@DogbiteWilliams Trump's campaign pitches xenophobia to lure only his hard core base. On the other hand, the Kamala Harris coalition consists of much broader groups as such women, minority, college educated white men, moderate Republicans, naturalized US citizens, Gen Z, first time voters... and so on.
Voter turnout in the battleground states will be key....
Will the FASCIST candidate drive out more voters with his racist appeals, or will the Pro-Democracy/Freedom candidate prevail with her multi-faceted common-sense appeal...
We find out in a week - give or take...
1
Quote Originally Posted by Europa:
@DogbiteWilliams Trump's campaign pitches xenophobia to lure only his hard core base. On the other hand, the Kamala Harris coalition consists of much broader groups as such women, minority, college educated white men, moderate Republicans, naturalized US citizens, Gen Z, first time voters... and so on.
Voter turnout in the battleground states will be key....
Will the FASCIST candidate drive out more voters with his racist appeals, or will the Pro-Democracy/Freedom candidate prevail with her multi-faceted common-sense appeal...
Quote Originally Posted by Europa: @DogbiteWilliams Trump's campaign pitches xenophobia to lure only his hard core base. On the other hand, the Kamala Harris coalition consists of much broader groups as such women, minority, college educated white men, moderate Republicans, naturalized US citizens, Gen Z, first time voters... and so on. Voter turnout in the battleground states will be key.... Will the FASCIST candidate drive out more voters with his racist appeals, or will the Pro-Democracy/Freedom candidate prevail with her multi-faceted common-sense appeal... We find out in a week - give or take...
Trump -190
Harris +165
"We're the underdogs."--VP Kamala Harris
0
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by Europa: @DogbiteWilliams Trump's campaign pitches xenophobia to lure only his hard core base. On the other hand, the Kamala Harris coalition consists of much broader groups as such women, minority, college educated white men, moderate Republicans, naturalized US citizens, Gen Z, first time voters... and so on. Voter turnout in the battleground states will be key.... Will the FASCIST candidate drive out more voters with his racist appeals, or will the Pro-Democracy/Freedom candidate prevail with her multi-faceted common-sense appeal... We find out in a week - give or take...
PINNY UPDATED ODDS with exactly one week to Election day
Trump -201
Harris +178
Trump has now crossed over the -200 threshold which makes him a big favorite to win the Presidency. Already got $2K invested in TRUMP when he was close to EV back a while ago.
Looking at individual states:
Arizona
TRUMP -299/Harris +240
Florida
TRUMP -2000/Harris +1249 (If you want free money with no sweating but terrible odds, this is the definition of free money, TRUMP wins FLORIDA easily, at least 70-30.
Georgia
TRUMP -249/Harris +200
Michigan
TRUMP +102/Harris -123 (this is a big swing, Harris odds were -150 or so just a couple weeks ago to carry Michigan, now its pretty much even.
Nevada
TRUMP -193/Harris +158
New Hampshire
TRUMP +385/Harris -525 (another definition of FREE money but bad odds however Harris should easily carry New Hampshire)
North Carolina
TRUMP -155/Harris +200
Pennsylvania
Trump -155/Harris +128 - This is a BIG sign here. Trump at those odds is expected to carry Pennsylvania. The election runs through Pennsylvania and I truly believe whoever wins this state will have a 75% chance of winning the Presidency. If you want to back TRUMP for president but dont want to lay -201 odds, this is a good option.
Virginia
Trump +432/Harris -657 - Interesting odds here. I may have to throw half a unit on Trump here at those odds. While I do think Harris carries Virginia I think its going to be close
Wisonsin
Trump -132/Harris +109 - Another strong sign here. Jut like Michigan, Harris was the clear favorite to carry Wisconsin a few weeks ago now she is a dog.
Popular Vote
Trump +158/Harris -185 - While Trump is favored to win the Presidency, the oddsmakers/public still expect Harris to carry the popular vote.
Trump to win both Pennsylvania and Michigan
YES +139/NO -175 - Interesting prop here.
