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NBL/WNBL Rd 14

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Posts: 48

blind_freddie

Prospect

Joined: Nov, 2014

Posts: 386

Posted: Jan. 6, 2016 - 2:47 AM ET #1

NBL: 28-13 ytd
WNBL: 11-7 ytd

NBL: Perth/Cairns match total under 160.5

The last 3 in this series have gone under and both teams play good defence. This may be a risky play with all the overs this season but I reckon this one will be a dog fight. For the record I see Perth winning the match.

blind_freddie

Prospect

Joined: Nov, 2014

Posts: 386

Posted: Jan. 6, 2016 - 2:49 AM ET #2

Edit: last 3 in Cairns have gone under this total

peekay89

Veteran

Joined: Jan, 2015

Posts: 1785

Posted: Jan. 6, 2016 - 2:52 AM ET #3

Too scared to play this total... It's so low for what's been going on

Mark Worthington OVER 10.5 pts doesnt look so bad

peekay89

Veteran

Joined: Jan, 2015

Posts: 1785

Posted: Jan. 6, 2016 - 3:01 AM ET #4

He takes between 10-20 shots a game, can hit the 3 ball, big game, no Starks im on it

AussieDownUnder

Hall of Fame

Joined: Jun, 2013

Posts: 21208

Posted: Jan. 6, 2016 - 3:21 AM ET #5

GL Freddie. Lets hope for a 79-70 win for Perth

Erich777

Veteran

Joined: Aug, 2014

Posts: 2753

Posted: Jan. 6, 2016 - 4:24 AM ET #6

Thanks mate, tailed you on that one. :)

blind_freddie

Prospect

Joined: Nov, 2014

Posts: 386

Posted: Jan. 6, 2016 - 5:39 AM ET #7

Man these Cats are in a rut, need to snap out of it soon.

Perth/Cairns total under 160.5

AussieDownUnder

Hall of Fame

Joined: Jun, 2013

Posts: 21208

Posted: Jan. 6, 2016 - 7:00 AM ET #8

Great start to the week Freddie as always buddy. Wildcats in a terrible rut. Cairns can still make the playoffs. Perth have 1 more road game left and then they are home for the rest of the season.

blind_freddie

Prospect

Joined: Nov, 2014

Posts: 386

Posted: Jan. 6, 2016 - 6:32 PM ET #9

NBL: 29-13

NBL: Illawarra Hawks TT over 89.5 + Illawarra Hawks +1.5

Really really really like these plays so I've gone early to avoid any line changes. Amazing to see the Tiges getting so much respect from the books after a couple of wins on the trot. Yes they knocked off Perth but the Sydney win was expected in a high scoring shootout. The facts are Melbourne can't defend and the Hawks are a powerhouse on offence. Illawarra can hurt you inside and out with AJ Ogilvie, Kirk Penney and Kevin Lisch. They are absolutely flying right now and look the form team of the comp. Once again the Tiges will look to Chris Goulding and Stephen Holt for a bulk of their scoring and if one or the other is off then this one won't even be close. Illawarra have scored over 89 points in 8 consecutive matches against far better defensive units than this Melbourne side so this TT looks to be the best value pick in this matchup. The match total over is also a pretty strong play here. Good luck.

peekay89

Veteran

Joined: Jan, 2015

Posts: 1785

Posted: Jan. 7, 2016 - 2:33 AM ET #10

Liking Goulding OVER 19.5 in a shootout

blind_freddie

Prospect

Joined: Nov, 2014

Posts: 386

Posted: Jan. 7, 2016 - 3:14 AM ET #11

Quote Originally Posted by peekay89:

Liking Goulding OVER 19.5 in a shootout

Be careful mate. He should get that but if the Hawks play Lisch on him then he may have a quiet night.

peekay89

Veteran

Joined: Jan, 2015

Posts: 1785

Posted: Jan. 7, 2016 - 3:15 AM ET #12

Isn't Goulding too big and tall for Lisch?

AussieDownUnder

Hall of Fame

Joined: Jun, 2013

Posts: 21208

Posted: Jan. 7, 2016 - 3:31 AM ET #13

As always Freddie, BOL buddy. Lets hope 96-86 Hawks win

blind_freddie

Prospect

Joined: Nov, 2014

Posts: 386

Posted: Jan. 7, 2016 - 3:32 AM ET #14

Both play guard. Not as big as you might think.

blind_freddie

Prospect

Joined: Nov, 2014

Posts: 386

Posted: Jan. 7, 2016 - 3:33 AM ET #15

Quote Originally Posted by AussieDownUnder:

As always Freddie, BOL buddy. Lets hope 96-86 Hawks win

Thanks mate, right back at ya.

