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    All Forums | Penalty Box

    CD Newsletter Week 15

    «First Previous 567 ... 161718 Next Last»
    Cyrax
    undermysac
    lbcake
    Biscuiteater1
    OlDirtyBaztid
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 631
    Posts: 430
    «First Previous 567 ... 161718 Next Last»
     
    Cyrax
    Cyrax
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    Posted: Dec. 14, 2022 - 4:07 PM ET #101

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    83% of the Patriots wins this year have been against back up quarterbacks

    I think the Raiders will give them a run for their money this Sunday. The line opened at Raiders-3 and not it’s at a PK. The people thinks the Raiders can win this game and send Belacheat packing. 

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    83% of the Patriots wins this year have been against back up quarterbacks

    I think the Raiders will give them a run for their money this Sunday. The line opened at Raiders-3 and not it’s at a PK. The people thinks the Raiders can win this game and send Belacheat packing. 

     
    undermysac
    undermysac
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    Posted: Dec. 14, 2022 - 4:55 PM ET #102

    https://www.footballoutsiders.com/walkthrough/2022/what-if-justin-herbert-isnt-all-great

    This article is not aging well.

    Reply

    https://www.footballoutsiders.com/walkthrough/2022/what-if-justin-herbert-isnt-all-great

    This article is not aging well.

     
    lbcake
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    Posted: Dec. 14, 2022 - 5:46 PM ET #103

    Quote Originally Posted by Biscuiteater1:

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac: Where is Ibcake? Argentina He said he was going across the pond..hope he didn't fall in.

    Been there and back. Airbus, not Boeing, so no swan dive.

    Sac, I thought of a hedge for a nanosecond but...wtf, let it ride. Might cost me an outrageous w/e in Hannover. Oh well. 

     

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Biscuiteater1:

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac: Where is Ibcake? Argentina He said he was going across the pond..hope he didn't fall in.

    Been there and back. Airbus, not Boeing, so no swan dive.

    Sac, I thought of a hedge for a nanosecond but...wtf, let it ride. Might cost me an outrageous w/e in Hannover. Oh well. 

     

     
    lbcake
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    Posted: Dec. 14, 2022 - 5:53 PM ET #104

    If anyone has a Large Tina future* - the perfect hedge (according to the math) is wagering half your possible payout( on France to lift the cup). At this time it is 1.90/-110.

    * Future at 6.50/+550 or 11/2

    Reply

    If anyone has a Large Tina future* - the perfect hedge (according to the math) is wagering half your possible payout( on France to lift the cup). At this time it is 1.90/-110.

    * Future at 6.50/+550 or 11/2

     
    Biscuiteater1
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    Posted: Dec. 15, 2022 - 6:49 AM ET #105

    Seattle D-line has heard all weak long how they are the worst assemblage of football players since the 3 stooges @ Whatsamatta U

    If 3' (-10) or less is available i'll bite for a unit, hell it's not like Seattle has nothing to play for.I'll just get a payday loan if it losses.reallyhappy

    Reply

    Seattle D-line has heard all weak long how they are the worst assemblage of football players since the 3 stooges @ Whatsamatta U

    If 3' (-10) or less is available i'll bite for a unit, hell it's not like Seattle has nothing to play for.I'll just get a payday loan if it losses.reallyhappy

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Dec. 15, 2022 - 6:51 AM ET #106

    @lbcake

     Nice position that you are in. I thought I tailed you on that Argentina bet, but can't find the bet 

    angry

    @Biscuiteater1

     That's the spirit an_clap

    Reply

    @lbcake

     Nice position that you are in. I thought I tailed you on that Argentina bet, but can't find the bet 

    angry

    @Biscuiteater1

     That's the spirit an_clap

     
    OlDirtyBaztid
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    Posted: Dec. 15, 2022 - 9:15 AM ET #107

    Quote Originally Posted by Biscuiteater1:

    Seattle D-line has heard all weak long how they are the worst assemblage of football players since the 3 stooges @ Whatsamatta U If 3' (-10) or less is available i'll bite for a unit, hell it's not like Seattle has nothing to play for.I'll just get a payday loan if it losses.

    i agree and purdy on the road is something i'm willing to pay to see. first road game for this kid, who still makes mistakes at home. he basically hasn't had any pressure or played from behind yet. let's see how he does against the seahawks. he's got everything to prove and is in the spotlight, much like when he was in heisman/top 10 pick talks his senior year. kid threw up on himself nearly every game. 