Trump to win both Michigan and Wisconsin
YES +159/NO -202
0
PINNY UPDATED ODDS with exactly one week to Election day
Trump -201
Harris +178
Trump has now crossed over the -200 threshold which makes him a big favorite to win the Presidency. Already got $2K invested in TRUMP when he was close to EV back a while ago.
Looking at individual states:
Arizona
TRUMP -299/Harris +240
Florida
TRUMP -2000/Harris +1249 (If you want free money with no sweating but terrible odds, this is the definition of free money, TRUMP wins FLORIDA easily, at least 70-30.
Georgia
TRUMP -249/Harris +200
Michigan
TRUMP +102/Harris -123 (this is a big swing, Harris odds were -150 or so just a couple weeks ago to carry Michigan, now its pretty much even.
Nevada
TRUMP -193/Harris +158
New Hampshire
TRUMP +385/Harris -525 (another definition of FREE money but bad odds however Harris should easily carry New Hampshire)
North Carolina
TRUMP -155/Harris +200
Pennsylvania
Trump -155/Harris +128 - This is a BIG sign here. Trump at those odds is expected to carry Pennsylvania. The election runs through Pennsylvania and I truly believe whoever wins this state will have a 75% chance of winning the Presidency. If you want to back TRUMP for president but dont want to lay -201 odds, this is a good option.
Virginia
Trump +432/Harris -657 - Interesting odds here. I may have to throw half a unit on Trump here at those odds. While I do think Harris carries Virginia I think its going to be close
Wisonsin
Trump -132/Harris +109 - Another strong sign here. Jut like Michigan, Harris was the clear favorite to carry Wisconsin a few weeks ago now she is a dog.
Popular Vote
Trump +158/Harris -185 - While Trump is favored to win the Presidency, the oddsmakers/public still expect Harris to carry the popular vote.
Trump is back down to 53% at 538. 53/47 = -113. Trump bettors laying -201 at Pinnacle are certainly saddling themselves with a horrible negative expected value.
0
Trump is back down to 53% at 538. 53/47 = -113. Trump bettors laying -201 at Pinnacle are certainly saddling themselves with a horrible negative expected value.
I got this from Fox Bullshxt and Propaganda, so even the right-wingers should swallow this bitter pill.
Trump's edge with non-college white voters in MI, PA and WI:
2016 +25
2020 +22
2024 +19
"[CNN data reporter Harry] Enten said that the shift mattered because the non-college educated White voters make up 40% of the electorate nationally, but 51% of the electorate in the key battleground states of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin."
I got this from Fox Bullshxt and Propaganda, so even the right-wingers should swallow this bitter pill.
Trump's edge with non-college white voters in MI, PA and WI:
2016 +25
2020 +22
2024 +19
"[CNN data reporter Harry] Enten said that the shift mattered because the non-college educated White voters make up 40% of the electorate nationally, but 51% of the electorate in the key battleground states of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin."
The idea that young people are moving sharply right is dead wrong. The current Gen Z gender gap is pretty solidly Blue (many chose "Someone Else" or "Would Not Vote"):
The idea that young people are moving sharply right is dead wrong. The current Gen Z gender gap is pretty solidly Blue (many chose "Someone Else" or "Would Not Vote"):
I have been frequently citing 538 as if their analysis of the 282 pollsters they cover is mostly accurate. Well, I have to admit I may have made a colossal mistake.
538 rates AtlasIntel as the 22nd most accurate pollster. However AI's latest poll can only be described as an "outlandish outlier." It has Trump up by 2%-3% depending on whether or not Stein is included. The cross tabs tell the story; the poll has Women leaning Red - Trump 48.5%, Harris 47.9%.
I apologize in advance if any of your actual bets were influenced by 538's aggregates. I know Republican megadonor Peter Thiel owns some or all of 538; maybe money has influenced Nate Silver.
0
I have been frequently citing 538 as if their analysis of the 282 pollsters they cover is mostly accurate. Well, I have to admit I may have made a colossal mistake.
538 rates AtlasIntel as the 22nd most accurate pollster. However AI's latest poll can only be described as an "outlandish outlier." It has Trump up by 2%-3% depending on whether or not Stein is included. The cross tabs tell the story; the poll has Women leaning Red - Trump 48.5%, Harris 47.9%.
