All Forums | Pro Golf

2015 Masters

Participants:
Search
Views: 2336
Posts: 29
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2015
Posts: 127
Posted: #1
I have caught the Gambling Bug this year.  and had a lot of success with organization and contemplating my thoughts using covers.  Feels like a blog about gambling, which works for me...  I don't think anyone cares anyway

Anyway I threw $3k into a FIVEdimz through a local book of mine.  Will post my bets.  Hopefully we can get some Mojo and be able to lay the wood on an outright winner bet for Sunday.  I have no issues losing all this money but I hope I don't.

I am gonna try to stay away from longer term match up bets as I won;t be able to churn the money.

To win Masters $50 each:
JB Holmes +4500
DJ +1460
To win Masters $25 each
Tiger +2765
Sergio +3785
Sneds +4000
Els +31000
Donald +21500

Tournament Matchups:
$100
DJ Over Scott +110
Stenson Over Phil +105
Poulter Over Furyk +150
Blixt Over Harrington -145

First Round Matchups:
$200
Haas Over Dufner -138... would like to fade Duf, but don't know if his divorce will be a liberating event
Holmes Over Fowler -105... I genuinely like JB to win this thing.  Having the best spring of his career.
$100
Reed Over Bradley -112
Poulter over Furyk +140

Makes/Misses Cut:
$100
Horshel Misses +190
Woodland Makes -280...  wish i didn't hit confirm
$50 
Tigers Makes -170...  homer play
$25
Rory Miss +580
Speith Miss +500
Scott Miss +423

Props:
$300
2015 Masters Has Hole in One YES -130

ROUND 1 PLAY OF THE DAY:
$400
Thongchai Jaidee Over Camillo Villegas -107

- This play was is a straight fade of Camillo.  Unforunately for me, in golf betting there has to be a player on the other side of the bet.  Camillo's putting stats are abysmal this year as they have been every year of his career.  he doesnt crack the top 100 in strokes gaines, total putting, or 3 putt avoidance.
He's not in the top 75 in any scrambling category either.  His short game has gotten worse, not better since 2009 where he finished 13th.  I am very confident Camillo is over par tomorrow.   Mr. Jaidee just has to give me something Even or better and this is cashed.


Good Luck to Everyone.
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2002
Posts: 55859
Posted: #2
Looks good brother. BOL
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2015
Posts: 127
Posted: #3
ADDED:
1st Round
$100
Kirk Over Donaldson -110
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2015
Posts: 127
Posted: #4
crazy luck for villegas today, misses water on 11, misses on 13, now his magic ball holds up on 15 too... crazy game...   Jaidee will have to play well to cash this bet
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2015
Posts: 127
Posted: #5
Was able to watch a few hours while working today.  Good Stuff.  Congrats to Speith, best opening round I have seen in a Major.. ever.  But hope he fades.  I stand to make Big Boy Money if Ernie can win this thing.

Villages played a bad round today but got away with even par because of a lot of luck.  40 plays were even par or better today.  I needed Jaidee to be one of them, he wasnt and I lose money.  
Well You can't win the Masters on Thursday, but you can lose it....  Holmes, Donald and Sneds are out of this thing IMO. 
I don't think I am out of this thing yet, but today was not very promising.  But if ELS wins... :)
Other notes.  I may be wrong but I think Speith is gonna make the cut... lol...  so that already is a loser, just need the book to post the loss.  Was hoping the hole in one would come today with the good conditions.  


First Round Matchups:
$400 POD: Thongchai Jaidee Over Camillo Villegas -107 (L)
$200: Haas Over Dufner -138 (W), Holmes Over Fowler -105 (L)
$100: Reed Over Bradley -112 (W), Poulter over Furyk +140 (W), Kirk Over Donaldson -110 (W)

First Round Matchups: 4-2 -$98 

NEED A BETTER DAY FRIDAY. OTHER WISE I MIGHT HAVE TO STAY AWAY.  
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2015
Posts: 127
Posted: #6
Took about $1500 worth of credit from the book, which I HATE HATE HATE to do, I always prefer to buy in. but I went 4-2 on thursday and just had an issue with allocation.  After watching the first round I feel confident in so many plays.
Friday is do or die for me, if I am down 1k or more after friday, I'll hav to write a check to cover my credit, NOT FUN. and will be discouraged enough to back out of this tourney.  But I will have some futures pending.

