Posted:
#51
@Biscuiteater1
Correction Hurts was 15 - 20 for 128 and no td's
CD Newsletter Conference Championship Round
Posted:
#54
Quote Originally Posted by Biscuiteater1:
My guess is Skins best bet is to do all they can scheme & otherwise to slow down Philly run game and let the chips fall from there, Hurts had what 65 yards last week.
My guess is Skins best bet is to do all they can scheme & otherwise to slow down Philly run game and let the chips fall from there, Hurts had what 65 yards last week.
What makes the Skins so dangerous is the games they win when they don't punt. A lot of regular folks don't think that this is a big deal. I would beg to differ.
And then there are the games where Washington doesn't punt or turnover the ball. They've done it 4 times this year which is absolute god mode.
No team is beating anyone who doesn't punt or turnover the ball, it's impossible. Unless that team is also not punting or turning over.
Posted:
#55
@Biscuiteater1
Skins actually slowed barkley pretty good besides the 2 explosive plays they gave up
Think he had 24 attempt for 61 yards if you take off the 2 explosive TD runs in the 1st game...so they can bottle him up...but he could also easily bust another explosive run
In the 2nd game they slowed him down when hurts left with injury
Also hurts won't be 100% skins might ignore him in the run game or not respect him which will lead to easier tackles on barkley
Posted:
#56
Barkley's stats in those two games:
• Week 11: 26 carries, 146 yards (5.6 YPC), 2 TDs.
• Week 16: 29 carries, 150 yards (5.2 YPC), 2 TDs.
Interestingly, 185 of Barkley's 296 rushing yards (62.5%) against the Commanders this season either came in the fourth quarter of the Week 11 matchup or the first quarter of the Week 16 matchup. They've been able to bottle him up for long stretches, but Barkley has had his explosive moments.
Posted:
#57
Leans
Skins +6.0
KC ML or -1.0 if it gets there
I am basically 50/50 ATS so that should be 1-1 there
Prop leans
Saquon longest rush o19.5 ...not available to me but should hit
Successful 2 pt conversion...+270 for both games...blind bet both and need 1 for profit...if you have just 2 pt attempt that would be way safer but odds might not work out
Daniels o54.5 rush yards
Mahomes o25.5 rush yards
Odds are tight. Oddsmakers can hyper focus on these last 3 games. Tough to get an edge
Posted:
#62
Quote Originally Posted by Biscuiteater1:
Anyone think the Bills offense will not preform better Sunday, did the W last week take anything outta them. No matter how you slice it gonna take some strong onions to go against a healthy, confident Chief team at home Sunday. Am surprised this did not open a little higher.
Anyone think the Bills offense will not preform better Sunday, did the W last week take anything outta them. No matter how you slice it gonna take some strong onions to go against a healthy, confident Chief team at home Sunday. Am surprised this did not open a little higher.
I'm seeing a strong game from Josh Allen. This is the big redemption game vs the Chiefs, it feels right this time around.
Allen is superb when not blitzed. The Chiefs blitz a lot. He's still 9th overall epa per play vs the blitz.
Posted:
#64
@undermysac
It's a some what high number....he needs like 6-8 scrambles to get it unless he busts a big one...
He been over 48.5 only 5 times this year...but 1 of those was vs KC with 55 on 12 attempts. The 12 attempts is his season high...4 of the 5 overs were on the road
He has 8 and 10 attempts in the 2 playoff games
I think I read that spags DBs often have back to play and leave middle of field open for QB runs
I would check the 3 Previous kc playoff matchups too...I gonna since I actually kinda like it now lol
Posted:
#67
@dubz4dummyz
I think I read that spags DBs often have back to play and leave middle of field open for QB runs
Yes, a side effect of playing such a high % of man coverage. I'm sure they will have Chenal or someone as a spy in key spots, just as the Bills will on just about every 3rd down situation for Mahomes.
Time is a flat circle....
Posted:
#68
@kcblitzkrieg
I listened to a good podcast discussing strategy. We will most likely see a lot of 12 and 13 personal from the Chiefs to get the Bills out of Nickel.
Taron Johnson is a stud in slot coverage. He is probably capable of defending Kelce. But if they're facing 2 or 3 TE sets, it will force the Bills into their base 4-3 where LB Dorian Williams gets on the field. He's terrible in coverage. Kelce or Gray would eat him alive.
Posted:
#73
Quote Originally Posted by bigred84:
Bills have beaten the Chiefs 4 straight in the regular season... 0-2 in post season.... Skins 4 th straight road game... Eagles almost 8 straight weeks at home..' Weather in Philly 40 on Sunday...
Bills have beaten the Chiefs 4 straight in the regular season... 0-2 in post season.... Skins 4 th straight road game... Eagles almost 8 straight weeks at home..' Weather in Philly 40 on Sunday...
This is insane.
So 4 of Philly's last 5 games of the regular season were at home. Going 4-1 losing @ Washington.
They earned home field advantage in the playoffs with the 2 seed and the Lions getting knocked out.
So since week 14, 6 of their last 7 games have been at home. This will be their 7th home game in 8 weeks.
Fuck em I still like the Commandos 
Hot Forum Topics
