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    All Forums | Penalty Box

    Sat 9/29 NJPORKY's 2H NCAA System Plays

    «First Previous 303132 ... 434445 Next Last»
    NJPorky
    jimothycricket
    Blakeyboy
    crazygambler2
    CTG-Tiger
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 169977
    Posts: 1110
    «First Previous 303132 ... 434445 Next Last»
     
    NJPorky
    NJPorky
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    Joined: Jun, 2005
    Posts: 1693
    Posted: Sep. 29, 2012 - 9:27 PM ET #726

    I agree crazygambler2 your right it's a losing system, no one should follow the plays, you know what better yet bet the opposite of what i continue to post, because I'm going to continue to post each and every week.......
    Reply
    I agree crazygambler2 your right it's a losing system, no one should follow the plays, you know what better yet bet the opposite of what i continue to post, because I'm going to continue to post each and every week.......
     
    jimothycricket
    jimothycricket
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    Posts: 17
    Posted: Sep. 29, 2012 - 9:29 PM ET #727

    yea saber...same here lol
    Reply
    yea saber...same here lol
     
    Blakeyboy
    Blakeyboy
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    Posts: 117
    Posted: Sep. 29, 2012 - 9:29 PM ET #728

    Thank you Porky
    Reply
    Thank you Porky
     
    crazygambler2
    crazygambler2
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    Posts: 80
    Posted: Sep. 29, 2012 - 9:29 PM ET #729

    Your system is a joke porky. Quit fooling people. It's not fair to those who follow. Please have courtesy to stop.
    Reply
    Your system is a joke porky. Quit fooling people. It's not fair to those who follow. Please have courtesy to stop.
     
    CTG-Tiger
    CTG-Tiger
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    Posts: 37
    Posted: Sep. 29, 2012 - 9:30 PM ET #730

    Porky - thanks

    Haters - there is no requirement for you to play this system.  If you don't like it leave.

    My view is that there is something to it.  Essentially, there are two possible explanations for why this works:
    1) the middle is overvalued
    2) first half results are undervalued as an expectation for the second half

    From reading through the threads, seems like sample size is big enough to see that there is something to it.  There is a lot of risk in individual plays, obviously.
    Reply
    Porky - thanks

    Haters - there is no requirement for you to play this system.  If you don't like it leave.

    My view is that there is something to it.  Essentially, there are two possible explanations for why this works:
    1) the middle is overvalued
    2) first half results are undervalued as an expectation for the second half

    From reading through the threads, seems like sample size is big enough to see that there is something to it.  There is a lot of risk in individual plays, obviously.
     
    success1
    success1
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    Posts: 2593
    Posted: Sep. 29, 2012 - 9:30 PM ET #731

    .............we love the pork!
    Reply
    .............we love the pork!
     
    trustandfall
    trustandfall
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    Posts: 2013
    Posted: Sep. 29, 2012 - 9:31 PM ET #732

    I loved the play and Kentucky is looking so bad... great start to the day... looking like a very rough finish. Oh well. There's always tomorrow.
    Reply
    I loved the play and Kentucky is looking so bad... great start to the day... looking like a very rough finish. Oh well. There's always tomorrow.
     
    jimothycricket
    jimothycricket
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    Joined: Sep, 2012
    Posts: 17
    Posted: Sep. 29, 2012 - 9:32 PM ET #733

    hang in there fellas
    Reply
    hang in there fellas
     
    Gamboholics
    Gamboholics
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    Posts: 75
    Posted: Sep. 29, 2012 - 9:32 PM ET #734

    Crazygmbler, you work for covers or something?
    Reply
    Crazygmbler, you work for covers or something?
     
    TheWin02
    TheWin02
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    Posts: 2247
    Posted: Sep. 29, 2012 - 9:33 PM ET #735

    kentucky looks real Ugly.  BUT it's NOT over until you c the "F" word 
    Reply
    kentucky looks real Ugly.  BUT it's NOT over until you c the "F" word 
     
    CaliBear23
    CaliBear23
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    Posts: 38
    Posted: Sep. 29, 2012 - 9:35 PM ET #736

    Loving it Porky! You are a great American. I have been following thread for a couple weeks now and it is much more successful than any other system or person I have seen or known. Thanks for being a fan favorite. It's unfortunate that there are haters that want to get in the way of us making money together. What I say to them is, get the f*** out of our kitchen bitches! Keep it up, and I hope you are profiting well on your system.
    Reply
    Loving it Porky! You are a great American. I have been following thread for a couple weeks now and it is much more successful than any other system or person I have seen or known. Thanks for being a fan favorite. It's unfortunate that there are haters that want to get in the way of us making money together. What I say to them is, get the f*** out of our kitchen bitches! Keep it up, and I hope you are profiting well on your system.
     
