CD Newsletter Conference Championship Round

Only 2 games left, this will be short n sweet. 

Commanders @ Eagles -5.5 (48)

Round 3 between nfc east divisional foes.

The Eagles have the better O and D lines, and overall better roster top to bottom. Hence their better power rankings. Saquon is a unicorn. 

I just have to say that the Commanders have the better QB, albeit a rookie. And a slight edge to Dan Quinn over Sirianni. I most definitely think that Kingsbury is the better OC over Kellen Moore.

If you haven't noticed, the Commanders have won 7 games in a row. The Eagles have won 4 in a row, with their last loss vs the Commanders. As a matter of fact, the Eagles haven't lost any other game since week 4 going 14-1.

The Commanders get a one day rest advantage. The Eagles are banged up including Hurts.

There's only one bet to make for me, I'll be on the Commanders. I will understand anyone who backs the Eagles though, they have proven to be a solid team this year.

Bills @ Chiefs -2 (48)

The Billls are the better team. The thing is that the Chiefs have played many teams this year who have been better than them, and still won.

A lot of the time it doesn't make sense. The thing with the refs is getting ridiculous. We watch week after week every other QB getting laid out with no penalties. If someone sneezes on Mahomes it's 15 yards.

The Chiefs continue to win with absolutely awful play from their offensive tackles. No other teams are successful with bad offensive tackles. The Chiefs win.

I could talk about this game from x's and o's to stats and analytics for hours. It would lead me to a Bills +2 and ML bet any which way. 

I don't want any part of this game.

Good Luck guys

For the record, if the Eagles and Chiefs make it to the SB for a 2023 rematch I think it will suck. For me at least.

There's no other 2 teams that I didn't want to make the SB as bad as these 2.

Gimme Josh Allen vs Jayden Daniels, I think that would be awesome. 

85-89-10 (+1.21) YTD

7-6-1 (+0.62) PLAYOFFS 

2-4-1 (-1.34) LAST WEEK 

Commanders +5.5(-108) *1.00/.93

I think it still goes up slightly until injury reports round out. Bovada hit +6-120 for a little bit.

Gonna play this line just how I did the Rams. Patience for now.

If you like the Eagles, you have to have a few Saquon Barkley prop bets.

If you like the Chiefs, you have to have a few Travis Kelce prop bets.

They are the main cogs of their respective teams.

Bears signing Ben Johnson as new HC.

Reportedly Dennis Allen will be the DC.

Wow, you never know what you end up getting when you hire a young coordinator, but this looks like they're rounding out a pretty good coaching staff there in Chicago.

If Ben Johnson can't fix Caleb, no one can.

Finally Chicago!  Now get an offensive line to protect him.

@undermysac

 Nice work Sac . I noticed that when the Newsletter is 2-6 games you are all over it 

Played these early and with no fear 

Bills +118

Bills +2.5  -112

Redskins +13 / Bills +9.5  -120

 Gimme Josh Allen vs Jayden Daniels, I think that would be awesome.  

@undermysac    -  great write up , we all know the NFL wants money. 

Bought this just now! Washington @7-1 to win the Superbowl, 200$ : Wash +6 300$ (-1.10) @Philly: Parlay ticket using Alternative  lines Buff+6/ Washington +3 250$ @ + 2.81. In the hopper I hold a Philly +4.50 E/W ticket for 200$ paying 875$. I bought this week 16 or thereabouts. I just don't believe anymore in them. Good Luck everyone. Should be great football next weekend. PS: gone from a rollator to a cane as rehab is going well one month in!

@Cranky_Hank

 Former Eagle Zach Ertz anytime TD  +275 is my preferred

@trainwreck66

 Can't see that teaser losing. Solid play

Saquon longest rush over probably one of the safer bets this week...not many books offer it tho

@undermysac

 The Chiefs continue to win with absolutely awful play from their offensive tackles. No other teams are successful with bad offensive tackles. The Chiefs win.

Moving Thuney out to T seems to have fixed this temporarily, or at least help fix it.  Taylor actually just had his best rated game of the year at RT.  The Texans had 2 players in the top 10 this year in pass rush win rate, Hunter being #1 overall.  On the flipside, Chris Jones leads the league in interior pass rush win rate.  

The Bills have 1 player out of 40 ranked that qualify and that is big Ed Oliver inside coming in at 11th out of 20 qualifiers.  Zero players on the edge that qualify.  This is weakness on weakness from the edge and strength on strength from the interior of the line.  

If the Chiefs don't convert RZ scores they will likely lose this game.  Chiefs win and it will look very much like last years' KC win over Buffalo.  Bills win and it will look like the week 11 matchup 

I like that betting strategy Johnny!  What are the odds of Buffalo to win Super Bowl?  Buffalo and Washington to win - split the difference.

@Erik48

 Good luck!   

@Cranky_Hank

 Buffalo are presently @ +2.50 to win the SB

@kcblitzkrieg

 Well I'll have to watch that game again then, maybe my eye test failed me. If Taylor had his best rated game of the year, how good was it? Perhaps the bar isn't that high since he's been so bad all year.

Mahomes was sacked 3 times, and only had 162 yards passing. The run game was nearly non existent getting 2.3 yards per rush.

Jawan Taylor had one penalty for a false start. This is an upgrade for him since he's usually committing multiple penalties per game.

Good points about the Bills D line, they aren't as good as the Texans. But they're built differently, smaller but speedy, and they like being in the Nickel. The Bills defense is one where you want to get the run game going against, it's the best way to attack them.

Good to hear you are on the mend 

Johnson is a QB guru; he chooses working with Caleb Williams (in frigid weather) over Jayden Daniels, which seems like a mistake. Bears are also in the best division and are rivals with the team Johnson just spent the last six years working for. 

Count on this: Bears-Lions is a Sunday night/Monday game in Week 1 next fall. From Armadillo Sports this morning.

@JOHNNY_ODAE

 Good to see you doing well 

His 3rd leg serves him well.  

Awfully quiet in here...