ADDED:  Speith to win $100 +249


2nd Round Matchups:
$200
Cabera Over Oosthuizen (+105)
Holmes Vs Sneds +1/2, ML  (-108,+120)
Blixt Over Gallager (-110)
Haas Over Dufner -1/2, ML (-146, -180)
Tiger Vs Walker +1/2 (+107)
Els Over C. Hoffman (-110)
Bjorn Over Villegas (-105)
Lahiri Over T. Watson (-140)


Would have made Lahiri Over Watson My POD but when I was hitting it at -125 the book raised it almost immediately and sitting at -155 I didn't like it as much

Second Round POD:
$400
Kuchar Over Koepka -1/2, ML (-144, -175)


- One thing that is clear to me is that Brooks Koepka is hurting.  He is at Augusta because, well... its the masters.  If you can swing the club you would play too.  But the adrenaline he had to start his round today will not be as prevalent on friday.  He started out well but faded late.  I would be very very surprised if he broke par on friday, even more surprised if he makes the cut.
he's done his best, he's put on brave face, but it is time to go home.  I feel there is a possibility of withdrawal as well, and these bets have action as long as he tees off.  If this guy is healthy LOOK OUT, he could win a couple of these major thingies.
The beauty of this play is Matt Kucher is an excellent golfer and will play well tomorrow at a course he has had success at.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2015
Posts: 127
Posted: #7
Well there were two big swings today.  Firstly, Woodland.... guy plays decently well and just fades away on the back side today.  If he pars 18 its a $380 swing for me...  Disappointing for me, even more diappointing for him I am sure.
The second big swing, Duffy goes nuts in the last 4, I mean good for him, he makes the cut and can play the weekend, but it definately cost me a winning day.  hurt a little that Haas Bogeyed 17 but he came back with birdie on 18 to salvage a half push.  I feel bad for both of them having to pay with Crenshaw, i think they will play better on the weekend without the old men dragging the pace down.
There were other swings too though. Holmes redeemed himself and closed well to beat Sneds.
I am still alive in this thing despite the fact I have been hammered by my large plays. 
Would have loved a hole in one to come today... Less guys playing, the odds get lower and lower with the weekend.


TODAY:

2nd Round Matchups:
$400:  Kuchar Over Koepka (L) -$638
$200: Cabera Over Oosthuizen PUSH; Holmes Vs Sneds +$220; Blixt Over Gallager +$200; Haas Over Dufner -$146;
Tiger Vs Walker +$214; Els Over C. Hoffman -$220; Bjorn Over Villegas -$210; Lahiri Over T. Watson +$200;

4-4-1 -$380

Tourney Matchups (Complete):
$100: Poulter Over Furyk +150; Blixt Over Harrington +$100
2-0 +$250

Makes/Misses Cut (all complete):
$100: Horshel Misses +$190; Woodland Makes -$280
$50: Tigers Makes +$50
$25: Rory Miss -$25; Speith Miss -$25; Scott Miss -$25
2-4 -$115

Losing Futures:
$50: Holmes -$50
$25: Sneds -$25; Donald -$25
Current Profit Loss on Futures: -$100
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2015
Posts: 127
Posted: #8
ADDED:
$300 Risk Speith to win -165
$50 DJ to win +875


STILL PENDING:

To Win Futures:
$400: Speith +108
$100: DJ +1168
$25: Tiger +2765; Sergio +3785; Els +31000

Tournament Matchups:
$100: DJ Over Scott +110 (4UP) & Stenson Over Phil +105 (8DN)

Props:
$300: 2015 Masters Has Hole in One YES -130

RECAP:
First Round Matchups: 4-2 -$98
Second Round Matchups: 4-4-1 -$380
Tourney Matchups (Complete):  2-0 +$250
Makes/Misses Cut: 2-4 -$115
Current Profit Loss on Futures: -$100

TOTAL LOSS: -$443

Still have the $1500 additional credit available.  But my initial bankroll is down from $3000 to $2557
My Available Bankroll is $1392...