AussieDownUnder

Hall of Fame

Joined: Jun, 2013

Posts: 21208

Posted: Jan. 7, 2016 - 3:40 AM ET #16

Quote Originally Posted by peekay89:

Isn't Goulding too big and tall for Lisch?

My estimation would be Goulding 6'2 and Lisch 5'10

blind_freddie

Prospect

Joined: Nov, 2014

Posts: 386

Posted: Jan. 7, 2016 - 3:45 AM ET #17

Look out, the Tiges have come to play some defence tonight.

AussieDownUnder

Hall of Fame

Joined: Jun, 2013

Posts: 21208

Posted: Jan. 7, 2016 - 3:48 AM ET #18

Amazing but I think the 2nd unit for Melbourne will struggle with the Hawks 2nd unit. Expect it close until mid way through the 2Q and then Hawks take a nice lead into the HT

blind_freddie

Prospect

Joined: Nov, 2014

Posts: 386

Posted: Jan. 7, 2016 - 5:29 AM ET #19

What a game. Shame the refs spoilt it at the end.

2 from 2

we'll take that .

AussieDownUnder

Hall of Fame

Joined: Jun, 2013

Posts: 21208

Posted: Jan. 7, 2016 - 5:59 AM ET #20

You never cease to amaze me Freddie. Your knowledge and plays on this league are insane and so accurate. Your win percent is massive and not many people that I have seen on covers have such an amazing record across one league like you have. Amazing buddy and I hope there are people out there making cash off your plays

peekay89

Veteran

Joined: Jan, 2015

Posts: 1785

Posted: Jan. 7, 2016 - 6:19 AM ET #21

Amen! Nice hit boys, shame I didn't tail but need to like the pick myself.

hey at least my radar was working with Goulding

dontknowhowtobe

Banned

Joined: Dec, 2011

Posts: 926

Posted: Jan. 7, 2016 - 7:37 AM ET #22

Quote Originally Posted by AussieDownUnder:

You never cease to amaze me Freddie. Your knowledge and plays on this league are insane and so accurate. Your win percent is massive and not many people that I have seen on covers have such an amazing record across one league like you have. Amazing buddy and I hope there are people out there making cash off your plays

blind_freddie

Prospect

Joined: Nov, 2014

Posts: 386

Posted: Jan. 7, 2016 - 7:53 AM ET #23

Thanks mate that's very kind of you to say. Happy that my many years following the league is starting to pay off. Also had a bit of luck as well which helps

blind_freddie

Prospect

Joined: Nov, 2014

Posts: 386

Posted: Jan. 7, 2016 - 7:33 PM ET #24

WNBL: 11-7 ytd

WNBL: Adelaide/Dandenong total under 148.5

This play was the standout on today's card for mine. Two teams scrapping and fighting to make the playoffs. When we look at the numbers Adelaide have played under this total in its last 4 home games while Dandenong's last 5 away games have gone under as well. Both sides met earlier in the season in Adelaide and it was a tight 72-70 win to Adelaide. With so much on the line I'm expecting a pretty tight match.

Not liking the matchups in the NBL today so there may be no plays there. Will have another look later but am leaning Cairns at the moment.

AussieDownUnder

Hall of Fame

Joined: Jun, 2013

Posts: 21208

Posted: Jan. 7, 2016 - 8:25 PM ET #25

OOOO nice play there buddy. Really like it. Also like Adelaide as well. Dandy have a game tomorrow at 6.30 at home vs Sydney so their minds might be on that game. Pretty harsh schedule. This game wont finish until around 10pm Adelaide time, then go to sleep, wake up early for flight back to Melbourne with some travel as well back to Dandenong and then play vs the inform Flames. Think tonight might be a lacklustre effort from Dandy after last weeks surprise win and I still really like Mitchell, Ruef and Standish for Adelaide.

Leaning NZ in NBL tonight and the over in Cairns/Crocs. Cairns might breath some fresh air tonight playing some attacking ball after that ugly 71-61 win vs the Wildcats. Think both teams might get up a big score tonight but I could be completely wrong.

BOL buddy

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NBL/WNBL Rd 14

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