I apologize in advance if any of your actual bets were influenced by 538's aggregates. I know Republican megadonor Peter Thiel owns some or all of 538; maybe money has influenced Nate Silver.
I watched the relevant podcast and Political Wire poster MostlyOptimistic accurately summed up MD said:
"Meanwhile, Matthew Dowd looked into the NC early voting data where 35-38% have already voted.
A poll today, that broke out that data of the 35-38% NC early voters has Kamala at 50-47 over the Turd..
When you look at those who voted in that sample, the R’s have a slight advantage in the sample of those early voters.
Bottom Line…Kamala is bleeding off more R’s and I’s than what pollsters and experts were thinking…That is the only way she can have a 3 point advantage over the Turd with more R’s having already early voted."
*******
If MD's figures and analysis are accurate, that could be a harbinger of doom for Trump. He can ill afford to lose NC without grabbing a Blue Wall state (WI, MI or PA). Sharp analysis of actual votes should prove more accurate than betting markets.
0
I watched the relevant podcast and Political Wire poster MostlyOptimistic accurately summed up MD said:
"Meanwhile, Matthew Dowd looked into the NC early voting data where 35-38% have already voted.
A poll today, that broke out that data of the 35-38% NC early voters has Kamala at 50-47 over the Turd..
When you look at those who voted in that sample, the R’s have a slight advantage in the sample of those early voters.
Bottom Line…Kamala is bleeding off more R’s and I’s than what pollsters and experts were thinking…That is the only way she can have a 3 point advantage over the Turd with more R’s having already early voted."
*******
If MD's figures and analysis are accurate, that could be a harbinger of doom for Trump. He can ill afford to lose NC without grabbing a Blue Wall state (WI, MI or PA). Sharp analysis of actual votes should prove more accurate than betting markets.
President Biden handed ammo to gleeful Republicans Tuesday night when he seemed to refer to Donald Trump’s supporters as “garbage,” Axios reports.
The comment came when Biden wanted to respond to a comedian calling Puerto Rico an “island of garbage” at Trump’s Madison Square Garden rally on Sunday.
Said Biden: “The only garbage I see floating out there is his supporters — his demonization of Latinos is unconscionable, and it’s un-American.”
What a stupid thing to say. It's like a football team handing their upcoming opponent billboard material with bonehead insults or overconfident ravings.
0
Biden Sets Off Firestorm with ‘Garbage’ Comment
President Biden handed ammo to gleeful Republicans Tuesday night when he seemed to refer to Donald Trump’s supporters as “garbage,” Axios reports.
The comment came when Biden wanted to respond to a comedian calling Puerto Rico an “island of garbage” at Trump’s Madison Square Garden rally on Sunday.
Said Biden: “The only garbage I see floating out there is his supporters — his demonization of Latinos is unconscionable, and it’s un-American.”
What a stupid thing to say. It's like a football team handing their upcoming opponent billboard material with bonehead insults or overconfident ravings.
Biden Sets Off Firestorm with ‘Garbage’ Comment President Biden handed ammo to gleeful Republicans Tuesday night when he seemed to refer to Donald Trump’s supporters as “garbage,” Axios reports. The comment came when Biden wanted to respond to a comedian calling Puerto Rico an “island of garbage” at Trump’s Madison Square Garden rally on Sunday. Said Biden: “The only garbage I see floating out there is his supporters — his demonization of Latinos is unconscionable, and it’s un-American.” https://politicalwire.com/2024/10/29/biden-sets-off-firestorm-with-garbage-comment ******* What a stupid thing to say. It's like a football team handing their upcoming opponent billboard material with bonehead insults or overconfident ravings.
Agreed, DogbiteWilliams. It's the similar silly and hurtful speech as the speaker in Trump's Madison Square rally called Porto Rico an “island of garbage”. Biden's "garbage" comment is unnecessary and harmful, he should not speak as such. Don't go around, Biden just apologizes it in contrast to Trump who rarely apologized after he spewed vulgar and offensive words to people.
