. 16, 2024 - 4:11 PM ET #34

    Let's go Chase! Make the cut! 

    Reply

    Let's go Chase! Make the cut! 

     
    accventures
    accventures
    Legend
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    Posts: 33235
    Posted: Feb. 16, 2024 - 5:58 PM ET #35

    Taylor sneaking back in an_popcorn

    Reply

    Taylor sneaking back in an_popcorn

     
    accventures
    accventures
    Legend
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    Posted: Feb. 16, 2024 - 6:00 PM ET #36

    adding:  

    Cam Young to win (200-1 for $20)

    Reply

    adding:  

    Cam Young to win (200-1 for $20)

     
    accventures
    accventures
    Legend
    Participation Meter
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    Posts: 33235
    Posted: Feb. 17, 2024 - 8:06 AM ET #37

    2-2 in match-ups for 2nd round

    13-4-2 overall matchup record

     

    3rd round matchups

    An (-110) over Poston   $165

    Homa (even) over Cantlay. $150

    Hossler (even) over Conners $150

    Kitayama (-110) over Fowler.  $165

    Reply

    2-2 in match-ups for 2nd round

    13-4-2 overall matchup record

     

    3rd round matchups

    An (-110) over Poston   $165

    Homa (even) over Cantlay. $150

    Hossler (even) over Conners $150

    Kitayama (-110) over Fowler.  $165

     
    Raidernator76
    Raidernator76
    Hall of Fame
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    Posted: Feb. 17, 2024 - 1:21 PM ET #38

    Quote Originally Posted by accventures:

    Taylor sneaking back in

    The back 9 yesterday cost him from having any shot in this. And i have himan_brick

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by accventures:

    Taylor sneaking back in

    The back 9 yesterday cost him from having any shot in this. And i have himan_brick

     
    djmurphr
    djmurphr
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    Posts: 618
    Posted: Feb. 17, 2024 - 1:36 PM ET #39

    S. Power coming in strong today an_clap

    Reply

    S. Power coming in strong today an_clap

     
    accventures
    accventures
    Legend
    Participation Meter
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    Posts: 33235
    Posted: Feb. 17, 2024 - 9:34 PM ET #40

    2-1-1 in matchups today.

    Reply

    2-1-1 in matchups today.

     
    accventures
    accventures
    Legend
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    Posts: 33235
    Posted: Feb. 17, 2024 - 10:32 PM ET #41

    Adding:

    Cantlay to win (even for $200)....gotta jump on this while he's at even money

    Poston to win (125-1 for $15)

    Reply

    Adding:

    Cantlay to win (even for $200)....gotta jump on this while he's at even money

    Poston to win (125-1 for $15)

     
    PeAceMaKer7690
    PeAceMaKer7690
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    Posts: 2455
    Posted: Feb. 17, 2024 - 11:32 PM ET #42

    If Poston wins I will be quite happy. Cantlay looks in complete control putting. Just need him to cool off a bit there.

    Reply

    If Poston wins I will be quite happy. Cantlay looks in complete control putting. Just need him to cool off a bit there.

     
    PeAceMaKer7690
    PeAceMaKer7690
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    Posted: Feb. 17, 2024 - 11:32 PM ET #43

    If Poston wins I will be quite happy. Cantlay looks in complete control putting. Just need him to cool off a bit there.

    Reply

    If Poston wins I will be quite happy. Cantlay looks in complete control putting. Just need him to cool off a bit there.

     
    NEGolfJosh3
    NEGolfJosh3
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    Posted: Feb. 18, 2024 - 6:41 AM ET #44

    I tailed you on Cantlay at +110 FD and +105 DK. Really happy to see him at + money this morning.

    I agree, the flat stick is on fire for him. It's his tournament to lose at this point. Should be a fun round 4.

    Reply

    I tailed you on Cantlay at +110 FD and +105 DK. Really happy to see him at + money this morning.

    I agree, the flat stick is on fire for him. It's his tournament to lose at this point. Should be a fun round 4.

     
    accventures
    accventures
    Legend
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    Posted: Feb. 18, 2024 - 11:46 AM ET #45

    Adding:

    Poston to win (125-1 for $22)

     

    Reply

    Adding:

    Poston to win (125-1 for $22)

     

     
    accventures
    accventures
    Legend
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2005
    Posts: 33235
    Posted: Feb. 18, 2024 - 11:48 AM ET #46

    4th round Hossler (-105) over Cole $170

    Reply

    4th round Hossler (-105) over Cole $170

     
    PeAceMaKer7690
    PeAceMaKer7690
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    Posts: 2455
    Posted: Feb. 18, 2024 - 12:01 PM ET #47

    I don't have a hope, but maybe a prayer. Need MONSTER rounds from Hossler and Poston. And good rounds from Scott and Cole.

    Let's get work done today boys.

    Reply

    I don't have a hope, but maybe a prayer. Need MONSTER rounds from Hossler and Poston. And good rounds from Scott and Cole.

    Let's get work done today boys.

     
    accventures
    accventures
    Legend
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    Joined: Jan, 2005
    Posts: 33235
    Posted: Feb. 18, 2024 - 12:33 PM ET #48

    Adding:

     

    Conners to win (130-1 for $18)

    Matsuyama to win (150-1 for $17)

    Reply

    Adding:

     

    Conners to win (130-1 for $18)

    Matsuyama to win (150-1 for $17)

     
    accventures
    accventures
    Legend
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2005
    Posts: 33235
    Posted: Feb. 18, 2024 - 12:36 PM ET #49

    Adding:

    List to win (14-1 for $65)

    Reply

    Adding:

    List to win (14-1 for $65)

     
     
    accventures
    accventures
    Legend
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2005
    Posts: 33235
    Posted: Feb. 18, 2024 - 3:46 PM ET #50

    Not much on List but looks too late now.

    Reply

    Not much on List but looks too late now.

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