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    Sat 9/29 NJPORKY's 2H NCAA System Plays

    «First Previous 111213 ... 434445 Next Last»
    Codearmani
    GuardiaDeMieux
    cisco
    scaracas51
    PUNKCASH
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 169977
    Posts: 1110
    «First Previous 111213 ... 434445 Next Last»
     
    Codearmani
    Codearmani
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    Posts: 383
    Posted: Sep. 29, 2012 - 4:25 PM ET #251

    It would be wise to divide the plays between you. So that you already now know which games you should post. 
    Reply
    It would be wise to divide the plays between you. So that you already now know which games you should post. 
     
    GuardiaDeMieux
    GuardiaDeMieux
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    Posted: Sep. 29, 2012 - 4:27 PM ET #252

    The spreadsheet says Colorado St. +7, again...
    Reply
    The spreadsheet says Colorado St. +7, again...
     
    cisco
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    Posted: Sep. 29, 2012 - 4:28 PM ET #253

     

    For the current people dying to figure out how we get to the conclusion, read my 2nd to last post.

    You write down the opening lines. Then at halftime, you write down what the true 2H lines should be according to the opening lines. So tonight Chicago was +5.

    Green bay is up 13-0 at half. So we must assume since chicago was predicted to lose by 5 points, that they will out score Green Bay by 8 points in the 2nd half. So we now know the TRUE 2H line should be Chicago -8.

    The real lines came out and Green Bay was a -2 point favorite. So that's a 10 point swing from what the true line should be so you can make a play on Green Bay -2 because they were the favorite to begin the game and have been on pace to cover. Now you stick with the favorite in the 2H if there's a 10 point difference.

    The same logic is used for the Over/Under numbers. Which tonight, the under hit in the 1H so now you stick with the under in the 2H because there's over a 10 point differential. Get it? Now relax LOL

    Reply
     

    For the current people dying to figure out how we get to the conclusion, read my 2nd to last post.

    You write down the opening lines. Then at halftime, you write down what the true 2H lines should be according to the opening lines. So tonight Chicago was +5.

    Green bay is up 13-0 at half. So we must assume since chicago was predicted to lose by 5 points, that they will out score Green Bay by 8 points in the 2nd half. So we now know the TRUE 2H line should be Chicago -8.

    The real lines came out and Green Bay was a -2 point favorite. So that's a 10 point swing from what the true line should be so you can make a play on Green Bay -2 because they were the favorite to begin the game and have been on pace to cover. Now you stick with the favorite in the 2H if there's a 10 point difference.

    The same logic is used for the Over/Under numbers. Which tonight, the under hit in the 1H so now you stick with the under in the 2H because there's over a 10 point differential. Get it? Now relax LOL

     
    scaracas51
    scaracas51
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    Posted: Sep. 29, 2012 - 4:28 PM ET #254

    Quote Originally Posted by ac_bum:

    RUN THAT BY ME AGAIN

    Bum hows it going brother
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by ac_bum:

    RUN THAT BY ME AGAIN

    Bum hows it going brother
     
    cisco
    cisco
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    Posted: Sep. 29, 2012 - 4:29 PM ET #255

    Quote Originally Posted by cisco:

      
    You write down the opening lines. Then at halftime, you write down what the true 2H lines should be according to the opening lines. So tonight Chicago was +5.

    Green bay is up 13-0 at half. So we must assume since chicago was predicted to lose by 5 points, that they will out score Green Bay by 8 points in the 2nd half. So we now know the TRUE 2H line should be Chicago -8.

    The real lines came out and Green Bay was a -2 point favorite. So that's a 10 point swing from what the true line should be so you can make a play on Green Bay -2 because they were the favorite to begin the game and have been on pace to cover. Now you stick with the favorite in the 2H if there's a 10 point difference.

    The same logic is used for the Over/Under numbers. Which tonight, the under hit in the 1H so now you stick with the under in the 2H because there's over a 10 point differential. Get it? Now relax LOL

    Copied from an earlier thread. I forgot who posted it.

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by cisco:

      
    You write down the opening lines. Then at halftime, you write down what the true 2H lines should be according to the opening lines. So tonight Chicago was +5.

    Green bay is up 13-0 at half. So we must assume since chicago was predicted to lose by 5 points, that they will out score Green Bay by 8 points in the 2nd half. So we now know the TRUE 2H line should be Chicago -8.

    The real lines came out and Green Bay was a -2 point favorite. So that's a 10 point swing from what the true line should be so you can make a play on Green Bay -2 because they were the favorite to begin the game and have been on pace to cover. Now you stick with the favorite in the 2H if there's a 10 point difference.

    The same logic is used for the Over/Under numbers. Which tonight, the under hit in the 1H so now you stick with the under in the 2H because there's over a 10 point differential. Get it? Now relax LOL

    Copied from an earlier thread. I forgot who posted it.

     
    PUNKCASH
    PUNKCASH
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    Posted: Sep. 29, 2012 - 4:30 PM ET #256

    I can post the next one up...Tulsa @ UAB...and Marshall @ Purdue
    Reply
    I can post the next one up...Tulsa @ UAB...and Marshall @ Purdue
     
    BThompson2189
    BThompson2189
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    Posted: Sep. 29, 2012 - 4:30 PM ET #257

    Cisco....can someone please confirm whether or not the system uses CLOSING lines or OPENING lines.  I had thought that someone confirmed that it used CLOSING lines.  That can be a difference maker. THANKS!
    Reply
    Cisco....can someone please confirm whether or not the system uses CLOSING lines or OPENING lines.  I had thought that someone confirmed that it used CLOSING lines.  That can be a difference maker. THANKS!
     