2
Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams:
Biden Sets Off Firestorm with ‘Garbage’ Comment President Biden handed ammo to gleeful Republicans Tuesday night when he seemed to refer to Donald Trump’s supporters as “garbage,” Axios reports. The comment came when Biden wanted to respond to a comedian calling Puerto Rico an “island of garbage” at Trump’s Madison Square Garden rally on Sunday. Said Biden: “The only garbage I see floating out there is his supporters — his demonization of Latinos is unconscionable, and it’s un-American.” https://politicalwire.com/2024/10/29/biden-sets-off-firestorm-with-garbage-comment ******* What a stupid thing to say. It's like a football team handing their upcoming opponent billboard material with bonehead insults or overconfident ravings.
Agreed, DogbiteWilliams. It's the similar silly and hurtful speech as the speaker in Trump's Madison Square rally called Porto Rico an “island of garbage”. Biden's "garbage" comment is unnecessary and harmful, he should not speak as such. Don't go around, Biden just apologizes it in contrast to Trump who rarely apologized after he spewed vulgar and offensive words to people.
Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams: Biden Sets Off Firestorm with ‘Garbage’ Comment President Biden handed ammo to gleeful Republicans Tuesday night when he seemed to refer to Donald Trump’s supporters as “garbage,” Axios reports. The comment came when Biden wanted to respond to a comedian calling Puerto Rico an “island of garbage” at Trump’s Madison Square Garden rally on Sunday. Said Biden: “The only garbage I see floating out there is his supporters — his demonization of Latinos is unconscionable, and it’s un-American.” https://politicalwire.com/2024/10/29/biden-sets-off-firestorm-with-garbage-comment ******* What a stupid thing to say. It's like a football team handing their upcoming opponent billboard material with bonehead insults or overconfident ravings. Agreed, DogbiteWilliams. It's the similar silly and hurtful speech as the speaker in Trump's Madison Square rally called Porto Rico an “island of garbage”. Biden's "garbage" comment is unnecessary and harmful, he should not speak as such. Don't go around, Biden just apologizes it in contrast to Trump who rarely apologized after he spewed vulgar and offensive words to people.
@Europa
Exactly!
Or calling our country a garbage can (just because he is an obvious racist)
Or calling legal immigrants "vermin" who "are poisoning the blood of our nation"
3
Quote Originally Posted by Europa:
Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams: Biden Sets Off Firestorm with ‘Garbage’ Comment President Biden handed ammo to gleeful Republicans Tuesday night when he seemed to refer to Donald Trump’s supporters as “garbage,” Axios reports. The comment came when Biden wanted to respond to a comedian calling Puerto Rico an “island of garbage” at Trump’s Madison Square Garden rally on Sunday. Said Biden: “The only garbage I see floating out there is his supporters — his demonization of Latinos is unconscionable, and it’s un-American.” https://politicalwire.com/2024/10/29/biden-sets-off-firestorm-with-garbage-comment ******* What a stupid thing to say. It's like a football team handing their upcoming opponent billboard material with bonehead insults or overconfident ravings. Agreed, DogbiteWilliams. It's the similar silly and hurtful speech as the speaker in Trump's Madison Square rally called Porto Rico an “island of garbage”. Biden's "garbage" comment is unnecessary and harmful, he should not speak as such. Don't go around, Biden just apologizes it in contrast to Trump who rarely apologized after he spewed vulgar and offensive words to people.
@Europa
Exactly!
Or calling our country a garbage can (just because he is an obvious racist)
Or calling legal immigrants "vermin" who "are poisoning the blood of our nation"
Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams: Biden Sets Off Firestorm with ‘Garbage’ Comment President Biden handed ammo to gleeful Republicans Tuesday night when he seemed to refer to Donald Trump’s supporters as “garbage,” Axios reports. The comment came when Biden wanted to respond to a comedian calling Puerto Rico an “island of garbage” at Trump’s Madison Square Garden rally on Sunday. Said Biden: “The only garbage I see floating out there is his supporters — his demonization of Latinos is unconscionable, and it’s un-American.” https://politicalwire.com/2024/10/29/biden-sets-off-firestorm-with-garbage-comment ******* What a stupid thing to say. It's like a football team handing their upcoming opponent billboard material with bonehead insults or overconfident ravings. Agreed, DogbiteWilliams. It's the similar silly and hurtful speech as the speaker in Trump's Madison Square rally called Porto Rico an “island of garbage”. Biden's "garbage" comment is unnecessary and harmful, he should not speak as such. Don't go around, Biden just apologizes it in contrast to Trump who rarely apologized after he spewed vulgar and offensive words to people.