I dont know what I want to do.  I feel I am capping decently well, just cant seem to grab and mojo.

Good Luck to Everyone.

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2015
Posts: 127
Posted: #9
Third Round Matchups:
$500
Els Over Na +111
Weisberger Over Compton -133
Ogilvy Over Noh -113
$200
Poulter Over Clarke (-1/2, ML)  -146, -195
$100
Bae Over Tringale +102
Poulter Over Clarke ML + Oosthuizen Over O'Meara ML + Hole in One Yes Parlay  +478
Day Over Scott -112
Reed Over Blixt -157
Dufner Over M. Hoffman -118
Woods Over Garcia -113

-  One thing I wanna make clear, is that I am assuming pins will be the toughest they'll be for the whole week tomorrow.  Augusta doesn't want this to be a runaway.  They have impossible pins on 1, 4, 7, 10, 14, 17  e might see them all on Sat.
WIth that said I have 3 large plays that I have made.
- Why ride Els when he has earned me nothing so far?  Because he could shoot even par with his eyes closed on this course.  This is his 21st Masters and he has shown no signs that he is gonna put in a dud round.  Also, I will cite Kevin Na's 3rd round scoring average.  Keven Na has made his living making cuts and cashing checks, but doing nothing on the weekend.
- Weisberger is the 42nd ranked player in the world, he is one the rise at 29 and has played well in his first masters.  Erik Compton is 117th in the World and has accomplished one thing, a T2 in the 2014 US Open lightyears behind the winner.  He is lucky to be here and kudos to him for making the cut, but where a Weisberger will play in this thing 10 more times in his career, this is Compton's last ride, and he knows it.  Either he will play aggressive and shoot a high number, or he will try to play safe and get eaten up by the tough pins.
- I have been waiting years for Ogilvy to show some life in this tourney.  He has made the cut, is hitting fairways, and greens and seems to have turned the corner with his relationship with this course.  With tough pins on Saturday, he is one of a handful of guys that hits the ball with that high draw that can get it close.  If he putts decently well he should get past Noh.  Noh is an outstanding player that will contend in majors in the future but I will take my chances with a position against him in his first Masters weekend.

- also I think Poulter vs Clarke is a great value play despite the juice.

Once again I am confident, but I am a prime fade candidate at this point.  

Good Luck to Everyone.  

As always I am hoping for the best, I hope when I wake up around 1pm tomorrow I am in good shape.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2015
Posts: 127
Posted: #10
Third Round Matchups:
$500
Els Over Na +111 (L)
Weisberger Over Compton -133 (W)
Ogilvy Over Noh -113 (L)
$200
Poulter Over Clarke (-1/2, ML)  -146, -195 (W)
$100
Bae Over Tringale +102 (L)
Day Over Scott -112 (W)
Reed Over Blixt -157 (L)
Dufner Over M. Hoffman -118 (L)
Woods Over Garcia -113 (W)

5-5 -$540

DJ, Tiger, Sergio, Or Els are not winning this thing so they are gonna be counted against the future total

Im gonna call, DJ over Scott as a winner, but Stenson Over Phil as a loser too.

RECAP:
First Round Matchups: 4-2 -$98
Second Round Matchups: 4-4-1 -$380
Third Round Matchups: 5-5 -$540
Tourney Matchups (Complete):  3-1 +$260
Makes/Misses Cut: 2-4 -$115
Current Profit Loss on Futures: -$275

TOTAL LOSS: -$1148
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2015
Posts: 127
Posted: #11
I wanna strangle Geoff Ogilvy.  Skanks his tee shot on 17, and 3 putts 18 from 20 feet... and its a $1065 swing.... things like that have cost me time and time again in this tournament.
Ernie implodes after doubling 15 from the middle of the fairway... Na didnt even play well....  
once again 50% on the plays but lose the big ones.  I cannot catch a break  this tournament.  
Would have been awesome if I could see the hole in one today.  Moore lipped out, but that was about it all day....   That hole in one is gonna be a big swing

Its clean up time for me... The goal is to break even now.   Thought Id be up 1k or more at this point but it wasn;t meant to be.


