Posted:
#76
At bet365, Harris is favored (1.25) to win the popular vote over Trump (3.75).
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2024 US Election Betting Hub
Posted:
#77
@thirdperson
The Democrats deserve to be heavy favorites to win the popular vote this year. After 3 huge popular vote margins for the REPs in 1980, 1984 and 1988, here are the DEM popular vote margins in millions since then:
1992 5.8
1996 8.2
2000 0.5 Babushka won thanks to a Supreme Court with one extra conservative vote. Two Republican justices, John Paul Stevens and David Souter, dissented because they thought that Gore had a better legal case than Babushka.
2004 (3.0)
2008 9.5
2012 5.0
2016 2.9 Trump won by narrow margins in WI, MI and PA.
2020 7.1 Biden won by narrow margins in WI, MI and PA.
With some rounding that is about 36 million votes cumulatively, and that was before Dobbs.
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Posted:
#83
I don’t vote. Never voted in my life. However I love that trump is doing all these podcasts
Gen X and Millennials. Goes to UFC fights. Relates with the younger generation. I don’t hear anything about Kamala. They trying to prop her up to be so post she is not.
Trump is going to win easily. Then Tulsi is 2028
Mayweather bet 450000 on
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Posted:
#85
Trump currently -114 at Pinnacle
I'm pounding it. $1,140 to win $1,000. May add more as election day draws closee
Wish I got in when Trump was +104 but I thought I may get better odds after the DNC bounce for Harris
Once the debates start it's over. Most Americans are sensible people. Even though many do not like Trump, many hate socialism even more. Price controls?? That's right outta the Soviet Union/Cuba/North Korea communist playbooks. How does she defend the border problem? Trump is going to demolish her on that and her policies just don't align with the majority of Americans. Her increase in the polls is from the DNC bounce and the fact she hadn't given a proper interview (last night CNN softball interview doesn't count)
I see Trump -150 to -200 by election day
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Posted:
#86
Electoral Vote currently has Harris 292 - Trump 230 with NC tied, and that is before Trump's outrageous flip-flop on abortion and his disgraceful and disgusting behavior at Arlington National Cemetery.
https://www.electoral-vote.com/
There has been a slight line move at Heritage. Now Harris is -110 and Trump is -105. Haley is +2700.
1
Posted:
#87
@DogbiteWilliams
Is that for popular vote or winning the Presidency? Because line at Pinny is now -118 for trump and I doubt my $1K bet moved the line that much.
Anyways, polls don't mean Jack all. I remember in 2016 Hillary was a foregone conclusion based on exit polls and look what happened? I think 2020 happened due to a lot of ballot harvesting. Just look at how many people cast ballots compared to previous years?
Anyways at the end of the day I think Trump wins. Kamala is just too unpalatable for the average joe
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Posted:
#88
Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams:
Electoral Vote currently has Harris 292 - Trump 230 with NC tied, and that is before Trump's outrageous flip-flop on abortion and his disgraceful and disgusting behavior at Arlington National Cemetery. https://www.electoral-vote.com/ There has been a slight line move at Heritage. Now Harris is -110 and Trump is -105. Haley is +2700.
Electoral Vote currently has Harris 292 - Trump 230 with NC tied, and that is before Trump's outrageous flip-flop on abortion and his disgraceful and disgusting behavior at Arlington National Cemetery. https://www.electoral-vote.com/ There has been a slight line move at Heritage. Now Harris is -110 and Trump is -105. Haley is +2700.
