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    All Forums | Politics

    Clinton +22 pt lead among college educated

    Inyourlife16
    TheGoldenGoose
    canovsp
    Relax_Dude
    sundance
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 722
    Posts: 11
     
    Inyourlife16
    Inyourlife16
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    Joined: Jul, 2016
    Posts: 610
    Posted: Jul. 13, 2016 - 1:23 AM ET #1

    47 percent of American voters have a college degree. Clinton leads this significant voting bloc by 22 points. Why is this important? Because these voters have already dismissed Trump as an unviable option in their educated opinions. The educated are gone and they won't be riding the trump train.

    So where should Trump try to make up this gap? He already has the traditional non-college white vote in his pocket. The obvious answer to Trump's electoral math nightmare is to somehow go after minority voters.  If he can win the black and hispanic votes comfortably, than he wins this election.

    What does this mean for bettors? Well Trump backers are looking for a hail mary. Either the +22 dumb down or sit out election OR Trump tries to appeal to minorities.......but that cross has already been burned. No need to overthink this or place a hope bet on Trump. At this point it just comes down to juice.

    When can you get maximum value on Clinton? Probably in that short window between the RNC and DNC conventions.

    The Decision part of the bet is easy. Maximizing Clinton odds with a correctly timed wager will be the name of this game.
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    47 percent of American voters have a college degree. Clinton leads this significant voting bloc by 22 points. Why is this important? Because these voters have already dismissed Trump as an unviable option in their educated opinions. The educated are gone and they won't be riding the trump train.

    So where should Trump try to make up this gap? He already has the traditional non-college white vote in his pocket. The obvious answer to Trump's electoral math nightmare is to somehow go after minority voters.  If he can win the black and hispanic votes comfortably, than he wins this election.

    What does this mean for bettors? Well Trump backers are looking for a hail mary. Either the +22 dumb down or sit out election OR Trump tries to appeal to minorities.......but that cross has already been burned. No need to overthink this or place a hope bet on Trump. At this point it just comes down to juice.

    When can you get maximum value on Clinton? Probably in that short window between the RNC and DNC conventions.

    The Decision part of the bet is easy. Maximizing Clinton odds with a correctly timed wager will be the name of this game.
     
    TheGoldenGoose
    TheGoldenGoose
    Legend
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2003
    Posts: 32362
    Posted: Jul. 13, 2016 - 2:53 AM ET #2


    "When can you get maximum value on Clinton? Probably in that short window between the RNC and DNC conventions".

    I think you are exactly correct. 

    Seeing between -320 and -350 now.

    Should be able to grab between -280 to -300 at Conventions.

    Then BookMaker has live-in-game wagering on Election Night.
    ~~~~~ZOSO~~~~~
    Reply

    "When can you get maximum value on Clinton? Probably in that short window between the RNC and DNC conventions".

    I think you are exactly correct. 

    Seeing between -320 and -350 now.

    Should be able to grab between -280 to -300 at Conventions.

    Then BookMaker has live-in-game wagering on Election Night.
     
    Inyourlife16
    Inyourlife16
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jul, 2016
    Posts: 610
    Posted: Jul. 13, 2016 - 4:44 AM ET #3

    Quote Originally Posted by TheGoldenGoose:


    "When can you get maximum value on Clinton? Probably in that short window between the RNC and DNC conventions".

    I think you are exactly correct. 

    Seeing between -320 and -350 now.

    Should be able to grab between -280 to -300 at Conventions.

    Then BookMaker has live-in-game wagering on Election Night.

    Agreed......--260 to -280 is my goal. Also keep an eye out for odds for Trump to suspend his campaign at some point. It could be a good prop bet with high odds with a genuine chance of hitting.

    BOL
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by TheGoldenGoose:


    "When can you get maximum value on Clinton? Probably in that short window between the RNC and DNC conventions".

    I think you are exactly correct. 

    Seeing between -320 and -350 now.

    Should be able to grab between -280 to -300 at Conventions.

    Then BookMaker has live-in-game wagering on Election Night.

    Agreed......--260 to -280 is my goal. Also keep an eye out for odds for Trump to suspend his campaign at some point. It could be a good prop bet with high odds with a genuine chance of hitting.

    BOL
     
    TheGoldenGoose
    TheGoldenGoose
    Legend
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2003
    Posts: 32362
    Posted: Jul. 13, 2016 - 5:12 AM ET #4


    Obviously we're not talking huge money here because the off-shores limit the he!! out of these props.  But I'm not a heavy hitter anyway.  Just fun to play along.



    ~~~~~ZOSO~~~~~
    Reply

    Obviously we're not talking huge money here because the off-shores limit the he!! out of these props.  But I'm not a heavy hitter anyway.  Just fun to play along.



     
    canovsp
    canovsp
    Captain
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    Joined: Dec, 2009
    Posts: 5755
    Posted: Jul. 13, 2016 - 10:15 AM ET #5

    I'm pretty sure 47% of American voters DO NOT have a college degree. That is damn near half of the adults in this country.