    No team is as good as it looks when winning nor are they as bad as they look when losing
    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Biscuiteater1:

    Seattle D-line has heard all weak long how they are the worst assemblage of football players since the 3 stooges @ Whatsamatta U If 3' (-10) or less is available i'll bite for a unit, hell it's not like Seattle has nothing to play for.I'll just get a payday loan if it losses.

    i agree and purdy on the road is something i'm willing to pay to see. first road game for this kid, who still makes mistakes at home. he basically hasn't had any pressure or played from behind yet. let's see how he does against the seahawks. he's got everything to prove and is in the spotlight, much like when he was in heisman/top 10 pick talks his senior year. kid threw up on himself nearly every game. 

     
    bigred84
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    Posted: Dec. 15, 2022 - 9:31 AM ET #108

    @OlDirtyBaztid

     fact....

    Reply

    @OlDirtyBaztid

     fact....

     
    OlDirtyBaztid
    OlDirtyBaztid
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    Posted: Dec. 15, 2022 - 9:56 AM ET #109

    this is the type of purdy people aren't used to

    https://uproxx.com/sports/brock-purdy-pick-six-bat-clemson-iowa-state-video/

    No team is as good as it looks when winning nor are they as bad as they look when losing
    Reply

    this is the type of purdy people aren't used to

    https://uproxx.com/sports/brock-purdy-pick-six-bat-clemson-iowa-state-video/

     
    BWS77
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    Posted: Dec. 15, 2022 - 11:06 AM ET #110

    Quote Originally Posted by OlDirtyBaztid:

    this is the type of purdy people aren't used to https://uproxx.com/sports/brock-purdy-pick-six-bat-clemson-iowa-state-video/

    ODB #1 Brock Purdy Fan!   

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by OlDirtyBaztid:

    this is the type of purdy people aren't used to https://uproxx.com/sports/brock-purdy-pick-six-bat-clemson-iowa-state-video/

    ODB #1 Brock Purdy Fan!   

     
    Getty3
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    Posted: Dec. 15, 2022 - 11:38 AM ET #111

    Not to mention Lil' Shanny vs. Bowles last week was a cat playing with a crippled mouse. A mellow stoned Bowles, hands crossed, glassy eyed staring at the scoreboard as it kept flipping higher and higher numbers for the home team. Old Surfer Pete presents a much more accomplished opponent across the chess table. 

    I will join the foray on the Seadorks, also try a little parlay +3 and under 43. Good luck to us.

    Reply

    Not to mention Lil' Shanny vs. Bowles last week was a cat playing with a crippled mouse. A mellow stoned Bowles, hands crossed, glassy eyed staring at the scoreboard as it kept flipping higher and higher numbers for the home team. Old Surfer Pete presents a much more accomplished opponent across the chess table. 

    I will join the foray on the Seadorks, also try a little parlay +3 and under 43. Good luck to us.

     
    OlDirtyBaztid
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    Posted: Dec. 15, 2022 - 12:19 PM ET #112

    Quote Originally Posted by BWS77:

    Quote Originally Posted by OlDirtyBaztid: this is the type of purdy people aren't used to https://uproxx.com/sports/brock-purdy-pick-six-bat-clemson-iowa-state-video/ ODB #1 Brock Purdy Fan!

    never thought I would see Purdy make it this far so my hat does go off to him

    No team is as good as it looks when winning nor are they as bad as they look when losing
    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by BWS77:

    Quote Originally Posted by OlDirtyBaztid: this is the type of purdy people aren't used to https://uproxx.com/sports/brock-purdy-pick-six-bat-clemson-iowa-state-video/ ODB #1 Brock Purdy Fan!

    never thought I would see Purdy make it this far so my hat does go off to him

     
    Biscuiteater1
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    Posted: Dec. 15, 2022 - 3:21 PM ET #113

    @llaarydallas

     

    Quote Originally Posted by llaarydallas:

    wash/giants over 40,,,,,dallas/jags over 47.5,,,,,,,,,,bears +9,,,,,,,,,, vikes - 4.5,,,,,,,,,,,
    BOL ole boy an_cheers

    Reply

    @llaarydallas

     