    pagelee
    pagelee
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    Posts: 148
    Posted: Sep. 29, 2012 - 9:37 PM ET #737

    Crazy is paid to hate.  He has no meaningful response to his critics.
    Reply
    Crazy is paid to hate.  He has no meaningful response to his critics.
     
    yankeeking702
    yankeeking702
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    Posts: 1895
    Posted: Sep. 29, 2012 - 9:38 PM ET #738

    Haters always hate on the one making it in life. Keep it going porky haters dont like it fade him thats all dont come in his thread talking shit 
    Reply
    Haters always hate on the one making it in life. Keep it going porky haters dont like it fade him thats all dont come in his thread talking shit 
     
    cd329
    cd329
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    Posts: 23735
    Posted: Sep. 29, 2012 - 9:38 PM ET #739

    now this spreadsheet guy wants your email address in order to keep using the sheet.   why does he need that folks?
    Reply
    now this spreadsheet guy wants your email address in order to keep using the sheet.   why does he need that folks?
     
    NJPorky
    NJPorky
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    Posts: 1693
    Posted: Sep. 29, 2012 - 9:39 PM ET #740

    UNLV @ Utah St
    Full game odds were Utah St -21 and 57
    At the half, 20-7 Utah St
    2H lines should be Utah St -8 and 30
    2H lines are Utah St -10 and 27.5
    Thus we have
    NO Plays!!!!
    Reply
    UNLV @ Utah St
    Full game odds were Utah St -21 and 57
    At the half, 20-7 Utah St
    2H lines should be Utah St -8 and 30
    2H lines are Utah St -10 and 27.5
    Thus we have
    NO Plays!!!!
     
    Anfield0726
    Anfield0726
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    Posts: 191
    Posted: Sep. 29, 2012 - 9:39 PM ET #741

    The guy is just trying to be shady with us.
    Reply
    The guy is just trying to be shady with us.
     
    ApexPredator
    ApexPredator
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    Posts: 155
    Posted: Sep. 29, 2012 - 9:40 PM ET #742

    i think crazy is tin hahaha
    Reply
    i think crazy is tin hahaha
     
    starsky
    starsky
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    Joined: Oct, 2010
    Posts: 130
    Posted: Sep. 29, 2012 - 9:40 PM ET #743

    Quote Originally Posted by cd329:

    now this spreadsheet guy wants your email address in order to keep using the sheet.   why does he need that folks?

    Forget the spreadsheet guys, Porky's posts is all you need!
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by cd329:

    now this spreadsheet guy wants your email address in order to keep using the sheet.   why does he need that folks?

    Forget the spreadsheet guys, Porky's posts is all you need!
     
    Denville1
    Denville1
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    Joined: Feb, 2007
    Posts: 420
    Posted: Sep. 29, 2012 - 9:40 PM ET #744

    Porky, six months from now let's talk. Unfortunately by then the piEd piper will have led a mass of degenerates into the drink. Pathetic 
    Reply
    Porky, six months from now let's talk. Unfortunately by then the piEd piper will have led a mass of degenerates into the drink. Pathetic 
     
    NJPorky
    NJPorky
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    Joined: Jun, 2005
    Posts: 1693
    Posted: Sep. 29, 2012 - 9:40 PM ET #745

    Louisville @ Southern Miss
    Full game odds were Louisville -10.5 and 48.5
    At the half, 17-12 Southern Miss
    2H lines should be Louisville -15.5 and 19.5
    2H lines are Louisville -7 and 22.5
    Thus we have
    NO PLAYS!!!!
    Reply
    Louisville @ Southern Miss
    Full game odds were Louisville -10.5 and 48.5
    At the half, 17-12 Southern Miss
    2H lines should be Louisville -15.5 and 19.5
    2H lines are Louisville -7 and 22.5
    Thus we have
    NO PLAYS!!!!
     
    crazygambler2
    crazygambler2
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    Participation Meter
    Joined: Sep, 2012
    Posts: 80
    Posted: Sep. 29, 2012 - 9:41 PM ET #746

    Dude seriously?? You have gone 1-10 in the last 11. Don't bull the people. You are LOSING!!! Stop people before you lose your tail! He's awful!
    Reply
    Dude seriously?? You have gone 1-10 in the last 11. Don't bull the people. You are LOSING!!! Stop people before you lose your tail! He's awful!
     
    roundrock9
    roundrock9
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    Joined: Aug, 2011
    Posts: 579
    Posted: Sep. 29, 2012 - 9:43 PM ET #747

    Quote Originally Posted by crazygambler2:

    Dude seriously?? You have gone 1-10 in the last 11. Don't bull the people. You are LOSING!!! Stop people before you lose your tail! He's awful!

    really ?