I cannot claim to have listened to or read about every one of Trump's comments (I am NOT a masochist), but if he ever apologized for vulgar and/or offensive words, it would have been front-page news. Sociopaths lack empathy, so they don't recognize when their words or deeds have hurt someone, and they sure as hell don't care.
1
Quote Originally Posted by Europa:
Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams: Biden Sets Off Firestorm with ‘Garbage’ Comment President Biden handed ammo to gleeful Republicans Tuesday night when he seemed to refer to Donald Trump’s supporters as “garbage,” Axios reports. The comment came when Biden wanted to respond to a comedian calling Puerto Rico an “island of garbage” at Trump’s Madison Square Garden rally on Sunday. Said Biden: “The only garbage I see floating out there is his supporters — his demonization of Latinos is unconscionable, and it’s un-American.” https://politicalwire.com/2024/10/29/biden-sets-off-firestorm-with-garbage-comment ******* What a stupid thing to say. It's like a football team handing their upcoming opponent billboard material with bonehead insults or overconfident ravings. Agreed, DogbiteWilliams. It's the similar silly and hurtful speech as the speaker in Trump's Madison Square rally called Porto Rico an “island of garbage”. Biden's "garbage" comment is unnecessary and harmful, he should not speak as such. Don't go around, Biden just apologizes it in contrast to Trump who rarely apologized after he spewed vulgar and offensive words to people.
I cannot claim to have listened to or read about every one of Trump's comments (I am NOT a masochist), but if he ever apologized for vulgar and/or offensive words, it would have been front-page news. Sociopaths lack empathy, so they don't recognize when their words or deeds have hurt someone, and they sure as hell don't care.
Quote Originally Posted by Europa: Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams: Biden Sets Off Firestorm with ‘Garbage’ Comment President Biden handed ammo to gleeful Republicans Tuesday night when he seemed to refer to Donald Trump’s supporters as “garbage,” Axios reports. The comment came when Biden wanted to respond to a comedian calling Puerto Rico an “island of garbage” at Trump’s Madison Square Garden rally on Sunday. Said Biden: “The only garbage I see floating out there is his supporters — his demonization of Latinos is unconscionable, and it’s un-American.” https://politicalwire.com/2024/10/29/biden-sets-off-firestorm-with-garbage-comment ******* What a stupid thing to say. It's like a football team handing their upcoming opponent billboard material with bonehead insults or overconfident ravings. Agreed, DogbiteWilliams. It's the similar silly and hurtful speech as the speaker in Trump's Madison Square rally called Porto Rico an “island of garbage”. Biden's "garbage" comment is unnecessary and harmful, he should not speak as such. Don't go around, Biden just apologizes it in contrast to Trump who rarely apologized after he spewed vulgar and offensive words to people. I cannot claim to have listened to or read about every one of Trump's comments (I am NOT a masochist), but if he ever apologized for vulgar and/or offensive words, it would have been front-page news. Sociopaths lack empathy, so they don't recognize when their words or deeds have hurt someone, and they sure as hell don't care.
I agree with you again.
