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    NBA MON 031609 early thoughts - value hunting

    «First Previous 456 ... 192021 Next Last»
    axpiota59
    FlippaCoin
    Ole_Gunslinger
    MIAMI_MONEY
    eagle123
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    «First Previous 456 ... 192021 Next Last»
     
    axpiota59
    axpiota59
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    Posted: Mar. 16, 2009 - 10:17 AM ET #76

    I'll play along  BUMP
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    I'll play along  BUMP
     
    FlippaCoin
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    Posted: Mar. 16, 2009 - 10:18 AM ET #77


    IT won't come in here.  I tried b4.

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    IT won't come in here.  I tried b4.

     
    axpiota59
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    Posted: Mar. 16, 2009 - 10:18 AM ET #78

    Hey Flippa.  Much better!
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    Hey Flippa.  Much better!
     
    FlippaCoin
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    Posted: Mar. 16, 2009 - 10:23 AM ET #79

    Yay........  Page 4.....

    Good morning Ax.
    I see you guys hard at work, last night.
    Your time is much appreciated. 
    However, I do think that taking a day off now and then is a good idea.

    If it don't look juicy, no need to force it. The shopping cart will always be there.

    Again, Thank you for Utah under.  
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    Yay........  Page 4.....

    Good morning Ax.
    I see you guys hard at work, last night.
    Your time is much appreciated. 
    However, I do think that taking a day off now and then is a good idea.

    If it don't look juicy, no need to force it. The shopping cart will always be there.

    Again, Thank you for Utah under.  
     
    axpiota59
    axpiota59
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    Posted: Mar. 16, 2009 - 10:33 AM ET #80

    Quote Originally Posted by FlippaCoin:

    Yay........  Page 4.....

    Good morning Ax.
    I see you guys hard at work, last night.
    Your time is much appreciated. 
    However, I do think that taking a day off now and then is a good idea.

    If it don't look juicy, no need to force it. The shopping cart will always be there.

    Again, Thank you for Utah under.  

    Thanks Flippa, I have some business to attend to anyway.  I just looked over the board again and that NJ/DEN game keeps jumping at me.  12 now...I know, I've been "flippaning" back and forth (you like that?).  Still no action for me.  Will be back in a bit.  
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    Quote Originally Posted by FlippaCoin:

    Yay........  Page 4.....

    Good morning Ax.
    I see you guys hard at work, last night.
    Your time is much appreciated. 
    However, I do think that taking a day off now and then is a good idea.

    If it don't look juicy, no need to force it. The shopping cart will always be there.

    Again, Thank you for Utah under.  

    Thanks Flippa, I have some business to attend to anyway.  I just looked over the board again and that NJ/DEN game keeps jumping at me.  12 now...I know, I've been "flippaning" back and forth (you like that?).  Still no action for me.  Will be back in a bit.  
     
    Ole_Gunslinger
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    Posted: Mar. 16, 2009 - 10:43 AM ET #81

    POR/CHA total is 194 @ Pinnacle. Looks like an under play.
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    POR/CHA total is 194 @ Pinnacle. Looks like an under play.
     
    axpiota59
    axpiota59
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    Posted: Mar. 16, 2009 - 10:45 AM ET #82

    Quote Originally Posted by Ole_Gunslinger:

    POR/CHA total is 194 @ Pinnacle. Looks like an under play.

    That sir is the number I am looking for.
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ole_Gunslinger:

    POR/CHA total is 194 @ Pinnacle. Looks like an under play.

    That sir is the number I am looking for.
     
    axpiota59
    axpiota59
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    Posted: Mar. 16, 2009 - 10:46 AM ET #83

    Quote Originally Posted by axpiota59:


    That sir is the number I am looking for.

    Check that...that's the TOR number...not POR
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    Quote Originally Posted by axpiota59:


    That sir is the number I am looking for.

