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Clinton -300 = $

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Posted: #1

I’m not here to change anyone’s opinion. I’m here to make some money. All lines are from 5Dimes. Some may not like it but she is going to win. With Comey’s statement, she is no longer -600 territory, she is at -300 now.

To win Trump needs 270 electoral votes. I’m starting him with every state McCain won, 179 votes. I’m giving him Indiana, Ohio & Iowa; 56 shy. This is where the math really sinks in. Actual results are never too far from the polling averages. Competitive states:

FL (29) – Real Clear Politics (RCP) – average Trump +0.6%. 2012 Obama outperformed by 2.4%. 

NC (15) – RCP – Tie. 2012 Obama outperformed by 1.0%

PA (20) – RCP – C +4.9%. 2012  Obama outperformed by 2.6%. 

CO (9) – RCP – C +1.7%. 2012 Obama outperformed by 3.9%.

WI (10) – RCP – C +5.4%. 2012 Obama outperformed by 2.7%.

MI (16) – RCP – C +5.7%. 2012 Obama outperformed by 4.5%.

VA (13) – RCP – C +4.7%. 2012 Obama outperformed by 3.6%.

NV (6) – RCP – T +1.6%. 2012 Obama outperformed by 3.9%.

To win Trump needs multiple of these states that he is down. History shows that Republicans rarely out perform their polling averages. 2008 is much of the same too. Changing demographics and a flawed candidate are going to elect a very beatable Hillary Clinton.

State plays:

Clinton +110 in FL

Clinton -120 in NC

Clinton -300 in PA

Clinton -280 in NV

 
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Posted: #2
Quote Originally Posted by Sabanesque:

 

Don't trust media polls. They over sample democrats and women.



So despite Democrats out performing polls in all of the examples I gave, you think polls over sample them? I wish you luck my friend, you can make a lot of money betting on Trump. 
 
Legend
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Joined: Dec, 2003
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Posted: #3
Quote Originally Posted by Sabanesque:


I have parlays that close on both. I make money either one. I would not bet a straight wager on Hillary with these legal troubles and new wikileaks everyday, plus veritas videos. It is damaging her candidacy, despite the numbers on her side. People vote with their emotions, they're irrational, and cannot be relied on. -300 is not sure money. GL.

Exactly, i like HRC's chances but she is up against not only Trump but also against Putin and Comey. It will be tough. GL!
 
Captain
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Posted: #4
She's a loser.... Is there a line that she gets indicted before November 8th? The walls are coming down on the Democratic party. Of course all the believers here that refuse to face the truth with overwhelming evidence staring them in the face, keep betting HRC... Thank the Democratic party for putting up the most corrupt/flawed candidate in history, unopposed for the most part (Bernie never had a chance)... And to all the Bernie supporters, you have to be out of your mind to vote for her now...
 
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Posted: #5
Quote Originally Posted by Killer_B:

She's a loser.... Is there a line that she gets indicted before November 8th? The walls are coming down on the Democratic party. Of course all the believers here that refuse to face the truth with overwhelming evidence staring them in the face, keep betting HRC... Thank the Democratic party for putting up the most corrupt/flawed candidate in history, unopposed for the most part (Bernie never had a chance)... And to all the Bernie supporters, you have to be out of your mind to vote for her now...

GOP will be up 10+ pts over Hillary in the polls if any of Rubio, Kasich or even Cruz is on the ballot. 
 
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Posted: #6
Quote Originally Posted by Europa:


GOP will be up 10+ pts over Hillary in the polls if any of Rubio, Kasich or even Cruz is on the ballot. 

 I completely agree. Kasich would be automatic POTUS, if only the GOP had sense enough to nominate him.

Trump is so flawed and has said so many controversial things that he simply won't have enough support to win on the 8th. He has alienated too many.

Hiding his taxes from the public is the death blow for him..

Hillary is also a dumpster fire, but she will win with 276 Electoral Votes.


 
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Posted: #7
Quote Originally Posted by Europa:


GOP will be up 10+ pts over Hillary in the polls if any of Rubio, Kasich or even Cruz is on the ballot. 

Rubio will wipe the floor with Hillary in 2020. I think its a pretty safe bet neither candidate this year will end up being re elected
 
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Posted: #8
The devil -266 trump +231 currently on pinny. It's tough to play more hillary at that number. Guessing the handle for this election will easily break political betting history.
 
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Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by Europa:


GOP will be up 10+ pts over Hillary in the polls if any of Rubio, Kasich or even Cruz is on the ballot. 

I would vote for Kasich,but I guess the radical right decides there isn't enough hate there.
 
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Posted: #10
Quote Originally Posted by bunny651:


I would vote for Kasich,but I guess the radical right decides there isn't enough hate there.

The radical right appears to take upper hand in GOP, and chooses Trump over Kasich pretty obviously. 
 
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Posted: #11
Quote Originally Posted by StanThaCaddy:


Rubio will wipe the floor with Hillary in 2020. I think its a pretty safe bet neither candidate this year will end up being re elected

Problem is that he would have to get through a GOP primary first. Doubt he is able to do that. Rubio is the ultimate light weight who can't think for himself. He couldn't even stand up to Chris Christie and had to repeat the same line 3 times. I bet he says something like "Hillary Clinton knows exactly what she is doing...." Most likely scenario is that they screw themselves with another unelectable clown like Ted Cruz. 

People afterwards said that same thing about George W Bush after he lost the popular vote in 2000; he won in 2004 fair and square. Hillary will be judged on her 4 years as President. Add another 4 years of demographics and she starts off not too bad. 


 
 
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Posted: #12
Fools and their money 




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