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Can the Donald really win?

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Views: 410
Posts: 6
 
MVP
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Joined: Dec, 2007
Posts: 15772
Posted: #1
One mans view.


https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/09/23/trump-is-headed-for-a-win-says-professor-whos-predicted-30-years-of-presidential-outcomes-correctly/
 
Legend
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Joined: Dec, 2003
Posts: 42786
Posted: #2
It is possible, CD.

But Donald is +175 at one betting site, so he has 36.6% of winning it.
 
Covers Rehab
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Joined: Jan, 2007
Posts: 35543
Posted: #3
Topic: Can the Donald really win?

No ..it's quite obvious, that it's Hillary Clinton in a landslide..
 
Captain
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Joined: Sep, 2015
Posts: 6497
Posted: #4
Yes.  CO and PA have tightended a lot recently.  However, the Election Betting Odds ratio is currently HRC -1.83, so the conservative media's current "close horse race" mantra is somewhat refuted by what the bettors actually think will happen on Election Day.
 
Covers Rehab
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Posted: #5
Milestone for the very first time, Donald Trump pulled ahead of Hillary Clinton in FiveThirtyEight's 2016 Election Forecast, albeit for a brief time Monday afternoon....
 
 
Captain
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Joined: Sep, 2015
Posts: 6497
Posted: #6
HRC has regained the momentum according to Trump's abysmal debate performance and big moves on the political betting websites.

I am more interested in what the swing state polls will look like 7 days from now rather than tomorrow.
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