1
Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams:
Quote Originally Posted by Europa: Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams: Biden Sets Off Firestorm with ‘Garbage’ Comment President Biden handed ammo to gleeful Republicans Tuesday night when he seemed to refer to Donald Trump’s supporters as “garbage,” Axios reports. The comment came when Biden wanted to respond to a comedian calling Puerto Rico an “island of garbage” at Trump’s Madison Square Garden rally on Sunday. Said Biden: “The only garbage I see floating out there is his supporters — his demonization of Latinos is unconscionable, and it’s un-American.” https://politicalwire.com/2024/10/29/biden-sets-off-firestorm-with-garbage-comment ******* What a stupid thing to say. It's like a football team handing their upcoming opponent billboard material with bonehead insults or overconfident ravings. Agreed, DogbiteWilliams. It's the similar silly and hurtful speech as the speaker in Trump's Madison Square rally called Porto Rico an “island of garbage”. Biden's "garbage" comment is unnecessary and harmful, he should not speak as such. Don't go around, Biden just apologizes it in contrast to Trump who rarely apologized after he spewed vulgar and offensive words to people. I cannot claim to have listened to or read about every one of Trump's comments (I am NOT a masochist), but if he ever apologized for vulgar and/or offensive words, it would have been front-page news. Sociopaths lack empathy, so they don't recognize when their words or deeds have hurt someone, and they sure as hell don't care.
See Comment #259 as a reminder why 538's aggregates may not be the gospel.
However 538 now has Trump now at just 52% when, using the same type of accurate, misleading or worthless analysis, it had him at 54% just yesterday. This could just be short-term fluctutations, and maybe the main thing to await would be a PA crossover.
538 had PA at D +0.7 when I started monitoring the seven swing states at 538 on 2024-10-14. It crossed over to a peak of R +0.6 and is currently at R +0.3.
0
See Comment #259 as a reminder why 538's aggregates may not be the gospel.
However 538 now has Trump now at just 52% when, using the same type of accurate, misleading or worthless analysis, it had him at 54% just yesterday. This could just be short-term fluctutations, and maybe the main thing to await would be a PA crossover.
538 had PA at D +0.7 when I started monitoring the seven swing states at 538 on 2024-10-14. It crossed over to a peak of R +0.6 and is currently at R +0.3.
Quote Originally Posted by Europa: Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams: Biden Sets Off Firestorm with ‘Garbage’ Comment President Biden handed ammo to gleeful Republicans Tuesday night when he seemed to refer to Donald Trump’s supporters as “garbage,” Axios reports. The comment came when Biden wanted to respond to a comedian calling Puerto Rico an “island of garbage” at Trump’s Madison Square Garden rally on Sunday. Said Biden: “The only garbage I see floating out there is his supporters — his demonization of Latinos is unconscionable, and it’s un-American.” https://politicalwire.com/2024/10/29/biden-sets-off-firestorm-with-garbage-comment ******* What a stupid thing to say. It's like a football team handing their upcoming opponent billboard material with bonehead insults or overconfident ravings. Agreed, DogbiteWilliams. It's the similar silly and hurtful speech as the speaker in Trump's Madison Square rally called Porto Rico an “island of garbage”. Biden's "garbage" comment is unnecessary and harmful, he should not speak as such. Don't go around, Biden just apologizes it in contrast to Trump who rarely apologized after he spewed vulgar and offensive words to people. @Europa Exactly! Or calling our country a garbage can (just because he is an obvious racist) Or calling legal immigrants "vermin" who "are poisoning the blood of our nation"
once again , you are spreading lies and Propaganda , with full intent ! how is this guy allowed to act in this forum like the second coming of Reichs-Propaganda Minister Joseph Goebbels ???
Trump said other countries treat the US like a garbage can by sending the worst of the worst into the US as so called refugees or migrants
Context matters , Goebbels
The Pastor of Disaster
0
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by Europa: Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams: Biden Sets Off Firestorm with ‘Garbage’ Comment President Biden handed ammo to gleeful Republicans Tuesday night when he seemed to refer to Donald Trump’s supporters as “garbage,” Axios reports. The comment came when Biden wanted to respond to a comedian calling Puerto Rico an “island of garbage” at Trump’s Madison Square Garden rally on Sunday. Said Biden: “The only garbage I see floating out there is his supporters — his demonization of Latinos is unconscionable, and it’s un-American.” https://politicalwire.com/2024/10/29/biden-sets-off-firestorm-with-garbage-comment ******* What a stupid thing to say. It's like a football team handing their upcoming opponent billboard material with bonehead insults or overconfident ravings. Agreed, DogbiteWilliams. It's the similar silly and hurtful speech as the speaker in Trump's Madison Square rally called Porto Rico an “island of garbage”. Biden's "garbage" comment is unnecessary and harmful, he should not speak as such. Don't go around, Biden just apologizes it in contrast to Trump who rarely apologized after he spewed vulgar and offensive words to people. @Europa Exactly! Or calling our country a garbage can (just because he is an obvious racist) Or calling legal immigrants "vermin" who "are poisoning the blood of our nation"
once again , you are spreading lies and Propaganda , with full intent ! how is this guy allowed to act in this forum like the second coming of Reichs-Propaganda Minister Joseph Goebbels ???