    Check that...that's the TOR number...not POR
     
    Ole_Gunslinger
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    Posted: Mar. 16, 2009 - 10:50 AM ET #84

    Quote Originally Posted by axpiota59:


    Check that...that's the TOR number...not POR



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    Quote Originally Posted by axpiota59:


    Check that...that's the TOR number...not POR



     
    MIAMI_MONEY
    MIAMI_MONEY
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    Posted: Mar. 16, 2009 - 10:52 AM ET #85

    I like that Toronto under. I will look into some more, was waiting for 193, this looks good at 194 (uuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuunnnnnnnnderrrrr)

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    I like that Toronto under. I will look into some more, was waiting for 193, this looks good at 194 (uuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuunnnnnnnnderrrrr)

     
    eagle123
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    Posted: Mar. 16, 2009 - 10:56 AM ET #86

    Good morning Ax
    So confirm to take a day off tonight?
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    Good morning Ax
    So confirm to take a day off tonight?
     
    axpiota59
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    Posted: Mar. 16, 2009 - 10:56 AM ET #87

    I would jump on this TOR/CHA if it weren't for the significant deviation from the way these teams have play.  In recent performances, both are scoring more and allowing more by numbers you simply can't ignore.

    I'll do some trend analysis in a bit..
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    I would jump on this TOR/CHA if it weren't for the significant deviation from the way these teams have play.  In recent performances, both are scoring more and allowing more by numbers you simply can't ignore.

    I'll do some trend analysis in a bit..
     
    axpiota59
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    Posted: Mar. 16, 2009 - 10:57 AM ET #88

    Quote Originally Posted by eagle123:

    Good morning Ax
    So confirm to take a day off tonight?

    Looking that way so far Eagle
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    Quote Originally Posted by eagle123:

    Good morning Ax
    So confirm to take a day off tonight?

    Looking that way so far Eagle
     
    eagle123
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    Posted: Mar. 16, 2009 - 11:07 AM ET #89

    ok, I am too tired that and need to get some sleep

    will check out again tomorrow morning and see if you have any good advise

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    ok, I am too tired that and need to get some sleep

    will check out again tomorrow morning and see if you have any good advise

     
    axpiota59
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    Posted: Mar. 16, 2009 - 11:09 AM ET #90

    Quote Originally Posted by eagle123:

    ok, I am too tired that and need to get some sleep

    will check out again tomorrow morning and see if you have any good advise


    Get some rest pal...Tuesday may have something to offer.
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    Quote Originally Posted by eagle123:

    ok, I am too tired that and need to get some sleep

    will check out again tomorrow morning and see if you have any good advise


    Get some rest pal...Tuesday may have something to offer.
     
    eagle123
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    Posted: Mar. 16, 2009 - 11:13 AM ET #91

    oh, forget to tell you that we have time different, it is monday night 23:12 down here, tomorrow morning means Monday night game in your side
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    oh, forget to tell you that we have time different, it is monday night 23:12 down here, tomorrow morning means Monday night game in your side
     
    highside107
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    Posted: Mar. 16, 2009 - 11:19 AM ET #92

    Quote Originally Posted by axpiota59:


    LOL, I do ok in the NBA, it's just a lot of work.  I'd like to think MLB is my main gig.  It's been profitable in the past and I just love the game.  Thanks for reading my rants.  

    ax - not sure if I asked you this before, but what kind of bets do you typically do in MLB? Sides or totals?
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    Quote Originally Posted by axpiota59:


    LOL, I do ok in the NBA, it's just a lot of work.  I'd like to think MLB is my main gig.  It's been profitable in the past and I just love the game.  Thanks for reading my rants.  

    ax - not sure if I asked you this before, but what kind of bets do you typically do in MLB? Sides or totals?
     
    Gambleholic
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    Posted: Mar. 16, 2009 - 11:20 AM ET #93

    Guys, I think that was my post that messed page 3 up. Sorry

    MODS!  please delete the one post jacking this up.  I was having trouble trying to past a table.
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    Guys, I think that was my post that messed page 3 up. Sorry

    MODS!  please delete the one post jacking this up.  I was having trouble trying to past a table.
     
    Gambleholic
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    Posted: Mar. 16, 2009 - 11:23 AM ET #94

    My conclusion of looking at the basic stats for days rest on the Denver game was eliminate it from a potential unders play.  There would have to be good situational factors to consider it.  Probably not worth the effort to dig real deep.