    Quote Originally Posted by llaarydallas:

    wash/giants over 40,,,,,dallas/jags over 47.5,,,,,,,,,,bears +9,,,,,,,,,, vikes - 4.5,,,,,,,,,,,
    BOL ole boy an_cheers

     
    Getty3
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    Posted: Dec. 15, 2022 - 3:37 PM ET #114

    Quote Originally Posted by llaarydallas:

    takin jr to the cure bowl tomoro, cuttin out of his last day of school before xmas break,,,,,this happens to be a max bet for me and if u see some guy run on the field yellin ''score score u motherfuckers'', that would be me,,,,,utsa/troy over 55.5,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

    I made only 2 CFB bets last week. USA/WKU over 54.5 and UTSA/Troy over 54.5. Fine minds think alike. peace_5

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by llaarydallas:

    takin jr to the cure bowl tomoro, cuttin out of his last day of school before xmas break,,,,,this happens to be a max bet for me and if u see some guy run on the field yellin ''score score u motherfuckers'', that would be me,,,,,utsa/troy over 55.5,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

    I made only 2 CFB bets last week. USA/WKU over 54.5 and UTSA/Troy over 54.5. Fine minds think alike. peace_5

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Dec. 15, 2022 - 4:00 PM ET #115

    The Vikings, since 2015, after a loss then playing at home, 19-6 ats.

    Reply

    The Vikings, since 2015, after a loss then playing at home, 19-6 ats.

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Dec. 15, 2022 - 4:32 PM ET #116

    The Jets shoot up from pick to -1.5(-113)

    Who's betting on them and why?

    Reply

    The Jets shoot up from pick to -1.5(-113)

    Who's betting on them and why?

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Dec. 15, 2022 - 4:41 PM ET #117

    Here's some good ref tendencies if you are betting the Shrimp, I all ready did:

     

    • Through 14 weeks of the NFL season, the Browns are the most penalized team in the NFL for offensive holding. By contrast, the Ravens are one of the least penalized teams in this key category.
    • Brad Allen is among the NFL leaders in calling offensive holding penalties in 2022. He currently averages the fifth-highest per game.
    • Defensive pass interference penalties are an area the Ravens have struggled with in 2022, currently ranked as the second-highest penalized team in this category.
    • The positive for the Ravens is Brad Allen is calling the third-fewest defensive pass interference penalties in 2022.
    • Since 2016, divisional games with Brad Allen are 25-13 to the Under (66%), including a 2-1 under record in 2022.
    • The Ravens have an excellent record with Brad Allen officiating. In 10 games Baltimore is 8-2 with Allen. In those 10 games, the Ravens are 7-3 ATS. More importantly, in five of those games, the Ravens were underdogs and have a 5-0 ATS record, including 4-0 ATS as road dogs.
    Reply

    Here's some good ref tendencies if you are betting the Shrimp, I all ready did:

     

    • Through 14 weeks of the NFL season, the Browns are the most penalized team in the NFL for offensive holding. By contrast, the Ravens are one of the least penalized teams in this key category.
    • Brad Allen is among the NFL leaders in calling offensive holding penalties in 2022. He currently averages the fifth-highest per game.
    • Defensive pass interference penalties are an area the Ravens have struggled with in 2022, currently ranked as the second-highest penalized team in this category.
    • The positive for the Ravens is Brad Allen is calling the third-fewest defensive pass interference penalties in 2022.
    • Since 2016, divisional games with Brad Allen are 25-13 to the Under (66%), including a 2-1 under record in 2022.
    • The Ravens have an excellent record with Brad Allen officiating. In 10 games Baltimore is 8-2 with Allen. In those 10 games, the Ravens are 7-3 ATS. More importantly, in five of those games, the Ravens were underdogs and have a 5-0 ATS record, including 4-0 ATS as road dogs.
     
    Biscuiteater1
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    Posted: Dec. 15, 2022 - 4:45 PM ET #118

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    The Jets shoot up from pick to -1.5(-113) Who's betting on them and why?
    Lions 1st road game in a month, Jets D can be formidable. I was slightly leaning their way but after this LM think i'll pass. 

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    The Jets shoot up from pick to -1.5(-113) Who's betting on them and why?
    Lions 1st road game in a month, Jets D can be formidable. I was slightly leaning their way but after this LM think i'll pass. 

