Robin Hoods: PLAY OF THE DAY

They average a win of 2.3 runs when Tommy Hunter is pitching not when they're home; sorry if that was confusing in my little blurb about Texas. Yes there is value in the +180, but with Weaver on the mound for Los Angeles, I wouldn't suggest it. Oddly enough, if you do the math, there is more value in Texas -108 than Texas -1.5 +180.

Thanks guys and enjoy your friday.

Re-posting this to make it easier to find:

Robin Hoods Posting Record: 4-2 +5.08 units [R.O.I: 29%]

Every wager is to win 2.5 units: which is equal to 2.5% of my starting bankroll.

Friday October 1st, 2010

Texas Rangers -108

The LA Angels are 78-81 (35-43 on the road) and will face the Texas Rangers who are 89-70 (50-28 at home).

The reason for this low line is mostly to do with the starting pitcher for LA (Jered Weaver) who has had outstanding numbers all year. Texas dominates in every other aspect to the game and they've got a very compitent pitcher on mound as well and should roll on to victory today.

Jered Weaver has faced Texas four times this year and is 2-0 at home, but 0-2 on the road. In his most recent start vs. Texas, Weaver allowed 9 hits and 2 walks in less than 7 innings of work; but only 3 runs and LA won 7-4 at home. All of his numbers, percentages and averages are worse on the road and this will be another very difficult game for him against a stacked Texas lineup.

Tommy Hunter has had a great year for Texas with a WHIP under 1.3 and an ERA under 4.0, and will look to close off his season with win #14, at home. He is well rested as there has been 7 days since his last start. The reason for this is that he came in to essentially save a game for Texas with 0.2 innings of work retiring two batters, one on a strikeout, with only 9 pitches. He's allowed 2 runs or less in 4 of his last 5 starts and I except a strong game from Tommy, en route to Texas' 90th win on the season. Hunter is also trying to jock for positioning in the playoffs as he is still on the bubble for getting a start in round one. Hunter has faced the Angels just twice this season and was 1-0 at home while 1-0 on the road. Run production helps as well and in Tommy Hunters 21 starts this season Texas has averaged 6.1 runs for, with just 3.8 total runs against (an average margin of victory of 2.3 runs, incredible).

The LA Angels have hit above .300 just once in their past nine games while Texas has hit above .300 in four of their past seven games; hitting above .439 in two of those games. Texas lost Murphy to injury two games ago but get a huge boost of power back into their lineup with MVP candidate Josh Hamilton (after missing the past 24 games to injury). This will not only be a big boost because of Hamilton's bat, but it will be a gigantic boost to the teams morale as well as the energy from the fans. In these teams past ten games, the LA Angels have a batting average of just .226 while Texas has a batting average of .264; and .279 versus right handed pitchers. Texas is hitting .298 at home versus right handed pitcher this season and thats with missing their best hitter for 24 games.

Los Angeles' bullpen has for years been the pride and joy of this baseball team and the reason for a huge chunk of their success but the shit hit the fan this season; and their bullpen sports an ugly WHIP of 1.48 (their worst statistical season since 2004). Texas' bullpen has been the contrary with a WHIP of just 1.19 and an ERA of just 2.86. The LA Angels struggle mightly versus left handed pitchers which helpsTexas late in the game, with the strong lefties in their bullpen, when they need outs.

Texas has won 9 of 16 games versus Los Angeles, but more importantly the home team has won 12 of 16 games this season between these two teams. Texas wins 6-2.

Robin Hood

Correction I meant to write that Tommy Hunter is 1-1 this season vs. Los Angeles (1-0 at home, 0-1 on the road).

Thanks more4us, GL yourself.

I won't be around much tonight/tomorrow and I have already placed this wager so I might as well post it now.

Robin Hoods Posting Record: 4-2 +5.08 units [R.O.I: 29%]

Every wager is to win 2.5 units: which is equal to 2.5% of my starting bankroll.

Friday October 1st, 2010: Texas Rangers -108

Saturday October 2nd, 2010: Michigan State ML +105

Robin Hood

Robin:

Looks like the Rich won today! Rangers f-ed up and gave this
one away plain and simple!
Get pissed and lets get em tommorrow!

Instead of ripping on someone handicapping baseball games from their mom's basement, you should look into night classes at the local community college.   What is it that draws the biggest idiots to sports betting?

I'm a huge badger fan and follow them religiously and I just don't see the badgers losing to MSU today.  I think this game will be close as the spread indicates, I just don't see how the three headed monster out of the back field lets this team down against a pretty good MSU team.  Kirk Cousins always gives the badgers D problems but I like the badgers secondary, their D has been improving week in and week out, making fewer and fewer mental mistakes.  I think Scott Tolzien is one of the elite quarterbacks of the Big 10 and I think he has a huge game today showing everybody that the badgers are not just a one dimensional offense.  I also realize the home team has won the last 5 meetings between these two but I still can't go against Bucky.  Because of your liking for MSU, I'm going to have to watch this game as a fan today and stay off it.  Good luck with MSU, but I'm rooting for John Clay!

Bucky 28-24

I have never seen so many dudes on a guys dick about selections.Can you make an effort and pick your own games without relying on bailouts from complete strangers.

SOLID..... I couldn't agree more! I'm going to lay the buck-ten and except the two. Lots of mo jo rolling into tomarrow.... great of you to post such high quality selections!!

Texas' bullpen blew the game yesterday, very uncharacteristic of them. Hunter allowed only three hits and gave up no walks in five innings of work.

Robin Hoods Posting Record: 4-3 +2.38 units [R.O.I: 13%]

Every wager is to win 2.5 units: which is equal to 2.5% of my starting bankroll.

Saturday October 2nd, 2010:

Michigan State ML +105

'Taking from the rich and giving to the poor'

Robin Hood

Michigan State wins by 10. I have placed my wagers for Sunday and Monday, they are both in the NFL.

Robin Hoods Posting Record: 5-3 +4.88 units (63%) [R.O.I: 22%]

Every wager is to win 2.5 units: which is equal to 2.5% of my starting bankroll.

Sunday October 3rd, 2010:

New York Giants -3 -125

Monday October 4th, 2010:

Miami Dolphins ML +100

'Taking from the rich and giving to the poor'

Robin Hood

" I flat bet all of my wagers to win 2.5% of my starting bankroll, which in MY case for 2010 was a starting bankroll of 50,000. "

Would you please clarify the above statement ? 

 If your starting BR is 50,000 then your first bet according to your method would be 2.5% of 50K which is 1250.00

1. You decide to make your first bet on Team A ( laying -110 ) . Is your first bet 1250.00 or do you make a wager of  1375.00 to win 1250.00 ? Obviously 1375.00 is more than 2.5% of your starting BR, so which bet of the two do you make ?
2.  You lose your initial bet, thereby reducing your starting BR by either 1250.00 or 1375.00.What is your next wager ? Is it still 2.5 % of your original starting BR of 50k  or do you now adjust your BR to reflect the current amount and bet 2.5% of either 48750.00 or 48625.00 ?

Thanks for your response.

For 2010, every wager is to win $1250. I then re-adjust at the end of the year. GL.