Indianapolis @ Houston (9/12/2010)

Indy is 7-8-1 ATS in the L-16 vs Houston however the lowest spread they have lost was a -6.5 line with a game at HOU in 2006 as a -6 fav. Indy also pushed at HOU in 2008 as a -4 fav. When you go SU only then INDY is 15-1 vs HOU in the L-16.

Since December 2006 (including both above mentioned games) Indy is 2-4-1 ATS vs HOU and 1-1-1 at HOU.

Line is at Indy-3 at time of this post and I feel it should stay that way till right before gametime when SOME books will try and screw Indy backers with a -3.5 line.

The Titans can set the tone early in the season with a win here vs division rival Indy. HOU is 0-3 SU in September games vs Indy and 1-2 ATS in those games.

At HOU in 2002 HOU was +10 and lost 23-3, in 2006 HOU was +13.3 at INDY and lost 43-24, in 2007 at HOU the Texans were +6.5 and lost 30-24.

In Houston's L-20 games as a DOG of +4 OR LESS they are 11-9 SU and 11-7-2 ATS. In those L-20 they were the home team for 10 games and went 5-5 SU and 5-3-2 ATS as dogs.

Indy is 15-5 SU as Favs of -4 or less in thier L-20 overall and in those games was 13-6-1 ATS. They are 12-3 in road games during those L-20 and 11-3-1 ATS.

I've gotta think it WILL be a close game but I have to back Indy and Manning here.

My guesstimate is IND-30 HOU-24 in a close one for the ATS win as well.