    KingRGIII
    KingRGIII
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    Posted: Sep. 29, 2012 - 4:32 PM ET #258

    Thanks Punkcash
    Reply
    Thanks Punkcash
     
    jefff
    jefff
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    Posted: Sep. 29, 2012 - 4:36 PM ET #259


    Tulsa@UAB
    Original game line was TUlsa -14 and 58
    At the half, 35-21 Tulsa
    2H should be Tulsa 0 and 4
    2H lines are Miami 6 and 30
    thus we have
    Tulsa & UAB over 30
    Reply

    Tulsa@UAB
    Original game line was TUlsa -14 and 58
    At the half, 35-21 Tulsa
    2H should be Tulsa 0 and 4
    2H lines are Miami 6 and 30
    thus we have
    Tulsa & UAB over 30
     
    poolieseric
    poolieseric
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    Posted: Sep. 29, 2012 - 4:36 PM ET #260

    over uab

    Reply

    over uab

     
    Blakeyboy
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    Posted: Sep. 29, 2012 - 4:36 PM ET #261

    Tulsa UAB half
    Reply
    Tulsa UAB half
     
    PUNKCASH
    PUNKCASH
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    Posted: Sep. 29, 2012 - 4:36 PM ET #262

    Tulsa @ UAB
    Original game line was Tulsa -13.5 and 58
    At the half, 35-21 Tulsa
    2H should be Tulsa -0.5 and 2
    2H lines are Tulsa -6.5 and 30.5

    Odds diff 7
    Total diff 28.5

    thus we have

    Play Tulsa/UAB OVER 30.5
    Reply
    Tulsa @ UAB
    Original game line was Tulsa -13.5 and 58
    At the half, 35-21 Tulsa
    2H should be Tulsa -0.5 and 2
    2H lines are Tulsa -6.5 and 30.5

    Odds diff 7
    Total diff 28.5

    thus we have

    Play Tulsa/UAB OVER 30.5
     
    playr101
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    Posted: Sep. 29, 2012 - 4:37 PM ET #263

    using lines from covers.com

    -playr101
    Reply
    using lines from covers.com

    -playr101
     
    playr101
    playr101
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    Posted: Sep. 29, 2012 - 4:37 PM ET #264

    thx guys

    -playr101
    Reply
    thx guys

    -playr101
     
    playr101
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    Posted: Sep. 29, 2012 - 4:38 PM ET #265

    shit is down to 28.5

    good.. 

    -playr101

    Reply
    shit is down to 28.5

    good.. 

    -playr101

     
    PUNKCASH
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    Posted: Sep. 29, 2012 - 4:39 PM ET #266

    no im using iodds app on iphone....i can use covers from now on but the Over still a play here.
    Reply
    no im using iodds app on iphone....i can use covers from now on but the Over still a play here.
     
    CatsofNova
    CatsofNova
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    Posted: Sep. 29, 2012 - 4:40 PM ET #267

    Thanks guys. If the 3 of you are going to post with Porky I would decide now who is doing what for the wave of games that will be at the half in about a half hour. Again, thanks.
    Reply
    Thanks guys. If the 3 of you are going to post with Porky I would decide now who is doing what for the wave of games that will be at the half in about a half hour. Again, thanks.
     
    PUNKCASH
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    Posted: Sep. 29, 2012 - 4:42 PM ET #268

    Damn...yeah my line just dropped 1 pt.
    Reply
    Damn...yeah my line just dropped 1 pt.
     
    Blakeyboy
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    Posted: Sep. 29, 2012 - 4:44 PM ET #269

    Yes. I appreciate all you guys are doing. If we could coordinate and split up some games that would be good. The name of the game is play them all. I know it's difficult and playr101 and puckcash are doing a great job
    Reply
    Yes. I appreciate all you guys are doing. If we could coordinate and split up some games that would be good. The name of the game is play them all. I know it's difficult and playr101 and puckcash are doing a great job
     
    PUNKCASH
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    Posted: Sep. 29, 2012 - 4:44 PM ET #270

    I got Marshall @ Purdue ready to go once 2H lines comes out....you guys can take split the others.
    Reply
    I got Marshall @ Purdue ready to go once 2H lines comes out....you guys can take split the others.
     
    jefff
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    Posted: Sep. 29, 2012 - 4:45 PM ET #271

    i can take
    clem/bc
    latech/va
    ohio/mass
    idaho/unc
    Reply
    i can take
    clem/bc
    latech/va
    ohio/mass
    idaho/unc
     
    ac_bum
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    Posted: Sep. 29, 2012 - 4:46 PM ET #272

    Quote Originally Posted by scaracas51:


    Bum hows it going brother
    YOU KNOW BRO ON MY GRIND
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by scaracas51:


    Bum hows it going brother
    YOU KNOW BRO ON MY GRIND
     
    Gogic
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    Posted: Sep. 29, 2012 - 4:46 PM ET #273

    Anyone keeping score?
    Reply
    Anyone keeping score?
     
    PUNKCASH
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    Posted: Sep. 29, 2012 - 4:47 PM ET #274

    I'll do Ohio State @ Michigan State also.
    Reply
    I'll do Ohio State @ Michigan State also.
     
     
    PUNKCASH
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    Posted: Sep. 29, 2012 - 4:47 PM ET #275

    ok Jeff you got those you mention.
    Reply
    ok Jeff you got those you mention.
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