Robin Hoods: PLAY OF THE DAY

Robin Hoods Posting Record: 4-2 +5.08 units [R.O.I: 29%]

Every wager is to win 2.5 units: which is equal to 2.5% of my starting bankroll.

Friday October 1st, 2010

Texas Rangers -108

The LA Angels are 78-81 (35-43 on the road) and will face the Texas Rangers who are 89-70 (50-28 at home).

The reason for this low line is mostly to do with the starting pitcher for LA (Jered Weaver) who has had outstanding numbers all year. Texas dominates in every other aspect to the game and they've got a very compitent pitcher on mound as well and should roll on to victory today.

Jered Weaver has faced Texas four times this year and is 2-0 at home, but 0-2 on the road. In his most recent start vs. Texas, Weaver allowed 9 hits and 2 walks in less than 7 innings of work; but only 3 runs and LA won 7-4 at home. All of his numbers, percentages and averages are worse on the road and this will be another very difficult game for him against a stacked Texas lineup.

Tommy Hunter has had a great year for Texas with a WHIP under 1.3 and an ERA under 4.0, and will look to close off his season with win #14, at home. He is well rested as there has been 7 days since his last start. The reason for this is that he came in to essentially save a game for Texas with 0.2 innings of work retiring two batters, one on a strikeout, with only 9 pitches. He's allowed 2 runs or less in 4 of his last 5 starts and I except a strong game from Tommy, en route to Texas' 90th win on the season. Hunter is also trying to jock for positioning in the playoffs as he is still on the bubble for getting a start in round one. Hunter has faced the Angels just twice this season and was 1-0 at home while 1-0 on the road. Run production helps as well and in Tommy Hunters 21 starts this season Texas has averaged 6.1 runs for, with just 3.8 total runs against (an average margin of victory of 2.3 runs, incredible).

The LA Angels have hit above .300 just once in their past nine games while Texas has hit above .300 in four of their past seven games; hitting above .439 in two of those games. Texas lost Murphy to injury two games ago but get a huge boost of power back into their lineup with MVP candidate Josh Hamilton (after missing the past 24 games to injury). This will not only be a big boost because of Hamilton's bat, but it will be a gigantic boost to the teams morale as well as the energy from the fans. In these teams past ten games, the LA Angels have a batting average of just .226 while Texas has a batting average of .264; and .279 versus right handed pitchers. Texas is hitting .298 at home versus right handed pitcher this season and thats with missing their best hitter for 24 games.

Los Angeles' bullpen has for years been the pride and joy of this baseball team and the reason for a huge chunk of their success but the shit hit the fan this season; and their bullpen sports an ugly WHIP of 1.48 (their worst statistical season since 2004). Texas' bullpen has been the contrary with a WHIP of just 1.19 and an ERA of just 2.86. The LA Angels struggle mightly versus left handed pitchers which helpsTexas late in the game, with the strong lefties in their bullpen, when they need outs.

Texas has won 9 of 16 games versus Los Angeles, but more importantly the home team has won 12 of 16 games this season between these two teams. Texas wins 6-2.

Robin Hood 

Agree that Texas is the play here.  Weaver one of the best home pitchers in baseball but average on the road.

Good luck.

Lite er up

Great call on the Reds. Big winner.

Guy is awesome.

BlueChips - You are more than correct.  Its funny how bashing is more contagious than being supportive.

Martin - Im not sure what those girls are up to.....but I love it.

Robin - Great lil run you got us on!!!!!   Thank you.  I've been using your picks as a supplimental parlay to my own.  Usually 2 minds lose the money twice as fast, but not when the gambling gods know you are just dispersing to the poor.   Keep it up.