San Francisco at Arizona (11/10/2008)

UNDER, UNDER, UNDER!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

 

San Fran will run the ball and keep the ball out of Arizona's hot offense, running time off the clock without scoring... this will be a LOW SCORING GAME!!!!!

 

I'm still not sure about the side on this but I'm HAMMERING the UNDER!!!!!!!!!!!

 

UNDER

 This thread has alread been ruined but immature non-sense. Stick to the game...and get of the insults. None of the serious gamblers/cappers have any interest in these childish antics.

 

Stick to the game please.

OK, my 2nd post on covers. I've been following and reading here for a couple of years now.

Going into last week starting Tuesday, I neglected to calculate numbers and just betted against the public in most games....boy did i pick the wrong week to do this. Some examples:

Everyone and their mothers was leaning on Carolina which was about 68%...well, who won that game and last night was 58% on the Giants...tell me again who won that game. Oh...Baltimore against Houston, Jacksonville. NCAAF: Buffalo, Nevada and many others. Sometimes we look to deep and neglect to see whats right in front of us. Ask yourself and don't think about vegas, books and all the Cappers write-ups....on 11/10/08 will Arizona beat San Fran who is starting a back-up QB at their hostile desert home by 9.5 points? I say yes!

Besides Arizona is 4-0 ATS last 4 games, while San Fran is 0-5 ATS last 5 games.

The over is 3-0 in Arizona, 7-2 Arizona last 9 games.

My picks: Arizona -9.5 and the Over 47 BOL!

OK, my 2nd post on covers. I've been following and reading here for a couple of years now.

Going into last week starting Tuesday, I neglected to calculate numbers and just betted against the public in most games....boy did i pick the wrong week to do this. Some examples:

Everyone and their mothers was leaning on Carolina which was about 68%...well, who won that game and last night was 58% on the Giants...tell me again who won that game. Oh...Baltimore against Houston, Jacksonville. NCAAF: Buffalo, Nevada and many others. Sometimes we look to deep and neglect to see whats right in front of us. Ask yourself and don't think about vegas, books and all the Cappers write-ups....on 11/10/08 will Arizona beat San Fran who is starting a back-up QB at their hostile desert home by 9.5 points? I say yes!

Besides Arizona is 4-0 ATS last 4 games, while San Fran is 0-5 ATS last 5 games.

The over is 3-0 in Arizona, 7-2 Arizona last 9 games.

My picks: Arizona -9.5 and the Over 47 BOL!

One of my favorite Monday Night plays involves home teams returning off back-to-back road games. That's because, since 1980, teams in this situation are 54-36-1 ATS (against the spread) – or 60 percent ATS on the blind. But when you add one more factor, those numbers get even better.

Play on any NFL Monday night home team off back-to-back road games versus an opponent coming off a home game. When you follow that criteria, the record improves to 39-20-1 ATS. Better yet, make sure you are playing on a worthy team (win percentage greater than .400) and we improve those numbers to 32-13-1 ATS.

Best of all, put the worthy home team up against an opponent off a division home game and we soar to new heights, going 20-3-1 ATS.

This makes your play: Arizona Cardinals -9.5

The line did open at AZ -11, then dropped below 10 and finally came back to AZ -10. I still think SF is the play here. The underdog in this series is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings and the road team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. See info below.

Crap I should of known the local was going to juice up the 1st half line. Not too comfortable with it but I guess I'll live with it. If I lose then I'll have to drop my pants at halftime and take my spankings from the wife, but that might just be something I might enjoy 

 

Cards at the half -6.5

 

Aloha and good luck to all