    I find it easier to eliminate games from potential plays, and then focus on the possibles.
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    My conclusion of looking at the basic stats for days rest on the Denver game was eliminate it from a potential unders play.  There would have to be good situational factors to consider it.  Probably not worth the effort to dig real deep.

    I find it easier to eliminate games from potential plays, and then focus on the possibles.
     
    Gambleholic
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    Posted: Mar. 16, 2009 - 11:25 AM ET #95

    However, the line is now 204.5, and I saw 208 last night.... either someones in/out or someone thought unders was good.
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    However, the line is now 204.5, and I saw 208 last night.... either someones in/out or someone thought unders was good.
     
    axpiota59
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    Posted: Mar. 16, 2009 - 11:26 AM ET #96

    Quote Originally Posted by highside107:


    ax - not sure if I asked you this before, but what kind of bets do you typically do in MLB? Sides or totals?

    That's come up a lot...I am a dog ML guy with some totals in certain spots.  I stay away from run lines...
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    Quote Originally Posted by highside107:


    ax - not sure if I asked you this before, but what kind of bets do you typically do in MLB? Sides or totals?

    That's come up a lot...I am a dog ML guy with some totals in certain spots.  I stay away from run lines...
     
    axpiota59
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    Posted: Mar. 16, 2009 - 11:27 AM ET #97

    Quote Originally Posted by Gambleholic:

    Guys, I think that was my post that messed page 3 up. Sorry

    MODS!  please delete the one post jacking this up.  I was having trouble trying to past a table.

    No prob gambleholic...flippa and I just bumped to pg 4...all good now
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    Quote Originally Posted by Gambleholic:

    Guys, I think that was my post that messed page 3 up. Sorry

    MODS!  please delete the one post jacking this up.  I was having trouble trying to past a table.

    No prob gambleholic...flippa and I just bumped to pg 4...all good now
     
    axpiota59
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    Posted: Mar. 16, 2009 - 11:28 AM ET #98

    Quote Originally Posted by Gambleholic:

    My conclusion of looking at the basic stats for days rest on the Denver game was eliminate it from a potential unders play.  There would have to be good situational factors to consider it.  Probably not worth the effort to dig real deep.

    I find it easier to eliminate games from potential plays, and then focus on the possibles.

    agreed.  I dug even a little deeper and value starting to creep up on the other side of this...'O" my
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    Quote Originally Posted by Gambleholic:

    My conclusion of looking at the basic stats for days rest on the Denver game was eliminate it from a potential unders play.  There would have to be good situational factors to consider it.  Probably not worth the effort to dig real deep.

    I find it easier to eliminate games from potential plays, and then focus on the possibles.

    agreed.  I dug even a little deeper and value starting to creep up on the other side of this...'O" my
     
    grindstone
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    Posted: Mar. 16, 2009 - 11:30 AM ET #99

    Het AX here the lastest % public
     
    NJ/Denv        open 208     current 204
     
    66% over
    34% under
     
    OK  AX, Vegas drives this line down and public is all over the over  and they keep dropping it. This reminds me of the PHX/GS game yesterday the line kept rising the public was all over the under.Over game is esy. This might have the same intention.What do you think AX???
     
    Also lastest numbers
     
    Port/Mem     open 189     current 188
    75% over
    25% under
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    Het AX here the lastest % public
     
    NJ/Denv        open 208     current 204
     
    66% over
    34% under
     
    OK  AX, Vegas drives this line down and public is all over the over  and they keep dropping it. This reminds me of the PHX/GS game yesterday the line kept rising the public was all over the under.Over game is esy. This might have the same intention.What do you think AX???
     
    Also lastest numbers
     
    Port/Mem     open 189     current 188
    75% over
    25% under
     
     
    sharpster_XX
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    Posted: Mar. 16, 2009 - 11:36 AM ET #100

    That denver line is waaaaaaay too sharp its under or nothing

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    That denver line is waaaaaaay too sharp its under or nothing

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