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Dec. 15, 2022 - 5:23 PM ET #119

    The Lions last road game was at this very same stadium. Albeit vs a different team, there must be a plus to being familiar with the venue no?

    I've watched the lions/vikings and Jets/Bills games from last week twice now.

    Both teams are playing their asses off.

    Maybe I just stay with my initial thoughts at the beginning of the week, and stay away from bets.

    If the line hits 2.5 I may play the Lions though. Neither team should be laying points in this spot imo.

    Reply

    The Lions last road game was at this very same stadium. Albeit vs a different team, there must be a plus to being familiar with the venue no?

    I've watched the lions/vikings and Jets/Bills games from last week twice now.

    Both teams are playing their asses off.

    Maybe I just stay with my initial thoughts at the beginning of the week, and stay away from bets.

    If the line hits 2.5 I may play the Lions though. Neither team should be laying points in this spot imo.

     
    undermysac
    undermysac
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    Posted: Dec. 15, 2022 - 5:31 PM ET #120

    On another note, I have just realized that the Seahawks fit a simple method that I've used in the beginning of the year that hit at a great rate.

    Back when we didn't know much about anything about all the teams, I'd simply play a team if they were at home, had the better qb, were getting points, and had a harder sos.

    All though the Niners past schedule by dvoa is #29, and Seattle's is #31. Pretty close. Other sites sos rankings are pretty much the same.

    Missed the hook on Seattle, think I'd play them if that # shows up again.

     

    Reply

    On another note, I have just realized that the Seahawks fit a simple method that I've used in the beginning of the year that hit at a great rate.

    Back when we didn't know much about anything about all the teams, I'd simply play a team if they were at home, had the better qb, were getting points, and had a harder sos.

    All though the Niners past schedule by dvoa is #29, and Seattle's is #31. Pretty close. Other sites sos rankings are pretty much the same.

    Missed the hook on Seattle, think I'd play them if that # shows up again.

     

     
    philschnaars
    philschnaars
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    Posted: Dec. 15, 2022 - 7:35 PM ET #121

    Quote Originally Posted by Biscuiteater1:

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac: The Jets shoot up from pick to -1.5(-113) Who's betting on them and why? Lions 1st road game in a month, Jets D can be formidable. I was slightly leaning their way but after this LM think i'll pass.

     

    Quinnen Williams, Brandon Echols, and Corey Davis DNP Wednesday and Thursday yet the line moving towards the Jets……weird imho 

    Freedom road was a one-way street
    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Biscuiteater1:

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac: The Jets shoot up from pick to -1.5(-113) Who's betting on them and why? Lions 1st road game in a month, Jets D can be formidable. I was slightly leaning their way but after this LM think i'll pass.

     

    Quinnen Williams, Brandon Echols, and Corey Davis DNP Wednesday and Thursday yet the line moving towards the Jets……weird imho 

     
    philschnaars
    philschnaars
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    Posted: Dec. 15, 2022 - 7:37 PM ET #122

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    The Jets shoot up from pick to -1.5(-113) Who's betting on them and why?

    Possibly lots of novices just see home Team with a better overall record playing in a much more challenging division (this year anyways) as a PK and think it’s a safe bet?

    Freedom road was a one-way street
    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    The Jets shoot up from pick to -1.5(-113) Who's betting on them and why?

    Possibly lots of novices just see home Team with a better overall record playing in a much more challenging division (this year anyways) as a PK and think it’s a safe bet?

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Dec. 15, 2022 - 7:55 PM ET #123

    @Biscuiteater1

     @philschnaars

     Thanks for the opinions. 

    Those Jets injuries are so important imo. And Mike White was banged up good last week.

    Reply

    @Biscuiteater1

     @philschnaars

     Thanks for the opinions. 

    Those Jets injuries are so important imo. And Mike White was banged up good last week.

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Dec. 15, 2022 - 7:56 PM ET #124

    Tyler Huntley passed concussion protocol peace_5

    Reply

    Tyler Huntley passed concussion protocol peace_5

     
     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Dec. 15, 2022 - 8:03 PM ET #125

    Hugh has not posted on this thread yet, hopefully he's on a beach somewhere with an umbrella in his drink

    Reply

    Hugh has not posted on this thread yet, hopefully he's on a beach somewhere with an umbrella in his drink

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