    As far as college educated people voting Democrat that is true. But based on what I've seen the last few years I wouldn't be touting that statistic, especially when looking at today's students. All I think of is cry babies and safe spaces.

    I would think a large portion of college graduates go into education and major in liberal arts. I was actually a liberal arts major, majoring in History, but besides serving in the Army, all of my jobs have been in the private sector.

    Most people that go into education or the arts will be politically liberal. Most people that go into the private sector will be politically conservative.

    Reply

    I'm pretty sure 47% of American voters DO NOT have a college degree. That is damn near half of the adults in this country.

    As far as college educated people voting Democrat that is true. But based on what I've seen the last few years I wouldn't be touting that statistic, especially when looking at today's students. All I think of is cry babies and safe spaces.

    I would think a large portion of college graduates go into education and major in liberal arts. I was actually a liberal arts major, majoring in History, but besides serving in the Army, all of my jobs have been in the private sector.

    Most people that go into education or the arts will be politically liberal. Most people that go into the private sector will be politically conservative.

     
    Relax_Dude
    Relax_Dude
    Banned
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    Joined: Dec, 2014
    Posts: 4717
    Posted: Jul. 13, 2016 - 3:28 PM ET #6

    Quote Originally Posted by Inyourlife16:


    Agreed......--260 to -280 is my goal. Also keep an eye out for odds for Trump to suspend his campaign at some point. It could be a good prop bet with high odds with a genuine chance of hitting.

    BOL

    Please help yourself and stop gambling. 

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Inyourlife16:


    Agreed......--260 to -280 is my goal. Also keep an eye out for odds for Trump to suspend his campaign at some point. It could be a good prop bet with high odds with a genuine chance of hitting.

    BOL

    Please help yourself and stop gambling. 

     
    sundance
    sundance
    MVP
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Mar, 2002
    Posts: 16806
    Posted: Jul. 13, 2016 - 3:44 PM ET #7

    Why would somebody actually vote on this pos? Probably peddling fiction or performing an okie doke.
    Reply
    Why would somebody actually vote on this pos? Probably peddling fiction or performing an okie doke.
     
    165yds
    165yds
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    Posts: 18777
    Posted: Jul. 13, 2016 - 4:49 PM ET #8

    The fact you think 47% have a degree in the voting booth gives this thread zero credibility.  You'll fit in quite nice here with the other libs.
    Reply
    The fact you think 47% have a degree in the voting booth gives this thread zero credibility.  You'll fit in quite nice here with the other libs.
     
    Ktrain
    Ktrain
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    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2009
    Posts: 6580
    Posted: Jul. 13, 2016 - 7:14 PM ET #9

    Quote Originally Posted by canovsp:

    I'm pretty sure 47% of American voters DO NOT have a college degree. That is damn near half of the adults in this country.

    As far as college educated people voting Democrat that is true. But based on what I've seen the last few years I wouldn't be touting that statistic, especially when looking at today's students. All I think of is cry babies and safe spaces.

    I would think a large portion of college graduates go into education and major in liberal arts. I was actually a liberal arts major, majoring in History, but besides serving in the Army, all of my jobs have been in the private sector.

    Most people that go into education or the arts will be politically liberal. Most people that go into the private sector will be politically conservative.


    It's actually not half the adults in the country. Not every adult votes in the country. Looking at multiple sources puts the 2012 voter turn out at around 54% to 60% depending on your source. So it would be 47% of the voter turn out population, not half of ALL American adults. 

    It would be nice if the OP could source his numbers though so everyone could see where they came from. 
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by canovsp:

    I'm pretty sure 47% of American voters DO NOT have a college degree. That is damn near half of the adults in this country.

    As far as college educated people voting Democrat that is true. But based on what I've seen the last few years I wouldn't be touting that statistic, especially when looking at today's students. All I think of is cry babies and safe spaces.

    I would think a large portion of college graduates go into education and major in liberal arts. I was actually a liberal arts major, majoring in History, but besides serving in the Army, all of my jobs have been in the private sector.

    Most people that go into education or the arts will be politically liberal. Most people that go into the private sector will be politically conservative.


    It's actually not half the adults in the country. Not every adult votes in the country. Looking at multiple sources puts the 2012 voter turn out at around 54% to 60% depending on your source. So it would be 47% of the voter turn out population, not half of ALL American adults. 

    It would be nice if the OP could source his numbers though so everyone could see where they came from. 
     
    DavidGurney
    DavidGurney
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Mar, 2011
    Posts: 1811
    Posted: Jul. 13, 2016 - 9:15 PM ET #10

    Most of them probably graduated from a HBCU.
    Reply
    Most of them probably graduated from a HBCU.
     
     
    darkhorse12
    darkhorse12
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    Joined: Sep, 2004
    Posts: 10739
    Posted: Jul. 13, 2016 - 9:57 PM ET #11

    Understandable that she would get more of the college grad votes since the overwhelming majority of educated voters are liberal.
    Reply
    Understandable that she would get more of the college grad votes since the overwhelming majority of educated voters are liberal.
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