2
Posted:
#89
Quote Originally Posted by icemantbi:
@DogbiteWilliams Is that for popular vote or winning the Presidency? Because line at Pinny is now -118 for trump and I doubt my $1K bet moved the line that much. Anyways, polls don't mean Jack all. I remember in 2016 Hillary was a foregone conclusion based on exit polls and look what happened? I think 2020 happened due to a lot of ballot harvesting. Just look at how many people cast ballots compared to previous years? Anyways at the end of the day I think Trump wins. Kamala is just too unpalatable for the average joe
@DogbiteWilliams Is that for popular vote or winning the Presidency? Because line at Pinny is now -118 for trump and I doubt my $1K bet moved the line that much. Anyways, polls don't mean Jack all. I remember in 2016 Hillary was a foregone conclusion based on exit polls and look what happened? I think 2020 happened due to a lot of ballot harvesting. Just look at how many people cast ballots compared to previous years? Anyways at the end of the day I think Trump wins. Kamala is just too unpalatable for the average joe
Winning the Presidency.
1
Posted:
#95
@DogbiteWilliams
As of now, there are a couple of offshore books list Trump -125/-120 vs Harris +105/Even. Trump's odds could juice up as day progresses till this early November. I can recall that Trump was -175 vs Biden +150 in the early November 2020 just few days before the presidential election.
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Posted:
#96
Current Pinny odds
Trump -129
Kamala +107
Last chance brigade at decent odds for Trump. You can also Arb this by taking Trump now and the Harris after the debate and closed to the election at big + odds.
Since she was named Nominee she had ONE softball interview on CNN where she needed Walz with her to get through it. There has been calls where you can clearly hear Kamala turning pages on her notes. Trump has had multiple debates going back to 2016 with Hillary and 2020 with Biden plus the debacle debate with Biden in July. Harris has had ONE debate the VP debate with Pence who did next to nothing. In other words, Trump has been there before, he has the experience Kamala doesn't . I can't see any way that Kamal is going to be able defend Bidens poor record and win this debate tonight. Polls are already shifting back into Trump's favor.
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Posted:
#98
I think the fact that Taylor Swift endorsed Kamala had a bigger effect than the debate did to swing the pendulum. With regards to the debate, I will admit Kamala did better than expected but I thought Trump held his own. It was interesting that right after the debate, Kamala asked for another one. Will see if it takes place.
Anyways, I admit I was wrong in my prediction, Trump is + money now.
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Posted:
#99
Quote Originally Posted by icemantbi:
I think the fact that Taylor Swift endorsed Kamala had a bigger effect than the debate did to swing the pendulum. With regards to the debate, I will admit Kamala did better than expected but I thought Trump held his own. It was interesting that right after the debate, Kamala asked for another one. Will see if it takes place. Anyways, I admit I was wrong in my prediction, Trump is + money now.
I think the fact that Taylor Swift endorsed Kamala had a bigger effect than the debate did to swing the pendulum. With regards to the debate, I will admit Kamala did better than expected but I thought Trump held his own. It was interesting that right after the debate, Kamala asked for another one. Will see if it takes place. Anyways, I admit I was wrong in my prediction, Trump is + money now.
That was gracious of you. Thanks.
Some of the Harris post-debate enthusiasm of the bettors has waned. Her lead has narrowed to just 3.3% at EBO.
https://electionbettingodds.com/
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Posted:
#100
Quote Originally Posted by icemantbi:
I think the fact that Taylor Swift endorsed Kamala had a bigger effect than the debate did to swing the pendulum. With regards to the debate, I will admit Kamala did better than expected but I thought Trump held his own. It was interesting that right after the debate, Kamala asked for another one. Will see if it takes place. Anyways, I admit I was wrong in my prediction, Trump is + money now.
I think the fact that Taylor Swift endorsed Kamala had a bigger effect than the debate did to swing the pendulum. With regards to the debate, I will admit Kamala did better than expected but I thought Trump held his own. It was interesting that right after the debate, Kamala asked for another one. Will see if it takes place. Anyways, I admit I was wrong in my prediction, Trump is + money now.
That was gracious of you. Thanks.
Some of the Harris post-debate enthusiasm of the bettors has waned. Her lead has narrowed to just 3.3% at EBO.
https://electionbettingodds.com/
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