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by crazygambler2:

    Dude seriously?? You have gone 1-10 in the last 11. Don't bull the people. You are LOSING!!! Stop people before you lose your tail! He's awful!

    really ?

     
    NJPorky
    NJPorky
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    Joined: Jun, 2005
    Posts: 1693
    Posted: Sep. 29, 2012 - 9:44 PM ET #748


    Texas SA @ New Mexico St
    Full game odds were Texas SA -1 and 56
    At the half, 21-7 Texas SA
    2H lines should be New Mexico St -13 and 28
    2H lines are New Mexico St -2.5 and 28
    Thus we have
    Texas SA +2.5 2H as a play
    Reply

    Texas SA @ New Mexico St
    Full game odds were Texas SA -1 and 56
    At the half, 21-7 Texas SA
    2H lines should be New Mexico St -13 and 28
    2H lines are New Mexico St -2.5 and 28
    Thus we have
    Texas SA +2.5 2H as a play
     
    crazygambler2
    crazygambler2
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    Joined: Sep, 2012
    Posts: 80
    Posted: Sep. 29, 2012 - 9:44 PM ET #749

    How do you get away with this. Actually making people believe you win? You are a joke.. I was 1-10 following you today. Where are you winning??
    Reply
    How do you get away with this. Actually making people believe you win? You are a joke.. I was 1-10 following you today. Where are you winning??
     
     
    jeast
    jeast
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    Posts: 543
    Posted: Sep. 29, 2012 - 9:45 PM ET #750

    Quote Originally Posted by CTG-Tiger:

    Porky - thanks

    Haters - there is no requirement for you to play this system.  If you don't like it leave.

    My view is that there is something to it.  Essentially, there are two possible explanations for why this works:
    1) the middle is overvalued
    2) first half results are undervalued as an expectation for the second half

    From reading through the threads, seems like sample size is big enough to see that there is something to it.  There is a lot of risk in individual plays, obviously.

    I don't chime in to often on here, but I have been around long enough to see a few things.  This isn't Porky's first year, obviously. If the system he uses doesn't work, he wouldn't continue to use it.  He doesn't want to lose money just as much as we all don't. 

    In regard to above, I don't know why this is considered a "middle system".  It's nothing of the sort.  The system says that, based on first half performance, follow that performance as an expected second half result.  The original line is where vegas wants you to think the end result will finish.  Regardless of what any of us want to think, the second half line is basically predetermined as very close to half of the opening line, with very minor adjustments.  When the first half performance differs drastically from that, assume that the second half performance will mirror that of the first.  That's why you look for a deviation of 10, to give enough value to pull the trigger.

    Your explanation 2 fits exactly what I am saying.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by CTG-Tiger:

    Porky - thanks

    Haters - there is no requirement for you to play this system.  If you don't like it leave.

    My view is that there is something to it.  Essentially, there are two possible explanations for why this works:
    1) the middle is overvalued
    2) first half results are undervalued as an expectation for the second half

    From reading through the threads, seems like sample size is big enough to see that there is something to it.  There is a lot of risk in individual plays, obviously.

    I don't chime in to often on here, but I have been around long enough to see a few things.  This isn't Porky's first year, obviously. If the system he uses doesn't work, he wouldn't continue to use it.  He doesn't want to lose money just as much as we all don't. 

    In regard to above, I don't know why this is considered a "middle system".  It's nothing of the sort.  The system says that, based on first half performance, follow that performance as an expected second half result.  The original line is where vegas wants you to think the end result will finish.  Regardless of what any of us want to think, the second half line is basically predetermined as very close to half of the opening line, with very minor adjustments.  When the first half performance differs drastically from that, assume that the second half performance will mirror that of the first.  That's why you look for a deviation of 10, to give enough value to pull the trigger.

    Your explanation 2 fits exactly what I am saying.
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