2024 US Election Betting Hub

+159 equates to a probability of 38.61%.  While Harris may not win, her probability is MUCH closer to 50% than 38.61%.  You definitely have a positive Expected Value (another EV abbreviation extra pertinent today).

Good luck with your bet, but it's not the money - it's the country.

NBC poll has 84% of Gen Z are likely to vote in this election. 

I am signing off for breakfast and DVDs.  I intend to return about 11:00 AM - 1:00 PM PST.

Please post anything you read or hear about early exit voting.  We are all dying to know.

@Europa

Wow!  Let's hope they skew female.

@Europa

 Thanks brother! I’m so sick of Trump supporters. Sadly, they’ll be crying that the election was stolen for years to come. Like last time. They’re sore losers, like Trump. 

The merits of Kamala Harris' campaign are embracing inclusiveness and big tent. She will sit down and listen to the people who did not vote for her, these people are the neighbors not the "enemy within".   

@Europa

 You’re right. I am a Catholic. The priest also told me that we must be more inclusive and forgiving. Makes sense. 

@Europa

Great points.  Hatemongering and relentless vindictiveness are no way to run a country.

Already got $2,000 invested in TRUMP to win Presidency

ADDING this prop

TRUMP to win Arizona, Nevada, North Carolina and Georgia +124 (Pinny)

Plus odds on 4 states he should carry.  Great value here

$500.00 to win $620

@icemantbi

I just placed my second $4 wager on Harris to carry NC.  The first wager was +200 and this one was only +187.

I think you will lose your wager, and you will regret being so confident to risk that much.

I am a small bettor who never placed an election wager until this year, so naturally I kept my bet size small. 

GA polls close at 7:00 EST and NC polls close at 7:30 EST.  These two vital swing states could give us a good reading on the entire election if the exit polls and Steve Kornacki's analysis are accurate.  Of course how far the exit polls differ from the final pre-election polls will make a huge difference in what Kornacki will be able to conclude.

https://www.cnn.com/2024/11/05/politics/polls-close-time-election-dg/index.html

I am signing off to go eat dinner.  When I return I'll be watching MSNBC.  It will be a long time until I return to my computer.

Good luck liberals and Never Trump Republicans.

@DogbiteWilliams

 I would be on NC for Dems as well but my one true concern about NC is a ton of Dem votes lie in the western NC area that was pummeled from the hurricane......  Likely leading to many voters and precincts being displaced, etc etc.  Afraid that might be enough of a % to keep them from turning out

Trumps running away with Georgia early. Polling shows he might get 25% male black vote huge for him if true

Trump -230 Kamala +200 live Pinny odds

North Carolina Trump now has a big lead

That's big for my prop 

@Bigdoubleplay

 Pinny no longer showing odds for President which is interesting because based on their date and time they should still be taking wagers

I'll prefer watching John King at CNN over than Steve Kornacki of MSNBC in the ballots projections and analysis. 

@icemantbi

 I noticed that as well. All my other books were showing live lines. Pinny has Trump back up now at -315 Harris was +240 if I remember correctly. Good luck with North Carolina. He's -500 on 365 to win NC

** +268 Harris **

Newsmax just called NC for Trump

365 still has it up to bet at -600 Trump now. Thinking about unloading my account on it. -600 bet can't lose right? 

@icemantbi

 The Donald has locked it up.

@Bigdoubleplay

Trump is now -850