Trump said other countries treat the US like a garbage can by sending the worst of the worst into the US as so called refugees or migrants
even Goebbels won't be able to water down todays event in which the sitting President of the United States called half , if not more of his own countrymen GARBAGE
there is no excuse , like the usual he misspoke , he said it , he meant it , recorded and documented , GARBAGE
The Pastor of Disaster
1
even Goebbels won't be able to water down todays event in which the sitting President of the United States called half , if not more of his own countrymen GARBAGE
there is no excuse , like the usual he misspoke , he said it , he meant it , recorded and documented , GARBAGE
@fubah2 Yes, by comparing in terms of spewing vulgar, discriminating and hateful language, Trump just champions all of the current politicians, I perceive.
@Europa
YEP! He is truly the worst.
3
Quote Originally Posted by Europa:
@fubah2 Yes, by comparing in terms of spewing vulgar, discriminating and hateful language, Trump just champions all of the current politicians, I perceive.
Trump is down to 51% at 538. Harris' probability improved by 0.1% or 0.2% in 6 of the 7 swing states; Trump's chance fell from +2.1% to +1.8% in AZ.
In vital PA the Trump edge fell from +0.3% to +0.1%.
One of the guests on this Sunday's Meet the Press or This Week said that the Republican campaign officials were confident and the Democratic campaign officials were nervous. I think they'll all be wrong.
0
Trump is down to 51% at 538. Harris' probability improved by 0.1% or 0.2% in 6 of the 7 swing states; Trump's chance fell from +2.1% to +1.8% in AZ.
In vital PA the Trump edge fell from +0.3% to +0.1%.
One of the guests on this Sunday's Meet the Press or This Week said that the Republican campaign officials were confident and the Democratic campaign officials were nervous. I think they'll all be wrong.
This website has Trump winning PA by 1%. Trump carried PA by 1% in 2016. The Democratic candidate carried the state in every other presidential election all the way back to 1992.
0
Current count at Electoral Vote:
Harris 241, Trump 280, Ties 17 (NV and AZ)
This website has Trump winning PA by 1%. Trump carried PA by 1% in 2016. The Democratic candidate carried the state in every other presidential election all the way back to 1992.
At Polymarket currently the bettors favor Trump by 65.6% to 34.4%, one of the few times I checked where they did not have a rounding error. To show more evidence that the Trump bettors seem to be totally unaware of reality, they have Trump leading in PA 62% to 38%, as if is not even close.
This seems to be shaping up like a heavily-bet NFL home favorite that loses outright.
I checked again at Heritage and I was surprised to see the odds so much higher than when I took Harris at +120 for a half unit, so I took Harris at +147 for a whole unit (a whopping $7).
Good luck everybody.
0
At Polymarket currently the bettors favor Trump by 65.6% to 34.4%, one of the few times I checked where they did not have a rounding error. To show more evidence that the Trump bettors seem to be totally unaware of reality, they have Trump leading in PA 62% to 38%, as if is not even close.
This seems to be shaping up like a heavily-bet NFL home favorite that loses outright.
I checked again at Heritage and I was surprised to see the odds so much higher than when I took Harris at +120 for a half unit, so I took Harris at +147 for a whole unit (a whopping $7).
Will the FASCIST candidate drive out more voters with his racist appeals, or will the Pro-Democracy/Freedom candidate prevail with her multi-faceted common-sense appeal...
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