Bodio's MLB Tue 10/04 (Playoffs)
#3: UNDER 7 PHI/STL +100
No idea why we can get this UNDER at + odds but I'll take it. My model has this one at 6.0 total runs and 8 would be needed for this wager to lose. This comes down to a couple of things. Hamels has a 3.27 ERA and 1.0 WHIP against the Cardinals. Sure he allowed 4 ER's against them in his last outing a couple of weeks ago, but besides those two 2-run homeruns he was actually very good in that one. Garcia is 2-0 with a 0.96 ERA and 0.9 WHIP against Philly. In his last 3 starts against them he's allowed 2 ER's in 22 innings of work with a 15 to 5 K/BB ratio. Hamels is coming off a 91, 93, and 40 pitch outings and with a 5-day rest I expect him to be very fresh and sharp today. Garcia is coming off a 91 and 64 pitch outings. He's had 7 days of rest. I expect him to be sharp as well. Phillies are bottom 10 in the league offensively against left-handers. Cards are top 10, but will be without Holliday once again. Expect a cool, wind-less weather in one of the most 'pitcher friendly' parks in baseball. UNDER is the play.
Good luck!
=========================================
Updated records:
'10 MLBP: 20 - 8 @ 71% for +$13,130
'10 NFL: 58-44 @ 57% for +$9,600
'10 NFLP: 8-2 @ 80% for +$5,800
'10 CFB: 55-54 @ 51% for -$4,400
'10 CFBP: 4-4 @ 50% for -$400
'10 CBB: 39-18 @ 68% for +$19,200
'10 CBBP: 16-6 @ 73% for +$9,400
'10 NBA: 151-99 @ 60% for +$42,100
'10 NBAP: 30-26 @ 54% for +$1,400
'10 NHL: 18-9 @ 67% for +$6,175
'10 NHLP: 16-7 @ 70% for +$5,575
'11 MLB: 201 -155 @ 56% for +$27,810
----------------------------------------------------
TOTAL: 616-432 @ 59% for +$135,390
_________________
"A dollar won is twice as sweet as a dollar earned"
#3: UNDER 7 PHI/STL +100
No idea why we can get this UNDER at + odds but I'll take it. My model has this one at 6.0 total runs and 8 would be needed for this wager to lose. This comes down to a couple of things. Hamels has a 3.27 ERA and 1.0 WHIP against the Cardinals. Sure he allowed 4 ER's against them in his last outing a couple of weeks ago, but besides those two 2-run homeruns he was actually very good in that one. Garcia is 2-0 with a 0.96 ERA and 0.9 WHIP against Philly. In his last 3 starts against them he's allowed 2 ER's in 22 innings of work with a 15 to 5 K/BB ratio. Hamels is coming off a 91, 93, and 40 pitch outings and with a 5-day rest I expect him to be very fresh and sharp today. Garcia is coming off a 91 and 64 pitch outings. He's had 7 days of rest. I expect him to be sharp as well. Phillies are bottom 10 in the league offensively against left-handers. Cards are top 10, but will be without Holliday once again. Expect a cool, wind-less weather in one of the most 'pitcher friendly' parks in baseball. UNDER is the play.
Good luck!
=========================================
Updated records:
'10 MLBP: 20 - 8 @ 71% for +$13,130
'10 NFL: 58-44 @ 57% for +$9,600
'10 NFLP: 8-2 @ 80% for +$5,800
'10 CFB: 55-54 @ 51% for -$4,400
'10 CFBP: 4-4 @ 50% for -$400
'10 CBB: 39-18 @ 68% for +$19,200
'10 CBBP: 16-6 @ 73% for +$9,400
'10 NBA: 151-99 @ 60% for +$42,100
'10 NBAP: 30-26 @ 54% for +$1,400
'10 NHL: 18-9 @ 67% for +$6,175
'10 NHLP: 16-7 @ 70% for +$5,575
'11 MLB: 201 -155 @ 56% for +$27,810
----------------------------------------------------
TOTAL: 616-432 @ 59% for +$135,390
_________________
"A dollar won is twice as sweet as a dollar earned"
you have been doing it all season and you never ask for anything in return you are the "real deal", bodio thanks for your insight and your patience with all idiots who stop by the threads and give you shit when you lose a game or two. Your a bookies nightmare and me and my crew of degenerates always look to see what your plays are before we submit ours and I can't thank you enough for this profitable mlb season
keep up the good work and the BOL to you on your future plays my friend.![]()
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![]()
you have been doing it all season and you never ask for anything in return you are the "real deal", bodio thanks for your insight and your patience with all idiots who stop by the threads and give you shit when you lose a game or two. Your a bookies nightmare and me and my crew of degenerates always look to see what your plays are before we submit ours and I can't thank you enough for this profitable mlb season
keep up the good work and the BOL to you on your future plays my friend.![]()
![]()
![]()
![]()
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