Posted:
#76
@JDD
AZ up to +2(+105)
It's headed to 3, also the total dropped from 38.5 to 36
CD Newsletter Week 15
Posted:
#80
The more I look at the Lions vs Jets, the more I lean Detroit.
Jets have 3 key players injured who's status as of now is "day to day"
QB Mike White, DT Quinnen Williams, WR Cory Davis.
Even if Mike White starts, you have to think that he'll be gun shy. Williams is a 303 lb dude, and has a bad calf. If he plays he won't be 100%. Davis in concussion protocol, got pulled last game.
Fwiw, the Lions being out doors makes us pause. At least in week 11 they played in this same stadium vs the Giants. A little familiarity with the turf, locker room, and crowd noise can't hurt.
The Jets will try to run here I would think, you have to protect Mike White somewhat with scheme. Aidan Hutchinson has been playing well of late. 3 qb hits and 1.5 sacks last 2 games. PFF grades him well at 75.6 on the year.
The Jets over their last 3 games are 16th in rush epa, and 20th in rush success rate.
The Lions run d has been doing surprisingly well over their last 3 games, much better than their 22 ranked rush dvoa for the year. L3 rush epa #10, rush success rate #13. Last week they held Dalvin Cook to 23 yards on 15 carries and forced a fumble.
So looking at the Lions last 2 games, their rush epa jumps to #2, and so does their success rate.
The Lions special teams unit is ranked 9th by dvoa, vs 18th of the Jets. They ran a fake punt to perfection against the Vikings last week.
Also last week, on offense, they put an offensive lineman in an H back role. Put him in motion and threw a pass to him for a first down.
These guys are playing such good football right now.
Posted:
#92
1-1 yesterday
UIC win, UMAss Lowell almost wins. almost sweep
pulled a ML parlay that I didn't post out of my ass with Iona and Alabama......halfway through that Iona game Princeton was whooping that ass (and I bet and follow Princeton often as well, but Iona is just one of those programs now with Pitino....there is probably some stuff going on lol....)
Today:
Wright State +7.5
Radford +10
I wish I could tease these games, the book is letting me tease Wright, but not Radford. I would love Wright +12/+13 with Radford +14/+15
Oh well, I will just play them seperately
Howbout L'Ville.......wow......they need to get Pitino back from Iona lol. Shake hands and move on lol.....they are an 8 point HOME DOG to western KY. This is the same West KY team that I took Wright State against the other day for a good cover. This could be the game L'Ville gets off the schnied but who knows......how are they so bad good lord.......the book isn't even giving me a moneyline on L'Ville....I am tempted to take them with the 8 but maybe they are just that bad. Just wow.
Posted:
#97
Quote Originally Posted by Getty3:
Brilliant effort ol' chap. Atlanta +4.5/ML is the only thing signed, sealed, and delivered for me thus far but some of your thought processes has me intrigued with other games as well. I actually agree that a red hot Lions vs. a cold Jets team in NY is a most interesting game with the loser likely out of the playoff race.
that 4' is inviting but i suspect Saints will throw the sink @ rookie 1st timer. Brilliant effort ol' chap. Atlanta +4.5/ML is the only thing signed, sealed, and delivered for me thus far but some of your thought processes has me intrigued with other games as well. I actually agree that a red hot Lions vs. a cold Jets team in NY is a most interesting game with the loser likely out of the playoff race.
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