Posted:
#1
Steamed sides so far...
Orlando
San Diego
Birmingham
Salt Lake (small)
And all Unders
Has anyone here actually placed any bets yet for Week 1? 
AAF Week 1 steam
Posted:
#2
Two large plays tonight......
I’m starting to really like fading Martz on Saturday night.
The common mans view that Martz is great and the architect of the greatest show in turf is probably the view of most of the country.
Makes sense unless you were familiar with Martz’s work when he didn’t have first ballet HOF’s at every position like with the Lions and Bears.
Any offense with Warner, Faulk, and Holt will earn.
Reality is Martz offense is based on timing and very hard to learn.
Ask cutler and Stafford about how much they liked getting sacked 6-8 times a game under this joke of an offense.
Line has been moving and it’s only 2.5 (was San Antonio -3.5 yesterday) over the Martz led San Diego team.
Wanted to fire San Antonio-2.5 but I’m allergic to betting against line movement.
Instead I’m firing UNDER 50.5 in San Diego
Game 2.....
Firing Orlando -6.5 - I’m guessing Steve Spurrier didn’t come out of retirement to lose. 6.5 seems pretty steep with much info on the game but I think Orlando covers easy.
My site will not accept any pars or I’d have a big one with...
Orlando -6.5
Under 50.5 San Diego
Posted:
#5
All major books are offering lines on these games now.
1H lines and Team Totals have also been added.
As of now, no Quarter lines yet.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Current 1H, Full Game, Totals at 5Dimes for today's games:
Orlando -4, -7.5, 49 O/U
San Antonio -0.5, -2, 50.5 O/U
Orlando and San Diego continue getting steamed as do the Unders.
Posted:
#6
Orlando has a big edge tonight. Homefield advantage, 44,000 seat stadium will be about 70% full (I checked their online ticket sales), huge coaching advantage Steve Spurrier and DC Bob Sanders, for Atlanta Brad Childress jumped ship about a month ago, maybe he thought a losing record with a bad roster in a minor league would not enhance his chance to get a lucrative NFL or college job in the future.
His replacement Kevin Coyle has no head coaching experience, he was DC for the Miami Dolphins for a few years however. Up until 2 days ago Michael Vick was going to be calling the plays for Atlanta, however he has been relieved of his duties and will stay around as an advisor.
I've gone down the 52 man rosters, and I think there is a large talent disparity, my findings:
Orlando - 29 have been in an NFL training camp or practice squad.
Orlando - 21 have made a 53 man roster and seen playing time in an NFL game.
Atlanta - 20 have been in an NFL training camp or practice squad.
Atlanta - 8 have made a 53 man roster and seen playing time in an NFL game.
So homefield advatage, big coaching advantage, big talent/NFL experience advantage on Orlando.
I'm predicting a score of 30-9, and yes I've placed a wager on Orlando.
BOL
Posted:
#7
Quote Originally Posted by KempDunkLister:
Orlando has a big edge tonight. Homefield advantage, 44,000 seat stadium will be about 70% full (I checked their online ticket sales), huge coaching advantage Steve Spurrier and DC Bob Sanders, for Atlanta Brad Childress jumped ship about a month ago, maybe he thought a losing record with a bad roster in a minor league would not enhance his chance to get a lucrative NFL or college job in the future.
His replacement Kevin Coyle has no head coaching experience, he was DC for the Miami Dolphins for a few years however. Up until 2 days ago Michael Vick was going to be calling the plays for Atlanta, however he has been relieved of his duties and will stay around as an advisor.
I've gone down the 52 man rosters, and I think there is a large talent disparity, my findings:
Orlando - 29 have been in an NFL training camp or practice squad.
Orlando - 21 have made a 53 man roster and seen playing time in an NFL game.
Atlanta - 20 have been in an NFL training camp or practice squad.
Atlanta - 8 have made a 53 man roster and seen playing time in an NFL game.
So homefield advatage, big coaching advantage, big talent/NFL experience advantage on Orlando.
I'm predicting a score of 30-9, and yes I've placed a wager on Orlando.
BOL
Good post dude thx for all the work
Which books have you guys booked your action with so far? And what is the max bet per wager allowed?
Posted:
#9
4000 to win 3500 at 5 1/2
1100 to win 1000 at 6
2750 to win 2500 at 6 1/2
Total 7850 to win 7000
Mostly 550 to win 500 increments, that was the limit. The juice and spread was moving as I bet as I'm guessing they weren't getting any action but mine at the time. They let me rebet every 61 seconds or if the line moved. They just want to take so much action at a time before they have a chance to adjust. betonline
a TRUE capper
Posted:
#13
I posted my 2 cents opinion about the AAF below in my NFL thread and figured I'd copy it here...
I'll just be watching the AAF for now. Each team only played 1 preseason
game so there's not much to go on outside of analyzing the
rosters and coaching staffs.
I'll be looking
for how these teams look in the trenches first and foremost. My guess is
that DL's will probably be ahead of OL's very early on. The rules
against 5+ man blitzes could neutralize some of that however. Either way
though, QB play will be even more crucial: who can improvise and keep
plays alive while making good decisions with the ball, that sort of
thing. Next to look at will be the running games.
There's some good blogs by different writers on The Action Network's site if you click around through their AAF section:
https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/betting-alliance-american-football-odds-picks-week-1-2019
There will also be a 30 min pre-game show on CBS before today's kickoffs which could have some nuggets of info.
This
is a whole new can of worms and there's much to learn. I'm open to
betting on it if good opportunities arise but it'll probably take a few
games by each team for me to get comfortable with player personnel and
coaching schemes.
The league and rules are
obviously geared towards speed and increasing the number of plays
compared to the NFL, so that should lead to more scoring in theory but
let's see how it plays out. I do hope the league is successful and most
of that will depend on the overall quality of play and how quickly these
teams can improve throughout the season.
Posted:
#16
Updated steam...
Orlando up to -7.5
Is -7.5 for the AAF with the mandatory 2 pt conversion attempts the new -6.5? Hah!
San Diego keeps getting hit, down to +1.5 now. Apparently there's still a lot of faith in Mike Martz out there.
And both OVERS for tonight have suddenly gotten heavily steamed. They had been sitting at around 49.5/50 and now they're up to 54/54.5
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