Gonna consolidate the Hole in One Play Two of three legs of the parlay hit.  A total of $490 is at risk...

right now if speith wins and there is a hole in one on Sunday I will even out.

ONLY PENDING PLAYS:
$400: Speith To Win the Masters +108
$490: 2015 Masters Has Hole in One YES +159



 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2015
Posts: 127
Posted: #12
If I lose more than $3000 I am gonna have to write a check Sunday night.... not gonna be fun...  Its not just the loss, its the embarassment of being so wrong betting a game I am an expert in.

But I am sticking to my guns....   I have seen everything I need to see from Speith at 18 today.  that chip will never be duplicated.  He will come through tomorrow....  I am just glad he doubled 16 so it wasnt that expensive to add to the paly

One more POD, but if you have learned anything its that its probably fade bait.



ADDED:

$400 Speith to win at -220 Total Play is $1280 risk to win $832


ADDED FINAL ROUND MATCHUPS:
$200 Donaldson Over McDowell
$200 Henley Over Schwartzel 
$200 Blixt Over Z. Johnson
FINAL POD:
$400 C. Hoffmann Over Phil

-  I think there is great value in the Hoffman play.  Phil plays on the cusp of a  terrible round every time he gets aggressive here.  Sometimes it works out sometimes it doesn't.  He knows he has to start out early, but I see him being even par or worse on the second 9.  Hoffman was steady eddy today and I commend him for that.  I don't think he has the desire to do anything but play well and put up a good number.  Phil is playing Win or Bust Golf.  I'll take the value on what is a coin flip play in the 2nd to last group.

Have to post the lines later.  The website is killing me right now...  no lines are up...  but I am mentally committed.  Just wanted to cap and commit before I started drinking.

Good Luck to Everyone
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2015
Posts: 127
Posted: #13
$200 Donaldson Over McDowell -106
$200 Henley Over Schwartzel -106
$200 Blixt Over Z. Johnson -102
$400 C. Hoffmann Over Phil +168
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2015
Posts: 127
Posted: #14
TODAY:
$490: 2015 Masters Has Hole in One YES +159 (L)
$1280 risk to win $832 Speith to win (W)

Final Round Matchups:
$200 Donaldson Over McDowell -106 (W)
$200 Henley Over Schwartzel -106 (W)
$200 Blixt Over Z. Johnson -102 (L)
$400 C. Hoffmann Over Phil +168 (W)

2-2 -$204


RECAP:
First Round Matchups: 4-2 -$98
Second Round Matchups: 4-4-1 -$380
Third Round Matchups: 5-5 -$540
Final Round Matchups: 2-2 -$204
Tourney Matchups (Complete):  3-1 +$260
Makes/Misses Cut: 2-4 -$115
Props: 0-1 -$490
Profit on Futures: +$557

TOTAL LOSS: -$1010


darn IT.... I TRIED...  Lost every big play I touched....  Congrats to Jordan Speith and to anyone that was able to make money on this tourney.  At least I trusted myself and went big on Speith.  Needed that hole in one...  Never got it.... Cabrera got close I think but it just wasn;t meant to be.

I will try again at Chambers Bay...  Best course I've ever played....
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2015
Posts: 127
Posted: #15
Took these plays... hoping to get my masters money back.

Illonen got hammered overnight.  Should have got in sooner but better late than never.  Offically until MLB playoffs if I Ilonen loses.

$400
Ilonen Over Westwood +135
$200
Ilonen + Rory Thursday Parlay +225
Poulter over Woodland -120
Levy over Na +142
$100
Weisberger Over Sergio +160
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2015
Posts: 127
Posted: #16
just simply can't get anything going...  Ilonen misses 3 footer to force extras....  was 3up after 9...   throwing good money at bad all month long....  (my betting month ends on Sunday)...  A good friend reminded me yesterday that I am always better when I am chasing...   and although I hate being down as much as I am I have to give it another chance when I have solid leans....  Mayweather bet is not in... I am basically playing with that money right now....

$400
Holmes Over Furyk +132
Leishman Over Woodland -108
Willet Over Westwood +122
$250
Mahan to Win +675
Dortmund Show Bet -110 (Kent Derby)
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2015
Posts: 127
Posted: #17
$500
Willet Over Fleetwood -143
Oosthuizen Over Furyk +100
$250
Casey Over Rory +201
Willett + Oosty + Casey + Mayweather Parlay +1306

fade material 

gl all mayweather backers
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2015
Posts: 127
Posted: #18
US OPEN:

SATURDAY... been watching for a few days and this thing is gonna get fast and impossible to make a putt very soonn... higher ball hitters at a premium.

$500
Oosthuisen Over Na -107
Grace Over Reed +119
Luitein Over Finau +103
$300
Summerhays Over Martin +125

GL ALL
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2015
Posts: 127
Posted: #19
US OPEN:

SUNDAY:
Finally a good day on Saturday.   Finau makes bogey on 18 and its a $500 swing.  Gives me some money to work with today,

TO WIN:
$300 Grace +590

- I think DJ wins this thing if he can hit fairways like Saurday, but thats a big if, and I dont see the value.  Id like to take a shot at OOsthuizen but I just dont think there is a a score of 68 in the late afternoon.

Matchups:
$500
Oosthuizen Over Day -133
DJ Over Day -145 
$300
Rose Over McIlroy +135
Holmes Over Sneds +109
dj over speith+125


 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2015
Posts: 127
Posted: #20
20-21-1 -1010 Masters 
4-8 -1724  WGC Matchplay
5-4-1 +1270 US Open

Total -1464
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2015
Posts: 127
Posted: #21
Greenbriar Round 2

$250
Woods Over Stricker -110

woods just needs to avoid the big number and he will easily shoot another 66
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2015
Posts: 479
Posted: #22
Quote Originally Posted by GolfPro1985:

Greenbriar Round 2

$250
Woods Over Stricker -110

woods just needs to avoid the big number and he will easily shoot another 66

Agree. He said he's pain free and that yesterdays round felt like it could have been much lower than 66. Plus, Stricker? not a relevant figure in golf anymore
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2015
Posts: 127
Posted: #23
Stricker was actually up 1 on 17 tee and tiger hit the water.  but tiger made par and Stricker made bogey.  Then tiger birdies 18  and eeks it out,,,



Paid for a play on Sean OHair for Sunday.   IN terms of class on the leaderboard there isnt much.  at +665 its worth a shot with the goal being to even out my golf betting for the year.



Greenbriar Classic Final Round:
Risk $250
O'Hair To Win +665
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2015
Posts: 127
Posted: #24
Danny Lee to Win GreenBriar Playoff +300
$275 Risk
 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2015
Posts: 127
Posted: #25
took a shot and went all in on the account with Danny Lee and it paid off...  just wish I went with my gut and put $250 on Danny Lee before Sunday Started... man that would have been sweet.

20-21-1 -1010 Masters 
4-8 -1724  WGC Matchplay
5-4-1 +1270 US Open
2-1  +825 Greenbrier Classic

Total -639

Almost back to even...
Good luck to us women tonight...
All Forums | Pro Golf
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gambling
Betting Sites
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
810,221
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 30 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
21+
Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Help Privacy Privacy Choices Terms of Service Cookies Sitemap Forum
Covers is verified safe by:
Evalon Logo Logo GPWA Logo GDPR logo Logo GeoTrust logo Logo
Covers Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2026 Genius Sports. All Rights Reserved.
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.